Golf Betting MegaThread *** See Mod warning in post #2 & 214***

billy3sheets

callaway92 wrote: »

Nice of you to tell us about the bet after the 1st Round

Early doors. The slums of Chicago are full of first round leaders Peter Jacobsen’s famous quote.
I'll try to get them to you sooner next week

eagle eye

callaway92 wrote:

Nice of you to tell us about the bet after the 1st Round

Well in fairness it's not like he's saying he backed them to win the tournament.

callaway92

eagle eye wrote: »

Well in fairness it's not like he's saying he backed them to win the tournament.

Yeh, I’m not sure you understand. It’s aftertiming just as bad saying he backed them for Top 10 after the first round given the implied odds of them now finishing in the top 10 after the first round.

Deeper Blue

Do people not understand aftertiming and why it's so annoying?

eagle eye

callaway92 wrote:

Yeh, I’m not sure you understand. It’s aftertiming just as bad saying he backed them for Top 10 after the first round given the implied odds of them now finishing in the top 10 after the first round.

Deeper Blue wrote:

Do people not understand aftertiming and why it's so annoying?

I understand aftertiming but this isn't some guy coming on saying he's backed a 100/1 shot to win the tournament when it's over.
It's after one round, there's still three to go, and it's only top ten bets. It's very minor and anybody having a problem with that has issues they need to deal with imo.

Mod Comment, easy with that last sentence, stick to Betting comments please

callaway92

eagle eye wrote: »

I understand aftertiming but this isn't some guy coming on saying he's backed a 100/1 shot to win the tournament when it's over.
It's after one round, there's still three to go, and it's only top ten bets. It's very minor and anybody having a problem with that has issues they need to deal with imo.

Nah - It just takes the fun away seeing someone come in after the value of their bets has gone up massively to announce what they’ve backed.

But unfair to say people have issues to deal with.

^^^^

Be like me saying I backed Brandon to be 2RL an hour ago @ 7/2 :P

Not as if there isn't half the field yet to tee off

Keano

Let us doing the modding thanks

Mysterypunter

I backed Kokrak today ew @66-1 6 places, only because I backed Abraham Ancer at the start, and he had a 7 on a par 5, fine achievement considering he had 216 from the fairway for his second shot. Kokrak is teeing off at 7:04,so he hasn't hit a shot since I backed him, so that's not after timing, even par would be a good score

billy3sheets

Didn't realize my post would cause such a stir! My purpose wasn't anything other than to share my bets, whether they were going good or bad. I'd never heard of aftertiming before this thread. Does it apply to bad bets as well as good ones?

Mysterypunter

billy3sheets wrote: »

Didn't realize my post would cause such a stir! My purpose wasn't anything other than to share my bets, whether they were going good or bad. I'd never heard of aftertiming before this thread. Does it apply to bad bets as well as good ones?

Some people crack up over it, it's considered poor etiquette, but others are not too pushed, it's not like you made it up, you had the bets. Aftertiming is like saying I punted Leicester at 5000/1 to win the premiership, and doubled them with the grand national winner, its considered showing off. In some cases its ridiculous, some of the racing punters are fantasists. Good luck with your selections

Pogue eile

Pogue eile wrote: »

McIllroy for win and FRL (latter boosted to 28/1 on PP which seems massive)
Hovland
Hatton
Fleetwood
Wallace
MacIntyre

Based on the above you can expect an all American leaderboard on Sunday night

5/6 make the cut but none really threathening, have added Koepka @4s and Berger, Spieth and Rahm for Top 10 - hopeing that the early starters get the more favourable conditions.

callaway92

Couple of wildcard punts for the weekend:

McIlroy win
Rahm win

Rahm in particular is the one player that can come from a mile back out of nowhere to win, so I like him at 80s

McIlroy very punty but I don’t think he’s a disgrace at 66/1

Brenty

Phil and Koepka to make par or better on Hole one boosted to evs on skybet

Dr. Bre

Harrington and Lowry in a battle fir top European!

The_Kew_Tour

The_Kew_Tour wrote: »

Speith 18
Bryson 22 both win only

Hatton 55
Lowry 95
Louis 110
Woodland 130 all ew place at 8 separate.


