The Golf Tips Thread

redzerdrog

Also had a free bet so just did a speculative 1pt win double on Hadley @22/1 and Noren @22/1

zimmermania

Grace €10 ew 16/1,Dubuisson €5 ew 40/1 6 places PP.

4068ac1elhodqr

Took early(ish) peak prices yesterday via the Sky (6pl, 1/4 in Ned).

Market & Trend logic selections:
NED: Levy @61 [B’Price] &
OHL: Peter Malnati @101 (Trend)

NED: F’wood @21 [B’Price low-risk] &
OHL: SPower (but not the BP@126 outright), instead SPower R1L @100 (same 5pl 1/4) [Wildcard]

Other lucky dips:
Ned: Joost@29
OHL: Howell@36

All 4 from 5or6 (e/w) arrays of very small mixed multi-event accumulators. Usually mix in a few horses e.g. GolfPresent@21 and RoyalLine@10 later on in the month, if only they’d invent ‘stop-clock pony-polo-golf’ for the Tokyo 2020 Olympics.

abarkie

This week gone for:

Nedbank Golf Challenge 2017 - Bernd Wiesberger 33/1 & Kiradech Aphibarnrat 28/1

OHL Classic 2017 - Kevin Streelman 50/1 & Chez Reavie 28/1

E/w Doubles as ever

Good luck all

Stevecw

zimmermania wrote: »

Grace €10 ew 16/1,Dubuisson €5 ew 40/1 6 places PP.

Fantastic tips, Grace wins and Dubuisson 3rd! Great stuff.

zimmermania

zimmermania wrote: »

Grace €10 ew 16/1,Dubuisson €5 ew 40/1 6 places PP.

A nice result after a poor day on the horses,both golfers had good course form,being placed on their last two spins round the track.

redzerdrog

redzerdrog wrote: »

Looks like I am going to follow a couple of lads off a cliff this season!!

Nedbank challenge

George Coetzee 1pt win @ 33/1
Pablo Larrazabal 1pt e/w @100/1

OHL Classic
Emiliano Grillo 1pt e/w @50/1
Kevin streelman 1pt e/w @50/1
Patton kizzire 1pt e/w @66/1

6 x e/w double with an outlay of 4 pts

Outlay: 13pts

A lovely win from Kizzire to hold off Fowler!
Returned a bit over 81pts so a very nice profit for the weekend
Good effort from Grillo who just finished outside the places

redzerdrog

Weeks outlay: 14pts
Returns:+81pts
Weeks balance: +67pts
Previous balance: + 32pts

Running total:+99pts

I'd imagine the ROI is through the roof at the moment

4068ac1elhodqr

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

Took early(ish) peak prices yesterday via the Sky (6pl, 1/4 in Ned).

NED: Levy @61 & OHL: Peter Malnati @101
NED: F’wood @21 [B’Price low-risk] & OHL: SPower R1L @100
NED: Joost@29 & OHL: Howell@36

Only managed place via Howell, the rest got off to good starts but generally landed just outside places. Unusually SP failed to get any early round type leads

Here's the results chart from the last two events, may be handy for future referencing:

redzerdrog

Betting a little more than usual this week because there is a bit of value about imo. Many of the market leaders are too short for my liking and also want to strike while the iron is hot.

DP world tour championship
Alex Noren 1pt e/w @40/1
Thomas Pieters 1pt e/w @50/1
Lucas Bjerregaard 0.5pts e/w @140/1
Pablo Larrazabal 0.5pts e/w @200/1 (last chance)

RSM Classic
Kevin Streelman 1pt e/w @60/1
Patrick Rodgers 1pt e/w @66/1
Si woo Kim 1pt e/w @66/1 (just missed the 80s)

12 x e/w cross trebles for on outlay of 9 pts

Total Outlay: 21pts

4068ac1elhodqr

Last night went via pp for upmost places esp. RSM w 7pl, most are 5pl). Some prices have shortened this am.

