LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705

gabeeg

force eleven

t|nt|n wrote: »

So, anyone any predictions for the 12zs ?

gabeeg

With regards to that vid, the coldest temps they got in LA was about 12c I believe.

maquiladora

gabeeg wrote: »

I realise the low that's due to arrive from our west is unpredictable at best, but if we were to see something akin to the ECM chart below, how would it manifest itself in terms of a wind and precipitation event?

Are those lows common enough (970ish)?

970 isn't too usual, and on that track we wouldn't get much wind since the highest winds would on the west side of the center.

It is a very strong storm before that point on the ECM though.

At 96 hours it is 940mb, with sustained winds up to 70 knots, hurricane force. It's well to our west at that point though and it's weakening as it gets further east.

96 hours :


120 hours :


144 hours :


The exact track and intensity is highly likely to change though.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Shows how close we are, the currentl precip radar

Blue is rain, green is sleet, red is snow

weatherfiend

sorry still can't work out how to upload an image but couldn't resist this before it's gone again in an hour!!

Wednesday 23 January 2013.png

:eek::eek::eek:

:D:D:D:D:D:D

force eleven

I've given up on anything at this stage, such have been the letdowns over the last 7-10 days. The best snowfalls are always surprise ones, so lets hope something catches the Met Eireann office out - even the Eagle this morning was downbeat. Gerry Murphy is practically dancing around Glasnevin in an Hawaiian shirt today...:rolleyes:

You never know though, which is why we keep looking in here....:cool:

Reckless Abandonment

t|nt|n wrote: »

Shows how close we are, the currentl precip radar

Blue is rain, green is sleet, red is snow

Don't ever show a pic like that around these parts again...:)

gabeeg

maquiladora wrote: »

970 isn't too usual, and on that track we wouldn't get much wind since the highest winds would on the west side of the center.

It is a very strong storm before that point on the ECM though.

At 96 hours it is 940mb, with sustained winds up to 70 knots, hurricane force. It's well to our west at that point though and it's weakening as it gets further east.


The exact track and intensity is highly likely to change though.

Right, so nothing to get overly excited about unless it's accompanied by real cold.

So did anyone see the game last night?

maquiladora

gabeeg wrote: »

Right, so nothing to get overly excited about unless it's accompanied by real cold.

So did anyone see the game last night?

Well it does show it turning to snow in places at times.



Just impossible to know at this stage.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Wait wait, an ME forecast upgrade !!

Sunday: A cold and frosty start for many on Sunday morning, but clearing through the morning. Increasing wind and cloud will bring heavy rain into Munster by early afternoon and to most places by early Sunday night. Some very heavy falls in places ( 25mm possible) and some falls of sleet and snow are likely also, especially on higher ground.

Extended outlook is for the cold and unsettled weather to persist. Rain on Monday with some wintry precipitation likely, especially on higher ground, but drier periods at times on Tuesday and Wednesday but showers as well, some wintry.

Darwin

Yes looks like we have a better chance of something on Sunday...GFS is showing surface temps of 7 to 8c in most parts for Thursday into Friday so that precipitation event is a write off.

Rougies

maquiladora wrote: »

Well it does show it turning to snow in places at times.

Don't let Leahyl see that map.

Rougies

t|nt|n wrote: »

Wait wait, an ME forecast upgrade !!


and some falls of sleet and snow are likely also, especially on higher ground.

That's a huge upgrade from the last forecast. Who's on duty today does anybody know?

Elmer Blooker

pistolpetes11 wrote: »

Heights starting to build over Greenland there too ?

Hopefully. I'm no expert on the subject of WAA but that warm air towards Greenland on this chart would help build heights in that area?
Am I correct?

leahyl

Rougies wrote: »

Don't let Leahyl see that map.

Too late! :pac:

Tom Cruises Left Nut

leahyl wrote: »

Too late! :pac:

Ah jaysus, abandon thread !!!

leahyl

t|nt|n wrote: »

Ah jaysus, abandon thread !!!

I'm always lurking!

Orchard Rebel

Matthew Hugo @MattHugo81 -14C across Wales by Sunday morning - expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficha… | GFS going off on one, attempting to model Tmin temps over snow-cover.

Ah now here lads.....

SnowDrifts

t|nt|n wrote: »

Shows how close we are, the currentl precip radar

Blue is rain, green is sleet, red is snow

Very close. I took this video at lunchtime today. It was at circa 450m. There was very heavy snow, big thick flakes. At 350m, it was sleet and then just rain from then down unfortunately.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tQJgt0RXUfA

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Orchard Rebel wrote: »

Ah now here lads.....

Leave it bleedin ouuuuuuuu :pac:

snowstreams

Snowdrifts, where was that taken? Id say if you walked up the path to kippure it wouldnt take long to turn to pure snow.
Im hoping the "ski run" on kippure gets filled in, in the next week. It lasted until april in 2010.

SnowDrifts

snowstreams wrote: »

Snowdrifts, where was that taken? Id say if you walked up the path to kippure it wouldnt take long to turn to pure snow.
Im hoping the "ski run" on kippure gets filled in, in the next week. It lasted until april in 2010.

Sorry, forgot to say where it was - it was along the Sally Gap overlooking Luggala.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Latest NAE, you can see those cold uppers heading in from the west



And snow out west on the way in (for the love of god don't look at the UK in this one)

maquiladora

t|nt|n wrote: »

Latest NAE, you can see those cold uppers heading in from the west



And snow out west on the way in (for the love of god don't look at the UK in this one)

Thats still the 06Z. 12Z only out to 15 hours so far.

Tom Cruises Left Nut

maquiladora wrote: »

Thats still the 06Z. 12Z only out to 15 hours so far.

Doh !!!

Eastcoastryan

t|nt|n wrote: »

Latest NAE, you can see those cold uppers heading in from the west



And snow out west on the way in (for the love of god don't look at the UK in this one)

Ok, Novice Question here! Looking at the charts above, would those 2 cold airmasses combine? I have never really seen snow coming in from the west like that? Would that travel right across the country or would it be the western half of the country?

ninebeanrows

Look east not west lads!

Tom Cruises Left Nut

Weathercheck wrote: »

Look east not west lads!

For uppers to move west WC ?

davidsr20

Mt says rain now for weekend and he's stopped talking about the really cold snowy February now too