Frl
Keegan 55/1 1/4 5 places
Wallace 100/1 ew 7 places

GL all

3 placed for the week so can't complain. Will take that. Pity Woodland faded away

Well done to Phil backers, and Harrington too.

Delighted for Phil. Looks as fit now as he did 15 years ago

Deeper Blue

Ben Coley tipped Mickelson to be top former champion at 28/1 pre tournament

Some going, although if you'd told me you were putting money on it last Wednesday I'd have said you were mad

GillLebowski

My bets on Hoffman and Bradley for Top 20 are showing as lost... Is this because of the amount of players tied for 17th?

And Ancer top Rest of the World is only showing as a place, do South Africans count in that market now?

RoadRunner

RoadRunner wrote: »

Woodland
Harrington
Stricker
All E/W

Harrington was 400/1 :pac:

PopePalpatine

GillLebowski wrote: »

My bets on Hoffman and Bradley for Top 20 are showing as lost... Is this because of the amount of players tied for 17th?

And Ancer top Rest of the World is only showing as a place, do South Africans count in that market now?

Does your bookie have a "Results" page? I've just checked Bet365, and even though there's a "Top South African" market, they've included South Africans in the "Top Rest of World" market too.

OwlsZat

OwlsZat wrote: »

Went for Hatton, Ancer and Lowry.

Schwartzel seems a good shout too. Not so sure on Rahm. Been awful lately by all accounts and had a few MCs.

Ancer and Lowry returned EW. Ancer was tied with a million players so literally got stake back. Better on Lowry, so returned a small profit overall.

Happy enough really because between Mickelson and Brooks I'd never have picked them. Delighted for Phil though. Some result.

Deeper Blue

RoadRunner wrote: »

Harrington was 400/1 :pac:

Great stuff, hope you made a nice bit for that one

redzerdrog

redzerdrog wrote: »

My long shortlist is
Rory @12s
Dustin @20s
Hatton @60s
Fleetwood @55s
Lowry @90s
Grace @160/1
Burmenster @350/1
Sullivan @350/1
Coetzee @600/1
Harrington @750/1

Never got so much fun and or profit out of a place. Lowry @90s and Harrington @750s made for an enjoyable weekend!

billy3sheets

billy3sheets wrote: »

Backed Connors, Mickelson and Hatton for Top 10. All under par after 1st round. Berger for Top 5 looks a loser but he started slow last week again and climbed up the leaderboard.
I bet Top 5 or Top 10 on the Betfair Exchange in golf last few years with some success. Odds seem decent and I don't feel like I'm betting against myself with multiple bets.

Only got paid on Phil in Top 10 but that at 28/1

thecretinhop

had victor and woodland cash out at 350e at one stage fk it anway. lol

Scoundrel

Scoundrel wrote: »

Rahm 12s

Hatton 40s

Rose 66s

Grace 125s

2 places at 12s and 66s gutted with grace who was in the places all tournament until a rotten final round.

Frisbee

Frisbee wrote: »

Berger e/w @ 25/1
Cantlay e/w @ 40/1

T20
Conners @ 12/5
Reed @ 7/4
Ancer @ 2/1
Scott @ 4/1
Xander @ 10/11

Koepka MC @ 13/8
Na MC @ 5/4
Todd MC @ evens

Low Round 65 & Over @ evens
Casey, Cam Smith & Ancer Top 40 @ 11/2

Some good and some tough.

Had written my Cantlay bet off then saw he was T13 before R4 so ignore the cashout. Last I saw he was T6 so thought I would get an ok place. T23 he finished in the end which I didn't realise until Monday morning.

My 65 low round looked very safe until Abe Ancer went on a madness on Sunday, luckily missing his birdie putt on 18 for a 64.

Cam Smith imploded Sunday to ruin that final treble.

And of course my Koepka Missed Cut looked great

RoadRunner

Deeper Blue wrote: »

Great stuff, hope you made a nice bit for that one

€200 on an ew with a fairly low stake to begin with.
(My bigger bet was on gary woodland who sadly had a 'mare on the back nine)

PopePalpatine

Scoundrel wrote: »

2 places at 12s and 66s gutted with grace who was in the places all tournament until a rotten final round.

