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LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705
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Pretty good 0-180 ensembles on the 12Z GFS again, for the east coast.
(850 temps)
Most members dipping below -5 on the 13th/14th. A couple even manage to get down to -10 with the op run being one of the mildest at times. So still potential yet for a surpise this weekend based on those.
But as Ian Fergusson and others have said, we need to look further ahead before the models start picking up on the changes coming down from the strat warming. It's a long rollercoaster ride, don't think it's over if this weekend doesn't deliver much for us.0 -
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Jaffusmaximus wrote: »
We are into some cold at last!
ehhhhhhh.......
This as good as it gets from the ECM. 24 hours of coldish weather?
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maquiladora wrote: »Fairly good agreement now between the ECM and the GFS at 144.
Look at the US, we have huge differences at +144hrs upstream. Would not trust any output past +120hrs.
Dan
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Really don't get all the excitement and hype over the past couple of days
As said this morning, I haven't been keeping up to date with the models but looking at last nights and today's offerings there's nothing overly interesting happening in the coming week. Next weekend looks cool and wet and at no stage is there anything more than a glancing blow of cold air being projected, the 'cold' spell looks like low single figures by day and a few night frosts, perfectly normal for January
Maybe something will happen after that, who knows but there's little to be excited about in the short term0 -
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Really don't get all the excitement and hype over the past couple of days
As said this morning, I haven't been keeping up to date with the models but looking at last nights and today's offerings there's nothing overly interesting happening in the coming week. Next weekend looks cool and wet and at no stage is there anything more than a glancing blow of cold air being projected, the 'cold' spell looks like low single figures by day and a few night frosts, perfectly normal for January
Maybe something will happen after that, who knows but there's little to be excited about in the short term
Well nobody is expecting anything brilliant in the short term, the interest is in the medium range and with so much uncertainty its difficult to be either excited or depressed. BUT from your point of view there isnt much potential for the North west in the medium term- The east of the country is in a very different position and if the cold air on the 12z GFS were to come 300 miles further west then there could be serious snow over the weekend in the east of Ireland, so I wouldnt be so confident of a cool and wet weekend.
I would not be confident of anything for next weekend.
Dan
Edit : east to west...0 -
you mean further west!
Well nobody is expecting anything brilliant in the short term, the interest is in the medium range and with so much uncertainty its difficult to be either excited or depressed. BUT from your point of view there isnt much potential for the North west in the medium term- The east of the country is in a very different position and if the cold air on the 12z GFS were to come 300 miles further east then there could be serious snow over the weekend in the east of Ireland, so I wouldnt be so confident of a cool and wet weekend.
I would not be confident of anything for next weekend.
Dan0 -
Agreed, sick to hell of this damn miserable overcast weather, either lash rain and gimme some wind with it or be nice and cold and sunny and no wind
Personally I don't mind this weather as I think it is a welcome relief from what we had over the previous few weeks which were cold & bright. The rain feels nice and warm and the skies nice and dark. Cold, watery brightness has only so much appeal, and that is very little.0 -
Really don't get all the excitement and hype over the past couple of days
It's down to two main things.
1) The ECM, a couple of days ago, showed two runs back to back with an impressive easterly, the country covered in -8 upper air followed by more wintery FI. That weekend easterly is no longer on the table since the ECM dropped it yesterday.
2) The potential that may be on the cards due to the SSW happening right now:
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nacho libre wrote: »forgive my ignorance, but is this the twitter account of the ukmo?
Not too sure if the official UK Met Office Twitter account would use the following sentence "get in there my son!".....not very professional eh?
D0 -
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Weathering wrote: »I'm going to do myself a favour. I'm not going to check any charts,read forecasts snoop boards for 48hours.. Hopefully something concrete will appear by then. Fed up of the tide going in and out at this stage. I need a break ah
Thats what this thread is for, made for those who dont like rollercoasters Although even 120 hours is a long time.
http://www.boards.ie/vbulletin/showthread.php?p=82518952#post825189520 -
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Bet you'll still check the chartsWeathering wrote: »I'm going to do myself a favour. I'm not going to check any charts,read forecasts snoop boards for 48hours.. Hopefully something concrete will appear by then. Fed up of the tide going in and out at this stage. I need a break ah
:D 0
This discussion has been closed.
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