Golf Betting MegaThread *** See Mod warning in post #2 & 214***

costacorta

costacorta wrote: »

Niall Kearney with a 64 round today ! I had never heard of him and see he has been a professional since 2011 . Seems to have only played a few tournaments over the years and has earned really nothing on tour ..
So hoping he can get a nice paycheque this week for himself.. Anybody any info on him ?

Turned professional in 2009, immediately after his appearance in the 2009 Walker Cup for GB&I. Got a full challenge tour card for his first full season after a impressive showing in '09 European tour Q-School.

During 2014 and 2015 he had his best performances on the Irish PGA circuit and won the lucrative PGA Finals in Turkey which got him into the likes of Wentworth for the PGA Championship and the British Masters in Woburn.

He has also been plying his trade on the Asian Tour and the PGA Europro tour throughout the last few years or so with limited success.

Niall's biggest strength is his ball striking. He doesnt hit it a million miles off the tee but is deadly accurate with his driver and his irons. In 2019 he finished in the top 50 at European tour Q-School which got him into some European tour events and full playing privileges onto the secondary Challenge tour.

Great to see Niall playing well and a strong finish in Gran Canaria will do wonders for the Dubliner.

costacorta

Golf Crazy Guy wrote: »

Turned professional in 2009, immediately after his appearance in the 2009 Walker Cup for GB&I. Got a full challenge tour card for his first full season after a impressive showing in '09 European tour Q-School.

During 2014 and 2015 he had his best performances on the Irish PGA circuit and won the lucrative PGA Finals in Turkey which got him into the likes of Wentworth for the PGA Championship and the British Masters in Woburn.

He has also been plying his trade on the Asian Tour and the PGA Europro tour throughout the last few years or so with limited success.

Niall's biggest strength is his ball striking. He doesnt hit it a million miles off the tee but is deadly accurate with his driver and his irons. In 2019 he finished in the top 50 at European tour Q-School which got him into some European tour events and full playing privileges onto the secondary Challenge tour.

Great to see Niall playing well and a strong finish in Gran Canaria will do wonders for the Dubliner.

Great weeks work for Kearney as tied 4th in Tenerife and a nice pay cheque of €51k.

In his 3 tournaments played last 3 weeks he has earned €71k so hopefully he can get playing more regularly and start making a decent living from the game.

Doyler92

Hi guys.

Does anybody know of a site which you can bet on specific players to have a hole in one on the major golf events?

I done it on paddy powers in the masters but I haven’t seen it on any site since.

Thanks

finglashoop

Doyler92 wrote: »

Hi guys.

Does anybody know of a site which you can bet on specific players to have a hole in one on the major golf events?

I done it on paddy powers in the masters but I haven’t seen it on any site since.

Thanks

request a bet if no market

rickis tache

USPGA
Going with Rory, Justin Thomas and Shane all 10 euro win only.
Poulters small e/w.
Never do well backing but a little interest.

The_Kew_Tour

Checking the 2012 final leaderboard and 7 of the Top 10 were from Europe. Mcdowell, Harrington and Louis finished in top 20.

Don't see thst type of European domination in major in US.

I know Louis is SA but has good links form too

Degag

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Checking the 2012 final leaderboard and 7 of the Top 10 were from Europe. Mcdowell, Harrington and Louis finished in top 20.

Don't see thst type of European domination in major in US.

I know Louis is SA but has good links form too

How is Paddy playing actually? It's a good few months ago but the last i heard was he was playing decently. Could be a small e/w bet for first round leader maybe at big odds

CMcsporty

Harrington's putting is fairly dismal recently.
Still wont stop me putting a euro e/w on him at 500/1!

The_Kew_Tour

Degag wrote: »

How is Paddy playing actually? It's a good few months ago but the last i heard was he was playing decently. Could be a small e/w bet for first round leader maybe at big odds

Won't be backing him myself..not playing great but might be worth punt in first round leader market

unplayable

Gone mad loads of small win only bets. All on the exchange.

