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8-10's Baseball Log 2013

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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    1st Half Betting:

    Phillies @ 4/7 Lose
    Mariners @ 4/5 Lose
    Giants @ 4/6 Lose
    Rangers @ 5/6 Lose
    Dodgers @ 20/31 Push
    Rays @ 10/19 Push

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd Inning:

    Cardinals v Nationals @ 8/15 Win

    Total Staked: €250.57
    Total Returned: €207.52
    Return on Investment: (207.52-250.57)/250.57 = -17.18%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: -€43.05
    Bank: €56.95

    Well this is going downhill fast! Ok more picks:

    Under 0.5 in 2nd inning:

    Cubs v Reds @ 4/7
    Diamondbacks v Giants @ 8/15

    1st Half Match Betting:

    Nationals @ 20/31
    Red Sox @ 10/17
    Pirates @ 11/10
    Mets @ 10/17

    20 x €1 Trebles
    1x €1 6-Fold
    €21 staked

    Also forgot about the rounding:

    €0.95 on 2 or more runs in 9th inning @ 9/2 in Brewers v Padres game.

    Bank is now a disappointing €35 :eek:


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Under 0.5 in 2nd inning:

    Cubs v Reds @ 4/7 Win
    Diamondbacks v Giants @ 8/15 Win

    1st Half Match Betting:

    Nationals @ 20/31 Lose
    Red Sox @ 10/17 Win
    Pirates @ 11/10 Lose
    Mets @ 10/17 Push

    20 x €1 Trebles
    1x €1 6-Fold
    €21 staked

    €0.95 on 2 or more runs in 9th inning @ 9/2 in Brewers v Padres game. Lose

    Returned a whopping €11.17

    Bit unlucky I feel. Pirates win the game but were behind at the half. Mets won their game but were level at the half. Strasburg pitched excellently for the Nationals after giving up 3 runs in the first but didn't get the run support. The Nats' bats have been very cold recently. The rounding bet was close but it's only a small amount.

    Total Staked: €272.52
    Total Returned: €218.69
    Return on Investment: (218.69-272.52)/272.52 = -19.75%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: -€53.83
    Bank: €46.17

    Today's Picks:

    Diamondbacks @ 10/13
    Phillies @ 20/39
    Yankees @ 8/13
    Red Sox @ 5/13
    *LATE ADDITION: Dodgers @ 20/29

    Under 0.5 runs in 2nd inning:

    Tigers v Royals @ 8/15

    20 x €1 trebles
    1 x €1 6-fold


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Diamondbacks @ 10/13 Win
    Phillies @ 20/39 Win
    Yankees @ 8/13 Win
    Red Sox @ 5/13 Win
    *LATE ADDITION: Dodgers @ 20/29 Win

    Under 0.5 runs in 2nd inning:

    Tigers v Royals @ 8/15 Win

    20 x €1 trebles = €79.22
    1 x €1 6-fold = €15.51

    Finally got a day of all winners! :D

    Ok that should help kick-start the log. I also wanted to include the Nationals and White Sox (had the latter on the betslip) but didn't want to have so many selections when I haven't been getting the wins and didn't fancy the form or matchups! However both of those also won the 1st half betting so it was just one of those days where everything fell right. (Hope that's not aftertiming, just to note I didn't actually place a bet on either of those, they were just on my list)

    State of play:

    Total Staked: €293.52
    Total Returned: €313.42
    Return on Investment: (313.42-293.52)/293.52 = +6.78%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €19.90
    Bank: €119.90


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Today's picks, all 1st half betting:

    Nationals @ 20/29
    Braves @ 59/50
    Angels @ 20/29

    Angels really need to score runs, I'm not that confident about that pick but I'm hoping the odds will prove value.

    3x €6 doubles
    1x €3 treble

    €21 staked


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Nationals @ 20/29 Win
    Braves @ 59/50 Lose
    Angels @ 20/29 Win

    Braves surprised me with Maholm getting hit badly. Ah well. €17.13 returned.

    Total Staked: €314.52
    Total Returned: €330.55
    Return on Investment: (330.55-314.52)/314.52 = +5.10%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €16.03
    Bank: €116.03

    Picks today 1st half:

    Diamondbacks @ 4/7
    Braves @ 5/6
    Yankees @ 10/17
    Mariners @ 4/7
    Rays @ 4/5

    10x €1 doubles
    10x €1 trebles
    1x €1 5-Fold


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Small return yesterday, I'll update balance tomorrow after these results.

