The Football Tips Thread IV

tinodz

Interesting that in the last 7 games between the teams, there has been a goal by at least the 25th minute...



I only have a PP account open now, and these are the only bets I can see that take advantage of that stat...

Real Madrid to Score the First Goal up to and including minute 23 (2.88)
Atletico Madrid to Score the First Goal up to and including minute 23 (5.00)

I hope the bigger one comes in!!

Bet365 have this though (not putting money in just for that though) ...

Goal before 24 minutes at 5/6 (1.83)

magherakid

Real Madrid v Atletico Madrid
Over 3.5 goals 13/8
Penalty Awarded 9/4

tinodz

tinodz wrote: »

Interesting that in the last 7 games between the teams, there has been a goal by at least the 25th minute...

Real Madrid to Score the First Goal up to and including minute 23 (2.88)
Atletico Madrid to Score the First Goal up to and including minute 23 (5.00)

I hope the bigger one comes in!!

Bet365 have this though (not putting money in just for that though) ...

Goal before 24 minutes at 5/6 (1.83)

Well it is a bit of profit!

DoctaDee

tinodz wrote: »

Well it is a bit of profit!

Great bit of homework brother .. ta

tinodz

tinodz wrote: »

I am pretty confident Atletico will score, and was looking at Diego Costa Anytime @ 3.60 (because he is in form recently).

What a great day!!!

inforfun

inforfun wrote: »

Diego Costa to be shown a card @2.12

Got more cards than he scored goals this season.
Good player but a bit of a moron

Not the greatest odds but what do you expect on a "sure thing"

Lasagna Diarra

2 rounds left to play in Ligue 1 and there's a lot at stake for several teams, and for me as well cuz I've gone big on this treble :P:
Evian double chance
Nice double chance
Ajaccio +1.5
@ 1.71

Evian vs Valenciennes:
Evian are just 2 pts above the relegation zone, they need to win this game & they're strong at home. Valenciennes have nothing to play for.

Nice vs Lyon:
Nice are very strong at home, have a great coach and need to win if they want to play in Europe next season (they can even get the last CL berth). Lyon are fighting to keep their 3rd place. The Nice coach left Lyon in bad terms and would love to overtake Lyon. A draw would be a good result for Lyon.

Rennes vs Ajaccio:
Ajaccio need points here cuz they're still not safe and they'll have a very difficult last game vs Nice. Rennes have nothing to play for and are awful at the moment, they're missing several players too. My only concern is it's the last home game for the Rennes coach and he'll prolly want to leave with a positive result. Still, the motivation is on Ajaccio's side.

And... Evian, Nancy (must win), Nice double chance, Ajaccio double chance @ 5.04

eh i dunno

Any value in Gladbach @ 5/1 today at home to Bayern? Surely Bayern will have no interest with the final next week? Everton 11/4 dnb could be worth a look tomorrow too with Chelsea tired after midweek and it being Moyes last game. And Carragher 12/1 last goalscorer could be worth a small punt too. If Liverpool get a late peno he will take it i'd imagine. 7/2 anytime is very poor odds

Bertser

I don't think that Gladbach represent any value, Bayern have been demolishing teams regardless of if they had a Champions League game coming up.

Cavehill Red

eh i dunno wrote: »

Any value in Gladbach @ 5/1 today at home to Bayern? Surely Bayern will have no interest with the final next week? Everton 11/4 dnb could be worth a look tomorrow too with Chelsea tired after midweek and it being Moyes last game. And Carragher 12/1 last goalscorer could be worth a small punt too. If Liverpool get a late peno he will take it i'd imagine. 7/2 anytime is very poor odds

Carragher has stated publicly this week he will not be taking any penalties or free kicks for fear of missing in his final ever game. I'd avoid any Carragher goalscoring bets for that reason.
Also keen to hear any thoughts on Bayern today, especially what team they're going to put out.

inforfun

It is that time of the year again where the Serie B have funny odds for draws.....

Lasagna Diarra

Under 2.5 in Aktobe vs ordabasy @ 1.70

Aktobe's last 4 games have gone under 2.5 and the past 4 games between these two teams have gone under 2.5.

hefferboi

eh i dunno wrote: »

Any value in Gladbach @ 5/1 today at home to Bayern? Surely Bayern will have no interest with the final next week? Everton 11/4 dnb could be worth a look tomorrow too with Chelsea tired after midweek and it being Moyes last game. And Carragher 12/1 last goalscorer could be worth a small punt too. If Liverpool get a late peno he will take it i'd imagine. 7/2 anytime is very poor odds

I think I'll go for a Liverpool clean sheet @ evens. The whole team will be up for it especially the back line and Carra will want one in his last game so he'll be all out for it.