PGA win only

Hovland 10 @25
Champ 5 @290
Rory 20 @13.5
Bryson 20 @20
Lowry 5 @100
Grace 5 @230
Xander 10 @24

Frl

Rose 5 @75
Hatton 5 @60
Fitz 5 @70
Fleetwood 5 @75
Wallace 5 @100

Total 100

redzerdrog

My long shortlist is
Rory @12s
Dustin @20s
Hatton @60s
Fleetwood @55s
Lowry @90s
Grace @160/1
Burmenster @350/1
Sullivan @350/1
Coetzee @600/1
Harrington @750/1

Plasandrunt

Dustin 16/1
Higgo 90/1
Kisner 200/1

All e/w with Skybet 11 places

RoadRunner

Woodland
Harrington
Stricker
All E/W

Lad GAGA

Niemann 66/1 ew.
Might do Ancer ew as well.

castletownman

I've gone Koepka at 40s (couldn't believe the price, although I know he has been injured), Conners at 66s and Schwartzel at 100/1 (playing into some form). All e/w

paulie21

Xander 20/1
Hovland 18/1
Berger 28/1
MacIntyre 80/1

DJIMI TRARORE

Mcintyre FRL
C Smith ew
C Champ ew
C Conners ew

finglashoop

im
zalatoris
van rooyen

Heard it's windy (about 15 mph) over there (where exactly I don't know ) , so went ogling 'who are the best golfers in the wind' :pac:

Found an article from about 2 yrs ago, and picked every golfer mentioned that's taking part, that has form in the 'wind stakes'

Was about the Players' Championship - a different comp. , but regardless; It'll do for me, who knows nowt about golf... Apart from the possibility of a couple of days quality entertainment at the backend; if have a few in with a shout, that is

The article I'm on about:

https://rotogrinders.com/articles/searching-for-a-specialist-the-players-championship-2960089

The 'Wind Bit' is about half way down...

I was tempted to look at both the threads on here and do everyone's picks, but that would have been over thirty in total , so decided to do my own 'research' to taper it down to a more respectable amount

All EW 1/5 1-10

DJ 16/1
Reed 30/1
Tony 35/1
Paul Casey 50/1
Jason Day 80/1
Hideki 33/1
Si Woo Kim 70/1
Harris English 100/1
Willett 200/1
Jimmy Walker 500/1

I couldn't see any of the others from the article mentioned; else I'd have also done Kelly Kraft , Sergio , Alex Cejka , Nick Taylor , and Tyler Duncan..

Besta luck everyone :)

costacorta

Hovland 33/1 5 places quarter odds

C Smith 40/1 8 places fifth odds

Koepka 33/1 8 places fifth odds

LuckyGent88

Jon Rahm to win @ 14/1

And all the following e/w
Hovland @ 20/1
Reed @33/1
Can smith @ 45/1
Marc Leishman 66/1
Tommy Fleetwood 66/1
Shane Lowry 70/1
And last but not least
Max homa 125/1

Really hope with get a bunched leaderboard come Sunday with a lot of the top top players. Then throw in a decent wind and watch some grinding pars.
Or just give me a Rory v Speith showdown

Innish_Rebel

I went:
Hovland @ 18/1
MacIntyre @ 80/1
Homa @ 100/1
Higgo @ 90/1
Cam Smith @ 35/1

then out of loyalty
McIlroy @ 11/1

Couldn't bring myself to follow heart on Lowry @ 50/1 - really hope I'm wrong...

The_Kew_Tour

Speith 18
Bryson 22 both win only

Hatton 55
Lowry 95
Louis 110
Woodland 130 all ew place at 8 separate.


Frl
Keegan 55/1 1/4 5 places
Wallace 100/1 ew 7 places

GL all

FRL

Tommy 50/1
Tyrrell 50/1
ew 1/5 1-8 both

And McIlroy to miss the cut @ 4/1

Salvation Tambourine

Hovland e/w - 18/1
Xander e/w - 18/1
Fitzpatrick e/w - 40/1
Viktor Hovland, Patrick Reed, Will Zalatoris, Daniel Berger & Collin Morikawa top 40 finish - 11/1

Pogue eile

McIllroy for win and FRL (latter boosted to 28/1 on PP which seems massive)
Hovland
Hatton
Fleetwood
Wallace
MacIntyre

Based on the above you can expect an all American leaderboard on Sunday night

Scoundrel

Rahm 12s

Hatton 40s

Rose 66s

Grace 125s

Martin Laird first round leader 200/1 ew

Paul Casey 70-1 outright ew

Both beautiful ballstrikers and in the case of Casey, I find in insane that he is as big as 70's this week. Good luck to all who have placed a few wagers this week!

