How will the Electoral College go?

jimmyjon

If Obama wins I think it will splinter the GOP between the Tea Party & Evangelical faction versus the more moderate pragmatic faction (which would be led by people like Jeb Bush and Chris Christie). It's impossible to predict who would win out in such a scenario but the one certainty is that it would be highly entertaining to watch it all play out on Fox News, like a grotesque monster having a massize seizure.

Ozymandius2011

CNN calls Indiana for Romney and Vermont for Obama.

20Cent

Obama 332 Romney 206 #thereisaidit

Ozymandius2011

Looks like a 2008-type turnout in almost every way (except a big drop in Evangelicals and in some Southern states Whites), except a slightly higher Hispanic vote. All the conservative pundits dismissed this possibility.

bajer100

300+ for Obama.

For me, critical mass was hit when Chris Christie effectively gave Romney the two fingers after Sandy. That told me that the GOP's polls showed that Romney had lost and Christie started campaigning for 2016.

Christie is a great bet for 2016 - 33/1 with some bookies! I reckon he's a shoe-in.

Ozymandius2011

Obama leading 50-49 in FL.

OH: more Provisional ballots than usual issued in Hamilton county (around 20,000). In 2004 many were not counted.

Corkfeen

bajer100 wrote: »

300+ for Obama.

For me, critical mass was hit when Chris Christie effectively gave Romney the two fingers after Sandy. That told me that the GOP's polls showed that Romney had lost and Christie started campaigning for 2016.

Christie is a great bet for 2016 - 33/1 with some bookies! I reckon he's a shoe-in.

Possibly for the nomination but whoever gets elected this time will either be reelected or the party will get reelected. It's been much discussed that whoever wins will claim credit for the economy recovering even if they had little to do with it.

G.K.

Obama 294-244 Romney, that's my guess.

bajer100

Corkfeen wrote: »

Possibly for the nomination but whoever gets elected this time will either be reelected or the party will get reelected. It's been much discussed that whoever wins will claim credit for the economy recovering even if they had little to do with it.

I disagree. I reckon that the Republicans will win next time as long as they put up an electable candidate. They could have won this time, or last time, if they had put up an electable candidate. Come 2016, the fickle Americans will want change. Christie is already campaigning. He complimented Obama and toured NJ with him after Sandy.

68Murph68

bajer100 wrote: »

I disagree. I reckon that the Republicans will win next time as long as they put up an electable candidate. They could have won this time, or last time, if they had put up an electable candidate. Come 2016, the fickle Americans will want change. Christie is already campaigning. He complimented Obama and toured NJ with him after Sandy.

Demographics will surely come into play as older Republicans will be dying off while the increasing Hispanic/ African-American numbers reach voting age.

Throw into fact that the economy will most likely be in a much better state. Right now I'd think it would be advantage Democrats for 2016.

nagilum2

68Murph68 wrote: »

Demographics will surely come into play as older Republicans will be dying off while the increasing Hispanic/ African-American numbers reach voting age.

Throw into fact that the economy will most likely be in a much better state. Right now I'd think it would be advantage Democrats for 2016.

Not sure why everyone thinks the economy will be so much better. Regardless of who wins, neither will make the tough choices that need to be made to right the economic ship. Just paper over it with more debt. Wouldn't be surprised to see another American recession.

Ponster

nagilum2 wrote: »

Not sure why everyone thinks the economy will be so much better.

Because almost all independent 'think-tanks" agree that the economy is getting better and will get even better no matter who becomes president.

matthew8

Good thing I didn't post a map, would've got Florida wrong.

nagilum2

Ponster wrote: »

Because almost all independent 'think-tanks" agree that the economy is getting better and will get even better no matter who becomes president.

Fundamentals are terrible for an economic recovery. US will either middle along with high unemployment and minimal growth or perhaps even go back into recession.

nagirrac

Romney camp gone radio silent, waiting for a messiah or writing a concession speech?

Victor

I'm guessing about 316:222.

nagirrac wrote: »

Romney camp gone radio silent, waiting for a messiah or writing a concession speech?

Picking someone to blame.

Ozymandius2011

nagirrac wrote: »

Romney camp gone radio silent, waiting for a messiah or writing a concession speech?

Or the Rapture. Maybe they think this is a sign of that.