Autumn/Winter FI Charts 2012/13

Nabber

Tickets are on sale for the ride. Queue up now. Here she comes





I keep hearing about a trend developing. Cold is on the way.
Can some one explain this? Is it a trend that developed in previous years, where this looks similar and cold flowed into the country in those previous years?

Because if it is a trend in the models, I don't see how that could be taken as a reliable trend, if it's constantly dropped. Just like last winter. We had an excellent winter for cold and snow in 2011/12 (if you lived in FI) Where as in reality we had a very mild winter.

Winter is still only just begun. I still think we are doing well. Just stay out of FI and you'll have a good time.

BEASTERLY

Here we go agaaaaiiin!

pad199207

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Here we go agaaaaiiin!

Way way too far away !!! Lets not do this to ourselves again please!

srocliffe

pad199207 wrote: »

Way way too far away !!! Lets not do this to ourselves again please!

This is the FI model thread, there is another thread for discussing the models in the more reliable time-frame.

Charts right up to +384h are perfectly acceptable in here, nobody is expecting these charts to verify exactly as shown, we are just looking for future trends, and having some fun while doing so .

pistolpetes11

BEASTERLY wrote: »

Here we go agaaaaiiin!

I have been reading laty it takes 3 rolls of the dice to get an easterly !

Redsunset

May I suggest we use a Snow Dice this time.

fr wishy washy

I can't take it anymore

BEASTERLY

pad199207 wrote: »

Way way too far away !!! Lets not do this to ourselves again please!

Ah come on, it's the FI thread, tis only a bit of fun... for now!

Gonzo

just saw the rte forecast there and they have snow over Ireland for the second half of next week, no idea where they are getting this information from because next week looks increasingly mild as we head towards the weekend. Not getting my hopes up for any snow now unless it's 24 hours in advance.

maquiladora

A very interesting early FI rolling out on the 18Z now. Not sure how long it will stay interesting though. Round 3 potential?

Nobody watching this?

lol it even has the classic xmas eve breakdown.

Pub run being the pub run.

rc28

By the looks of the 18z GFS we may have another shot at a phantom easterly after next weekend....I can't take any more of this rollercoaster!!

Seriously, I don't recall such a drawn out chase for cold weather - after almost three weeks of model watching we are now on the cusp of looking for a third easterly after two major fails. I think I prefer a Greenland (rather than Scandinavian) high, they seem to bring less drama.

pistolpetes11

And then .......

DanRu

At this stage it more like the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Always 7-10 days away in FI and doesn't really exist but you can dream! I have no doubt we will see snow this year but its back to MET Forecasts for me, it's been a fun ride but I don't think the snow bunny in me can take another fall. Peace out.

corksurfer2005

DanRu wrote: »

At this stage it more like the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Always 7-10 days away in FI and doesn't really exist but you can dream! I have no doubt we will see snow this year but its back to MET Forecasts for me, it's been a fun ride but I don't think the snow bunny in me can take another fall. Peace out.

Can't take another fail?! Isn't the fact that it's so uncertain the main joy of model watching?

pistolpetes11

Ah its the thrill of the chase folks , If you cant stand the heat, get out of the Kitchen !

Tom Cruises Left Nut

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Ah its the thrill of the chase folks , If you cant stand the heat, get out of the Kitchen !

I had to take some time out cause of bitter disappointment !

I can confirm that the weather was great in the pub at the weekend ! haha

* heads off to check the CFS for some nice colours :pac:

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Didn't need to look too far ! ha. Imagine !!!! :eek:

maquiladora

Looks like the 18Z GFS had one too many bulmers last night. Back to a wet and windy FI on the models this morning.

Caff Caff

We must be getting close to being immune to disappointment in this country

Defcol

Based on the models/forecasts, what is the weather expected to be like in Holland on the run up to christmas?

Heading over to the in-laws on the 27th. Bringing the little man over for his first visit. Would be nice if the snow they currently have was expected to hang around, as he's unlikely to see any here until Jan at the earliest.

maquiladora

Defcol wrote: »

Based on the models/forecasts, what is the weather expected to be like in Holland on the run up to christmas?

Heading over to the in-laws on the 27th. Bringing the little man over for his first visit. Would be nice if the snow they currently have was expected to hang around, as he's unlikely to see any here until Jan at the earliest.

Very possible that it could still be cold/snowy there right up to Christmas. Too far away to know for sure though.

BEASTERLY

Ahh heeere, leave ih bleedin ouh!

john mayo 10

:eek:

M.T. Cranium

Mayans have taken over ECM, day 10 map for 21 Dec shows worst windstorm of modern times approaching, let's hope it comes nowhere close to verifying.

ninebeanrows

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Mayans have taken over ECM, day 10 map for 21 Dec shows worst windstorm of modern times approaching, let's hope it comes nowhere close to verifying.

At least it would be something interesting!

Would certainly be time to get out of Dodge if this was progged at T24hrs!!

red_bairn

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Mayans have taken over ECM, day 10 map for 21 Dec shows worst windstorm of modern times approaching, let's hope it comes nowhere close to verifying.

Thank god! Won't have to sit that damn C exam.

maquiladora

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Mayans have taken over ECM, day 10 map for 21 Dec shows worst windstorm of modern times approaching, let's hope it comes nowhere close to verifying.

It's 950 and still deepening on the weatheronline charts.



The center looks weird on that chart though. I'd suspect that in reality those isobars would continue down to an even lower pressure.

Extremely unlikely at 240 hours though, not even fit for this thread really. :P

leahyl

I'll take an epic windstorm if we can't have snow :-D

ninebeanrows

maquiladora wrote: »

It's 950 and still deepening on the weatheronline charts.



The center looks weird on that chart though. I'd suspect that in reality those isobars would continue down to an even lower pressure.

Extremely unlikely at 240 hours though, not even fit for this thread really. :P

That's because WO only goes as low at 950mb :eek::D

Birdnuts

Weathercheck wrote: »

That's because WO only goes as low at 950mb :eek::D

That reminds me of this time last year when something similiar was progged by ECM at a simliar remove - never happened of course:rolleyes: