The Football Tips Thread IV

alfalion

alfalion wrote: »

Ac Milan -3
Udinese
Real to win and 5 or more goals
Inter and lazio btts
Bologna and Napoli btts

100/1[/QUOTE

How f##king closer could I be

DominicKid

alfalion wrote: »

I am going the bologna as they won the last 2 games away to napoli and they will want to win after being hammered 6-0 which is very rare in Italian football as 4-0 is normally the max Italian clubs will score out of respect for the other team.

Ahhh, should of followed my picks..:pac:
By the way I actually didn't bet those 4 teams for tonight cus I thought i would of lost ...

alfalion

DominicKid wrote: »

Ahhh, should of followed my picks..:pac:
By the way I actually didn't bet those 4 teams for tonight cus I thought i would of lost ...

Why put it up in the first place then ?


100/1 v 3/1 hmm

Headshot

Does anyone have team news for the Copa Lib matches tonight?

both matches

Austria!

Moyes is pretty much announced as United manager (check the newspapers), Paddy still giving it @ 1.06

Lord TSC

Bookies are going to clean up big time if it's not Moyes....

Dio On The Doubles

Getting on this today ..

Finnish Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn
12:00 pm

Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Over 3.5 Goals @ 7/4


also small stake on Over 4.5 Goals @ 4/1

Match is top of the table HJK Helsinki v 3rd place . Head to head previous three encounters have been 0 - 4, 6 - 0, 5 - 1 with HJK Helsinki victors of all three.

Over 4.5 came in for HJK Helsinki's lat match and over 3.5 before that.

For IFK Mariehamn 2 matches from their last five games previous to this have brought in over 3.5 and 1 match over 4.5 (these were their first three matches of the season).

Taking a punt on it.

Lasagna Diarra

Small bet on Under 2.5 in Inter Baku vs Qarabag @ 1.60

big game that will probably decide who finishes 2nd, Qarabag are currently 2nd and have a 1-point advantage over Inter, it's in their best interest not to lose this game.
Barring the last game, head to head stats show that games between these two teams always go under 2.5.

http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/05/09/azerbaijan/premyer-liqa/fc-inter-baki/fk-karabakh-agdam/1457611/head2head/

Irish94

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Small bet on Under 2.5 in Inter Baku vs Qarabag @ 1.60

big game that will probably decide who finishes 2nd, Qarabag are currently 2nd and have a 1-point advantage over Inter, it's in their best interest not to lose this game.
Barring the last game, head to head stats show that games between these two teams always go under 2.5.

http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/05/09/azerbaijan/premyer-liqa/fc-inter-baki/fk-karabakh-agdam/1457611/head2head/

Is this the match Las?

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/football-matches/Azerbaijan-Premier-League/Inter-Baku-v-FK-Karabakh-5196978.html

Lasagna Diarra

Irish94 wrote: »

Is this the match Las?

http://www.paddypower.com/bet/football-matches/Azerbaijan-Premier-League/Inter-Baku-v-FK-Karabakh-5196978.html

Yes, don't know why Qarabag can be spelt in two different ways... it says "Qarabag" on Bwin.

DoctaDee

HJK Helsinki v IFK Mariehamn 0-0 on the hour taking +1.5 @ 5/4 now

Edit .. sorry should've been in the live betting thread

Dio On The Doubles

Sorry for anyone on that Helsinki game, can't believe it stayed goalless with the stats and prior form. Helsinki were heavily favoured to win that. Very frustrating - just put the bloody ball in!.

Headshot

Yo Infor what are your thoughts on PSV tonight?

Headshot

I'll have to get odds on Moyes not lasting 3 seasons and city to win the league next season

DominicKid

Psv to win
Lillestrom to win
Aalesund Double chance
Treble - Small Stake

Loafing Oaf

Mountainlad wrote: »

I reckon Brighton. Watford already bottled it not getting promoted throught the league, Brighton have the form which is key in the playoffs.

Well I've gone with Watford for the play-offs, against all advice in this thread, on the unimpeachably scientific grounds that the third-place team has won five of the last seven play-offs. Yis are all free to pelt me with rotten tomatoes if they get slaughtered tonight...

mike65

Utd to be relegated? Win nothing next season? Finish outside the top 4? Sacked by Christmas? Must be a good bet to be had.

Irish94

mike65 wrote: »

Utd to be relegated?
Win nothing next season?

Finish outside the top 4?

Sacked by Christmas?

Must be a good bet to be had.

1) Maybe.

2) Facepalm*

3) Double Facepalm*

Nice job on the Inter Baku match Las, pity I didn't follow. Good tip.

P.Walnuts

Moyes a poor replacement IMO, an unknown quantity in Europe and in dealing with a squad full of stars, also won't have the pull in the transfer market that Fergie's reputation gave him.

I dont like season long bets but probably gonna lay United for the title big time.

user2011

Leicester: Schmeichel, De Laet, Morgan, Keane, Schlupp, Knockaert, James, King, Dyer, Wood, Nugent. Subs: Logan, Konchesky, Drinkwater, Marshall, Vardy, Moore, Kane.

Watford: Almunia, Doyley, Ekstrand, Cassetti, Anya, Abdi, Chalobah, Hogg, Pudil, Geijo, Vydra. Subs: Bond, Eustace, Hall, Yeates, Briggs, Battocchio, Forestieri.

Fonze07

Chris Wood to score anytime 13/10

Mountainlad

Loafing Oaf wrote: »

Well I've gone with Watford for the play-offs, against all advice in this thread, on the unimpeachably scientific grounds that the third-place team has won five of the last seven play-offs. Yis are all free to pelt me with rotten tomatoes if they get slaughtered tonight...

The odds aren't bad either, did you get them at 3/1? You never know with the playoffs really, especially when it comes to the final.

inforfun

Headshot wrote: »

Yo Infor what are your thoughts on PSV tonight?

Dont know if you took anything on that match but i am sort of happy i see your post only now.
2-1 AZ i didnt expect.
Probably had gone for PSV and overs

Fortunately the weather in Holland was too nice and the beer even better so wasnt in the position to give bad advice/opinions.

Headshot

Tell the truth you were to busy in the red light district

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Small bet on Under 2.5 in Inter Baku vs Qarabag @ 1.60

big game that will probably decide who finishes 2nd, Qarabag are currently 2nd and have a 1-point advantage over Inter, it's in their best interest not to lose this game.
Barring the last game, head to head stats show that games between these two teams always go under 2.5.

http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/05/09/azerbaijan/premyer-liqa/fc-inter-baki/fk-karabakh-agdam/1457611/head2head/

FT 0-0

inforfun

Headshot wrote: »

Tell the truth you were to busy in the red light district

I am in Rotterdam, not Amsterdam.

Born and raised in Rotterdam, when i go to Amsterdam all my allergies play up.

DominicKid

Levante
Cork City
Lille
DNB Crystal Palace
Fc Nordsjealland
All to win - Approx 22/1 - €10 on her

Lasagna Diarra

Le Havre double chance @ 1.72 (vs Le Mans)

Le Havre have a highly rated coach, they play really good football and are unbeaten in 7 games. For this game, they'll be without their top scorer and 1st choice GK. Doesn't really matter imo... Le Mans will have a makeshift central defense cuz their 2 regular CBs are out for this game.
Le Mans are in huge financial crisis, they have a 14 million debt and will prolly be relegated by the League cuz of that debt. The players weren't paid last month, and there was a doubt as to whether this game would be played, but the local town hall decided to help pay the 150k necessary to organize this game. They're not sure if they'll be able to play the other 2 remaining fixtures though.

The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman

P.Walnuts wrote: »

Moyes a poor replacement IMO, an unknown quantity in Europe and in dealing with a squad full of stars, also won't have the pull in the transfer market that Fergie's reputation gave him.

I dont like season long bets but probably gonna lay United for the title big time.

Indeed but playing for Manchester United is often enough, with Champions League football etc. Its not like he'll be Brendan Rodgers trying to sell "the project" to any players.

user2011

I've no worries about United challenging for the PL title in the years to come with Moyes, he knows the league inside out by now. It's Europe were his managerial prowess will be tested.

The signings he makes will tell a lot I wouldn't be jumping the gun and backing against United.

PEACEBROTHER

Tonight going for a single

Derry (-1) 10/11 , 110e

Derry at home to UCD , Derry have been in great form bar the defeat to best team in League Sligo , I fancy them big time to bounce back and cover the handicap

Hopefully this will set me for another few handicap bets on weekend
Man city -1 ( 1/1 )
Man Utd -1 ??
Man Utd -2 ( 2/1 )


Good luck all

FlawedGenius

Derry -1 1/1 888sport.

Nice bit on that

Backstreet Moyes

Ridicolous on Boyles they have the 1 option for the handicap derry +1 at 1/10 no -1 handicap.

Dolph Starbeam

Nuts102 wrote: »

Ridicolous on Boyles they have the 1 option for the handicap derry +1 at 1/10 no -1 handicap.

