The Football Tips Thread IV

CrabieCrawford

Liverpools last 6 home games, not sure I'd be opposing them. Maybe Liverpool clean sheet or to win to nil.

Nor 5-0
Sun 3-0
Ful 4-0
Avl 1-3
Sou 1-0
Wig 3-0

magherakid

Cliftonville make 9 changes from the weekend

Lord TSC

Hardly big teams though. You'd expect a team trying to be a top six team to be beating that list of teams easily enough.

For better or worse, I've backed West Brom +1....

shrewdness

mailburner wrote: »

gone for the gerrard wincast at 23/10 as i think thats value compared
to a shocking 10/11 for a suarez wincast

If you have a PP account they have the suarez wincast enhanced to 5/4.

mailburner

shrewdness wrote: »

If you have a PP account they have the suarez wincast enhanced to 5/4.

typical, went straight to the footie and missed the front page
shows up in the market at 10/11 but its all you get
unless you go looking for the enhanced price which
is ridiculous

Kevwoody

Kevwoody wrote: »

Will someone give me a reason not to back west Brom tonight at 8.5?!
I know Liverpool are at home, good form etc but west Brom are only trailing them by one point in the league

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

eh i dunno

eh i dunno wrote: »

Not much i fancy tonight. Think Manisaspor 4/9 could be my bet. Might try double it with something http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/02/11/turkey/1-lig/manisaspor/mke-ankaragucu/1342426/

Doubling with Maccabi dnb 3/10

4-0 and 4-0...if only every bet was so easy

Photo-Sniper

Photo-Sniper wrote: »

Just a post to log my bet for tonight.

Posting from phone on way to Hertha game



Double

Cork City
Hertha vs Union BTTS

GL all.

BOOM

Unless Cork throw away a 3-0 lead but doubt it.

Photo-Sniper

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

Well played lad. Go with your first instinct always

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Setanta Cup
Cork v Cliftonville
Cork 5/4
Fancy Cork here, Cliftonville top of the league play second place Crusaders in the north belfast derby at the weekend. With that in mind Cliftonville will play a weakened team tonight. Cliftonville last won the League in 1997–98

Boss Tommy Breslin has one goal in mind when it comes to this evening's Setanta Sports Cup First Round clash
with Cork City - to keep the tie alive ahead of next week's return meeting at Solitude.
Cliftonville make the long journey south to Turners Cross today for a First Leg match which Breslin admits has arrived
at a tricky stage of the season.
"When we get to this time of year, you have to take stock of where your priorities lie and this game against Cork comes
right in the middle of a busy run of League and Cup matches for us," he explains.
"I'll be making full use of the squad for this First Leg tie and we'll be using players with first-team experience but, with
so many important games coming up domestically, it's important we get the balance right.
"Had the fixture been at Solitude, maybe our line-up would have been different but we'll be sending out a team which
we believe is capable of getting a result, keeping the tie alive and giving us a chance to make progress when Cork
come up to Belfast next Monday."

http://www.cliftonvillefc.net/news_previewcork_110213.html

magherakid wrote: »

Cliftonville make 9 changes from the weekend

boom 4 -0

mike65

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

heh well done

Shane St.

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

fair play man

Lord TSC

Teamshadowclan wrote: »

Hardly big teams though. You'd expect a team trying to be a top six team to be beating that list of teams easily enough.

For better or worse, I've backed West Brom +1....

2-0 on 90 minutes to West Brom so safe enough to say.....SEXY!

ShamoBuc

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

I hope you did that bet!

Lasagna Diarra

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

Nice one :eek:

Alpha Dog 1

Liverpool are an absolute disgrace.
Fair play to anyone who had the balls to back against them.

Kevwoody

Kevwoody wrote: »

Ok seeing as how nobody gave me any reasons not to back west Brom , I'm gonna put €30 on them at 8.5.

It's not a make or break amount for me, I was considering going a lot more but I realise I'd only be looking at the big odds, not a good way to bet!

BOOM!!!!!!! Thanks for the kind words lads, not even gonna say I regret not putting more on it, no point being greedy!

Rekop dog

Rekop dog wrote: »

You're doing it all wrong if you're not opposing Liverpool in some way at current prices.

.

20130211_215926.jpg

Falconno4

PSG 2/1 to beat Valencia tomorrow, are PSG full strength ?

Ciaran_B

magherakid wrote: »

Setanta Cup
Cork v Cliftonville
Cork 5/4
Fancy Cork here

I would never have thought of backing Cork (or any team in the Setanta Cup) but I'm glad I read your post. Kept me above water for the night.

