August 2013 Boards forecast contest

Joe Public

Rickylovesuall wrote: »

Come on Cork!

which won't be the first time I'll be shouting that this weekend

A cork race on the floods maybe a better chance

M.T. Cranium

August forecast content entries
______________________________________

FORECASTER _________ IMT __ MAX __ MIN __ PRC __ SUN __ IMT rain max

keith96 _______________ 17.5 _ 31.0 _ 8.5 _ 090 _ 130 _ 200 _ Cla
H2UMrsRobinson _______ 17.2 _ 26.2 _ 9.2 _ 095 _ 120 _ 378 _ Cor
dasa29 _______________ 17.0 _ 28.0 _ 5.0 _ 120 _ 100 _ 110 _ Mul
dacogawa ____________ 16.9 _ 28.9 _ 5.4 _ 092 _ 130 _ 155 _ Cor
rameire ____ (-5) ______ 16.9 _ 26.0 _ 5.5 _ 099 _ 095 _ 101 _ Cor
Jpmarn _______________ 16.8 _ 30.1 _ 6.8 _ 055 _ 170 _ 081 _ Cla
mickger844posts _______ 16.8 _ 28.1 _ 7.1 _ 085 _ 115 _ 100 _ Cor
talkabout _____________ 16.8 _ 27.8 _ 5.9 _ 110 _ 095 _ 115 _ Mul
M.T. Cranium __________ 16.8 _ 27.8 _ 4.5 _ 100 _ 105 _ 124 _ Cla
Pauldry _______________ 16.4 _ 27.2 _ 4.0 _ 080 _ 121 _ 128 _ Cla
seafields ______________ 16.4 _ 26.4 _ 7.0 _ 130 _ 075 _ 080 _ Cas
jd ____________________ 16.3 _ 28.9 _ 5.1 _ 110 _ 115 _ 104 _ Cla
lostinashford ___________ 16.3 _ 27.9 _ 4.1 _ 106 _ 103 _ 156 _ Cor
rickylovesuall __________ 16.2 _ 28.5 _ 4.6 _ 100 _ 120 _ 180 _ Cor
John mac _____________ 16.1 _ 26.1 _ 5.6 _ 110 _ 100 _ 101 _ Mul
200motels ____________ 16.0 _ 30.0 _11.0 _ 075 _ 121 _ 072 _ Cor
snowstreams __________ 16.0 _ 26.9 _ 3.5 _ 088 _ 115 _ 087 _ Cla

Con Sensus ____________ 16.0 _ 27.0 _ 5.1 _ 100 _ 103 _ 118 _ Cla,Cor

Bsal __________________ 16.0 _ 24.8 _ 5.1 _ 112 _ 095 _ 122 _ Oak
Joe Public _____________ 15.9 _ 27.9 _ 5.9 _ 089 _ 109 _ 129 _ Cor
Jerry Seinfeld __________ 15.8 _ 26.0 _ 3.0 _ 115 _ 095 _ 150 _ Cor
kindredspirit ___________ 15.7 _ 26.5 _ 4.8 _ 085 _ 115 _ 080 _ Cor
nilhg _________________ 15.4 _ 27.1 _ 5.9 _ 105 _ 095 _ 105 _ Cla
DOCARCH ___ (-10) _____15.3 _ 28.2 _ 4.6 _ 088 _ 115 _ 138 _ Mul
Strasser ______________ 15.3 _ 25.0 _ 5.0 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100 _ Cor
omicron _______________15.3 _ 25.0 _ 5.0 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100 _ Cla
homolumo _____________ 15.2 _ 27.1 _ 3.0 _ 091 _ 103 _ 291 _ Cla
singers ________________15.2 _ 26.0 _ 6.2 _ 140 _ 090 _ 120 _ Cor
Tae laidir ______________ 15.2 _ 23.8 _ 4.4 _ 132 _ 104 _ 135 _ Cor
Harps _________________15.1 _ 25.5 _ 5.0 _ 120 _ 100 _ 120 _ Cor
traecy.1 _____ (-10) ____15.1 _ 25.3 _ 7.3 _ 120 _ 095 _ 125 _ Cla
cherryghost __ (-10) ____ 14.9 _ 25.5 _10.0 _ 105 _ 095 _ 100 _ Mul
blackbird99 ____________ 14.8 _ 26.0 _ 3.5 _ 091 _ 105 _ 087 _ Cla
okla _________ (-20) ___ 14.5 _ 26.2 _ 3.9 _ 120 _ 085 _ 105 _ Cla
delw _________________ 14.3 _ 27.0 _12.0 _ 110 _ 099 _ 190 _ Cor
_______________________________________________________________