    5 Picks:

    1st Half Match Betting:

    Cubs @ 20/31
    Mets @ 8/13
    Nationals @ 10/13

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd Inning:

    Giants v Diamondbacks @ 4/7
    Cardinals v Reds @ 8/15

    Edit: add stake sorry same as always for 5 selections:

    10x €1 doubles
    10x €1 trebles
    1x €1 5-Fold


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Picks today 1st half:

    Diamondbacks @ 4/7 Win
    Braves @ 5/6 Lose
    Yankees @ 10/17 Push
    Mariners @ 4/7 Lose
    Rays @ 4/5 Win

    €9.03 returned
    8-10 wrote: »
    1st Half Match Betting:

    Cubs @ 20/31 Push
    Mets @ 8/13 Win
    Nationals @ 10/13 Push

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd Inning:

    Giants v Diamondbacks @ 4/7 Lose
    Cardinals v Reds @ 8/15 Win

    €17.87 returned

    So it's:

    Total Staked: €356.52
    Total Returned: €357.45
    Return on Investment: (357.45-356.52)/356.52 = +0.26%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €0.93
    Bank: €100.93

    Today:

    1st Half Betting:

    Yankees @ 20/31
    Diamondbacks @ 10/13
    Cardinals @ 10/11
    Mariners @ 5/7
    Tigers @ 10/19
    Indians @ 4/6
    Dodgers @20/29

    35x €0.50 trebles
    35x €0.50 4-folds
    7x €1 6-folds

    Also €0.93 on 2 or more runs in 9th inning of Tigers v Astros game @19/4


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    1st Half Betting:

    Yankees @ 20/31 Lose
    Diamondbacks @ 10/13 Lose
    Cardinals @ 10/11 Win
    Mariners @ 5/7 Win
    Tigers @ 10/19 Win
    Indians @ 4/6 Win
    Dodgers @20/29 Win

    Also €0.93 on 2 or more runs in 9th inning of Tigers v Astros game @19/4 Win

    Total returns 50.59

    Total Staked: €399.45
    Total Returned: €408.04
    Return on Investment: (408.04-399.45)/399.45 = +2.15%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €8.59
    Bank: €108.59


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Today going with:

    1st Half Betting:

    Braves @ evens
    Mets @ 20/33
    Yankees @ 21/20

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd Inning:

    Tigers v A's @ 8/15

    6x €2.50 doubles
    4x €1 trebles
    1x €2 4-fold

    9th Inning Total Runs - 2 or more Runs:

    €0.59 on Red Sox v Twins @ 17/4

    Bank €87


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Today going with:

    1st Half Betting:

    Braves @ evens Win
    Mets @ 20/33 Push
    Yankees @ 21/20 Push

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd Inning:

    Tigers v A's @ 8/15Push (postponed, was v Nats not A's sorry!)

    6x €2.50 doubles
    4x €1 trebles
    1x €2 4-fold

    9th Inning Total Runs - 2 or more Runs:

    €0.59 on Red Sox v Twins @ 17/4 Lose

    Bank €87

    No losers in my 4 selections but no returns! 1 win, 2 games that were 0-0 after 5 innings, and a postponement.

    :(


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Bullish today:

    1st half betting:

    Rays @ 20/39
    Nats @ 20/21
    Indians @ 5/6
    Mariners @ 5/6
    Twins @ 25/17

    10 x €2 doubles
    10 x €2 trebles
    5x €1 4-folds


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Bullish today:

    1st half betting:

    Rays @ 20/39 Win
    Nats @ 20/21 Win
    Indians @ 5/6 Lose
    Mariners @ 5/6 Push
    Twins @ 25/17 Win

    10 x €2 doubles
    10 x €2 trebles
    5x €1 4-folds

    Returns €79.82

    Total Staked: €466.04
    Total Returned: €487.86
    Return on Investment: (487.86-466.04)/466.04 = +4.68%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €21.82
    Bank: €121.82


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Tonight:

    1st half betting:

