Hurricane Sandy Threatens To Slam Northeast U.S. Monday-Tuesday 29th-30th

zenno · 29-10-2012 3:50am

Looks like new jersey will be hit the worst, heres the Link to police/fire/ambulance on trunked system. http://audio7.radioreference.com/774284705.mp3

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 3:59am

Deleted User wrote: »

Well that's what I was getting at, greatest surge in the centre or North of the centre where the winds are?

If landfall is to the south then the angle of the winds will force the water up into NYC more. National Weather Service have said the current track is pretty much the worst case scenario.

29-10-2012 4:29am

maquiladora wrote: »

If landfall is to the south then the angle of the winds will force the water up into NYC more. National Weather Service have said the current track is pretty much the worst case scenario.

That's what I was thinking, if the winds were forcing water up and then the storm started moving North just as it hit Jersey it'd mean getting the strong winds followed by the lowest of the pressure.

joseph brand · 29-10-2012 4:31am

Comprehensive report from the Huffington Post.

NHC meteorologists are still putting more stock on the ECMWF and GFS models, which bring extra-tropical Super Storm Sandy into New Jersey. The map above is valid Monday evening around 8 pm, coinciding with high tide and a full moon - thus the concern for enhanced risk and coastal danger. What is amazing, borderline unprecedented, is the size of this storm, with hurricane-force (74 mph+) wind gusts over a 250 mile wide area, tropical storm force (39 mph+) winds over a 450 mile wide swath on either side of Sandy's west/northwest track.

nevsky · 29-10-2012 8:47am

SnowDrifts wrote: »

Does anyone have a legal stream for the weather channel?

The weather channel are now live streaming on their own website.

http://www.weather.com/tv/tvshows/live-stream

cherryghost · 29-10-2012 8:53am

Surges at NY already over 2 feet. Forecast looks absolutely unreal. Well over 10 foot surges!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yXMU2qwCVag

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 9:24am

HWRF, 937.

ECM, 945.

GFS, 944 with some time to deepen still.

M.T. Cranium · 29-10-2012 9:35am

Hurricane Surely-not is crawling north along the 70th parallel and has reached a latitude about equal to Cape Hatteras or maybe Virginia Beach.

Model solutions are converging on a landfall between Atlantic City and Toms River NJ. As far as impacts on NYC and Long Island, it makes almost no difference, they will be in the maximum surge and forward wind zones as this hurricane gradually becomes post-tropical during the approach or perhaps at landfall. Already it is probably a bit more spread out in its wind field relative to the eye, than in most 'canes of similar pressure and max wind speeds.

Soundings above the surface that reveal 100-120 mph winds show the potential for this to deepen slightly and also for the wind field to strengthen before landfall. Waves of 10-12 metres in the forward section will curve in with the storm to provide a large additional punch to the predicted surges.

I'm in a rough spot here between the superstorm and the earthquake zone. :eek:

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 9:40am

Look what recon just found.

082500 3546N 07034W 6967 02654 9457 +133 +105 298010 012 005 002 03

dfbemt · 29-10-2012 9:47am

Some interesting but worrying images. Yes we love to look in awe but still should spare a thought for the lives which will be affected by this event

Su Campu · 29-10-2012 9:54am

Latest synop wind reports. WKAU reporting 44 kts and a water temp of only 17 C.

http://www.ogimet.com/cgi-bin/gsynop?lang=en&esc=4&nav=Yes&lat=45N&lon=075W&proy=orto&base=bluem&ano=2012&mes=10&day=29hora=06&vwi=Wi

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 9:55am

5:00 AM EDT Mon Oct 29
Location: 35.9°N 70.5°W
Moving: N at 15 mph
Min pressure: 946 mb
Max sustained: 85 mph

SINCE THE HURRICANE WILL TRAVERSE
THE GULF STREAM THIS MORNING...AND THE SHEAR IS NOT TOO STRONG AT
THIS TIME...SOME MORE STRENGTHENING AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE MAIN MECHANISM
FOR INTENSIFICATION LATER TODAY SHOULD BE BAROCLINIC FORCING. THE
OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE LATEST GFS PREDICTION
AS THAT MODEL SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE EVOLUTION OF THIS TYPE
OF SYSTEM FAIRLY WELL.

cherryghost · 29-10-2012 9:56am

maquiladora wrote: »

Look what recon just found.

Weather Channel Live was reporting that now. 85mph reported also.

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 10:21am

Models very confident on the final track now. Really narrowed down.

DominoDub · 29-10-2012 10:21am

http://www.reddit.com/r/sandy

Su Campu · 29-10-2012 10:28am

Latest TAFs for Newark and JFK both give strongest winds of 45 gust 65 kts from 02-06Z tonight.

dfbemt · 29-10-2012 10:30am

Apt for the time of year !!

er1983 · 29-10-2012 10:47am

What time is sandy due to hit land irish time

ninebeanrows · 29-10-2012 10:49am

around 2am i believe.

gbee · 29-10-2012 10:49am

Midnight or so.

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 10:52am

094530 3603N 07027W 6963 02658 9418 +173 +081 226047 050 028 002 00

Extrapolated readings say pressure still falling.

ninebeanrows · 29-10-2012 10:53am

Sandy looking very impressive at the moment.

Latest recon has found 941mb. This thing is intensifying.

Worrying times.

Pangea · 29-10-2012 11:00am

Already 4,758 customers without power, with the vast majority in Toms River (4,193).

maquiladora · 29-10-2012 11:12am

Dropsonde reported 948mb but with 14 knot winds, so wasn't right in the center.

Pangea · 29-10-2012 11:16am

Just seen this
"According to NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center's 5 a.m. update, Sandy is now packing maximum sustained winds at 85 mph, with a minimum central pressure of 946 millibars. This is extremely low pressure, rivaling that of the 1938 storm, Craig Allen On-Air Inc reports, who says: "You actually still do have time to do last minute preps," since "the worst will arrive late afternoon into the first part of the night. This mornings high tide will cause moderate flooding but the evening high tide will do the most damage." IF YOU CAN GET OUT FROM LOW-LYING AREAS NOW, DO SO."