The consensus view of August is slightly warmer than average, near normal in rain and sunshine, with the heaviest rainfalls of about 120 mm in either Cork or Claremorris.

Tae laidir

49.9 Oak Park (29.5 yesterday!) Bsal alone.
33.9 Cork Airport
25.1 Casement
21.5 Claremorris
18.5 Mullingar

Calremorris forecast to do some catchup in the next few days.

Tae laidir

League Tables to today
74.3 Oar Park. Bsal ye boy ye
53.7 Casement
43.0 Cork
42.9 Claremorris
34.4 The Joe Show

Rikand

those random thunderstorms are boosting Carlow and Dublin. Might be the first time in history that the east coast gets more rain than the south or west

M.T. Cranium

The IMT was on 16.0(4) after 15 days. Looked to me as though rainfall is running about 20% above on average with some stations as high as 200% others below normal by 30% or so. Did not check any sunshine data but suspect it is well below average around 70% perhaps? Have seen a max of 24.8 at Oak Park, no min likely to qualify yet. That max doesn't look very safe either.

Tae laidir

League Tables to today:
77.5 Oak Park
63.5 Claremorris
54.6 Casement
49.5 Cork Airport
41.0 Mullingar

Not over yet - The Fat Lady is Rehearsing!

M.T. Cranium

Better be fat on the left side then.

M.T. Cranium

16.1 for the IMT as of today, rainfall seems to be converging on the 90-100 per cent finishing zone as not much more rain seems likely now, and sunshine could improve with a late burst and reach the same figures perhaps?

The lowest MIN that I can find is 7.7 at Mountdillon on the 7th (sevens are wild there), but Met.ie keep surprising me with new faces at the table in their MS reports, so in any case with some clear nights in the outlook period some rural spot could drop lower than that although 5-6 seems about the lower limit from this pattern. I would not be surprised to see a 26 or 27 near the end of the month, there again 28 seems to be about the highest the pattern could support.

There could be some fairly good scoring looking at the table. The bonus is probably all but settled now but I haven't looked at the details.

Tae laidir

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

There could be some fairly good scoring

By Con :mad:

M.T. Cranium

Just checking the table of entries against the spreadsheet in the entry form and I did note two errors in my transcribing, mixing up PRC and SUN numbers for dasa29 and being 0.1 off on the max for Seafields. This table corrects those errors. I was mostly wanting to doublecheck that I had the right values and stations for the bonus. Then I noted that the rules never specified that the amount of rain is worth 8 pts and the correct location nets 2, but I will amend that to say, if only one person gets the location right (i.e., Bsal for Oak Park) then that will be worth 4, if two people are right it's 3 and if a crowd then 2. That will apply in future similar questions (which we plan to have, you can look at September already though I have not announced it yet).

So here's the slightly amended and tidied up table of entries with the necessary corrections. Think it's all good now.