    Yankees @ 10/13
    Braves @ 21/20
    Rays @ 20/31

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Phillies v D'Backs @ 4/7

    6 x €2 doubles
    4x €2 trebles
    1x €1 4-fold

    Rounding bet:

    2 or more runs in 9th inning:

    €0.82 on Red Sox v Twins @ 15/4

    Bank is back to even €100 with those in play!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Tonight:

    1st half betting:

    Yankees @ 10/13 Win
    Braves @ 21/20 Win
    Rays @ 20/31 Lose

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Phillies v D'Backs @ 4/7 Win

    2 or more runs in 9th inning:

    €0.82 on Red Sox v Twins @ 15/4 Lose

    Returns €30.66

    Total Staked: €487.86
    Total Returned: €518.52
    Return on Investment: (518.52-487.86)/487.86 = +6.28%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €30.66
    Bank: €130.66

    Too much choice today I could literally have a pick in every game! So no bets for the log.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Tonight:

    First Half Match Betting:

    Brewers @ 4/5
    Padres @ 23/20
    Dodgers @ 1/2
    Rangers @ 20/23
    Royals @ 11/10

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Mariners v Yankees @ 8/11
    Red Sox v Rays @ 4/7
    Braves v Diamondbacks @ 8/15

    €0.50 5-folds
    €0.50 7-Folds

    Rounding bet: 2 or more runs in 9th inning:

    €0.66 on Reds v Marlins @ 17/4

    €32.66 staked, bank €98


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Tonight:

    First Half Match Betting:

    Brewers @ 4/5 Win
    Padres @ 23/20 Push
    Dodgers @ 1/2 Win
    Rangers @ 20/23 Win
    Royals @ 11/10 Lose

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Mariners v Yankees @ 8/11 Win
    Red Sox v Rays @ 4/7 Win
    Braves v Diamondbacks @ 8/15 Win

    €0.50 5-folds
    €0.50 7-Folds

    Rounding bet: 2 or more runs in 9th inning:

    €0.66 on Reds v Marlins @ 17/4 Lose

    Great night last night! Returned €106 on €32 staked, brings us up to 20% ROI:

    Revised ROI:

    Total Staked: €520.52
    Total Returned: €624.52
    Return on Investment: (624.52-520.52)/520.52 = +19.98%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €104
    Bank: €204


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Ok doubled the bank, very happy with that achievement. Another 8 selections tonight, same 50c 5-folds and 7-folds as yesterday:

    Under 0.5 runs in 2nd inning:

    Red Sox v Rays @ 8/15

    1st half betting:

    Dodgers @ 4/6
    Cubs @ 20/29
    Mariners @ 21/20
    Braves @ 20/23
    Pirates @ 10/11
    Tigers @ 10/33
    Phillies @ 20/33


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Under 0.5 runs in 2nd inning:

    Red Sox v Rays @ 8/15 Win

    1st half betting:

    Dodgers @ 4/6 Win
    Cubs @ 20/29 Win
    Mariners @ 21/20 Win
    Braves @ 20/23 Lose
    Pirates @ 10/11 Push
    Tigers @ 10/33 Lose
    Phillies @ 20/33 Lose
    Returned 4.43. Boo.

    Picks tonight:

    1st half betting:

    Marlins @ 13/10
    Rockies @ 20/21
    Nationals @ 4/6

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Tigers v Rangers @ 8/11

    6x €3 doubles
    4x €3 trebles


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    1st half betting:

    Marlins @ 13/10 Push
    Rockies @ 20/21 Win
    Nationals @ 4/6 Win

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Tigers v Rangers @ 8/11 Win

    Good stuff! Returns €89.93 on €30 staked

    State of play:

    Total Staked: €582.52
    Total Returned: €718.88
    Return on Investment: (718.88-582.52)/582.52 = +23.41%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €136.36
    Bank: €236.36

    Will have more picks up later.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Going big:

    1st Half Match Betting:

    Mariners @ 5/6
    Blue Jays @ 8/13
    Yankees @ 4/6
    Red Sox @ 20/31
    Phillies @ 20/37
    Mets @ 27/20
    A's @ 11/10
    Royals @ 4/7
    Dodgers @ 4/6
    D'Backs @ 5/6
    Cardinals @ 4/6

    165 x 0.15c 8-Folds
    55 x 0.10c 9-Folds
    1x 0.75c 11-fold


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    1st Half Match Betting:

    Mariners @ 5/6 Push
    Blue Jays @ 8/13 Push
    Yankees @ 4/6 Push
    Red Sox @ 20/31 Lose
    Phillies @ 20/37 Push
    Mets @ 27/20 Push
    A's @ 11/10 Win
    Royals @ 4/7 Lose
    Dodgers @ 4/6 Win
    D'Backs @ 5/6 Win
    Cardinals @ 4/6 Win

    Only 2 losers out of 11 and still losing money, just too many ended up void.