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Under 2.5 in Aktobe vs ordabasy @ 1.70

Aktobe's last 4 games have gone under 2.5 and the past 4 games between these two teams have gone under 2.5.

FT 1-0

Meglamonia

Any chance of a justice payout with bet 365 for dortmund over 1.5 goals after what just happened? :P

buyer95

Sligo and Juve to win.

Headshot

Valencia & Over 2.5 @7/5

Huge game for the away team, they have to win and they'll go out guns blazing

ben.schlomo

Headshot wrote: »

Valencia & Over 2.5 @7/5

Huge game for the away team, they have to win and they'll go out guns blazing

Soldado anytime and first for his team for me. 4/5 and 12/5. Large stake and medium stake.

tinodz

Headshot wrote: »

Valencia & Over 2.5 @7/5

Huge game for the away team, they have to win and they'll go out guns blazing

Was looking at a Valencia win since yesterday - but followed you on this.

Good Luck!

madma

beckhams last game tonight. anytime goalscorer looks a decent punt. just gonna have him 1st scorer insurebet as don't have the funds to lump

deadeye187

madma wrote: »

beckhams last game tonight. anytime goalscorer looks a decent punt. just gonna have him 1st scorer insurebet as don't have the funds to lump

I don`t know about this tbh, he had never scored for PSG and looks off the pace and really not with it at all...I really don`t think he will score!.

madma

deadeye187 wrote: »

I don`t know about this tbh, he had never scored for PSG and looks off the pace and really not with it at all...I really don`t think he will score!.

that's true and I wouldn't expect him to score without a deadball situation but he will be on free kicks and he will take a peno id imagine if they get one. they'll all want him to score, he's starting and captaining the team tonight, for all those reasons ill be backing him. be a great send off for him

Lasagna Diarra

Honestly if PSG don't thrash Brest, it would be a big embarrassment for them cuz not only are Brest the worst team in the league, they're also missing almost all their defenders. Here's their squad for this game:

Thébaux, Cappone - R.Soumah, Makonda, Chardonnet - Licka, Ab.Sissoko, Chafni, V.Rousseau, Dernis, T.Dieng, Lesoimier, Grougi, Khaled - A.Ba, Benschop, Raspentino

they're without:
Blessés : Hartock (doigt), Baysse (genou), Alphonse (tendon d'Achille), Martial (genou), Auras (cheville), Is.Traoré (genou), O.Coulibaly (cuisse), J.Ayité (cuisse), Ferradj (genou), B.Mendy (pubis), Kantari (genou), Lejeune (Suspendu)

only 3 defenders listed in that squad, the problem is Soumah is a winger, Chardonnet is from the youth team and has never played with the pros and Makonda is a left back.

alfalion

madma wrote: »

that's true and I wouldn't expect him to score without a deadball situation but he will be on free kicks and he will take a peno id imagine if they get one. they'll all want him to score, he's starting and captaining the team tonight, for all those reasons ill be backing him. be a great send off for him

some things are just written in the stars this is one of them, if he didn't score tonight this will be the only club he never scored for as well as playing Brest and did u see their injury list ffs.

He might have an outside chance of a brace

deadeye187

alfalion wrote: »

some things are just written in the stars this is one of them, if he didn't score tonight this will be the only club he never scored for as well as playing Brest and did u see their injury list ffs.

He might have an outside chance of a brace

Just seen the injury list!...I suppose if they get a peno he will take it for sure!....i suppose he might!

deadeye187

So backing PSG -3 is 2.87.......What is a good bet for this game?

madma

alfalion wrote: »

some things are just written in the stars this is one of them, if he didn't score tonight this will be the only club he never scored for as well as playing Brest and did u see their injury list ffs.

He might have an outside chance of a brace

yeah its mad they should really hammer them. yeah im convinced he'll score tonight, and I really hope he does he's had an amazing career. wish id the funds to lump on anytime scorer

magherakid

Sligo v Dundalk has been postponed

buyer95

magherakid wrote: »

Sligo v Dundalk has been postponed

What happens now, I had juve and Sligo accumulater? Is the principle returned?

magherakid

Sligo will be void

tinodz

The more I think about it, the more I think the Beckham Handicap bet is a good one

I am pretty sure that Beckham is going to be making runs that he has not made in the past 5 year - and will be receiving similar passes.

I have to get on that ber.

Lasagna Diarra

Evian
Ajaccio +1.5
Montpellier +1.5
@ 3.12

deadeye187

tinodz wrote: »

The more I think about it, the more I think the Beckham Handicap bet is a good one

I am pretty sure that Beckham is going to be making runs that he has not made in the past 5 year - and will be receiving similar passes.

I have to get on that ber.

