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Thinking of buying an investment property

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  • 26-02-2013 1:44pm
    #1
    Registered Users Posts: 78 ✭✭


    Hi,

    I am currently in a situation where I can afford to save a lot of money for the next few years. I have no personal debts, but also no assets.

    I would like to have an asset, and that is why I am now considering buying an apartment with a view to renting it out.

    Basically, I live in Dubai and would like to buy in either Cork or Heidelberg.
    • If I buy in Cork, the purchase would be purely to rent out to people. The tenants would service the mortgage through their rent and hopefully the mortgage would be clear within 10 years.
    • If I buy in Heidelberg, again, tenants would pay off the mortgage while I might move in myself when I move back to Europe in the future.
    I would like to know what kind of apartment is best to buy in this situation, in terms of size. Obviously location is paramount. I've seen apartments in both Cork and Heidelberg for under 125k (and I presume I could negotiate on price).

    Any view or opinions? Not having any assets, and having very few savings at present, I feel very exposed...
    However, I can save 20,000 per year between now and 2015 or 2016, so the savings situation will soon be put right.

    Long term goal would be to have two or three properties each generating a monthly income to make my retirement more comfortable.

    I'm 30 and soon-to-be married. No kids planned until 2015.

    Thanks for the advice :)


«1

Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 13,237 ✭✭✭✭djimi


    Personally Id sooner money in the bank than to have it tied into property in Ireland at this moment in time...

    If you are determined to buy property then from all that I have read/been told Germany would be the better option.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,799 ✭✭✭StillWaters


    I'm not sure about Germany, but it is difficult to impossible for those living overseas to buy property in Ireland at the moment with mortgage finance.


  • Registered Users Posts: 516 ✭✭✭Jogathon


    I really don't think comparing a person buying an investment property to a rapist is a helpful point.


  • Registered Users Posts: 23 Mix_Tape


    Jogathon wrote: »
    I really don't think comparing a person buying an investment property to a rapist is a helpful point.

    Metaphorical in case you couldn't guess:( I wasn't implying any perverted sexual inclinations.

    And, you're missing the point completely by the way. If you fail to see what is morally reprehensible about the OP, then we will obviously just have to agree to disagree.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,075 ✭✭✭Rasmus


    You have no savings and want to buy property? The only collatoral you have is supposed (your potential earnings until 2015).
    It is unlikely that property prices (especially apartment prices) are going to go up with any significance over the next two years and within that time, you could save up your wages for a down payment.
    I know this is not an answer to your question but I find it crazy that you think this is a good idea.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    OP seriously have have no clue at all about the property market. Anybody expecting a 10% yield on a rental in cork after expenses and tax hasnt a clue at all.

    Seriously there are enough amatur landlords in this country, please dont become another one. Thankfully no bank will lend to you with no savings and living outside the country anyway. Than god.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    Mix_Tape wrote: »


    Pure and unadulterated greed. When are Irish people going to realise that housing is a right, not a privilege. I absolutely abhor those who believe it is morally acceptable to profiteer on providing someone with a human right as basic as their home. Why don't you just start making money off the sick while your at it. The only 'qualification' you possess to provide this fundamental human right is the fact that you have access to credit. I sincerely hope that one day the landlords of Ireland will realise how their anti-society, anti-human & pro greed approach to other citizens in this country is quite simply the most unpatriotic, self motivated and damaging act they can be participating in. The buy-to-let market has brought this country to its' knees and yet people out there such as the OP still live in the belief that it's ok to have their pensions funded off the backs of people who have no other choice than to need a roof above their head or a 'home', not an 'investment'. I pray that you sir, and the rest of the buy to let greedy rapists, die painful deaths and realise the damage your self centred greed inflicts upon society as a whole.

    newsflash. where do you think people will live if there are no landlords ? Idiot.

    Hope you get a perma ban for your bullcrap rant. Calling somebody a rapist and wishing them dead becasue they want to buy a property investment. You sad sad little man


  • Registered Users Posts: 6,724 ✭✭✭kennyb3


    • If I buy in Cork, the purchase would be purely to rent out to people. The tenants would service the mortgage through their rent and hopefully the mortgage would be clear within 10 years.

    Great idea, why didn't we think of that?