    Returns: 12.65

    Ah well at least it's something. Picks today up after 3.30pm.


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,380 ✭✭✭The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman


    8-10 wrote: »
    Only 2 losers out of 11 and still losing money, just too many ended up void.

    Returns: 12.65

    Ah well at least it's something. Picks today up after 3.30pm.


    I had a hard time leaving teams out tonight, I just like so many games tonight. :D:D:D

    That usually means the night ends as a disaster. Lets hope not!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Tonight, all 1st half match betting:

    Nationals @ evens
    Cardinals @ 4/6
    Dodgers @ 5/7
    Rangers @ 10/21
    Pirates @ 20/29
    Tigers @ 8/11

    15 x €1.50 4-folds
    6 x €1 5-folds
    1 x €1.50 6-fold

    €30 staked


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Tonight, all 1st half match betting:

    Nationals @ evens Win
    Cardinals @ 4/6 Win
    Dodgers @ 5/7 Lose
    Rangers @ 10/21 Lose
    Pirates @ 20/29 Lose
    Tigers @ 8/11 Lose

    15 x €1.50 4-folds
    6 x €1 5-folds
    1 x €1.50 6-fold

    €30 staked

    Well I think we can just chalk that down to one of those nights. Tigers won the game 5-1 but were 1-0 down after 5 innings so it lost. Pirates also won after losing through 5. And on the flip side Nationals were a winner for me but went on to lose the game!

    That's half match betting for you. You have to be careful trusting the bullpen.

    No returns, after Friday I'm taking a break for over 2 weeks so hopefully some more picks to close out this week a bit better!


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,380 ✭✭✭The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman


    8-10 wrote: »
    Well I think we can just chalk that down to one of those nights. Tigers won the game 5-1 but were 1-0 down after 5 innings so it lost. Pirates also won after losing through 5. And on the flip side Nationals were a winner for me but went on to lose the game!

    That's half match betting for you. You have to be careful trusting the bullpen.

    No returns, after Friday I'm taking a break for over 2 weeks so hopefully some more picks to close out this week a bit better!

    Very unlucky on those man.


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Ok 1st match betting:

    Braves @ 20/37
    Mets @ 20/23
    Tigers @ 4/6
    Cubs @ 11/10
    Royals @ 1/2

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Nationals v Giants @ 8/15

    Wanted to include Phillies and Dodgers also but don't have enough confidence in either right now.

    I'll go:

    15 x €1 4-folds
    6 x €1 5-folds
    1 x €9 6-fold

    I figure I'm due a full sweep of results (watch as 2 fail and the 2 i didn't include win :rolleyes: )


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    8-10 wrote: »
    Ok 1st match betting:

    Braves @ 20/37 Win
    Mets @ 20/23 Push
    Tigers @ 4/6 Win
    Cubs @ 11/10 Lose
    Royals @ 1/2 Lose

    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:

    Nationals v Giants @ 8/15 Win

    Wanted to include Phillies (Win) and Dodgers (Win) also but don't have enough confidence in either right now.

    I'll go:

    15 x €1 4-folds
    6 x €1 5-folds
    1 x €9 6-fold

    I figure I'm due a full sweep of results (watch as 2 fail and the 2 i didn't include win :rolleyes: )


    "I figure I'm due a full sweep of results (watch as 2 fail and the 2 i didn't include win rolleyes.png )" - I'm glad I can predict something right!! 2 of my picks fail and the 2 I didn't include were winners. €3.94 returned.

