LET IT SNOW AND BE COLD!!!***RAMPING THREAD***Mod Note #1193#2705

icesnowfrost

So how's it looking for the east and north east of Ireland, snow wise

maquiladora

t|nt|n wrote: »

Post some charts, stuck on my phone here !

BEASTERLY

maquiladora wrote: »

We need to be able to build high pressure north though. Otherwise it just delays the Atlantic. Need blocking.

A backtrack by the GFS in the last two runs today. ECM hasn't backed down. Who would have guessed that we still wouldn't have an answer tonight?

Eastcoastryan

barney 20v wrote: »

I reckon we have very limited chances of significant snowfall in Ireland,even the east coast will struggle .

We gotta take the positives guys, 12 hours ago people were saying "Game Over" and now we find ourselves back in the game and it stays cold where it was showing mild SW's. There has been a shift west of the cold in the short term and hopefully that will continue. 100 miles shift west and we are in Business!!

kennyb3

I doubt we'll even have the answers 2moro

Jaffusmaximus

t|nt|n wrote: »

Post some charts, stuck on my phone here !

ECM 120



GFS



Spot the difference ECM vs GFS at 120, still room for improvement on GFS!

Deep Easterly

Oarrack Bama wrote: »

Definite upgrade. Has moved toward ECM but not quite there yet.

Little comfort to be derived from that, the ECM wasn't exactly fantastic at that stage either.

barney 20v

Eastcoastryan wrote: »

We gotta take the positives guys, 12 hours ago people were saying "Game Over" and now we find ourselves back in the game and it stays cold where it was showing mild SW's. There has been a shift west of the cold in the short term and hopefully that will continue. 100 miles shift west and we are in Business!!

Don't get me wrong, I really really want snow! I even bought a Subaru impreza awd just on the off chance we might get some snow ala 2010.
But I think we are too far west for any more than glancing blows up until Tuesday.

eskimocat

300 + posts since around noon, and 450 viewers on now... surely that has to mean that the flop flipped again...

Rougies

The 18z ensembles will hopefully get us over the line again

DeVore

Jaffusmaximus wrote: »

Here is a tip for new people

Yellow Further West GOOD
Yellow Further East Bad

Yellow Go up to Greenland/Iceland Good
Blue come from Greenland/Iceland Bad

Where Good means Snow? Yeah??

Reckless Abandonment

We just need a little push west and bingo... but wow most England could be in for a right dumping of snow...

maquiladora

BEASTERLY wrote: »

A backtrack by the GFS in the last two runs today. ECM hasn't backed down. Who would have guessed that we still wouldn't have an answer tonight?

The neverending rollercoaster. Massive upgrade for the UK. We really need blocking though.

Jaffusmaximus

DeVore wrote: »

Where Good means Snow? Yeah??

Where good means the distinction between positive and negative, things look more positive for cold and whatever that may bring!

compsys

You can't help but feel that the cold on all those GFS charts is only hanging on by a thread. Even for the extreme East coast.

0 850 hpa temps i.e. average temps are never that far away.

Anyway, we wait in hope.

nacho libre

who wins?

JanuarySnowstor

maquiladora wrote: »

The neverending rollercoaster. Massive upgrade for the UK. We really need blocking though.

Yeah heights are as weak as water up North
AO seems to want to tank but isn't assisted by 'proper' height rises over Greenland
It's a move in the right direction, the 00z's will be vital

Oarrack Bama

Deep Easterly wrote: »

Little comfort to be derived from that, the ECM wasn't exactly fantastic at that stage either.

ECM is classic stuff. Much colder than it looks at 120 hrs. Have to go back to 80's for charts like those. At one stage or another most would see snow by 144 hrs. Good news GFS now shifting. UKMO goes from one of the best for us to the worst ironically enough.

TeaCup2

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Yeah heights are as weak as water up North
AO seems to want to tank but isn't assisted by 'proper' height rises over Greenland
It's a move in the right direction, the 00z's will be vital

The next run is always the vital one

Jaffusmaximus

compsys wrote: »

You can't help but feel that the cold on all those GFS charts is only hanging on by a thread. Even for the extreme East coast.

0 850 hpa temps i.e. average temps are never that far away.

Anyway, we wait in hope.

Oarrack Bama

maquiladora wrote: »

The neverending rollercoaster. Massive upgrade for the UK. We really need blocking though.

It's an upgrade here too. I expect the ensemble mean for Dublin to plummet.

Musicman2000

Oarrack Bama wrote: »

ECM is classic stuff. Much colder than it looks at 120 hrs. Have to go back to 80's for charts like those. At one stage or another most would see snow by 144 hrs. Good news GFS now shifting. UKMO goes from one of the best for us to the worst ironically enough.

i have a feeling we will barley miss out.

Oarrack Bama

Musicman2000 wrote: »

i have a feeling we will barley miss out.

Miss out on what? Chill out (!). We have a proper shot here next week:cool:

P.S risk of snow on Sunday particularly in the east increasing.

maquiladora

SE England still have -6 uppers at 192 hours. Those jammy....:p

mickger844posts

maquiladora wrote: »

The neverending rollercoaster. Massive upgrade for the UK. We really need blocking though.

Worst case scenario is a big possibility now with the UK in the freezer and us in no man's land just like last year. This has been some roller-coaster ride all week. Where and when it will end is anyones guess.

maquiladora

Oarrack Bama wrote: »

It's an upgrade here too. I expect the ensemble mean for Dublin to plummet.

It's a definite positive step.

kennyb3

Worst case scenario we all go to the west coast and try paddle the island east. That or move to Kent

snowstorm445

Scandinavia and Mid Atlantic Blocking forming in deep FI! Lol!

(http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=360&mode=0&carte=1)

maquiladora

mickger844posts wrote: »

Worst case scenario is a big possibility now with the UK in the freezer and us in no man's land just like last year. This has been some roller-coaster ride all week. Where and when it will end is anyones guess.

I'm going to have nightmares tonight of heavy rain in Ireland moving east and turning to masses of battlefield snow in the UK.

red_bairn

kennyb3 wrote: »

Worst case scenario we all go to the west coast and try paddle the island east. That or move to Kent

Kent?

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