Risk Of Heavy Snow Showers As It Turns Extremely Cold Sunday Night/Monday

dacogawa

Finally Gerry mentions snow! that's a bit of a met upgrade

Deank

Musicmental85 wrote: »

Well I definitely didn't last, been reading all the email updates it's still pretty quiet in here for such a set up!

The first flake of snow tomorrow they'll all be back in their snow bunny minions.

snowstorm445

dacogawa wrote: »

Finally Gerry mentions snow! that's a bit of a met upgrade

Well, "possibly snow".

Deank

Iancar29 wrote: »

6am MOnday.

Hi-Res GFS says streamers are GO!




Hi-Res NAE says Streamers are GO!



:cool:

Speak Now

Smidge wrote: »

Gerry doesn't seem too worried:(

That was ramping by Gerrys standards. Love the way he put the pressure on Jean Byrne :-)

Saganist

Can the mods now please update thread to Level * warning ?

dacogawa

snowstorm445 wrote: »

Well, "possibly snow".

It was dry & cold on Thursday night, last night it was possible sleet, now possible snow, I'll take that. I think we could all see it on the map behind him all over the coasts on Monday too...

mickger844posts

dacogawa wrote: »

Finally Gerry mentions snow! that's a bit of a met upgrade

That was Gerry in ramping mode Overall i'm happy enough with that forecast. Plenty of potential there for copious amounts of streamers coming in off the Irish sea. An event is on the cards i feel

Redsunset

Saganist wrote: »

Can the mods now please update thread to Level * warning ?

Maybe tomorrow.

Speak Now

redsunset just put the littlest hobbo song in my head

Maybe tomorrow I'll want to settle down :-(

Lets hope the snow settles ;-)

snowstorm445

dacogawa wrote: »

It was dry & cold on Thursday night, last night it was possible sleet, now possible snow, I'll take that. I think we could all see it on the map behind him all over the coasts on Monday too...

Indeed. I'd say that's left many surprised after previously forecasted dry cold weather. The word "snow" fills many people with horror in this country! :eek:

On an unrelated note, one good thing about any cold dry weather is that it'll likely be clear as well, which is good news for astronomy fans, since they'll be able to watch the Pan Starrs comet during the week (it should be bright enough to see with the naked eye).

Fred Swanson

This post has been deleted.

aurora 527

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

redsunset just put the littlest hobbo song in my head

Maybe tomorrow I'll want to settle down :-(

Lets hope the snow settles ;-)

:D:D altogether now everyone.............

Speak Now

On the phone, how's the pub run looking? The models have been fair consistent with forecasting this cold shot. I'll be suckered into following them again next winter :-(

dacogawa

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

On the phone, how's the pub run looking? The models have been fair consistent with forecasting this cold shot. I'll be suckered into following them again next winter :-(

Looking good 42 hours out

Rougies

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

On the phone, how's the pub run looking? The models have been fair consistent with forecasting this cold shot. I'll be suckered into following them again next winter :-(

Little change from the 12z. Next 48hrs pretty much nailed on now.

Daniel2590

Have to say I'm impressed at how early the models picked up on this!

aurora 527

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

On the phone, how's the pub run looking? The models have been fair consistent with forecasting this cold shot. I'll be suckered into following them again next winter :-(

Very similar so far to last run... looking good so far

Rougies

Interestingly, NAE going for rain for the east coast with -13 uppers, -8 DPs and subzer0 2m temps for the same time period

Rougies

Looking good for streamers midday Mon though. Still don;t know where that rain is coming from, probably best ignored.

snowstorm445

Tonight's GFS shows a reasonably good chance of snow across the East and South coasts tomorrow night (that finger is trying to form again but just can't quite get there. )

maquiladora

Rougies wrote: »

Looking good for streamers midday Mon though. Still don;t know where that rain is coming from, probably best ignored.

It is very, very light stuff though. Look at the accumulation charts for up to 6pm Monday. Not showing anything above the minimum 2cm level.



I just hope people are aware of this....

aboyro

whitebriar

Those nae's show rain colours usually for the light precip.
That's the only explanation I can come up with for snow at sea turning to rain when it hits the beach.
For reassurement,it's at the same craic over in eastern England with -14 uppers neg dp's etc

Rougies

maquiladora wrote: »

It is very, very light stuff though. Look at the accumulation charts for up to 6pm Monday. Not showing anything above the minimum 2cm level.

I just hope people are aware of this....

I think most of us are aware of it. It's just the fact that it's showing a widespread area of convective precip is encouraging. Good signals, that's all.

whitebriar wrote: »

Those nae's show rain colours usually for the light precip.
That's the only explanation I can come up with for snow at sea turning to rain when it hits the beach.
For reassurement,it's at the same craic over in eastern England with -14 uppers neg dp's etc

Yeah that seems to be the case alright.

M.T. Cranium

Meso-scale low spinning off the main low in Biscay, can easily be seen on satellite loop and heading for Kerry -- probably all rain at the moment, could be a sign of volatility to come as frontal zone presses south into outer circulation of this low.

I have no misgivings about the forecast after checking the latest guidance and obs, so bring it on and we'll see what's what. If this can't produce a streamer, then we'll have to fix the machine.

TheMilkyPirate

maquiladora wrote: »

It is very, very light stuff though. Look at the accumulation charts for up to 6pm Monday. Not showing anything above the minimum 2cm level.

I just hope people are aware of this....

I'd call bullshit on that chart tbh. If anyone thinks there won't be at least 2cm of snow even in the Wicklow mountains on Monday I'll leave it so.

Irish Steve

It's been a while since we have seen charts that are quite this convincing.:eek:

It's always a good/bad sign when the thread is growing faster than I can read it

Slightly worrying that we may have some problems with an 0630 bus Wednesday morning from Ashbourne, but we will have alternatives in place just in case.;)

sea_monkey

here, im about to head out. is it going to snow or whats the craic?

TheMilkyPirate

sea_monkey wrote: »

here, im about to head out. is it going to snow or whats the craic?

Tonight? No.