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5 Bet Football Log

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  • 19-01-2013 11:36am
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭


    I have had a good last few days so I am sticking 50eu into this log and see how I do, might last 1 bet might go all the way. The Aim is 1.5 returns on each bet, with a max bet of 100eu. Will be football only bets Over 1.5 goals from anywhere in the world. I will do my best to analyse each bet the best I can and post my thoughts. 5 Bets and we will see how we do the aim is..

    Bet size
    50, 75, 100, 100, 100
    Profit per bet
    25, 37.5, 50, 50, 50 = 212eu

    Aim is for a steady profit once we get over the first 2 bets :)

    As I said, bets will be Over 1.5 goals, so a treble each bet should get close to the 1.5 returns aim. I will not be sticking in a 4th match at any stage to bring odds up. So some returns may be a bit lower but will hopefully average out.

    First bet will be posted this morning.


Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Tottenham V Man Utd 20/01/2013 4pm
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/6

    Tottenham, Over 1 goal home games, 90%
    Tottenham, Over 2 goals home game, 72%

    Man Utd, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Man Utd, Over 2 goal away games, 82%

    History:
    In the last 8 Premier League Meetings, only 1 was no score
    Average goals per game 3.625, Highest 7, Lowest 2

    Info
    77% of Manchester Utd's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total. Manchester Utd scored at least one goal in 82% of their away matches. Going to go for history rather then current stats for this one.
    Real Sociedad V Barcelona 19/1/2013 5pm
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/9

    Real Sociedad, Over 1 goal home games, 84%
    Real Sociedad, Over 2 goal home games, 70%

    Barcelona, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Barcelona, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History
    Last 5 matches all won by Barcelona,
    Average goals per game 4.2, Highest 6, Lowest 3

    Info
    FC Barcelona scored at least one goal in each of their last 19 matches. 90% of FC Barcelona's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total
    Bayern Munich V Greuther Fürth 19/1/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/12

    Bayern Munich, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Bayern Munich, Over 2 goal home games, 100%

    Greuther Fürth, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Greuther Fürth, Over 2 goal away games, 75%

    History
    25 Aug 12 Greuther Fürth - Bayern Munich 0 – 3

    Info
    Bayern Munich scored at least one goal in each of their last 17 matches. Bayern Munich scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches

    Bet 50 odds 1.4, Returns 70.22


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Bet1.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    FC Emmen V Cambuur 21/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/7

    Emmen, Over 1 goal home games, 85%
    Emmen, Over 2 goals home game, 85%

    Cambuur, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Cambuur, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History:
    In the last 5 League Meetings, all over +2.5
    Average goals per game 3.8, Highest 6, Lowest 3

    Info
    Cambuur conceded at least one goal in 100% of their away matches. Cambuur scored at least one goal in 100% of their away matches.
    FC Emmen did not win in their last 9 matches. FC Emmen conceded at least one goal in 86% of their home matches.

    FC Eindhoven vs Veendam 21/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/7

    Eindhoven, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Eindhoven, Over 2 goals home game, 100%
    Eindhoven, Over 3 goals home game, 88%

    Veendam, Over 1 goal away games, 85%
    Veendam, Over 2 goal away games, 85%

    History:
    In the last 17 League Meetings, Average goals per game 3.2

    Info
    FC Eindhoven did not win in their last 6 matches. FC Eindhoven conceded at least one goal in 88% of their home matches. Veendam scored at least one goal in 86% of their away matches

    MVV Maastricht V FC Volendam 21/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, Odds 1/7

    Maastricht, Over 1 goal home games, 88%
    Maastricht, Over 2 goals home game, 75%

    Volendam, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Volendam, Over 2 goal away games, 87%

    History:
    In the last 5 League Meetings, all over +1.5
    Average goals per game 3.2, Highest 4, Lowest 2

    Info
    MVV Maastricht have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
    FC Volendam conceded at least one goal in each of their last 9 matches.
    Bet 70.22 odds 1.49, Returns 104.82


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,126 ✭✭✭rossit


    best of luck interesting log


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Tonights matches were all postponed, if none are played tomorrow bets will be refunded midnight tomorrow :(


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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Best off using the best odds available rather than sticking to PP for this pal, the difference will be worth it.

    http://www.oddsportal.com/public-coupon/HQTQvdaH/#

    Look at the odd difference there. You'd have gotten an extra 50% on top of your winnings just by looking around. Oddsportal is the best site for making these coupons btw.


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Setubal V FC Porto 23/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Setubal, Over 1 goal home games, 83%
    Setubal, Over 2 goals home game, 66%

    Porto, Over 1 goal away games, 83%
    Porto, Over 2 goal away games, 83%

    History:
    Played 22 times, porto has won 21 times.
    2.7 goals on average per game.