August forecast content entries
______________________________________

FORECASTER _________ IMT __ MAX __ MIN __ PRC __ SUN __ IMT rain max

keith96 _______________17.5 _ 31.0 _ 8.5 _ 090 _ 130 _ 200 _ Cla
H2UMrsRobinson _______ 17.2 _ 26.2 _ 9.2 _ 095 _ 120 _ 378 _ Cor
dasa29 _______________ 17.0 _ 28.0 _ 5.0 _ 100 _ 120 _ 110 _ Mul
dacogawa _____________16.9 _ 28.9 _ 5.4 _ 092 _ 130 _ 155 _ Cor
rameire ____ (-5) ______ 16.9 _ 26.0 _ 5.5 _ 099 _ 095 _ 101 _ Cor
Jpmarn _______________ 16.8 _ 30.1 _ 6.8 _ 055 _ 170 _ 081 _ Cla
mickger844posts _______ 16.8 _ 28.1 _ 7.1 _ 085 _ 115 _ 100 _ Cor
talkabout _____________ 16.8 _ 27.8 _ 5.9 _ 110 _ 095 _ 115 _ Mul
M.T. Cranium __________ 16.8 _ 27.8 _ 4.5 _ 100 _ 105 _ 124 _ Cla
Pauldry _______________ 16.4 _ 27.2 _ 4.0 _ 080 _ 121 _ 128 _ Cla
seafields ______________ 16.4 _ 26.5 _ 7.0 _ 130 _ 075 _ 080 _ Cas
jd ____________________16.3 _ 28.9 _ 5.1 _ 110 _ 115 _ 104 _ Cla
lostinashford ___________ 16.3 _ 27.9 _ 4.1 _ 106 _ 103 _ 156 _ Cor
rickylovesuall __________ 16.2 _ 28.5 _ 4.6 _ 100 _ 120 _ 180 _ Cor
John mac _____________ 16.1 _ 26.1 _ 5.6 _ 110 _ 100 _ 101 _ Mul
200motels ____________ 16.0 _ 30.0 _11.0 _ 075 _ 121 _ 072 _ Cor
snowstreams __________ 16.0 _ 26.9 _ 3.5 _ 088 _ 115 _ 087 _ Cla

Con Sensus ____________ 16.0 _ 27.0 _ 5.1 _ 100 _ 103 _ 118 _ Cla,Cor

Bsal __________________16.0 _ 24.8 _ 5.1 _ 112 _ 095 _ 122 _ Oak
Joe Public _____________ 15.9 _ 27.9 _ 5.9 _ 089 _ 109 _ 129 _ Cor
Jerry Seinfeld __________ 15.8 _ 26.0 _ 3.0 _ 115 _ 095 _ 150 _ Cor
kindredspirit ___________ 15.7 _ 26.5 _ 4.8 _ 085 _ 115 _ 080 _ Cor
nilhg _________________ 15.4 _ 27.1 _ 5.9 _ 105 _ 095 _ 105 _ Cla
DOCARCH ___ (-10) _____15.3 _ 28.2 _ 4.6 _ 088 _ 115 _ 138 _ Mul
Strasser ______________ 15.3 _ 25.0 _ 5.0 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100 _ Cor
omicron _______________15.3 _ 25.0 _ 5.0 _ 100 _ 100 _ 100 _ Cla
homolumo _____________15.2 _ 27.1 _ 3.0 _ 091 _ 103 _ 291 _ Cla
singers ________________15.2 _ 26.0 _ 6.2 _ 140 _ 090 _ 120 _ Cor
Tae laidir ______________15.2 _ 23.8 _ 4.4 _ 132 _ 104 _ 135 _ Cor
Harps _________________15.1 _ 25.5 _ 5.0 _ 120 _ 100 _ 120 _ Cor
traecy.1 _____ (-10) _____15.1 _ 25.3 _ 7.3 _ 120 _ 095 _ 125 _ Cla
cherryghost __ (-10) _____14.9 _ 25.5 _10.0 _ 105 _ 095 _ 100 _ Mul
blackbird99 ____________ 14.8 _ 26.0 _ 3.5 _ 091 _ 105 _ 087 _ Cla
okla _________ (-20) ___ 14.5 _ 26.2 _ 3.9 _ 120 _ 085 _ 105 _ Cla
delw _________________ 14.3 _ 27.0 _12.0 _ 110 _ 099 _ 190 _ Cor
_______________________________________________________________

M.T. Cranium

Tae laidir wrote: »

