LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705

Calibos

Just came across 'The Zoo' showing on Animal Planet channel. Christmas Special.

What's that got to do with Snow??

Episode filmed Nov/Dec 2010.

One interesting fact was that the keepers had to go out everyday in boats to break up the frozen lake around the primate islands to prevent the apes from crossing the ice to the mainland or indeed falling through the ice and drowning.

derekon

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

If there is any chance of a sustained spell of cold with snow potential this winter, I believe it would be in February. This severe cold in Russia shows no real signs of either going away or moving west. That, in combination with research output, suggests to me that it could retrogress (move west) later in the winter.

The whole situation is eerily reminiscent of 1947 but I would say, maybe not quite that extreme nor quite as soon to develop (in Jan 1947 it became very mild mid-month then the severe cold set in after the 21st ... my prediction is that the very mild spells will continue on and off all the way through January, and if the severe cold is going to move west that will start to impact on Britain in late January or the very early part of February and we'll just have to see if it can do better than last year in terms of pushing further west, no reason to think it will fail again if it comes that close, my bet would be this time it does the job).

There is to be realistic about a 30% chance of no cold at all, but maybe 40% chance of severe cold developing and 30% mixed outcome (modified cold).

Thanks for the update MT. Good to see your research is pointing to a decent chance of a cold spell here in Ireland in February 2013. So does this mean that the coming January will be just one mild mucky month with rain band after rain bad coming in off the Atlantic? God, the thought of that is enough to throw yourself into the Irish Sea

D

whitebriar

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

If there is any chance of a sustained spell of cold with snow potential this winter, I believe it would be in February. This severe cold in Russia shows no real signs of either going away or moving west. That, in combination with research output, suggests to me that it could retrogress (move west) later in the winter.

The whole situation is eerily reminiscent of 1947 but I would say, maybe not quite that extreme nor quite as soon to develop (in Jan 1947 it became very mild mid-month then the severe cold set in after the 21st ... my prediction is that the very mild spells will continue on and off all the way through January, and if the severe cold is going to move west that will start to impact on Britain in late January or the very early part of February and we'll just have to see if it can do better than last year in terms of pushing further west, no reason to think it will fail again if it comes that close, my bet would be this time it does the job).

There is to be realistic about a 30% chance of no cold at all, but maybe 40% chance of severe cold developing and 30% mixed outcome (modified cold).

Interesting.

The danger from a coldie perspective is a Russian high would move south west not west.
To be brutally honest '47 was a true Scandi high not a Russian one.
I've not looked at the run up to it but if it was a retrogression of a Siberia Russian high then it is possible to get a somewhat later repeat.
In my lifetime,this westerly theme into January tends to be prolonged.

That said,no one knows,not even your good self.

delw

Sorry mod's bit OT but happy Christmas to all fellow bordies

gozunda

Waaaa - no snow

maquiladora

A cold spell might be on the cards starting around late Jan if the GFS is right with its strat warming idea, and then if things fall into place in a way that suits our location.

Pangea

Pouring hailstones here in Donegal, dammit I'll take it

Rebelbrowser

Pangea wrote: »

Pouring hailstones here in Donegal, dammit I'll take it

The postman was right! Sort of. A bit anyway. ish.

whitebriar

lovely snowy Moscow tonight

http://www.earthcam.com/russia/moscow/

-12 c and heavy blowing snow reported at Moscows main airport currently.

Pangea

Very wintry showers here today, mix of sleet and hail in the last few downpours.

Pangea

Met.ie giving a quite local forecast tomorrow, copying M.T's style maybe?
Wednesday, St. Stephens Day, will start mainly dry, but rain over the southwest will spread countrywide by early afternoon, falling as snow for a short while on the Donegal hills.

leahyl

Pangea wrote: »

Met.ie giving a quite local forecast tomorrow, copying M.T's style maybe?
Wednesday, St. Stephens Day, will start mainly dry, but rain over the southwest will spread countrywide by early afternoon, falling as snow for a short while on the Donegal hills.

I bet you're happy with that Pangea!:D

icesnowfrost

Winter come back all is forgiven

Pa ElGrande

For snow fans

http://englishrussia.com/2012/12/26/ural-winter-fairy-tale/

http://englishrussia.com/2012/12/25/my-house-this-winter/

http://englishrussia.com/2012/12/20/december-2012-in-russia-and-ukraine/

force eleven

My Vantage Vue station is showing the snow symbol in the forecast box. Just sayin'.

snaps

force eleven wrote: »

My Vantage Vue station is showing the snow symbol in the forecast box. Just sayin'.

lots of wet snow falling here amongst the rain in mayo.

joujoujou

Snow's falling here (co.Mayo/Roscommon border, near Carracastle), will not stay anyway, as temperature's still above freezing.

Pangea

What temperature is it there lads?

joujoujou

+2.2 and falling.

snaps

Its about 2.5c here. Was a 75% mixture of snow to rain at one point. All the house windows have condensation on them with the temp drop outside.

Duiske

snaps wrote: »

Its about 2.5c here. Was a 75% mixture of snow to rain at one point. All the house windows have condensation on them with the temp drop outside.

Snaps, are you on high ground in Mayo ?

Pangea

Thanks, temperature just dropping here to 4.7
2C showing on Knock at 15:00 with a hail shower.

snaps

Duiske wrote: »

Snaps, are you on high ground in Mayo ?

no not at all. Temp gone up now out of showers to 3.5c. I'm outside ballinrobe.

snaps

Talking of high ground looking out at connemara, the mountains are starting to get a covering.

yorlum11

Fair bit of sleet and hail here.Much colder!

DenMan

Snowed for five minutes in Sligo an hour ago.

JanuarySnowstor

At last Met Eireann have copped on to the potential for sleet and hill snow tonight in their forecast.
Amazing isn't it how we could see this last night and it takes the Met 24hours later to see it.
Won't be much but good 'ol Gerry mentioned last night that today would have temps upto 11C.
The reality is day time maxes have been coming in at 4 -7 C all day!!!!!

blackbird99

009 by blackbird1973, on Flickr


012 by blackbird1973, on Flickr

dusting on the galtees today

Duiske

snaps wrote: »

no not at all. Temp gone up now out of showers to 3.5c. I'm outside ballinrobe.

The reason I asked is that I think you guys in the North-West may have an even better shot at wintry weather from late monday afternoon thru to Tuesday morning. Higher up you are the better, obviously.

finnharpsboy

on sky weather it shows dublin getting a covering about 2 in the morning