    10 years you reckon. What are your figures? They should be 'interesting'

    What about when you've period of unoccupancy? Or when mortgage interest rates go up and rents don't follow to the same degree?


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    kennyb3 wrote: »
    Great idea, why didn't we think of that?

    10 years you reckon. What are your figures? They should be 'interesting'

    What about when you've period of unoccupancy? Or when mortgage interest rates go up and rents don't follow to the same degree?

    the figures dont exist as its not possible. Another wannabe amateur landlord who hasnt a clue about property investment.


  • Registered Users Posts: 78 ✭✭The Browser


    Rasmus wrote: »
    You have no savings and want to buy property? The only collatoral you have is supposed (your potential earnings until 2015).
    It is unlikely that property prices (especially apartment prices) are going to go up with any significance over the next two years and within that time, you could save up your wages for a down payment.
    I know this is not an answer to your question but I find it crazy that you think this is a good idea.

    I can save between 20 and 30k per year effortlessly. My idea would be to build up some savings first and then go for an investment property. I would not intend to do it in the next 15 months; but I am at the research phase at the moment, and everyone has to start somewhere.

    By all means tell me that I haven't a clue. It's true; I don't have a clue. That's why I'm here asking questions.
    But it seems I might have come to the wrong place given the hostility from some responders.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 2,075 ✭✭✭Rasmus


    I can save between 20 and 30k per year effortlessly. My idea would be to build up some savings first and then go for an investment property. I would not intend to do it in the next 15 months; but I am at the research phase at the moment, and everyone has to start somewhere.

    By all means tell me that I haven't a clue. It's true; I don't have a clue. That's why I'm here asking questions.
    But it seems I might have come to the wrong place given the hostility from some responders.

    I didn't say you didn't have a clue! Thank you for clarifying that you intend to save first - this wasn't mentioned in the OP. However you did come here asking for advice, and many of us live in Ireland and have experience with property purchasing. I will stand by my opinion that buying an apartment in Ireland is not a good idea.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,184 ✭✭✭riclad


    What happens if interest rates go up, to 6 or 7 per cent,
    You,ll be making a loss each month, and still have to pay property tax.There s also prsi coming in on rental income in ireland.
    WE need smart investors, who weigh up risk,expenses ,potential profit per year.
    WE Have a lot of amateur investors,btl, bought in the boom ,who are struggling to pay the mortage, while making little profit.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    I can save between 20 and 30k per year effortlessly. My idea would be to build up some savings first and then go for an investment property. I would not intend to do it in the next 15 months; but I am at the research phase at the moment, and everyone has to start somewhere.

    By all means tell me that I haven't a clue. It's true; I don't have a clue. That's why I'm here asking questions.
    But it seems I might have come to the wrong place given the hostility from some responders.

    but your not really asking questions. You have this rediculous notion you can make 10% a year after tax and expenses on an apartment in cork. Apart from plucking a random figure out of thin air where did this come from ?

    What research have you done into the obligations of a landlord have you done ?

    Have you checked into what expenses you will incur ?

    Where have you come up with the montly rental figure you expect to achive given you havent even zeroed in on an exact area ?

    The point is you havent put any though into it beyond some notion that this is a great idea.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,056 ✭✭✭Tragedy


    Ireland has among the lowest rental yield of any of the EU15 countries, you would be lucky to be clearing 2.5%-3% per year after costs in the vast majority of cases.

    Aside from a very limited set of properties, the only market with decent rental yields in Ireland tends to be pre63 hovels (which I believe are swiftly becoming illegal?) and commercial premises.

    If you want some more information, I'd advise you to have a good long read of the forum archives on thepropertypin.com


  • Registered Users Posts: 78 ✭✭The Browser


    D3PO wrote: »
    but your not really asking questions. You have this rediculous notion you can make 10% a year after tax and expenses on an apartment in cork. Apart from plucking a random figure out of thin air where did this come from ?
    I don't know where it came from -- nowhere in my OP did I mention making 10% per year. You don't know how much I'd be willing to pay up-front if buying a property for 125k. I'd intend to put perhaps 40k into it.
    What research have you done into the obligations of a landlord have you done ?
    I lived in Ireland as a tenant for all of my twenties. I have dealt with many landlords.
    Have you checked into what expenses you will incur?
    I have read that it's best to presume 2 months vacancy per year and also maintenance costs must be factored, in addition to upkeep and taxation. I don't have any figures because the idea is still at the speculative phase.