By Con :mad:

Finding the same in the U.S. forum contest that I score, Consensus his American cousin is beating all but six of about forty there in the annual and this month may move up past most of them. Oddly I have him covered for August, I seem to know where the heat is going to be on that side of the pond anyway. This month in Ireland, I would say that all I would need is a heavy thunderstorm over Claremorris to lay down a sheet of hail that would then affect morning lows and clear the air for non-stop sunshine. And I need that tomorrow to get to 16.8 or whatever. Some others have more realistic shots at beating Con, but not many. A torrential downpour at Mullingar would leave John mac quite happy (assuming he doesn't live there).

Hey, but we can all take pride in being 1/34 of Con Sensus. That's about 3%. (wow)

Tae laidir

And I need an ice sheet to break off Greenland, head swiftly south-eastwards, and become stationery off the Kerry coast, causing temperatures to plummet, and downpours in Cork, especially at the airport.
Oh, and in the next week!

pauldry

Rain bonus is going to be very tight. Its a really interesting one for the weather nerd like me.

Liked the last rain one too that was done where all the numbers for the day were totalled to make the wettest day.

Anyway all I need is a late burst of heat on a foggy morning with a thunderstorm in Claremorris (60mm please!) after Mayo bate the nordies!;)

M.T. Cranium

New MIN to report is 6.3 on 24th at Mountdillon.

Tae laidir

League Tables to yesterday.

85.2 Oak Park
70.3 Claremorris
62.8 Casement
51.1 Cork Airport
49.4 Mullingar

MT forecasting Drizzle, Showers and possible brief Thunderstorms, so I fear the Fat Lady will not be performing this month.
Congrats Bsal?

M.T. Cranium

There's a slight chance of Claremorris catching up at the very end, I think the pattern might give them more rain than Oak Park but 15 mm more? Rather doubtful, maybe a one in five chance. The other three are done, I think.

The IMT has slumped to 15.8 C in this cooler spell of cloudier days. May recover to end around 15.9 or 16.0. Not so sure about anything warmer than what we have already seen (24.8 I think). It's a slim chance anyway. The air is warm enough but too stable to permit enough sunshine.

September thread is open for business.

Joe Public

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

New MIN to report is 6.3 on 24th at Mountdillon.

Happy to report 5.9 at Oak Park on 31st

Tae laidir

Final Table:

85.6 Oak Park - Congrats Bsal
72.3 Claremorris
63.3 Casement
51.8 Mullingar
51.6 Cork Airport

pauldry

moorepark in Cork got a min of 5.4c

M.T. Cranium

Hope to be able to give final numbers and scores tomorrow.

IMT is 15.7.

Precip appears to be about 73%.

Sunshine is probably about the same.

M.T. Cranium

Scores for August

These are now somewhat revised from the published data. My eyesight caused one error, sure I saw 24.8 at Oak Park go by on the yesterday's weather report but it turns out to be 24.3 (on the 17th, the low was confirmed to be 5.4 at Moorepark Fermoy on 31st) ... that brought the minimum scoring rule into play for the higher scores because nobody was within 0.5 of 24.3 -- one was higher and one was lower by that much. Max scores have to reach 18, 16, 15, 14, 13 etc so this gave two scores of 18, followed by two at 15 then 13, two at 12, one at 10 etc, oddly enough most of the people who had scored before got almost the same scores this way. My rainfall and sunshine estimates were each a few percent out and required a bit of fixing too but in most cases the field picked up two points as a result because they were both a little higher like most of our guesses had been.

