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STORM POTENTIAL 31st Oct - 3rd Nov.

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24

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    #32
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Wolfe_IRE wrote: »
    They're out there, I can smell them. Lurking in the bushes waiting to pounce on the first mention of sn.....frozen precipitation I mean

    That was a close one !!

    I think we need a codeword


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    #33
    Mr Benevolent
    Closed Accounts Posts: 12,456 ✭✭✭✭Mr Benevolent


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    That was a close one !!

    I think we need a codeword

    Graupel.


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    #34
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Confab wrote: »
    Graupel.

    I was thinking something like "knickers"

    "I woke up and my garden was full of knickers"

    "I had knickers up to my waist, what a day"


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    #35
    delw
    Registered Users Posts: 2,655 ✭✭✭delw


    "I made a knickerman with the kids today" just doesn't have the same ring to it :D


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    #36
    pauldry
    Registered Users Posts: 7,088 ✭✭✭pauldry


    sccccccchhhhhhhhhhhhhhneachtaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!:D

    knickers is good.

    had a knickersball fight in 2011


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    #37
    alfa beta
    Registered Users Posts: 763 ✭✭✭alfa beta


    thunderknickers :eek:


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    #38
    Wolfe_IRE
    Closed Accounts Posts: 309 ✭✭Wolfe_IRE


    Knickers possible on high ground with wet knickers at sea level.


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    #39
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Wolfe_IRE wrote: »
    Knickers possible on high ground with wet knickers at sea level.

    Winner :D


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    #40
    Sponge Bob
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 25,234 ✭✭✭✭Sponge Bob


    We are no longer allowed to annoy the knickerwabbits. By order.


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    #41
    airman737
    Registered Users Posts: 187 ✭✭airman737


    Knickerflakes, knickerploughs, knickerstorm....... :D


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    #42
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Harps wrote: »

    On a somewhat related note, HIRLAM data seems to no longer be available, says on meteociel they're stopping releasing free data, a real loss if its gone everywhere

    The same HIRLAM data still available on the Spanish Met Office (AeMET) site though does not cover the same wide area as it did on Meteociel.

    http://www.aemet.es/en/eltiempo/prediccion/modelosnumericos/hirlam?opc2=sup&opc3=vi

    The EMHI HIRLAM charts still up as well which cover most of Northern Europe and the NE Atlantic region:

    http://www.emhi.ee/index.php?ide=19,394,416,419


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    #43
    Cantona's Collars
    Registered Users Posts: 33,709 ✭✭✭✭Cantona's Collars


    airman737 wrote: »
    Knickerflakes, knickerploughs, knickerstorm....... :D

    Slushy knickers,knickers starting to stick,I think we may use a different code word-the imagery is a bit too :eek::eek:


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    #44
    Calibos
    Registered Users Posts: 7,807 ✭✭✭Calibos


    All I'm saying is...."Don't eat the yellow knickers!!"


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    #45
    Calibos
    Registered Users Posts: 7,807 ✭✭✭Calibos


    Should we now call the Isle of Man the.....

    ...Knicker Blocker Glory????

    :D


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    #46
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    What have I started :o


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    #47
    Spindle
    Registered Users Posts: 500 ✭✭✭Spindle


    There is a whiff of knickers in the air today..........

    Gets coat. Calls taxi, and leaves. :D


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    #48
    Larbre34
    Registered Users Posts: 24,189 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Can someone please fire up a feckin chart and put a stop to this daftness.

    Only 151 days of snó potential to go..........:rolleyes:


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    #49
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    It's too cold for knickers.....


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    #50
    Larbre34
    Registered Users Posts: 24,189 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Su Campu wrote: »
    It's too cold for knickers.....

    Et tu Su? I dont believe it ;)


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    #51
    M.T. Cranium
    Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Urgent to mods -- update thread title my suggestion

    Level 2 ... Severe wind gusts likely in north on Thursday, may repeat Saturday

    Urgent to readers ... model consensus now shows potential for very strong wind gusts in Donegal, Mayo and other parts of Connacht, Ulster on Thursday, arriving mid-day and translating east and southeast by evening.