    Where have you come up with the montly rental figure you expect to achive given you havent even zeroed in on an exact area ?
    From looking at daft.ie for much of the past decade while renting from landlords. I was renting in Ireland up until August 2012.
    The point is you havent put any though into it beyond some notion that this is a great idea.
    Please show me where I said that it's a great idea. It's an idea. It's also an idea that I'm highly unsure of, hence this thread.
    I'm all for constructive feedback and hearing people's experiences.
    Based on my own experience, the numbers aren't exactly lucrative.

    But I will have high savings potential and for several years to come and currently no debts and so am looking for a way to develop an income stream from property down the line, all the while aware of the fact that many were ruined by buying during the boom. Me, I never bought during the boom because I thought that the prices that were being demanded made no sense.

    As for the amateur landlord comments from some of the more excitable posters, I am indeed an amateur at this, but I'm not yet a landlord. I want to learn how to do it properly so that when I do eventually do it, I'm not an amateur.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Hi,

    I am currently in a situation where I can afford to save a lot of money for the next few years. I have no personal debts, but also no assets.

    Totally agree one must always have assets, especially ones that are bricks and mortar.
    I would like to have an asset, and that is why I am now considering buying an apartment with a view to renting it out.

    Basically, I live in Dubai and would like to buy in either Cork or Heidelberg.
    • If I buy in Cork, the purchase would be purely to rent out to people. The tenants would service the mortgage through their rent and hopefully the mortgage would be clear within 10 years.
    • If I buy in Heidelberg, again, tenants would pay off the mortgage while I might move in myself when I move back to Europe in the future.
    I would like to know what kind of apartment is best to buy in this situation, in terms of size. Obviously location is paramount. I've seen apartments in both Cork and Heidelberg for under 125k (and I presume I
    could negotiate on price).

    Go for Cork.
    Everyone will tell you it is a much better place than some boring German place.
    Any view or opinions?

    Ohhh I got lots of views and opinions.
    Do you just want ones on property investment ?
    Not having any assets, and having very few savings at present, I feel very exposed...

    Once you have savings which you can then spend them on a property which will have a nice mortgage, plus a few extra costs, you will lose that feeling of being exposed.
    And if you buy in Ireland that feeling will probably be replaced with regret, anger and depression as you realise how your one investment property is a pain in the ar** to look after since you live somewhere else.
    However, I can save 20,000 per year between now and 2015 or 2016, so the savings situation will soon be put right.

    Congrats on the nice job that guarantees nice savings.
    I will save you hassel that buying a one off rental property would bring and you can just send me the savings instead.
    Long term goal would be to have two or three properties each generating a monthly income to make my retirement more comfortable.

    Exactly everyone knows that property is the best retirement plan and pension funds are once again flooding back to it.
    Never bother with those stock market thingies or other types of investment.
    I'm 30 and soon-to-be married. No kids planned until 2015.

    Invest in condoms ?
    Rasmus wrote: »
    You have no savings and want to buy property? The only collatoral you have is supposed (your potential earnings until 2015).
    It is unlikely that property prices (especially apartment prices) are going to go up with any significance over the next two years and within that time, you could save up your wages for a down payment.
    I know this is not an answer to your question but I find it crazy that you think this is a good idea.

    Ehh he/she is Irish.
    Is that enough of an explanation ?

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users Posts: 13,237 ✭✭✭✭djimi


    But I will have high savings potential and for several years to come and currently no debts and so am looking for a way to develop an income stream from property down the line, all the while aware of the fact that many were ruined by buying during the boom. Me, I never bought during the boom because I thought that the prices that were being demanded made no sense.

    The problem with your idea is the notion that it will be an income stream. Id hazard a guess that there as many landlord making a loss/struggling to break even as there are landlords turning a profit in this country at the moment. A lot of landlords would only be too delighted to get out of it if possible. It is by no means guaranteed income, and if you are looking for somewhere to invest your money then property in Ireland would most likely be very low down the list of wise investment choices. Aside from the money side of things, being a landlord is a royal PITA, especially if you are not living in the country.

    By all means look into it, do the math and see what you come out with, but I think youll find a lot of people who will warn/advise you to put your money elsewhere. As I said, Id sooner have my few years of savings sitting in a bank account than have it tied up in a property in this country.