FORECASTER _________ IMT __ MAX __ MIN __ PRC __ SUN __ IMT rain max

Actual values__________15.7 _ 24.3 _ 5.4 _ 075 _ 079 _ 85.6 Oak

Bsal __________________22 _ 18*_17 _ 03 _ 07 _ 08** ___ 75
Strasser ______________ 21 _ 15*_16 _ 07 _ 06 _ 07 _____ 72
omicron _______________21 _ 15*_16 _ 07 _ 06 _ 07 _____ 72

kindredspirit ___________ 25 _ 03*_14 _ 12 _ 03 _ 08 _____ 65
rameire ____ (-5) ______ 13 _ 18*_19 _ 07 _ 07 _ 06 _____ 70-5 = 65
John mac _____________ 21 _ 06*_18 _ 03 _ 06 _ 06 _____ 60
Harps ________________ 19 _ 12*_16 _ 00 _ 06 _ 04 _____ 57
Joe Public _____________ 23 _ 00 _ 15 _ 10 _ 04 _ 03 _____ 55

Con Sensus ____________ 22 _ 00 _ 17 _ 07 _ 05 _ 04 ____ 55

nilhg _________________ 22 _ 00 _ 15 _ 05 _ 07 _ 05 _____ 54
singers ________________20 _ 09*_12 _ 00 _ 08 _ 04 _____ 53
blackbird99 ____________16 _ 09*_ 01 _ 10 _ 05 _ 08 _____ 49
Tae laidir ______________20 _ 10*_10 _ 00 _ 05 _ 02 _____ 47
jd ____________________19 _ 00 _ 17 _ 03 _ 03 _ 05 _____ 47
200motels _____________22 _ 00 _ 00 _ 15 _ 02 _ 07 _____ 46
snowstreams ___________22 _ 01*_01 _ 11 _ 03 _ 08 _____ 46
seafields ______________ 18 _ 03*_06 _ 00 _ 09 _ 08 _____ 44
dacogawa _____________ 13 _ 00 _ 20 _ 09 _ 00 _ 02 _____ 44
Jerry Seinfeld __________ 24 _ 09*_00 _ 02 _ 07 _ 02 _____ 44
talkabout ______________14 _ 00 _ 15 _ 03 _ 07 _ 04 _____ 43
Pauldry _______________ 18 _ 00 _ 06 _ 13 _ 02 _ 03 _____ 42
dasa29 _______________ 12 _ 00 _ 16 _ 07 _ 02 _ 05 _____ 42
rickylovesuall __________ 20 _ 00 _ 12 _ 07 _ 02 _ 01 _____ 42
M.T. Cranium __________ 14 _ 00 _ 11 _ 07 _ 05 _ 03 _____ 40
mickger844posts _______ 14 _ 00 _ 03 _ 12 _ 03 _ 07 _____ 39
DOCARCH ___ (-10) _____21 _ 00 _ 12 _ 11 _ 03 _ 02 _____ 49-10 = 39
cherryghost __ (-10) ____ 17 _ 12*_00 _ 05 _ 07 _ 07 _____ 48-10 = 38
lostinashford ___________19 _ 00 _ 07 _ 05 _ 05 _ 02 _____ 38
Jpmarn _______________ 14 _ 00 _ 06 _ 08 _ 00 _ 08 _____ 36
homolumo _____________20 _ 00 _ 00 _ 10 _ 05 _ 00 _____ 35
traecy.1 _____ (-10) ____ 19 _ 13*_01 _ 00 _ 07 _ 03 _____ 43-10 = 33
H2UMrsRobinson _______ 10 _ 05*_00 _ 08 _ 02 _ 00 _____ 25
delw _________________ 11 _ 00 _ 00 _ 03 _ 06 _ 01 _____ 21
keith96 _______________ 07 _ 00 _ 00 _ 10 _ 00 _ 01 _____ 18
okla _________ (-20) ___ 13 _ 05*_05 _ 00 _ 09 _ 05 _____ 37-20 = 17

* scores adjusted by minimum progression rule
** Bsal only one to forecast Oak Park, 4 pts bonus, all other scores out of 8.

Congrats to Bsal for leading the pack in August.

Quite a rare situation, omicron and Strasser had identical forecasts and also the second highest scores of 72. They were only different on which station would be wettest and both wrong on that. Otherwise, all the same numbers. Perhaps it's not as surprising as it sounds because quite a few of their forecasts were round numbers including 100% which tend to be default values when you're not sensing a trend.

