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September 2012 Boards forecast contest

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    #62
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Final data are in and here's the story ...

    IMT was 12.2 C

    MAX was 23.1 C (3rd, Phoenix Park)

    MIN was -0.8 C (22nd, Mount Dillon)

    PRC was 81%

    SUN was 107%

    Max wind gust confirmed as 55 kts (25th, Malin Head)

    A scoring I will go.


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    #63
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Scoring for September 2012
    _____________________________________

    Forecaster ............... IMT . MAX . MIN . PRC . SUN . Max Gust ..... TOTALS

    Actual values...........12.2 .. 23.1 . -0.8 . 081 . 107 .. 55

    Jerry Seinfeld .......... 11 ... 19 ... 12 ... 15 ... 07 ... 09 ...... 73
    Hammer Archer ........ 10 ... 14 ... 17 ... 15 ... 09 ... 07 ...... 72
    snowstreams ........... 14 ... 13 ... 15 ... 08 ... 09 ... 08 ...... 67
    DOCARCH ................ 13 ... 06 ... 18 ... 10 ... 10 ... 09 ...... 66
    Lumi ....................... 09 ... 18 ... 08 ... 12 ... 09 ... 10 ...... 66
    jd .......................... 11 ... 12 ... 20 ... 03 ... 09 ... 09 ...... 64
    NIALL D .................. 18* .. 18 ... 00 ... 10 ... 08 ... 09 ...... 63
    waterways .............. 07 ... 12 ... 12 ... 15 ... 06 ... 07 ...... 59
    cherryghost** ......... 12 ... 14 ... 17 ... 14 ... 08 ... 01 ..... 66-7 = 59
    lostinashford** ........ 23*.. 20 ... 00 ... 12 ... 09 ... 02 ..... 66-7 = 59
    dasa29 ................... 14 ... 16 ... 18 ... 00 ... 07 ... 03 ...... 58

    Con Sensus ............. 10 ... 12 ... 07 ... 12 ... 09 ... 08 ...... 58

    Harps ..................... 12 ... 10 ... 18 ... 00 ... 09 ... 08 ...... 57
    Bsal ....................... 12 ... 08 ... 16 ... 02 ... 10 ... 08 ...... 56
    jambofc* ................ 09 ... 02 ... 18 ... 10 ... 07 ... 10 ...... 56
    Rickylovesuall* ........ 12 ... 06 ... 18 ... 09 ... 07 ... 03 ...... 55
    homolumo ............... 09 ... 18 ... 00 ... 10 ... 09 ... 09 ...... 55
    waterways .............. 07 ... 12 ... 08 ... 15 ... 06 ... 07 ...... 55
    dacogawa ............... 08 ... 07 ... 19 ... 09 ... 07 ... 04 ...... 54
    MiNdGaM3 ............... 07 ... 09 ... 13 ... 15 ... 07 ... 02 ...... 53
    rameire* ................. 11 ... 19 ... 00 ... 12 ... 09 ... 02 ...... 53
    H2UMrsRobinson ....... 16* .. 19 ... 00 ... 05 ... 04 ... 08 ...... 52
    Danno ..................... 07 ... 07 ... 19 ... 11 ... 03 ... 04 ...... 51
    Tae laidir ................. 08 ... 11 ... 03 ... 15 ... 04 ... 08 ...... 49
    nilhg ....................... 09 ... 00 ... 18 ... 08 ... 09 ... 03 ...... 47
    okla* ...................... 09 ... 14 ... 00 ... 12 ... 08 ... 03 ...... 46
    Sponge Bob ..,.......... 10 ... 10 ... 00 ... 13 ... 09 ... 04 ...... 46
    mickger844posts ....... 12 ... 13 ... 00 ... 12 ... 07 ... 02 ...... 46
    Strasser* ................ 06 ... 02 ... 13 ... 14 ... 10 ... 01 ...... 46
    kindredspirit ............. 10 ... 01 ... 00 ... 15 ... 09 ... 07 ...... 42
    John mac* .............. 20* .. 08 ... 00 ... 05 ... 06 ... 03 ...... 42
    traecy1 .................. 12 ... 00 ... 00 ... 09 ... 09 ... 10 ...... 40
    pauldry ................... 13 ... 11 ... 00 ... 04 ... 06 ... 05 ...... 39
    Iancar29 ................. 12 ... 00 ... 00 ... 15 ... 05 ... 07 ...... 39
    M.T. Cranium ........... 11 ... 00 ... 03 ... 15 ... 05 ... 05 ...... 39
    catch.23 ................. 09 ... 09 ... 00 ... 02 ... 08 ... 10 ...... 38
    delw ....................... 11 ... 00 ... 00 ... 12 ... 08 ... 05 ...... 36
    Rocky Bay* .............. 10 ... 00 ... 00 ... 15 ... 05 ... 01 ...... 31
    Joe Public ................ 03 ... 02 ... 00 ... 11 ... 04 ... 10 ...... 30
    SeaFields ................. 07 ... 00 ... 00 ... 08 ... 07 ... 07 ...... 29
    200motels ................ 08 ... 00 ... 00 ... 09 ... 03 ... 05 ...... 25

    * in IMT scores, adjusted up for minimum progression
    * late entries, pen if >60 (no penalties applied)
    ** late-late entries, pen if >50 (both in this group lost 7 pts)
    ______________________________________

    In general, a well-scored month as shown by the unusually high score of everyone's friend Con Sensus. The IMT fell a bit lower than anyone guessed and the four highest scores got a slight bonus as a result of the "mercy rule" being applied, scores in the middle of the pack were okay as they stood. All the other elements had more than their quota of "good" scores and the precip forecast had an unusual number of perfect scores (of 15).