  • Registered Users Posts: 78,404 ✭✭✭✭Victor


    Mix_Tape wrote: »
    I pray that you sir, and the rest of the buy to let greedy rapists, die painful deaths and realise the damage your self centred greed inflicts upon society as a whole.
    No need for comments like this. User banned
    jmayo wrote: »
    Invest in condoms ?
    Behave. Constructive posts only please.

    Moderator


  • Registered Users Posts: 7 42_Keys


    D3PO wrote: »
    newsflash. where do you think people will live if there are no landlords ? Idiot.

    Hope you get a perma ban for your bullcrap rant. Calling somebody a rapist and wishing them dead becasue they want to buy a property investment. You sad sad little man

    There is a wider issue at play here, and I am not advocating state housing either by the way. It's apparent the authorities want little to do with housing and would like the huge gaps in the market between those who buy and those dependent on the rental sector to provide stable housing to be filled by the private market. The question is who should that private market be. Should we not be encouraging professional and regulated companies to fill that void? I know from my own experience living in Sweden where my landlord was Stena Fastigheter (same company which runs the ferries) that it appears to be a lot easier and beneficial to society to regulate industry than it is to regulate thousands of individuals. This will never happen in this country, however, until individuals themselves start pulling away from the buy-to-let market, which offers zero security of tenancy or, in most cases, professionalism of services.

    Any improvements in the private rental markets in this country are only ever achieved through statutory obligations placed upon landlords and never from their own volition or general sense of morality. Housing is as fundamental a human right as health or education, yet we seem to find it perfectly acceptable in this country to leave the provision of this right to individuals whose sole qualification is their ability to access credit, and their sole motivation their ability to generate profit. The impact on society as a whole is immense. Sub-standard accommodation, no security of tenure, no establishment of communities, transient populations, and the banking sector crippled with toxic buy-to-let mortgages.

    So yes, it's unfortunate that the earlier posters overly emotive language has caused offence, but surely not as much as the distress caused in communities up and down the countries by landlords with zero interest, other than profit, in being in such a vital sector of fundamental importance to the whole of society. I have no problem with individuals renting out holiday homes or temporary accommodation but their ability to provide stable and secure housing to vulnerable sectors of society is questionable to say the least. I'm not some dyed in the wool socialist. I'm a believer in open markets but surely there's certain areas of such fundamental importance to society as a whole where profiteering and speculative and socially destructive investments should be both discouraged and restricted.

    So a private rented sector I am all for, but let it be run by regulated professional organisations, as opposed to individuals with either access to credit or a few bob in the bank who see homes as investments and other citizens as their own pension pots. :confused:


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Victor wrote: »
    jmayo wrote: »
    Invest in condoms ?

    Behave. Constructive posts only please.

    Moderator

    Actually I take umbrage at the inference that line is unconstructive advice.

    It is more sound investment advice than telling someone with no savings to date, about to get married and thinking of buying an investment property in the current climate when they live thousands of miles away.


    For instance the well know Durex brand, once owned by SSL international was sold to Reckitt Benckiser plc (RB on LSE).
    Reckitt Benckiser's brands include Dettol (the world's largest-selling antiseptic), Strepsils (the world's largest-selling sore throat medicine), Veet (the world's largest-selling depilatory brand), Air Wick (the world's second-largest-selling air freshener), Calgon, Clearasil, Cillit Bang, Durex, Lysol, and Vanish.

    Reckitt Benckiser is in the top 25 of companies listed on the London Stock Exchange and is a constituent of the FTSE 100 Index. It had a market capitalisation of approximately £31.6 billion as of 13 February 2013.

    RB shares are currently at 4,369.00

    In mid February,
    Reckitt Benckiser Group announced a 7% rise in its annual dividend to 134 pence per share for a yield of 3% on the current price of 4,437 pence. The company has been steadily lifting its dividend for years, and this week's uplift was backed by a 4% rise in full-year revenue to 9.6 billion pounds at constant exchange rates, with like-for-like sales up 5%.

    Reckitt Benckiser has also agreed a three-year deal with U.S. giant Bristol-Myers Squibb for the sale of a range of health care products in Latin America.

    If you decide Durex investment is not for you then why not try investing in
    Church & Dwight (CHD on NYSE) who owns the Trojan brand which is one of the largest sellers in the US.