    Total Staked: €673.52
    Total Returned: €735.47
    Return on Investment: (735.47-673.52)/673.52 = +9.20%
    P/L on €100 starting bank: €61.95
    Bank: €161.95

    Only 5 games tonight and only 1 bet takes my fancy so I'm going to trim my bank down to an even €140 by betting the following:

    €21 on Baltimore Orioles 1st Half Match Betting v Blue Jays (odds posted by 4pm) ***ADDED @ 59/50

    Reason being that I'm intrigued by Kevin Gausman making his MLB debut for the O's. He's been solid if not exactly stellar in double A so far this year.

    Pros:
    4th draft pick last year (top pitching prospects tend to do well in first few starts)
    Great control, throws strikes for fun with 3 different pitches
    49/5 K/BB ratio which proves that
    3.11 ERA so far this year which is solid at that level
    Against Morrow who has posted over 5 ERA so far
    Stellar WHIP of 1.06

    Cons
    Jays can swing on their day and cause damage
    Never pitched above double A before
    losing record 2-4 this year
    Potential for big league nerves on debut

    I orignally said I'd put 11.95 on it up above, but now that I'm going through those pros and looking at his control stats I'm getting more bullish so I'll edit above to €21 staked and I'll stick the €0.95 rounding on my usual 2 or more runs in 9th inning bet - Cubs v Pirates @ 17/4

    Let's go Gausman!


  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    So that was a loser. I don't like those picks, it was winning 3-2 until bottom of 5th when the O's gave up 2 runs :( So it was a 4-3 loser.

    I'm not having any picks up tonight as there's not enough solid picks, I have a few I want but don't want to be chasing after a couple of bad days.

    Off to the east coast tomorrow, getting in 14 live games at least during the next 17 days starting with Indians v Red Sox on Sunday night. :)

    Will be back in mid-June after that scouting!! :D


  • Registered Users Posts: 3,380 ✭✭✭The Reservoir Dubs Anchorman


    8-10 wrote: »
    So that was a loser. I don't like those picks, it was winning 3-2 until bottom of 5th when the O's gave up 2 runs :( So it was a 4-3 loser.

    I'm not having any picks up tonight as there's not enough solid picks, I have a few I want but don't want to be chasing after a couple of bad days.

    Off to the east coast tomorrow, getting in 14 live games at least during the next 17 days starting with Indians v Red Sox on Sunday night. :)

    Will be back in mid-June after that scouting!! :D

    Enjoy! hope you get a Nats game with Strasbourg on the mound he's heating up.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 13,357 ✭✭✭✭8-10


    Ok boyos I'm back from America and looking to get this going again. Back sits at €140. I'm happy with my selection process, but not with my staking process. So what I'm going to do is take a leaf out of Anchorman's book and play with a little more money and a simpler staking structure.

    I won my money league in fantasy football this year so I'm going to add €360 from the payout to my bank to make it €500.

    However, the bank is simply to keep myself from busting out completely. Unlike a lot of logs here which track P&L to their bank, I'm continuing with my calculation of ROI, I just think it's a fairer way of reflecting how I'm doing because the bank is just an arbitrary number and the profit can get distorted.

    So the only thing changing is stakes and structure, ROI will continue from where I left off (+5.75%)

    Total Staked: €695.47
    Total Returned: €735.47
    Return on Investment: (735.47-695.47)/695.47 = +5.75%

    I won't continue posting my bank as it's pointless for the log, but if anyone wants to know my balance at any time I'm happy to share (or you can calculate along from here :P )

    So new structure (tip of the cap to Anchorman's log) is 3 bets: 1st being 4 favoured selections, 2nd being next 4 selections, 3rd being accy with all of them + possible others if needed.

    Today:

    Bet 1:
    1st half match betting:
    Mets (game 1) @ 10/11
    Dodgers @ 20/21
    Phillies @ 4/7
    Rangers @ 20/37
    4x €5 trebles
    1x €5 4-fold

    Bet 2:
    1st half match betting:
    Royals @ evens
    Under 0.5 Runs in 2nd inning:
    Mets v Braves (game 2) @ 8/15
    Cubs v Cardinals @ 8/15
    Padres v Giants @ 8/15
    4x €5 trebles
    1x €5 4-fold

    Bet 3:
    All the above + Wil Myers to hit a HR in Rays v Sox (Game 1) (No odds yet probably not until just before the game at 6.05pm, I'll post back here if I get it on, otherwise no bet 3 today)
    1 x €2 accy

    €52 staked


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