Cheers.

Lennonist

Celtic v Juve double result at home at 10/11, with a small wager on the Celts to win at 7to2. Celtic have a great home record in the Champions League, have only ever lost one home tie in the CL. Hail hail.

Headshot

hmm I dont know how celtic will play tomorrow? In away legs up to this game they have been very defensive and that always results in corner bets coming in but will they be defensive at home and nick a goal in Italy?

Lennonist

Headshot wrote: »

hmm I dont know how celtic will play tomorrow? In away legs up to this game they have been very defensive and that always results in corner bets coming in but will they be defensive at home and nick a goal in Italy?

As a betting proposition I'd go with Celtic double result, as a fan obviously I'll be hoping they win.

Headshot

Brown to be booked is probably certain

Lennonist

Headshot wrote: »

Brown to be booked is probably certain

There could be bookings alright. Wanyama might get booked, he was suspended for the last day v Spartak.

ShamoBuc

On Celtic DC and dnb - think they will get something from the home match.

user2011

Lennonist wrote: »

There could be bookings alright. Wanyama might get booked, he was suspended for the last day v Spartak.

2/1 with Skybet. Just had a look on Soccerway he has been booked in 4 of their 8 games in Europe where as Brown has been booked 2 times and is 10/11 no brainer where the value is.

Edit: 10 games forgot HJK.

Lasagna Diarra

Falconno4 wrote: »

PSG 2/1 to beat Valencia tomorrow, are PSG full strength ?

Thiago Silva and Thiago Motta are out.

Headshot

My bet for tomorrow

The last meeting ended 3-1 Hartlepool



Its a must win for both teams and since Pompey can barely train, while Hartlepool are starting to get on a run of decent results, looks a good bet to me

By right I should just go for the outright win for Hartlepool but im being greedy. I hope it doesnt come back and bite me in the ass

FlawedGenius

I just got on big again Liverpool to finish 7th - 10th at a whopping 1/1. Theyl be doing very well to finish 7th now. Especially that there out of everything and have to focus on the Europa and all that travel!
Betvictor still 1/1 after the result tonight:eek:

Rekop dog

Valencia 100/1 and Malaga 66/1 are both very overpriced in the outright market. Good trading opportunities here.

AidySevenfold

AidySevenfold wrote: »

I'm a Liverpool fan but does anyone fancy Lukaku anytime at 3/1? We've struggled against any physical striker this year. Not sure if I'll back it as I don't like to see Liverpool conceding but based on benteke and smiths performances against us it's definately a worthwhile bet.

Pretty easy winner this if anyone got on. I did but had him in a losing double. Fairly typical :rolleyes:

user2011

SJ has the booking points @46 13/10.

Celtics 10 games have an avg of 5. Juve's 6 games avg 36 points.

The ref in his last 8 games has covered it 7 times.

Radonman

Am I the only one who's thinking Juve @ 13-10(-1) corner handicap is seriously tempting, Juve are the corner kings in the Italian league and one would assume they will dominate possession stats - um at work so no real research done yet but thinking of (-2) also

magherakid

Celtic v Juventus
Celtic and Juventus have met four times in the past, each of their encounters ending in a home win.
No Italian club has won at Celtic Park in the Champions League (two defeats, two draws).

Looking at BTTS 1/1

Kevwoody

Following on from last nights jammy win

Celtic and Man Utd double @ 22.7 !

Combination of enhanced power play on pp and straight double.

€55 on

Smithwicks Man

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

Double for tonight

Cork City DNB 4/6 (Based on the above with a bit of research - nice post magherakid!)
Liverpool vs West Brom Over 9.5 corners 1/4

Double comes in at 2.08 on StanJames. Small-Medium Stake

Happy again

As for tonight I think in=play is the best shout for me. Gonna wait and see how things start of in the Celtic-Juve match and then look at the corner market from there.

Might also take bookings on SJ at over 46 points as posted above

Lasagna Diarra

The bookies seem to think the Valencia vs PSG game will go over 2.5... strange cuz it looked like a clear underish game to me, and now the odds on under 2.5 have risen. They're the same as in the Swansea vs QPR game where everyone was expecting an underish game.

So because of that I've gone for BTTS @ 1.70, seems a bit safer than over 2.5

Headshot

What really stands out at me is celtic 0.0 card handicap bet. So celtic just have the get the most cards @13/10

With that card happy ref. I think it's a superb bet, thoughts?

inforfun

Went through that guy's last 10 matches.