    Church and Dwight's brands include:
    • Aim Toothpaste (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)
    • Arm & Hammer Spinbrush (known until 2009 as Crest Spinbrush; acquired in 2006 from Procter & Gamble)
    • Carter's Laxative (originally known as Carter's Little Liver Pills and later as Carter's Little Pills, acquired in 2001 from Carter-Wallace)
    • Mentadent (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)
    • Pepsodent (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)

    It's shares are trading a much lower €61.68 today with an $8 billion market cap.
    Over the past 10 years Church & Dwight’s revenue and free cash flow grew 181% and 402%, respectively.

    In fact some have reckoned it could be on Berkshire Hathaway's radar as a nice little investment.

    So if you want to talk about constructive, investing in a company that makes condoms makes a lot more sense than saddling oneself with a mortgage on a property that is thousands of miles away from you.

    I am not allowed discuss …



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  • Registered Users Posts: 7 42_Keys


    jmayo wrote: »
    Actually I take umbrage at the inference that line is unconstructive advice.

    It is more sound investment advice than telling someone with no savings to date, about to get married and thinking of buying an investment property in the current climate when they live thousands of miles away.


    For instance the well know Durex brand, once owned by SSL international was sold to Reckitt Benckiser plc (RB on LSE).



    RB shares are currently at 4,369.00

    In mid February,



    If you decide Durex investment is not for you then why not try investing in
    Church & Dwight (CHD on NYSE) who owns the Trojan brand which is one of the largest sellers in the US.

    Church and Dwight's brands include:
    • Aim Toothpaste (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)
    • Arm & Hammer Spinbrush (known until 2009 as Crest Spinbrush; acquired in 2006 from Procter & Gamble)
    • Carter's Laxative (originally known as Carter's Little Liver Pills and later as Carter's Little Pills, acquired in 2001 from Carter-Wallace)
    • Mentadent (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)
    • Pepsodent (acquired in 2003 in the U.S. from Unilever)

    It's shares are trading a much lower €61.68 today with an $8 billion market cap.
    Over the past 10 years Church & Dwight’s revenue and free cash flow grew 181% and 402%, respectively.

    In fact some have reckoned it could be on Berkshire Hathaway's radar as a nice little investment.

    So if you want to talk about constructive, investing in a company that makes condoms makes a lot more sense than saddling oneself with a mortgage on a property that is thousands of miles away from you.

    Brilliant. One of the best replies I've ever read here. 10/10. :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    I don't know where it came from -- nowhere in my OP did I mention making 10% per year. You don't know how much I'd be willing to pay up-front if buying a property for 125k. I'd intend to put perhaps 40k into it.

    You said you intended the rent to pay off the mortgage in 10 years. To do that you would have to clear a rental yield of 10% after tax and expenses.

    I lived in Ireland as a tenant for all of my twenties. I have dealt with many landlords.

    That doesnt answer my question re investigating your obligations as a landlord. Being a tenant doesnt mean you ahve even the first noton of a landlords obligations.

    I have read that it's best to presume 2 months vacancy per year and also maintenance costs must be factored, in addition to upkeep and taxation. I don't have any figures because the idea is still at the speculative phase.

    If you dont have figures why are you even at the speculative phase. the first thing you do is research the figures

    From looking at daft.ie for much of the past decade while renting from landlords. I was renting in Ireland up until August 2012.

    Looking at daft tells you nothing about rental prices. I need not ask where you have tracked these prices because i know you havent.

    Please show me where I said that it's a great idea. It's an idea. It's also an idea that I'm highly unsure of, hence this thread.
    I'm all for constructive feedback and hearing people's experiences.
    Based on my own experience, the numbers aren't exactly lucrative.

    But I will have high savings potential and for several years to come and currently no debts and so am looking for a way to develop an income stream from property down the line, all the while aware of the fact that many were ruined by buying during the boom. Me, I never bought during the boom because I thought that the prices that were being demanded made no sense.

    As for the amateur landlord comments from some of the more excitable posters, I am indeed an amateur at this, but I'm not yet a landlord. I want to learn how to do it properly so that when I do eventually do it, I'm not an amateur.

    You need to do a lot more research so as right now you have little to no knowledge

    .