    Info
    FC Porto have been undefeated in their last 14 matches. FC Porto scored at least one goal in each of their last 13 matches. FC Porto scored at least one goal in 83% of their away matches. 88% of FC Porto's conceded goals were conceded away.


    Valencia vs Real Madrid 23/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Valencia, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Valencia, Over 2 goals home game, 90%

    Real Madrid, Over 1 goal away games, 90%
    Real Madrid, Over 2 goal away games, 72%

    History:
    Played 27 times, 3.2 goals on average per game.

    Info
    Real Madrid bet them 5:0 on Sunday.
    Malaga vs Barcelona 24/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Malaga, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Malaga, Over 2 goals home game, 100%

    Barcelona, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Barcelona, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History:


    Info
    Malaga scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches.
    FC Barcelona scored at least one goal in each of their last 20 matches.
    90% of FC Barcelona's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total.
    Bet 70.22 odds 1.53, Returns 107.67


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Porto have been poor without a lot of their injured/international expats of late, struggled to get two the other night.


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Porto have been poor without a lot of their injured/international expats of late, struggled to get two the other night.

    Jackson Martinez was a great summer signing, cant see him staying for long thou at porto.


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    Sat
    Go Ahead Eagles V Top Oss
    Nancy V Lorient
    Alfreton Town V Tamworth
    Frankfurt V Hoffenheim
    East Stirling V Clyde

    Sun
    Barcelona v Osasuna
    Stuttgart V Bayern

    These are some of the matches i am looking at for the weekend, if Barcelona does the deed tonight...


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  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    bet2.jpg


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton



    Cheltenham Vs Rochdale 25/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, 1.21

    Cheltenham, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Cheltenham, Over 2 goals home game, 85%

    Rochdale, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Rochdale, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History:
    9 games played, 2.4 Goals per Match

    Info
    Rochdale conceded at least one goal in 100% of their away matches.
    Rochdale scored at least one goal in 100% of their away
    Cheltenham scored at least one goal in 92% of their home matches.

    **Interesting fact..


    Bristol City Vs Ipswich Town 26/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, 1/4

    Bristol City, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Bristol City, Over 2 goals home game, 100%

    Ipswich Town, Over 1 goal away games, 93%
    Ipswich Town, Over 2 goal away games, 78%

    History:
    11 games played, 2.3 Goals per Match

    Info
    Bristol City conceded at least one goal in 100% of their home matches


    **Interesting fact..
    Bristol City conceded at least one goal in each of their last 27 matches.

    Beerschot AC Vs Mons 26/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals, 1.250

    Beerschot AC, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Beerschot AC, Over 2 goals home game, 100%

    Mons, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Mons, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History:
    N/A

    Info
    Mons conceded at least one goal in 91% of their away matches.
    Beerschot AC conceded at least one goal in 91% of their home matches.
    Beerschot AC scored at least one goal in 91% of their home matches

    **Interesting fact..
    Beerschot AC did not win in their last 8 matches
    Original aim was for a 100e bet and a 50e return on this bet, dont see the point in
    going 100eu if half that gets the desired return. (will have a second bet on sunday)

    Bet 57.68 odds 1.89, Returns 109.05


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    We unfortunity lost our bet :( and as we still had the original 50eu left, i decided to take the mrs out to the cinema with it :) so log closed while we are even LOL


  • Registered Users Posts: 160 ✭✭DelSutton


    If anyone interested, this was going to be my sunday bet..


    Barcelona vs Osasuna 27/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Barcelona, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Barcelona, Over 2 goals home game, 95%

    Osasuna, Over 1 goal away games, 80%
    Osasuna, Over 2 goal away games, 55%

    History:


    Info
    FC Barcelona scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches.


    **Interesting fact..
    90% of FC Barcelona's matches had over 2.5 goals scored in total.

    Stuttgart Vs Bayern Munich 27/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Stuttgart, Over 1 goal home games, 88%
    Stuttgart, Over 2 goals home game, 75%

    Bayern Munich, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Bayern Munich, Over 2 goal away games, 100%

    History:


    Info
    Stuttgart conceded at least one goal in 88% of their home matches.
    Bayern Munich scored at least one goal in 100% of their away matches.


    **Interesting fact..
    Bayern Munich have scored the opening goal in 83% of their matches.

    Real Madrid Vs Getafe 27/01/2013
    Bet Over 1.5 Goals

    Real Madrid, Over 1 goal home games, 100%
    Real Madrid, Over 2 goals home game, 100%

    Getafe, Over 1 goal away games, 100%
    Getafe, Over 2 goal away games, 90%

    History:


    Info
    Real Madrid scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches.
    Getafe scored at least one goal in each of their last 9 matches.
    Getafe scored at least one goal in 90% of their away matches.

    **Interesting fact..
    Getafe did not win in their last 6 matches


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