Interesting Presidential election predictor....

dark crystal

Just came across a rather interesting article on certain bizarre factors that predict almost every Presidential election. They are as follows:

The Redskins Rule: Basically if the Washington Redskins win their last home game before the Election, the party in power hold on to the White House. This has been the case for 17 of the last 18 elections (exception being the infamous 2004 Bush Vs Gore race, in which Gore technically won).
Their next game is due to be played 2 days before Election day.

http://www.redskins.com/


The Scholastic News election poll: Every four years, elementary schools across the US participate in a nationwide mock election. In 15 of the last 17 elections, they have picked the winning candidate. Their only misses came in 1960, when they picked Nixon over Kennedy (Kennedy only won that election by a tiny margin of 0.2%) and 1948, when they predicted Dewey would beat Truman (In fairness, they weren't the only ones - the Chicago Daily Tribune famously made the same mistake!)

This year's results are in and the kids have predicted Obama will triumph over Romney 51% - 45% (4% Other).


How Vigo County, Indiana votes: Most elections come down to about half a dozen swing states, because the rest of the country are solidly in one camp or another (California = Democrat, Texas = Republican and so on..) However one particular 'swing state' district seems to predict the winner every time - Vigo County, Indiana. Wherever Vigo County goes, the rest of the country goes since 1892, with only two exceptions ever.

It's a county with no strong alliegances, has both a working class and middle class population and has elected both Democrat and Republican mayors, yet picks the President every time.


The Summer Olympics: Three things happen every four years - the Olympics, the changing of the Guard at Buckingham Palace and the Presidential Election.

Almost every time the summer Olympic games were hosted by a country that had previously won a hosting bid, the incumbent party won the popular vote that election. Likewise, every time the Olympics were hosted someplace new, a change in the White House occured. That's a success rate of 12 out of 13 (1988 being the only exception).



Therefore, one can assume from these startling anomalies that Obama needn't bother packing his bags any time soon. Come on the Redskins!!


http://www.cracked.com/article_20139_6-bizarre-factors-that-predict-every-presidential-election_p2.html

Looks like Romney wins then.

Manic Moran

Who the hell has the time to try to correlate the most bizarre things like if the Olympics were held in a city twice?!

Fr Tod Umptious

Deleted User wrote: »

Looks like Romney wins then.

yep, and the Redskins were a 3pt favourite going into the game too.

28064212

flazio

I came into this thread expecting an octopus.

Ozymandius2011

The Iowa Electronic Prediction markets (IEM) have been closer to the outcome than the polls since it was set up in 1988. See past predictions here and here.