Cold week ahead, change is on the way ............

ninebeanrows

showers falling as rain here, the temp is 2.1c, to be honest i thought it would be higher, just 1 to 1.5c away from snow temps and that is achievable in a heavy enough shower.

ninebeanrows

Just a heavy rain shower here at the moment.

fr wishy washy

Light snow falling last 30 mins in Blessington

ninebeanrows

latest output retains snow risk for ulster late Thursday. front set to stall and move back south Saturday and turn back to snow.

fr wishy washy

fr wishy washy wrote: »

Light snow falling last 30 mins in Blessington

Still snowing here

snowtime

Heavy sleet in Skerries. If this shower gets inland a bit it will be snow.

Morrisseeee

Beautiful (frosty) sunny morning in the south
/long may it continue (don't think so tho )

ninebeanrows

Believe that latest NAE has edged front further south again, i think parts of NI could be in for a SIG snow event. Could see level totals reaching 30cm in places.

appears i may have been wrong, quite a different set up of the low centre, precip delayed but no shift south of cold.

kenmc

Weathercheck wrote: »

Believe that latest NAE has edged front further south again, i think parts of NI could be in for a SIG snow event. Could see level totals reaching 30cm in places.

jammy gits.

Rock Lesnar

P1ssing rain here this morning and its freezing, temp still 0c

Rock Lesnar

:eek: we go from P1ssing rain to wet Snow inside 5mins, gotta love the irish weather

ninebeanrows

NAE giving idea of where the snow is likely to fall.

Redsunset

Rock Lesnar wrote: »

:eek: we go from P1ssing rain to wet Snow inside 5mins, gotta love the irish weather

That would be most likely down to evaporative cooling in heavier showers.

Quick explanation.



http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/reports/philip-eden/Absorbing-latent-heat.htm

DOCARCH

Weathercheck wrote: »

NAE giving idea of where the snow is likely to fall.

A much more organised area/band of snow now than the last NAE run.

.....tilt in next run please!

Redsunset

Trending very wintry alright for the North.

This may become more serious than the initial warning from UKMO.

Yellow Alert of Rain
21 Mar 2013, 22:00Issued at - 19 Mar 2013, 11:50Valid from - 21 Mar 2013, 22:00Valid to - 22 Mar 2013, 18:00

Persistent rain is expected to set in at the end of Thursday, lasting until later on Friday in many areas, and particularly heavy over hills exposed to the south and southeast.

Additionally, snow is likely for a time over higher ground, combined with strong winds to give difficult travel conditions. Some improvement seems likely late on Friday. The public should be aware that this may cause some localised issues with flooding.

Rock Lesnar

We're just a little bit south of the Snow/Rain line, could be interesting

eastmayo

Weathercheck wrote: »

NAE giving idea of where the snow is likely to fall.

Hope the snow can move more south....not far of north connacht there.

Rock Lesnar

Redsunset wrote: »

The public should be aware that this may cause some localised issues with flooding.

Heres hoping the drainage work ive done at the side of the house since xmas works

justy182

What is a SIG event?

brianthomas

justy182 wrote: »

What is a SIG event?

Significant ;-)

Iancar29

justy182 wrote: »

What is a SIG event?

A sigma event is one of which is at least 3 standard deviations away from the mean. Or in plain english , a quite rare event for this time of year.

dopolahpec

I cannot see anything but rain and lots of it for 95% of the Republic at low levels.

dopolahpec

For what it's worth, the GFS 6Z has moved quite significantly northward with this weekend precipitation, this greatly reduces the already marginal snow risk for most of Ireland. Good news for people in Northern England and Scotland who like March snow.

There's a flood risk more than anything, it's a similar situation to that busted snow flush in January that dumped acres of snow on high ground and brought an awful lot of rain at lower levels.

Redsunset

dopolahpec wrote: »

I cannot see anything but rain and lots of it for 95% of the Republic at low levels.

At the moment Yes. It's just the North at risk for now

DOCARCH

06z GFS agrees with NAE but then snow risk moves south from early Saturday morning.

Redsunset

Perhaps a new thread if ye like for the rain and flood risk and keep this one to throw an eye on snow potential.

dopolahpec

Redsunset wrote: »

Perhaps a new thread if ye like for the rain and flood risk and keep this one to throw an eye on snow potential.

I dunno, it's the same event, it will either fall as snow or rain, and that's what is being discussed. I'm calling rain from Cavan south.

lucernarian

Redsunset wrote: »

Perhaps a new thread if ye like for the rain and flood risk and keep this one to throw an eye on snow potential.

That could be good. I'm not sure where the Level 2 risk for snow is coming from now. There is going to be lots of rain, which will likely cause problems in various well-populated parts of the country by comparison.

Redsunset

Sound.

Elmer Blooker

Dublin Airport 2c and me a few kms away 6c.
How strange?
edit: 6.4c to be exact.