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,056 ✭✭✭Tragedy


    CHD and RBL are both trading at long term highs at the moment, perhaps if you had suggested investing in them 4 months ago it might have been decent advise. Regardless, it certainly isn't relevant to a thread on A&P asking about buying an investment property to funnel savings into.


  • Registered Users Posts: 5,166 ✭✭✭enda1


    I believe that it is far healthier for a market to have property ownership as a long term investment vehicle than short term property speculation as has occurred in the past. I commend the OP for trying to make property available to the private tenant market.

    The concept that people need to buy and therefore get into serious risky debt is rather unhealthy for an economy on its knees.

    The best advise OP that I can give is to save and show a track record of savings with expatriated money back to Ireland to show as a local income stream to the close-minded Irish banks. This would probably take 2 years to come to the 60% LTV and proven stream required.


  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    42_Keys wrote: »
    There is a wider issue at play here, and I am not advocating state housing either by the way. It's apparent the authorities want little to do with housing and would like the huge gaps in the market between those who buy and those dependent on the rental sector to provide stable housing to be filled by the private market. The question is who should that private market be. Should we not be encouraging professional and regulated companies to fill that void? I know from my own experience living in Sweden where my landlord was Stena Fastigheter (same company which runs the ferries) that it appears to be a lot easier and beneficial to society to regulate industry than it is to regulate thousands of individuals. This will never happen in this country, however, until individuals themselves start pulling away from the buy-to-let market, which offers zero security of tenancy or, in most cases, professionalism of services.

    Any improvements in the private rental markets in this country are only ever achieved through statutory obligations placed upon landlords and never from their own volition or general sense of morality. Housing is as fundamental a human right as health or education, yet we seem to find it perfectly acceptable in this country to leave the provision of this right to individuals whose sole qualification is their ability to access credit, and their sole motivation their ability to generate profit. The impact on society as a whole is immense. Sub-standard accommodation, no security of tenure, no establishment of communities, transient populations, and the banking sector crippled with toxic buy-to-let mortgages.

    So yes, it's unfortunate that the earlier posters overly emotive language has caused offence, but surely not as much as the distress caused in communities up and down the countries by landlords with zero interest, other than profit, in being in such a vital sector of fundamental importance to the whole of society. I have no problem with individuals renting out holiday homes or temporary accommodation but their ability to provide stable and secure housing to vulnerable sectors of society is questionable to say the least. I'm not some dyed in the wool socialist. I'm a believer in open markets but surely there's certain areas of such fundamental importance to society as a whole where profiteering and speculative and socially destructive investments should be both discouraged and restricted.

    So a private rented sector I am all for, but let it be run by regulated professional organisations, as opposed to individuals with either access to credit or a few bob in the bank who see homes as investments and other citizens as their own pension pots. :confused:

    There are plenty of good landlords in this country, you dont need to be a large corporate for this to happen. Yes there are slumlords aswell but in the general scheme of things if you look at the number of rentals verus the number of PRTB disputes on a yearly basis you would have to say the bad landlord thing is complely overplayed.

    As for regulation again doesnt require a situaiton where corporate entities / pension funds run the market to have it regulated. The government are free to implement any legislation they choose to at any time.

    You have a far too symplistic idea of what would make for a better rental market IMO.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Tragedy wrote: »
    CHD and RBL are both trading at long term highs at the moment, perhaps if you had suggested investing in them 4 months ago it might have been decent advise. Regardless, it certainly isn't relevant to a thread on A&P asking about buying an investment property to funnel savings into.

    Yes I did twig they were high at the moment. :(
    Actually CHD would have been a nice little investment a couple of years back. :mad:
    But IMHO they are still a better investment than a single investment property esepcially in a crocked property market a couple of thousand miles away from you.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 4,056 ✭✭✭Tragedy


    And shorting BBRY stock would be yet a better investment, but what does that have to do with the price of tea in China?


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    Tragedy wrote: »
    And shorting BBRY stock would be yet a better investment, but what does that have to do with the price of tea in China?