    Congrats to Jerry Seinfeld, Hammer Archer and Snowstreams for topping the September table ... and to all those who did well.

    Annual scoring race will be updated next (look for that around 7 p.m.).


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    #64
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Well, I had the annual scoring table updated and was sending it when my computer decided to start defragging ... don't think I can retrieve the data as I had to reboot to get a screen. What I remember is that Jerry Seinfeld has moved into first place in both contests, Sponge Bob and rameire are still in the top 3 and Lumi has tied for third. Hammer Archer moved up into the top ten after a good score this month.

    Otherwise, the details are probably not that interesting but I will post the table as soon as I can get it either redone or back on screen.


  • Options
    #65
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Updated Annual scoring table
    __________________________________________


    Rank .. Forecaster .... J .. F .. M .. A .. M .. J .. J .. A .. S ... Total ... Contest (rank)

    1 .. Jerry Seinfeld.....56..48..55..46..51..49..69..39..73 ... 486 ... 401 (1)
    2 .. Sponge Bob ......52..50..50..46..52..64..77..41..46 ... 478 ... 391 (2)
    3 .. rameire ............65..44..53..56..41..43..64..53..53 ... 472 ... 388 (3)
    4 .. Lumi ................62..45..28..43..44..57..54..60..66 ... 459 ... 388 (3)
    5 .. H2UMrsRobinson.70..54..38..43..43..47..54..45..52 ... 446 ... 365 (10)
    6 .. John mac .........62..53..26..53..46..42..49..68..42 ... 441 ... 373 (8)
    7 .. Tae laidir .........41..44..31..62..57..75..32..43..49 ... 435 ... 372 (9)
    8 .. Hammer Archer .52..41..22..35..39..51..69..52..72 ... 433 ... 376 (5)
    9 .. nilhg ...............67..47..33..55..59..42..18..59..47 ... 427 ... 376 (5)
    10. jambofc ...........26..34..22..60..59..40..56..69..56 ... 426 ... 374 (7)
    10 .waterways .......58..29..53..33..47..49..52..50..55 ... 426 ... 364 (11)

    12 .Con Sensus ......58..28..31..46..48..41..54..50..58 ... 414 ... 355 (14)

    12 .jd ...................50..28..47..44..53..35..44..48..64 ... 413 ... 350 (14)
    13 .MiNdGaM3 ........33..11..31..45..70..56..64..43..53 ... 406 ... 364 (11)
    14 .Rickylovesuall ...42..52..30..13..51..36..66..58..55 ... 403 ... 360 (13)
    15 .okla ................57..21..31..44..51..33..55..63..46 ... 401 ... 349 (15)
    16 .pauldry ............61..48..45..31..49..56..49..22..39 ... 400 ... 347 (16)
    17 .mickger844posts 62..26..38..27..40..46..62..45..46 ... 392 ... 339 (18)
    18 .DOCARCH .........20..27..32..40..41..52..47..65..66 ... 390 ... 343 (17)
    19 .Harps ..............51..25..18..35..47..35..36..73..57 ... 377 ... 334 (20)
    19 .kindredspirit ......60..48..39..22..50..35..41..40..42 ... 377 ... 320 (25)
    21 .snowstreams ....37..10..28..37..51..48..49..49..67 ... 376 ... 338 (19)
    21 .homolumo ........48..25..24..67..58..19..32..48..55 ... 376 ... 333 (22)
    23 .traecy1 ...........47..36..33..34..47..52..40..44..40 ... 375 ... 308 (32)
    24 .delw ...............57..57..15..25..39..49..52..41..36 ... 371 ... 331 (23)
    25 .M.T. Cranium ....34..41..21..55..65..46..47..18..39 ... 366 ... 327 (24)
    26 .SeaFields .........33..15..57..44..36..35..63..49..29 ... 361 ... 317 (26)
    27 .200motels ........56..69..18..31..40..26..53..40..25 ... 358 ... 315 (27)
    28 .cherryghost .....56..51..11..12..44..35..36..53..59 ... 357 ... 334 (20)
    29 .dacogawa .......50..14..17..37..59..19..48..48..54 ... 346 ... 315 (27)
    29 .dasa29 ...........44..30..16..44..33..29..50..42..58 ... 346 ... 301 (34)
    31 .Iancar29 .........33..19..26..45..52..32..25..66..39 ... 337 ... 293 (36)
    32 .Joe Public ........42..21..08..53..66..30..38..47..30 ... 335 ... 306 (33)
    33 .K_1 ................40..25..71..22..33..59..42..42..-- ... 334 ... 312 (29)
    34 .Danno .............48..20..--..44..50..45..35..39..51 ... 332 ... 312 (29)
    35 .NIALL D ...........29..20..28..44..42..32..--..62..63 ... 320 ... 300 (35)
    36 .lostinashford ....--..--.. 37..34..40..52..59..40..59 ... 311 ... 311 (31)
    37 .Strasser ..........--..20..52..38..29..16..47..43..46 ... 291 ... 275 (38)
    38 .talkabout .........42..26..20..05..58..32..41..66..-- ... 290 ... 285 (37)
    39 .redsunset ........34..11..12..60..41..48..33..16..-- ... 255 ... 244 (39)

    ____________________________________


    Rank in main (Boards) contest is the last column in the table, that's based on your seven best scores so far. The rank in the all-months (MTC) award is the first column in the table. Congrats to Jerry Seinfeld who has moved into first place in both. You'll notice that the pack is very tightly bunched for example, just 31 points between 10th and 20th place in the main contest. Good luck to all, as we come down the stretch (watch out for horses going the wrong way). :)


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