Frisbee

Berger e/w @ 25/1
Cantlay e/w @ 40/1

T20
Conners @ 12/5
Reed @ 7/4
Ancer @ 2/1
Scott @ 4/1
Xander @ 10/11

Koepka MC @ 13/8
Na MC @ 5/4
Todd MC @ evens

Low Round 65 & Over @ evens
Casey, Cam Smith & Ancer Top 40 @ 11/2

sydthebeat

schwartzel e/w @80s

coming in with some steadily improving form.

Dr. Bre

Did Perez wiesberger Macintyre and Detry cos I am hearing it’s a course that will suit the Europeans.

IAmTitleist

Tyrell Hatton and Daniel Berger.

Also did Joel Dahmen after he predicted a top 20 finish in a video i seen on instagram yesterday. :eek::D

OwlsZat

Went for Hatton, Ancer and Lowry.

Schwartzel seems a good shout too. Not so sure on Rahm. Been awful lately by all accounts and had a few MCs.

eagle eye

He hasn't been awful, he's very close but just not firing on all cylinders. It could happen any week but it's going on a bit longer than expected.

CMcsporty

Xander
Bradley
Bubba

Motivator

LuckyGent88 wrote: »

Jon Rahm to win @ 14/1

And all the following e/w
Hovland @ 20/1
Reed @33/1
Can smith @ 45/1
Marc Leishman 66/1
Tommy Fleetwood 66/1
Shane Lowry 70/1
And last but not least
Max homa 125/1

Really hope with get a bunched leaderboard come Sunday with a lot of the top top players. Then throw in a decent wind and watch some grinding pars.
Or just give me a Rory v Speith showdown

Serious question here, how do you get any enjoyment in backing 10 golfers in a tournament?

OwlsZat

eagle eye wrote: »

He hasn't been awful, he's very close but just not firing on all cylinders. It could happen any week but it's going on a bit longer than expected.

Fair enough. He certainly has it in the locker! just haven't seen it recently. Maybe caught him in his bad points as of late.

Keano

Motivator wrote: »

Serious question here, how do you get any enjoyment in backing 10 golfers in a tournament?

It gives you ten chances of winning! Also golf isn’t like most sports where the favourites will typically be in the mix. Why not back a few as putting all your eggs in one basket when it comes to golf is crazy

Pogue eile

Motivator wrote: »

Serious question here, how do you get any enjoyment in backing 10 golfers in a tournament?

Some bookies are paying up to 10 places in a book where literally every single player is what could be considered as an e/w price. From an 'ev' perspective I think its probably far more +ev than spreading yourself thinly.

Usually go with 6 from the start myself and will add one or two Saturday/Sunday for the Majors.

PARlance

Fancy Cameron Smith this week.
Also Reed, Fleetwood and Lowry to possibly handle the conditions better than most.

thewobbler

Motivator wrote: »

Serious question here, how do you get any enjoyment in backing 10 golfers in a tournament?

There’s 156 players and you could only safely rule out around 50 of them.

10 bets is too many for me personally but I can understand the logic behind it. If a couple of ew shots land, your week is covered. Anything else is a bonus.

eagle eye

My bets and they are looking at it from different angles.
I backed Sam Burns and Garrick Higgo because they are currently the hottest golfers on their tours.
Then I did up stats.
We are looking for good ball strikers so I took those stats and then added the scoring rankings for par 3's 200-250 yards, par 4's 450-500 yards and par 5's 550-600 yards.

The result of that in order was Schauffele, Simpson, DeChambeau, Im, Ortiz, Morikawa, Palmer, Zalatoris, Conners, List, Bradley, Watson, Smith, Oosthuizen, Scheffler, Niemann, Ghim, Berger, Kokrak, Hovland and Hoffman.