    I actually really thought the Z10 was going to ressurect their fortunes. :o

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users Posts: 7,879 ✭✭✭D3PO


    Tragedy wrote: »
    And shorting BBRY stock would be yet a better investment, but what does that have to do with the price of tea in China?


    it would depend if BBRY diversified into tea especially from Emerging markets like China :cool:

    anyway back on topic, somebody with no savings, living outside the country, with no knowledge of property investment, who is planning on impacting their monthly expenses significantly by having a child in 2015 should forget about thinking of buying an apartment in Cork/Germany because they think it will be a good little nest egg /. income stream in retirment.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,591 ✭✭✭RATM


    OP I'd agree with others that this is not a good idea.

    Irish people really need to move on from the old 'brick and mortar' being a good investment because 'over time property will always rise'. That is not true, here we are in 2013 and I can easily find places that are currently sitting at 1997 prices.

    Far better to look at the stock markets IMO. For one it is a liquid investment, you can enter and exit a hell of a lot easier than you can the property markets. And any investor who doesn't have a quick exit strategy is really fooling themselves.

    But just take a look at the historical averages of, for example, the Dow Jones. The 100 year average of an investment in the Dow Jones over the course of any 25 years since its existence is 9%. That is a handy average 9% per year every year for 25 years. So lets say you invested €100,000 in year one and left it sit there for 25 years and didn't add anything whatsoever to the initial investment then your sum at the end of 25 years would be €862,000. Now that is what I call an asset- not some sh1tty 2 bedroom apartment in Cork. If you added €10,000 per year every year to that initial €100,000 sum then your 25 year investment would be worth on average €1,785,000.
    Compound Interest Calculator here
    http://www.moneychimp.com/calculator/compound_interest_calculator.htm

    The thing is it could be even higher than €1.75m. Because that 9% average includes two world wars and the Great Depression. If you look at average Dow Jones yields since the Great Depression then the average isn't 9% but an even higher 11%. That is an 11% yield and you don't have the hassle of property maintenence, property taxes, water charges, PRSI payments. The only tax you'll have on shares is CGT (but you have that on property too).

    When compared to something as simple and as understandable as the Dow Jones property investment (in Ireland at least) is a mugs game. I haven't even got into other indexes such as the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ which in many case cover companies who are in explosive growth phases (think Google et al) and often out perform the Dow Jones. The Dow is a conservative index full of older more mature companies but companies who typically deliver year on year growth as they're big brand names that people buy from their cradle to their grave. The Dow has crashed several times over since the Great Depression yet it has still always recovered to produce amazing (and almost certain) returns.

    Just look at these simple observations from the Dow, over a 20-25 year time frame the returns obliterate anything the Irish property market has ever done or is likely to do.
    http://observationsandnotes.blogspot.ie/2010/03/stock-market-10-year-forecast.html
    Average Stock Market Return per year: Last 5, 10, 20 ... Years

    The long-term, more than 100-year performance: Since 1900 (end-of-year 1899), through 2012, I estimate the average total return/year of the DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) was approximately 9.4% -- 4.8% in price appreciation, plus approx 4.6% in dividends. (Some numbers may not add up due to rounding.)

    Since 1929 (year-end 1928 -- i.e., before the crash), through 2012, the return was 8.8% (4.6%, plus 4.2%) [note: see The 1929 Stock Market Crash]

    Since end-of-year 1932 (i.e., after the crash): 11.1% (7.0%, plus 4.2%)
    The average annual stock market return for the past twenty-five calendar years (since 1987) was 10.6% (7.9%, plus 2.7%) The market was up over 40% before the October 19, "Black Monday," crash. After a significant recovery, the Dow actually closed up 6% for the year.

    Stock market returns for the last 20 years (since 1992): 9.6% (7.1%, plus 2.4%) In the middle of one of the longest bull markets in history. [see below for additional 20-year periods]
    Returns since 1999 (13 years) -- the dot-com bubble year-end peak: 3.4% (1.0%, plus 2.4%).
    Returns for the last 10 years (since 2002): 7.2% (4.6%, plus 2.6%) Year-end trough after the dot-com bubble. [see below for additional 10-year periods]
    For the last 5 years (since 2007), 2.6% (-0.2%, plus 2.8%) Year-end peak of housing bubble.
    Since 2008 year-end trough after the housing bubble: 13.4% (10.5%, plus 2.9%)
    For 2012 the stock market (Dow/DJIA) total return was 10.1% (7.3% plus 2.9%)
    2012 year-end dividend yield was 2.7%


    Think shares, not property. Less hassle, more profit.


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