    May not be as severe in west Munster as a track from Donegal Bay to Dublin can be inferred from guidance.

    Wind gusts to 120 km/hr (75 mph) appear possible, with wind-driven hail showers, snow on hills, almost a blizzard condition possible at higher elevations of northwest.

    Saturday could be a total reload with Friday in between a more moderate strong wind continuation once the Thursday night gusts settle down.

    Over to forecast thread for update now.


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    #52
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    M.T. Cranium wrote: »
    Urgent to mods -- update thread title my suggestion

    Level 2 ... Severe wind gusts likely in north on Thursday, may repeat Saturday

    Urgent to readers ... model consensus now shows potential for very strong wind gusts in Donegal, Mayo and other parts of Connacht, Ulster on Thursday, arriving mid-day and translating east and southeast by evening.

    May not be as severe in west Munster as a track from Donegal Bay to Dublin can be inferred from guidance.

    Wind gusts to 120 km/hr (75 mph) appear possible, with wind-driven hail showers, snow on hills, almost a blizzard condition possible at higher elevations of northwest.

    Saturday could be a total reload with Friday in between a more moderate strong wind continuation once the Thursday night gusts settle down.

    Over to forecast thread for update now.

    I just don't see anything near 75mph?

    As the models appear at the moment, i could see perhaps a gust to 55kt at a maximum in some exposed areas of the north and northwest.

    Will be breezy countrywide though, with widespread gusts from 30-40kt.

    <This is not to say the models will change in the coming hours>


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    #53
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    I just don't see anything near 75mph?

    As the models appear at the moment, i could see perhaps a gust to 55kt at a maximum in some exposed areas of the north and northwest.

    Will be breezy countrywide though, with widespread gusts from 30-40kt.

    <This is not to say the models will change in the coming hours>

    I'm a little baffled meself! :confused:


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    #54
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Personally, I don't see the potential for anything stronger than maybe 80 kph gusts for the exposed NW coasts on the models, a place well used to windy Autumn days.


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    #55
    torrential1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 39 ✭torrential1


    Met eireann certainly going for a cold blustery spell but no mention of any strong winds. I no expert but looking at charts etc I don't see any potential for more than gale gusts in the heavier showers.


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    #56
    Harps
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    Was thinking the same, NAE shows no more than 45-50 kts on the NW coast Thursday evening/night, isolated gusts a bit higher maybe. Norwegian HIRLAM develops the system earlier and further south but wind isn't as strong

    121101213118.gif


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    #57
    Deep Easterly
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,150 ✭✭✭Deep Easterly


    Windfinder has a fairly strong band of westerlies developing over Ulster very late Thursday/early Friday which are likely to be very gusty in any showers but debatable as to whether it is worthy of a 'Level 2'. Will be an interesting one to watch unfold.

    226547.png


    From: http://www.windfinder.com/forecasts/superforecast_ireland_animation.htm


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    #58
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    12Z GFS 950 hPa heights (dm) and winds.

    attachment.php?attach_id=b4c76716e58f5f96557e900e661eb90c&mid=id.299968396784157&hash=AQD5M4YQigYydFC5

    Norwegian hirlam, 06Z Friday
    attachment.php?attach_id=00f13bbc235d756d8407ef715d05da01&mid=id.299334896833724&hash=AQCLC3fFWQqYb1B5


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    #59
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Have it at Level 1 seems the general consensus is there wont be anything too bad , MT is prob in bed Im sure he will also update in the morning.


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    #60
    Su Campu
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,279 ✭✭✭Su Campu


    pistolpetes11 wrote: »
    Have it at Level 1 seems the general consensus is there wont be anything too bad , MT is prob in bed Im sure he will also update in the morning.

    At 3:35 pm??!!!!:D


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    #61
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Su Campu wrote: »
    At 3:35 pm??!!!!:D

    Spends so much time here , has to get some shut eye when the rest of us are asleep :o

    speaking of which ..............


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