Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion 2013/14

snowstorm445

Lashing rain in Cork for the past 5 minutes. Cork Airport seems to be down on the Met.ie website, hit by lightning perhaps?

Gonzo

few heavy showers here today in between the very warm sunny spells, surprised I havent heard any thunder.

jaffusmax

Thunder over Dundalk right now

jimmynokia

Got caught in it myself today rain coming in from right here

maquiladora

I think there is a risk tomorrow of a severe thunderstorm in the west in the morning/afternoon.

Even though CAPE values aren't shown to be higher than today, there are some other things to consider :

Storm Relative Helicity : 250 to 300 m²/s²
Shear 0-1 km : 30 to 35 kts
Shear 0-6 km : ~30 kts

(http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/)

Vertical velocity :



It's all based off the 12Z GFS. Maybe other models don't show quite the same output, we'll see what Estofex says about tomorrow later. It may not happen at all.

sunbabe08

Sum dark clouds passing over to my north here in youghal :-(

pad199207

Torrential rain in Naas now

pad199207

Torrential rain in Naas now

Elmer Blooker

Slashermcguirk wrote: »

Still no sign of rain in Dublin, that must be 3 weeks of no rain now. Looking at met eireann website, due to be sunny and warm for next couple if days too. Thought the warm weather was meant to be gone by now and rain was meant to fall already

The forecast on the radio just before six oclock said showers tomorrow in Munster, Connacht and later in south Leinster and dry on Thurs and Fri. I think Dublin will see little or nothing so back to work tonight filling the watering cans! :mad:

redsteveireland

Another heavy one heading for Galway City - according to www.raintoday.co.uk radar, think I might head outside for a look.

rc28

Finally had first bit of rain in over 3 weeks (for my part of Meath) around 6pm, barely wet the ground although it looks like more is coming.

Alfa Quadrifoglio

Raining in south Dublin now no sign of T & L

jaffusmax

jaffusmax wrote: »

Thunder over Dundalk right now

That was a fantastic little cell, 10 minutes of as heavy rain as I've ever seen, halfway through it was falling at a 45 degree angle, brilliant.

maquiladora

Tomorrow. The auld warning signs have been dusted off for the west :

jaffusmax

Deleted User wrote: »

That was a fantastic little cell, 10 minutes of as heavy rain as I've ever seen, halfway through it was falling at a 45 degree angle, brilliant.

Had to talk my daughter from out under the table, it was awesome seeing her reaction

diceyd

lads i took a couple of pictures of a weird looking cloud outside my house but i dont know how to put them on here

deconduo

Absolute downpour in Dublin at the moment.

maquiladora

diceyd wrote: »

lads i took a couple of pictures of a weird looking cloud outside my house but i dont know how to put them on here

Upload it to imgur.com and paste the link of the uploaded image here.

Iancar29

maquiladora wrote: »

I think there is a risk tomorrow of a severe thunderstorm in the west in the morning/afternoon.

Even though CAPE values aren't shown to be higher than today, there are some other things to consider :

Storm Relative Helicity : 250 to 300 m²/s²
Shear 0-1 km : 30 to 35 kts
Shear 0-6 km : ~30 kts

(http://www.lightningwizard.com/maps/)

Vertical velocity :



It's all based off the 12Z GFS. Maybe other models don't show quite the same output, we'll see what Estofex says about tomorrow later. It may not happen at all.

I agree Maq! , low level shear is real strong for that time period , and deep convergence levels are the highest in the chart area!



I suspect estofex to give out a level 2 for intense ppn and isolated tornado.

zenno

The rain is coming down very very hard in swords now, it's intensity seems to be increasing with each burst.

maquiladora

Iancar29 wrote: »

I agree Maq! , low level shear is real strong for that time period , and deep convergence levels are the highest in the chart area!

I suspect estofex to give out a level 2 for intense ppn and isolated tornado.

I was looking at Limerick on that custom Skew-T thing on Netweather for tomorrow.

K : 36
TT : 53

The only thing lacking is the CAPE, but high hundreds may be enough with eveything else looking good?

Totofan99

A few rumbles of thunder just now in North East Galway.

hotwhiskey

Supercell over a Montana prairie, US. About hour ago. Tweeted by Ian Fergusson

That's what I call a storm!

murrayp4

hotwhiskey wrote: »

Supercell over a Montana prairie, US. About hour ago. Tweeted by Ian Fergusson

That's what I call a storm!

Shenanigans...

redsteveireland

Totofan99 wrote: »

A few rumbles of thunder just now in North East Galway.

Just over my house i think

redsteveireland

141_Oscar_Mike wrote: »

Hey Galway, You've had enough fun for one day.
Sincerely,
-Kilkenny.

You can never have enough storm fun!

sunbabe08

141_Oscar_Mike wrote: »

Hey Galway, You've had enough fun for one day.
Sincerely,
-Kilkenny.

U can put cork at the end of that letter

Chris_5339762

Dublin 16 here and no rain at all, despite a deluge in the north of Dublin that caused at least one flight to have a go-around.

http://i.imgur.com/yGyi1V4.jpg (Linked for huge)

Oneiric 3

Appalling quality but was lucky enough to catch one small strike earlier today

Elmer Blooker

Chris_5339762 wrote: »

Dublin 16 here and no rain at all, despite a deluge in the north of Dublin that caused at least one flight to have a go-around.

not here, I got one millimeter, it kept the dust down for a few minutes and made a nice smell but that was about all.