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LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705

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    #3032
    naughto
    Registered Users Posts: 7,350 ✭✭✭naughto


    96_mslp500.png?cb=278


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    #3033
    Jaffusmaximus
    Closed Accounts Posts: 304 ✭✭Jaffusmaximus


    t|nt|n wrote: »
    96 :)

    ECM0-96_dou6.GIF

    I-came-eccbc87e4b5ce2fe28308fd9f2a7baf3-1360.gif


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    #3034
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Better at 96. Let's see where 120 goes. Always hard to know with the ECM with 24 hours between frames.


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    #3035
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    Short term upgrade - snow showers Tuesday night and Wednesday in the east. Long term not so sure.


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    #3036
    corksurfer2005
    Closed Accounts Posts: 82 ✭✭corksurfer2005


    120 is completely irrelevant at the moment! Next 72-96 hours is all we need worry about :)


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    #3037
    Oarrack Bama
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 142 ✭✭Oarrack Bama


    Definitely better than the 00z to 120 hrs. Upgrade for snow in the east and it's nearer UKMO but not quite. Looks high high pressure to sink 144 allowing Atlantic westerlies. Important thing is it's colder and synoptically better up to that point.


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    #3038
    Trotter
    Closed Accounts Posts: 5,362 ✭✭✭Trotter


    Not mad about 120 but considering the low confidence across the board, I'd imagine we shouldnt look past 96 for the kind of accuracy we're after. So far so good.


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    #3039
    Problem123456
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭Problem123456


    The good thing is all the models are showing the same thing at the moment.


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    #3040
    Jaffusmaximus
    Closed Accounts Posts: 304 ✭✭Jaffusmaximus


    Come on undercut lets be havin ya!


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    #3041
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    High is starting to collapse at 120 but FI probably starts at 96 hours at the moment. Still, would have been good to have the ECM on board at 120. Maybe a late chance at an undercut, we'll know by 144.


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    #3042
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Increasing likelihood of snow showers for the east Tuesday-Wednesday with some accumulations.


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    #3043
    Rougies
    Registered Users Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Game over at 144h ... but good run up until 96h. The overall trend is better across all models.


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    #3044
    MUSEIST
    Closed Accounts Posts: 3,258 ✭✭✭MUSEIST


    Weathercheck wrote: »
    Increasing likelihood of snow showers for the east Tuesday-Wednesday with some accumulations.

    boooo:(


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    #3045
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    ECM a bit of a downer from all the other good output this evening.

    High collapses preventing extended cold spell for time being.

    However uncertainty very high post 108hrs


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    #3046
    Problem123456
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭Problem123456


    Rougies wrote: »
    Game over at 144h ... but good run up until 96h. The overall trend is better across all models.


    Yeah but it is FI and I will be happy if get some of the white stuff on Wednesday


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    #3047
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Ouch, mild southwesterlies at 144. +4 uppers. All FI at that stage though.


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    #3048
    pistolpetes11
    Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 7,146 Mod ✭✭✭✭pistolpetes11


    Rougies wrote: »
    Game over at 144h ... but good run up until 96h. The overall trend is better across all models.

    From one model ;)

    With FI past +96


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    #3049
    compsys
    Registered Users Posts: 1,092 ✭✭✭compsys


    Can I ask where people are viewing all the ECM charts?


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    #3050
    Rougies
    Registered Users Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Rougies


    Problem123456 wrote: »
    Yeah but it is FI and I will be happy if get some of the white stuff on Wednesday

    True. That's why I said the trend is better. I'm happy enough with that run ;)


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    #3051
    Rougies
    Registered Users Posts: 2,677 ✭✭✭Rougies


    compsys wrote: »
    Can I ask where people are viewing all the ECM charts?

    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=72&mode=1&map=0&type=0&archive=0


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    #3052
    Problem123456
    Registered Users Posts: 290 ✭✭Problem123456


    compsys wrote: »
    Can I ask where people are viewing all the ECM charts?
    http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php?ech=120&mode=0&map=0&type=0&archive=0


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    #3053
    Pangea
    Registered Users Posts: 5,565 ✭✭✭Pangea


    ME giving -6 on latest tv forecast for mid week.


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    #3054
    brianthomas
    Registered Users Posts: 215 ✭✭brianthomas


    ME forecast not too exciting there. Odd showers and gettin milder after wed. That right?

    Clondalkin in Dublin



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    #3055
    Jaffusmaximus
    Closed Accounts Posts: 304 ✭✭Jaffusmaximus


    Huge backtrack on this run from the 0z and still room for improvement, proves to me that even the ECM cannot be trusted past t96 I wonder if it is struggling with the SSW also.


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    #3056
    Tom Cruises Left Nut
    Registered Users Posts: 9,017 ✭✭✭Tom Cruises Left Nut


    Look at that lobe of PV between 168 and 192 heading into scandi


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    #3057
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    brianthomas wrote: »
    ME forecast not too exciting there. Odd showers and gettin milder after wed. That right?

    That would be based on the old model. The latest one is only coming out now.


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    #3058
    Jaffusmaximus
    Closed Accounts Posts: 304 ✭✭Jaffusmaximus


    Pool of cold showing again out to the far east, maybe after another week it will pay us a visit!


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    #3059
    Bigcheeze
    Closed Accounts Posts: 2,858 ✭✭✭Bigcheeze


    maquiladora wrote: »
    That would be based on the old model. The latest one is only coming out now.

    Should we expect an upgrade from Met E after the 9 o'clock news ?


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    #3060
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Bigcheeze wrote: »
    Should we expect an upgrade from Met E after the 9 o'clock news ?

    I can't remember if they use the latest model on the forecast after the news but the website outlook should be updated with it around midnight.


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    #3061
    munsterlegend
    Registered Users Posts: 6,186 ✭✭✭munsterlegend


    Bigcheeze wrote: »
    Should we expect an upgrade from Met E after the 9 o'clock news ?

    Probably not yet..will wait until tomorrow and what the models are saying. Farming forecast could be short tomorrow!


This discussion has been closed.
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