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LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705
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Really don't get all the excitement and hype over the past couple of days
As said this morning, I haven't been keeping up to date with the models but looking at last nights and today's offerings there's nothing overly interesting happening in the coming week. Next weekend looks cool and wet and at no stage is there anything more than a glancing blow of cold air being projected, the 'cold' spell looks like low single figures by day and a few night frosts, perfectly normal for January
Maybe something will happen after that, who knows but there's little to be excited about in the short term
One mans Rubbish is another's gold , each to there own0 -
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maquiladora wrote: »It's down to two main things.
1) The ECM, a couple of days ago, showed two runs back to back with an impressive easterly, the country covered in -8 upper air followed by more wintery FI. That weekend easterly is no longer on the table since the ECM dropped it yesterday.
2) The potential that may be on the cards due to the SSW happening right now:
Fair enough, I didn't see either of those runs but on the whole there's no trend towards anything other than cool and wet weather for the next 7 days. All the twitter, & netweather posts and whatnot that are being posted refer to the UK where it does look like getting a lot colder
As for the SSW, I don't know a lot about them but I've read it happens roughly every second winter, considering how comparatively few cold spells we've had in the past 25 years the odds on a cold spell can't improve that much? It'll be interesting to see what effect it does have on the PV but having had a glance through the link you posted today in the SSW thread, past SSW's have rarely delivered anything of note
Sorry for the constant pessimistic posting, wish I had something more positive to add!0 -
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nacho libre wrote: »paddy1 i'm going to have to disagree. this grey, gloomy weather is cack. i have not seen the sun in five days. at least it seems this weekend i will, and hopefully some snow too:)
Would you complain about the lack of sun for 5 days if it was equally as glum as it is now but continuously snowing instead?
We've had a hell of a lot of cold, sunny, non-descript weather throughout the month of November & December and while some might find that incredibly riveting, I don't. It's boring. :cool:0 -
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Deep Easterly wrote: »Would you complain about the lack of sun for 5 days if it was equally as glum as it is now but continuously snowing instead?
We've had a hell of a lot of cold, sunny, non-descript weather throughout the month of November & December and while some might find that incredibly riveting, I don't. It's boring. :cool:
of course not paddy1, because in no way could such conditions be described as glum:D
i'd doubt you'd complain yourself if we had five days without sun due to thunder snow;)0 -
Jaffusmaximus wrote: »That was my expert analysis on the tweet :cool:
Fair enough. Good analysis!
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nacho libre wrote: »
i'd doubt you'd complain yourself if we had five days without sun due to thunder snow;)
Of course not but I am not sure why there is such limit preferences to weather types. It sort of seems you are not 'in' if you don't go with sunny weather or snowy weather. A rain drop is equally as miraculous as a snowflake and in fairness we have seen very few days like this this winter so far, and in more recent winters in fact. 0 -
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Fair enough, I didn't see either of those runs but on the whole there's no trend towards anything other than cool and wet weather for the next 7 days. All the twitter, & netweather posts and whatnot that are being posted refer to the UK where it does look like getting a lot colder
Maybe not great for Galway as it's further west but a majority of 12Z GFS ensembles for the east coast have uppers dipping below -5 late next weekend, some getting down to -10. Beyond that is FI and changing a lot on every run/model.
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Deep Easterly wrote: »Of course not but I am not sure why there is such limit preferences to weather types. It sort of seems you are not 'in' if you don't go with sunny weather or snowy weather. A rain drop is equally as miraculous as a snowflake and in fairness we have seen very few days like this this winter so far, and in more recent winters in fact.
if snow were as common on this island as rain, then i might agree;)0 -
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nacho libre wrote: »if snow were as common on this island as rain, then i might agree;)
How common is rain on this island though? Does it rain more often than it doesn't rain? I am pretty sure it dosn't rain as much as we generally think it does, in fact I wager that we get more sun than rain on average.