7x away team had more cards
3x HT, one of which was a friendly between Italy - France which had only 1 yellow (Balotelli) and i dont think you should count friendlies too much.

Now my 1st thought would be Celtic to get more cards than Juve, no doubt. But it is not that Juve cant pick up cards if they get frustrated.

I mean, would you have thought Pirlo picked up 6 yellows already in the Serie A this year? Then there is Vidal and Bonucci with 7 and 8

user2011

Headshot wrote: »

What really stands out at me is celtic 0.0 card handicap bet. So celtic just have the get the most cards @13/10

With that card happy ref. I think it's a superb bet, thoughts?

In the last 8 games he has been ref the away side has come out with most cards in 6

SteelyDanJalapeno

Would like to see the stats, but I'd imagine a team that will the corner match bet are not the type of team that will win the card match bet too, or vice versa

inforfun

A few more about that Celtic - Juve ref:


Games on database
Fouls Cards Pen Atte
Matchday 8 --- 8 game(s) w/o ref
12-Feb-13 Champions First Knockout Round - M.7 Celtic - Juventus


?
04-Dec-12 Champions Group B - M.6 OSFP 2:1 Arsenal 34 5
28128
Matchday 5
06-Nov-12 Champions Group A - M.4 Dynamo 0:0 Porto 35 3
34386
Matchday 3
02-Oct-12 Champions Group H - M.2 Cluj 1:2 Man Utd 20 1
16259
Matchday 1


Formattign is rather crap. But the bold numbers are the cards he gave out in this seasons CL. 9 in 3 matches puts a different light on him compared to the matches in La Liga

Lennonist

I got 4to1 for Celtic to win with Boyles this morning, couldn't resist that. Bit of a gamble but good odds given Celtic's track record at home in the CL.

ConorCBS

Radonman wrote: »

Am I the only one who's thinking Juve @ 13-10(-1) corner handicap is seriously tempting, Juve are the corner kings in the Italian league and one would assume they will dominate possession stats - um at work so no real research done yet but thinking of (-2) also

Celtic have only won the corner match bet in 1 of their 6 group games and that was against Spartak Moscow in the final group game where they were pushing for the win.

Lost 10-3 away to Benfica.
Lost 7-2 home to Barcelona.
Lost 15-1 away to Barcelona.
Lost 9-5 away to Spartak Moscow.
Lost 10-9 at home to Benfica.

Juventus have won 4 of the corner match bets in their group, drawing with Chelsea away and losing to Shakhtar away.

shocksy

Lennonist wrote: »

I got 4to1 for Celtic to win with Boyles this morning, couldn't resist that. Bit of a gamble but good odds given Celtic's track record at home in the CL.

Paddy Powers are 9/2 for Celtic to win, enhanced price...

I think the corners bet is good value, over 10 @ Evens, i'll definitely be having some of that...

Radonman

ConorCBS wrote: »

Celtic have only won the corner match bet in 1 of their 6 group games and that was against Spartak Moscow in the final group game where they were pushing for the win.

Lost 10-3 away to Benfica.
Lost 7-2 home to Barcelona.
Lost 15-1 away to Barcelona.
Lost 9-5 away to Spartak Moscow.
Lost 10-9 at home to Benfica.

Juventus have won 4 of the corner match bets in their group, drawing with Chelsea away and losing to Shakhtar away.

Saves me a lot of trouble Conor - Thanks

Going with over 10 @ evens, over 11 @ 13/8 and over 12 @ 12/5 - obviously in a sliding scale, C'mon the corners!!!

Smithwicks Man

Radonman wrote: »

Saves me a lot of trouble Conor - Thanks

Going with over 10 @ evens, over 11 @ 13/8 and over 12 @ 12/5 - obviously in a sliding scale, C'mon the corners!!!

Following @ 23/20 on BetVictor :cool:

ShamoBuc

Think I'll get on the corners for the Celtic game aswell - looks very good.

eh i dunno

Think i'll stay away from champions league. Yeovil look a good price 6/5 at home to out of form Preston http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/02/12/england/league-one/yeovil-town-fc/preston-north-end-fc/1294607/
Wycombe also look decent at home to Bradford 6/4 http://int.soccerway.com/matches/2013/02/12/england/league-one/yeovil-town-fc/preston-north-end-fc/1294607/

Gong to play it safe Yeovil 1/2 dnb and Wycombe dc 4/9