RSM 7, 1/5
——————————
Simpson @26 *
McGirt @51
Swafford @81 ±
Laundry @201
Thompson@201
Werenski @201 ^
De Jonge @501

DP 6, 1/5
——————————
Rose @8 *
Hatton @17
Pieters @46
Uihlein @51
Sterne @151
Dodt @501 ^ ±

*Primary, ^Secondary, ±RL’s. Others on single use mixed arrays.
I.e. Circa #20 4/five-folds (e/w) ‘minimum stake’ mixed sport/novelty events.

Also novelty doubles (via Sky) featuring Rafa@36, Southgate@176 (DP)
on already existing positive balance.

Total spend this week: equal to x1 tall frappuccino.
Average odds per accum: near max rtns, (5/6-digit).

zimmermania

Trying to repeat last weeks win,i went with Dubuisson 22/1 PP €10 EW.

D P RSM
FITZPATRICK 16/1 HOWELL 22/1
DUBUISSON 22/1 SCHNIEDERJANS 28/1
SCHWARTZEL 28/1 LOVEMARK 33/1
COLSAERTS 45/1 4 X 3 = 12 DOUBLES €1 ew and I am hoping to get a run.

abarkie

A few in Dubai I could back - had about 6 - but gone with:

Chesson Hadley @ 30/1 & Charles Howell @ 22/1 - The RSM Classic 2017

Martin Kaymer @ 35/1 & Victor Dubuisson @ 22/1 - DP World Tour Championship 2017

Good luck everyone

redzerdrog

redzerdrog wrote: »

Betting a little more than usual this week because there is a bit of value about imo. Many of the market leaders are too short for my liking and also want to strike while the iron is hot.

DP world tour championship
Alex Noren 1pt e/w @40/1
Thomas Pieters 1pt e/w @50/1
Lucas Bjerregaard 0.5pts e/w @140/1
Pablo Larrazabal 0.5pts e/w @200/1 (last chance)

RSM Classic
Kevin Streelman 1pt e/w @60/1
Patrick Rodgers 1pt e/w @66/1
Si woo Kim 1pt e/w @66/1 (just missed the 80s)

12 x e/w cross trebles for on outlay of 9 pts

Total Outlay: 21pts

Well that was a disaster!!!

Only an outside chance of streelman grabbing a place to put some respectability on things!

4068ac1elhodqr

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

DP 6, 1/5
Rose @8 *, Hatton @17, Uihlein @51 Pieters @46
, Sterne @151, Dodt @501 ^ ±

Few of places is all, the big names always seem to float up to the top at the end.
Dodt & fellow Antipodean Fox(200/1) were looking like placing in early rounds but faded away.
Final results of DP below:

4068ac1elhodqr

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

RSM 7, 1/5
Simpson @26 *
McGirt @51
Swafford @81 ±(RL)
Laundry @201
Thompson@201
Werenski @201 ^
De Jonge @501

Just finishing now, think just a couple of places. *Simpson: Understandably withdrew after excellent start, to attend his ailing father. Back in May, think he also withdrew midway to return to other half who was preggers. Only for her to break water within 45mins of pulling up on the driveway.

redzerdrog

Weeks outlay: 21pts
Returns:0pts
Weeks balance: -21pts
Previous balance: + 99pts

Running total:+78pts

redzerdrog

Not much taking my fancy this week. Gona leave the Australian Open and just a couple of outsiders in Hong Kong

Gregory Bourdy 2pts e/w @100/1
Gaganjeet Bhullar 2pts e/w @125/1

Total outlay: 8pts

zimmermania

Tenner ew D Fritelli Hong Kong 30/1 PP.
fiver ew C Luck Australia 40/1.

4068ac1elhodqr

Aus just started so places now reduced (5), might pick off one or two with promising early-midway R1 starts .e.g Bland (into @41 22:45)
Got Day earlier in week @6 (best it was going to get) via Sky, SP 5.5, going well currently.

HK starting shortly (UTC+8) as the sun moves from Aus is much more interesting and 6 or 7pl:
H-T@34, Wang @81, SSP @126 and maybe Zhang and D'Souza both @1,000 for an e/w laugh.

Mixed up arrays with week/fortnight long e/w accumulators (all very very low stake, but very high yield)
Ante posts include two equally priced @11 in the Stayers, and later the Oracle suggests Pleasant/Whisper/GP in early December.