They had it earlier at 5/6

tinodz

Levante v Real Zaragoza seems like it will be a low scoring affair

Zaragoza have not scored in 6 out of the last 8 away games
9 out of 12 of those aways would have had BTTS (No) win.
Zaragoza are the 2nd lowest scorers away in he whole league
Levante have scored 1 goal in the last 6 games at home.
BTTS (No) would have won in all 7 at there last 7 games at home
Under 2.5 would have won in 5 out of 10 of Levante's last home games
Under 2.5 would have won in 6 out of 10 of Zaragoza's last away games
Dating back two 2008, 7 of the last 10 H2Hs have would have seen Under 2.5 win
Dating back two 2008, 6 of the last 10 H2Hs have would have seen BTTS (No) win

PunterAssist

English Premier League - Manchester United v Swansea - Manchester United -1 'European Handicap' - 1.8 (Paddy Power)

English Premier League - Stoke v Tottenham - Tottenham To Win - 1.91 (Bet365)

Italian Serie A - Napoli v Siena - Napoli To Win & Over 2.5 Goals - 1.67 (William Hill)

Dutch Eredivisie - Roda v Heerenveen - Over 3.5 Goals - 2.2 (BetVictor)

Italian Serie A - Parma v Bologna - Exactly 2 or 3 Goals In The Match - 2.0 (Bet365)

English Premier League - Everton v West Ham - Exactly 2 or 3 Goals In The Match - 2.0 (Bet365)

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Le Havre double chance @ 1.72 (vs Le Mans)

Le Havre won 4-0

tinodz

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Le Havre won 4-0

Thanks!

You won me €68,000

On Betdash

tinodz

tinodz wrote: »

Levante v Real Zaragoza seems like it will be a low scoring affair

Zaragoza have not scored in 6 out of the last 8 away games
9 out of 12 of those aways would have had BTTS (No) win.
Zaragoza are the 2nd lowest scorers away in he whole league
Levante have scored 1 goal in the last 6 games at home.
BTTS (No) would have won in all 7 at there last 7 games at home
Under 2.5 would have won in 5 out of 10 of Levante's last home games
Under 2.5 would have won in 6 out of 10 of Zaragoza's last away games
Dating back two 2008, 7 of the last 10 H2Hs have would have seen Under 2.5 win
Dating back two 2008, 6 of the last 10 H2Hs have would have seen BTTS (No) win

FT 0-0

A nice win on a overall crappy day!

Austria!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/man-utd/specials

Markets of interest

David Moyes to win a trophy during next season @2
David Moyes not to win a trophy during next season @2.75

magherakid

Austria! wrote: »

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/man-utd/specials

Markets of interest

David Moyes to win a trophy during next season @2
David Moyes not to win a trophy during next season @2.75

are both prices not incl Charity Sheild

PEACEBROTHER

PEACEBROTHER wrote: »

Tonight going for a single

Derry (-1) 10/11 , 110e

Derry at home to UCD , Derry have been in great form bar the defeat to best team in League Sligo , I fancy them big time to bounce back and cover the handicap

Hopefully this will set me for another few handicap bets on weekend
Man city -1 ( 1/1 )
Man Utd -1 ??
Man Utd -2 ( 2/1 )


Good luck all

Absolute woeful start to weekend
Gonna do 20e accum on man city -1 , man utd -2 , chelsea -1 , spurs
Kepp me interested till sunday hopefully

Austria!

magherakid wrote: »

are both prices not incl Charity Sheild

Correct

Avfctom

PEACEBROTHER wrote: »

Absolute woeful start to weekend
Gonna do 20e accum on man city -1 , man utd -2 , chelsea -1 , spurs
Kepp me interested till sunday hopefully

Call me biased but can see villa getting a draw let alone losing by two gabby agbonlahor anytime 3/1 scored 6 in 7 for me

ForeverYoung90

Chelsea & Man City double for tomorrow 1.5/1 (PP).Thoughts?

Mountainlad

ForeverYoung90 wrote: »

Chelsea & Man City double for tomorrow 1.5/1 (PP).Thoughts?

Will be Chelsea's fourth game in 10 days, they could do with the win but at the same time having been dominant in the first half against Tottenham they faded a bit. Could be tricky for them.

Playing the devil's advocate here, but I won't be betting on the match either way, just hoping I can help you consider everything before you bet

Colonialboy

Wigan (V Arsenal) Swansea (V Man) Villa (V Chelsea) nearly 400/1 .

MonkstownHoop

Colonialboy wrote: »

Wigan (V Arsenal) Swansea (V Man) Villa (V Chelsea) nearly 400/1 .

thats a tip? more like a hope

Smithwicks Man

MonkstownHoop wrote: »

thats a tip? more like a hope

That's a potential hat-eating type comment :pac:

jebus84

Sunderland, Man City(-1) ,Man Utd (-1.0), Everton 10 returns 130