Out of those I backed Simpson, Im and Scheffler.

Motivator

Pogue eile wrote: »

Some bookies are paying up to 10 places in a book where literally every single player is what could be considered as an e/w price. From an 'ev' perspective I think its probably far more +ev than spreading yourself thinly.

Usually go with 6 from the start myself and will add one or two Saturday/Sunday for the Majors.

Yes, and the same bookies are absolutely fleecing you on the prices. They’re offering 10 places to sucker people in. Backing that many players ew you’re losing your win money instantly so while your chances of backing the winner is obviously enhanced you’re not getting the best value.

If you want an interest with multiple players then back the two/three ball groups those players are in with doubles, trebles and accums. For less money you’re giving yourself a greater chance of getting something back and if they all click then you’re laughing.

callaway92

Motivator wrote: »

Yes, and the same bookies are absolutely fleecing you on the prices. They’re offering 10 places to sucker people in. Backing that many players ew you’re losing your win money instantly so while your chances of backing the winner is obviously enhanced you’re not getting the best value.

If you want an interest with multiple players then back the two/three ball groups those players are in with doubles, trebles and accums. For less money you’re giving yourself a greater chance of getting something back and if they all click then you’re laughing.

To the casual punter though, it’s the 10 places that encourages them to bet, so the price is really irrelevant to an extent.

As much as someone who knows betting knows the markup in price is horrible, some people either don’t know it or even don’t really care. They just want something that’ll keep them interested for the 4 days and having 10 possible ways to cash is a nice encouragement.

Golf Crazy Guy

Golf Crazy Guy wrote: »

Martin Laird first round leader 200/1 ew

Paul Casey 70-1 outright ew

Both beautiful ballstrikers and in the case of Casey, I find in insane that he is as big as 70's this week. Good luck to all who have placed a few wagers this week!

Laird and Casey going very nicely thank you very much! Keep it lit!!

Pogue eile

Motivator wrote: »

Yes, and the same bookies are absolutely fleecing you on the prices. They’re offering 10 places to sucker people in. Backing that many players ew you’re losing your win money instantly so while your chances of backing the winner is obviously enhanced you’re not getting the best value.

If you want an interest with multiple players then back the two/three ball groups those players are in with doubles, trebles and accums. For less money you’re giving yourself a greater chance of getting something back and if they all click then you’re laughing.

Dont agree at all and looking at the top 10-15 in the markets the bookies offering 10 places were pretty much in line with the others. It was also possible to take the best price on every player for a minimum of 8 players.

Nor sure what you mean by the second sentence, if its simply that only one pkayer can win then I think that is very obvious, it doesnt make dutching multiple players any less valuable.

Backing 10 players in doubles, trebles and accums will cost less than backing 10 players outright???

castletownman

castletownman wrote: »

I've gone Koepka at 40s (couldn't believe the price, although I know he has been injured), Conners at 66s and Schwartzel at 100/1 (playing into some form). All e/w

Koepka and Conners look like good prices now. Delighted with my start :eek:

The_Kew_Tour

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Frl
Keegan 55/1 1/4 5 places
Wallace 100/1 ew 7 places

GL all

A nice place to start off, although I have a bit sliced off over few extra places.

Good luck to everyone for next 3 days

billy3sheets

Backed Connors, Mickelson and Hatton for Top 10. All under par after 1st round. Berger for Top 5 looks a loser but he started slow last week again and climbed up the leaderboard.
I bet Top 5 or Top 10 on the Betfair Exchange in golf last few years with some success. Odds seem decent and I don't feel like I'm betting against myself with multiple bets.

callaway92

billy3sheets wrote: »

Backed Connors, Mickelson and Hatton for Top 10. All under par after 1st round. Berger for Top 5 looks a loser but he started slow last week again and climbed up the leaderboard.
I bet Top 5 or Top 10 on the Betfair Exchange in golf last few years with some success. Odds seem decent and I don't feel like I'm betting against myself with multiple bets.

Nice of you to tell us about the bet after the 1st Round