Whenever possible novelties are included, a tool was thrown of the celeb-jungle has been kindly voided,
so the other two fav selections have their remaining values automatically increased since selecting.

redzerdrog

redzerdrog wrote: »

Not much taking my fancy this week. Gona leave the Australian Open and just a couple of outsiders in Hong Kong

Gregory Bourdy 2pts e/w @100/1
Gaganjeet Bhullar 2pts e/w @125/1

Total outlay: 8pts

St1te

4068ac1elhodqr

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

SSP @126 and maybe Zhang and D'Souza both @1,000 for an e/w laugh.

SSP (Chawrasia, Shiv Shankar Prasad) R1L SP@126, now @17.

D'Souza (+2) mid-position, was actually 2,000/1 with Sky, (500 most other places) last night.

The wildcards often get off to good starts, but the big names call rank in R3/4.

Might add W-T@250 and Varner@61 in HK to arrays before the remaining 5pl get reduced.

Havret & Aiken (both @8.5) maybe, for top10fin markets as add-ons to (DNB) Soccerball Accas.

In Aus hard now to see past Day (@3.5, SP was @6), no longer holds any value, and this event not of much interest, possibly slight value with Pamping @34, Campbell@81 4pl 1/4.

4068ac1elhodqr

Just a place party @6 & @126.

4068ac1elhodqr

Tiger to make a return at the Hero, reports are he's 'feeling fantastic' (but looking mediocre).
@46 via SJ for anyone who wants it. Meh, new blood please.

Looking for pain-free value, so CH@36, KK@29, Matsu@13 and since small field maybe Koepka@10, all 4pl/18, 22.222%.
Very small stakes on multi-event mixed e/w arrays, typically four-five folds/6 typically returning 4digits from pennies.

A look around AfrAsia & AusPGA later, for any early value numbers, couple of fixed e/w novelty events of interest too.

redzerdrog

Just finished going through the hero challenge and at the minute it's a no bet event. I think part of me just wants to sit back and enjoy the return of the greatest ever and see how he gets on against the likes of Justin Thomas

4068ac1elhodqr

redzerdrog wrote: »

Just finished going through the hero challenge and at the minute it's a no bet event. I think part of me just wants to sit back and enjoy the return of the greatest ever and see how he gets on against the likes of Justin Thomas

Prefer the Hero over all else, couple of books even have 5pl (pp&bfs) from small field of 18, equating to a 27.77777777777778% baseline chance for e/w.

4068ac1elhodqr

CH@36^ (now 4.5) is currently leading the Hero, Spieth (too short 3.75) may well catch up going into the final round, Tiger has performed better than expected T5, @13 un/lucky for some.
Fleetwood T2 has been overpriced with double-digits throughout, and still in with a good chance, priced (still fairly) @9c. Molinari, bigger @21 may just sneak 3pl.

Arjun (SP 250-400), has been leading since the start over in the AA, but it's getting crowded now at the top. Langasque @26 may well grab a place.

In Aus, Bland could be some value @8, whereas the other two leaders are bets ignored at just evens @2.29.

Gregk961

I can barely understand that. Barely.

4068ac1elhodqr

Gregk961 wrote: »

I can barely understand that. Barely.

Do try to keep up!
I.e. with the early value (decimal) bets and extra places CH@34(+).

You probably just spend too much time on the rain-soaked horse/dog tracks with the elderly flat cap wearing, discussing the best fractional nap of the day at 2/1 (that doesn't often doesn't materialise).

When decimal is the only way forward for the Accumulators. e.g. 9,617.4.



Hoff' has 5pt lead, and the other Novelty is (allegedly) likely already fixed, so potential offseting options are well underway.

Gregk961

Sincere Howling Reformer wrote: »

Do try to keep up!
I.e. with the early value (decimal) bets and extra places CH@34(+).

You probably just spend too much time on the rain-soaked horse/dog tracks with the elderly flat cap wearing, discussing the best fractional nap of the day at 2/1 (that doesn't often doesn't materialise).

When decimal is the only way forward for the Sincere Howling Reformers. e.g. 9,617.4.



Hoff' has 5pt lead, and the other Novelty is (allegedly) likely already fixed, so potential offseting options are well underway.

Thanks, thats cleared everything up.