Branden really disgraced himself (and my account balance) with that chokejob.

Scoundrel

PopePalpatine wrote: »

Branden really disgraced himself (and my account balance) with that chokejob.

Yep mine too would have had a decent profit if he had placed. He's very close to going on my never back again list.

redzerdrog

Was also on grace so was watching him closely all week and to be honest for each of the first 3 days o was astounded he was still under par at the end of them. He was all over the shop at times.

There was hope going into Sunday that it would click for him but unfortunately it all caught up with him. I wasn't surprised to see him slip down the leaderboard even if we barely got to see a shot from him on the coverage

redzerdrog

Grillo

Kieffer
Suri

E/w singles/doubles and frl

eagle eye

Morikawa, Berger, then Hoffman and Grillo without big 5.

In Europe, Schwab, Fox, Crocker and Antcliff.

Senior PGA, Kelly, Els, Karlsson and Broadhurst.

billy3sheets

Rose @8.6, Reed @5.9, Morikawa @4.8 for Top 5.

The_Kew_Tour

Reed 23
Rose 38
Im 48
D McCarthy 470

Have all 4 in Top 5 too

Frl Rose 38 and top 5

Gl all..

Dr. Bre

Bjork and arnaus in Denmark

Poston Streel and Ortiz in USA

Frisbee

Scheffler & Zalatoris Top 20.

eagle eye

Boyle's have a great offer this week, paying six places without the top 7 in the betting.

I'm on Hoffman, Burns, Bradley, Bezuidenhout and Tringale in that market.

On the European I really like Canter. Have to decide who I'm adding from Ryan Fox, Van Tonder, Nicolai Hoojgard, Min Woo Lee and Richard Mansell.
This is a really long course so favours big hitters. Driving distance and shots gained off the tee are the categories to look at.

The_Kew_Tour

Boyles odds are absolutely awful even with 10 places

eagle eye

The_Kew_Tour wrote:

Boyles odds are absolutely awful even with 10 places

On the without market it's potentially 13 places.

Dr. Bre

Paddy has Paid out on Rahm

paulie21

US Open

Patrick Reed 28/1
Shane Lowry 45/1
Branden Grace 125/1

tobsey

Mcilroy
Lowry
Xander
Louis

All each way

Plasandrunt

Morikawa
Reed
Cantlay all e/w

castletownman

Cantlay
Bezuidenhout

Both e/w

LuckyGent88

Hovland
Morikawa
Lowry
Leishman
Kokrak
Homa

All e/w and then gone with winner only on Rahm a few weeks ago at slightly better odds than he is now.
Previous winner at course and loves the place anyway as he got engaged there

costacorta

Gone with Justin Thomas as main bet 20/1 .. Have a few smal EW bets at big rices on Woodland , Streelman , Palmer , Bubba and Lanto Griffin.

LuckyGent88

costacorta wrote: »

Gone with Justin Thomas as main bet 20/1 .. Have a few smal EW bets at big rices on Woodland , Streelman , Palmer , Bubba and Lanto Griffin.

Think the caution and lack of talk over Thomas is that he never plays the Farmers tournament at Torrey. Usually one of the bigger opening tournaments and he skips it. Maybe doesn’t think it suits his eye

costacorta

LuckyGent88 wrote: »

Think the caution and lack of talk over Thomas is that he never plays the Farmers tournament at Torrey. Usually one of the bigger opening tournaments and he skips it. Maybe doesn’t think it suits his eye

Ya but on his day he is up there with the Top 10 golfers . Sometimes might be better waiting until Saturday morning to have a bet once cut is made as sometimes still get value ..

PARlance

LuckyGent88 wrote: »

Think the caution and lack of talk over Thomas is that he never plays the Farmers tournament at Torrey. Usually one of the bigger opening tournaments and he skips it. Maybe doesn’t think it suits his eye

I would be more concerned with his putting. It's horrendous at the moment. His final round last weekend was his worst putting round since he turned pro, they did a big segment on his putting woes on NBC last night.