Not been in the opposition half 3 times so far!!!!!!!!!!

magherakid

Odds on the Premier league matches tomorrow are awful, only thing that catches the eye is Swansea and Man Utd

deadeye187

alfalion wrote: »

some things are just written in the stars this is one of them, if he didn't score tonight this will be the only club he never scored for as well as playing Brest and did u see their injury list ffs.

He might have an outside chance of a brace

Not a chance.....no such thing as in the stars!...too old and too slow!...he has a brace alright, of swollen knees......

madma

deadeye187 wrote: »

Not a chance.....no such thing as in the stars!...too old and too slow!...he has a brace alright, of swollen knees......

everything is wonderful in hindsight.

if they gotten more freekicks or a peno he would have obviously had a better chance of scoring

deadeye187

madma wrote: »

everything is wonderful in hindsight.

if they gotten more freekicks or a peno he would have obviously had a better chance of scoring

Stating the obvious there!

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Evian
Ajaccio +1.5
Montpellier +1.5
@ 3.12

Get in!!

alfalion

magherakid wrote: »

Odds on the Premier league matches tomorrow are awful, only thing that catches the eye is Swansea and Man Utd

Yeh I think 2-1 man utd put your house on it

alfalion

Banned for a week for personal abuse.

alfalion

madma wrote: »

everything is wonderful in hindsight.

if they gotten more freekicks or a peno he would have obviously had a better chance of scoring

Didn't help when ibra took the free kick from him and scored ibra on an ego trip didn't help him scoring

deadeye187

Banned for a week for personal abuse.

madma

alfalion wrote: »

Didn't help when ibra took the free kick from him and scored ibra on an ego trip didn't help him scoring

yeah the selfish pr%ck. he must be chasing top scorer or something. really thought beckham would take every freekick

alfalion

madma wrote: »

yeah the selfish pr%ck. he must be chasing top scorer or something. really thought beckham would take every freekick

Well that's the other thing he was on 27 goals before kick off, 8 more than the closest person which makes him an even bigger pr%ck.

madma

alfalion wrote: »

Well that's the other thing he was on 27 goals before kick off, 8 more than the closest person which makes him an even bigger pr%ck.

agggh hate the guy even more now.. never liked him.

FlawedGenius

qpr under 1.5 team goals
norwich under 1.5 team goals
everton +2
wigan +2

accum pays 2.09

will be shocked if this doesn't win.

LARGE STAKE to finish season off in style

inforfun

Really hard to pick anything outstanding in the Dutch play offs so made it myself easy with a small bet on all 6 matches going over 2,5 @13

1st leg of these matches saw only 1 going over but the situation today is that there is no real decision on any of those matches yet. Maybe Sparta will feel safe with a 2 goal advantage and playing at home today.
But the last few months of the season have shown that they can fail spectacularly at home

Was also looking for a double of Twente & Utrecht both winning and their matches going over 2,5 (@2.05 for Twente) but the line is set to 3,5 for the Utrecht match @3.6.
Not impossible but rather would have seen over 2,5 and the Utrecht win.

And a single on:

Dutch promotion play off
VVV - GA Eagles 13.30 GMT
Eagles to score over 1,5
Odds @2.75
Bet365

First match finished 1-0 to Eagles so VVV will have to go for it if they want to progress to the next round.
All season we have seen VVV concede more at home than away (42 at home, 20 away) and based of what i have seen from Eagles so far in the play offs, they have every chance to score a couple.
Fast forwards, really suited to catch VVV on the counter.

So based on the averages conceded at home for VVV (2.47) an scored away for Eagles (1.93) this will be my single for the day.

tinodz

This is the only combination of scorelines that will result in a third place play off match happening....

Arsenal 2 - 1 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 0 Everton

Sods law means it is worth a very low stakes Double

@ 97.50 (Paddy Power)
@ 120.00 (Bet365)

Fonze07

tinodz wrote: »

This is the only combination of scorelines that will result in a third place play off match happening....

Arsenal 2 - 1 Newcastle
Chelsea 0 - 0 Everton

Sods law means it is worth a very low stakes Double

@ 97.50 (Paddy Power)
@ 120.00 (Bet365)

Also Arsenal 3 - 2 Newcastle
Chelsea 1 - 1 Everton

Arsenal 4 - 3 Newcastle
Chelsea 2 - 2 Everton

and so on....

tinodz

Fonze07 wrote: »

Also Arsenal 3 - 2 Newcastle
Chelsea 1 - 1 Everton

Arsenal 4 - 3 Newcastle
Chelsea 2 - 2 Everton

and so on....

I am going to cancel my Sky Sports subscription then! :mad:

They assured me it had to finish the above way!

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In other news, Rooney is out for Man U game today (due to Baby)