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Deep Easterly wrote: »Of course not but I am not sure why there is such limit preferences to weather types. It sort of seems you are not 'in' if you don't go with sunny weather or snowy weather. A rain drop is equally as miraculous as a snowflake and in fairness we have seen very few days like this this winter so far, and in more recent winters in fact.
We get more than our fair share of rain here to be fair, at least in dry, or sunny weather you can walk outside, the past few days if you leave the house here you get soaked. People are only 'in'-to their own preferences, as someone said on here if you take pleasure from this weather at the moment then I am happy that someone is. I do like the odd washout day but Im in dry winter mode at the moment. Il have plenty of time to enjoy the rain after the winter months.0 -
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Deep Easterly wrote: »How common is rain on this island though? Does it rain more often than it doesn't rain? I am pretty sure it dosn't rain as much as we generally think it does, in fact I wager that we get more sun than rain on average.
What we can say with certainty, is that it rains far more often than it snows, hence why many here are mad for snow. if we were guaranteed three months of snow every year, then i think there would be less people posting in this thread- in fact the thread probably wouldn't exist.0 -
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We get more than our fair share of rain here to be fair, at least in dry, or sunny weather you can walk outside, the past few days if you leave the house here you get soaked. People are only 'in'-to their own preferences, as someone said on here if you take pleasure from this weather at the moment then I am happy that someone is. I do like the odd washout day but Im in dry winter mode at the moment. Il have plenty of time to enjoy the rain after the winter months.
But you can walk outside when it is raining, and if you don't enjoy getting wet, bring a brolly! Equally, if it is snowing heavily, people tend not to venture outside, and if significant snow has accumulated, then some people can become trapped in their own homes. Why is it so bad if rain does this but not snow? Don't get me wrong, some dry windy weather would be nice to help dry up the place a bit but we are not going to get that in the usual 'cool & bright' weather that is forecast. This will not help to ease the waterlogged countryside, there will be no drying in it whatsoever. 0 -
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Deep Easterly wrote: »But you can walk outside when it is raining, and if you don't enjoy getting wet, bring a brolly! Equally, if it is snowing heavily, people tend not to venture outside, and if significant snow has accumulated, then some people can become trapped in their own homes. Why is it so bad if rain does this but not snow?
Because snow ROCKS!
As for the rain, your feet and trousers get wet too, not just the brolly.
Anyway these are factors are just trivial , what really matters is your preference, as Nacho said rain is common here, and snow simply is not.
Its all subjective at the end of the day, no matter what pros or cons each weather throws up people cant help liking what they like.0 -
M.T. Cranium wrote: »I do think that eventually we are going to see serious cold and snow this winter, and the most likely time is early to mid February.
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Ah its at times like this you would miss some of our former posters , hopefully they will be back , as I just mentioned in the FI thread , models are struggling past 96-120 so take anything after that very lightly , even if suits what you are looking for , it will make the fall a lot easier
Id bloody give anything to see that RTE presenter( Paul Cunningham) out in that hat again or something like it this winter , it would bring a tear to a glass eye :cool:
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18Z GFS ensembles for the east coast.
- Op run was never a cold outlier at any point.
- After the 14th the mean never gets back above 0.
- Lots of members dipping into the -5 to -10 range, some even colder than -10.
Very nice indeed.
Will probably all change again on the 0Z of course. But this is the ramp thread, right?! :P0 -
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nacho libre wrote: »What we can say with certainty, is that it rains far more often than it snows, hence why many here are mad for snow.
Perhaps but we still get much more sun than rain yet we panic when we actually get a couple of days of light rain!
Frivolity aside, I sometimes wonder is our pretty obvious disdain for cloud and rain shaped by society and culture rather than anything from a more personal stance. Life as we know it would not exist without rain, yet somehow we automatically view cloudy rainy weather as being somehow bad. Maybe a bit like when reciting the nursery rhyme 'Humpty Dumpty' where most of us will probably get an image of an egg sitting on a wall in our heads even though the word 'egg' in never once mentioned in it.0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GobGl38n6ywThis discussion has been closed.
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