Next up will be the updated annual scoring race.

M.T. Cranium

Annual scoring report

August scores posted above are merged into this table. The best 6 scores are maintained and adjusted from July if your August score was better than the previous second lowest that counted in July (assuming you had not missed a month). This best 6 will become best 7 next month, etc, until it stands as the final contest value for the main (boards.ie) award which is based on your best ten out of twelve. So starting this month, the table order goes by this final value, with your rank for total score in brackets. To make this clearer, I have moved the best 6 to the beginning of each scoring row.


rank/
best 6 _ Forecaster _______ J __ F __ M __ A __ M __ J __ J __ A __ Total

01 389 Con Sensus _______75 _ 69 _ 24 _ 60 _ 54 _ 76 _ 44 _ 55 ___ 457 (1)

01 385 dasa29___________35 _ 76 _ 69 _ 61 _ 69 _ 68 _ 21 _ 42 ___ 441 (3)
02 368 Tae laidir ________ 73 _ 68 _ 38 _ 59 _ 54 _ 55 _ 59 _ 47 ___ 453 (1)
02 368 Bsal _____________54 _ 35 _ 53 _ 38 _ 73 _ 75 _ 38 _ 75 ___ 441 (4)
04 362 harps ___________ 73 _ 61 _ 47 _ 48 _ 53 _ 70 _ 42 _ 57 ___ 451 (2)
05 354 kindredspirit ______66 _ 34 _ 55 _ 51 _ 42 _ 66 _ 51 _ 65 ___ 430 (5)

05 354 Jerry Seinfeld_____ 69 _ 54 _ 45 _ 60 _ 52 _ 74 _ 24 _ 44 ___ 422 (6)
07 351 omicron _________ 47 _ 49 _ 22 _ 50 _ 66 _ 67 _ --- _ 72 ___ 373 (14)
08 347 rameire__________ 60 _ 29 _ 44 _42 _ 56 _ 80 _ 18 _ 65 ___ 394 (9)
09 334 DOCARCH________ 42 _ 50 _ 36 _ 73 _ 30 _ 70 _ 60 _ 39 ___ 400 (8)
10 333 homolumo _______ 69 _ 72 _ 40 _ 50 _ 31 _ 67 _ 27 _ 35 ___ 391 (10)

11 322 nilhg ____________44 _ 47 _ 41 _ 50 _ 44 _ 51 _ 76 _ 54 ___ 407 (7)
11 322 Pauldry __________59 _ 60 _ 34 _ 53 _ 51 _ 57 _ 32 _ 42 ___ 388 (11)
11 322 John mac_________50 _ 23 _ 21 _ --- _ 64 _ 94 _ 31 _ 60 ___ 343 (24t)
14 315 mickger844posts __ 35 _ 67 _ 40 _ 54 _ 37 _ 49 _ 66 _ 39 ___ 387 (12)
15 313 Joe Public ________ 25 _ 58 _59 _ 35 _ 21 _ 44 _ 62 _ 55 ___ 359 (16)

16 308 talkabout ________ 52 _ 58 _ 31 _ 44 _ 44 _ 67 _ 43 _ 43 ___ 382 (13)
17 308 traecy.1 _________ 79 _ 36 _ 21 _ 54 _ 29 _ 56 _ 50 _ 33 ___ 358 (17t)
17 308 delw_____________46 _ 56 _ 66 _ 34 _ 75 _ -- _ 26 _ 21 ___ 324 (27)
19 307 Rickylovesuall_____ 41 _ 48 _ 18 _ 56 _ 45 _ 75 _ 38 _ 42 ___ 363 (15)
20 304 Strasser _________ 69 _ 38 _ 28 _ 54 _ -- _ 43 _ 28 _ 72 ___ 332 (26)

21 301 lostinashford _____ 27 _ 43 _ 29 _ 39 _ 58 _ 73 _ 50 _ 38 ___ 357 (19)
21 301 okla ____________ 52 _ 43 _ 47 _ 60 _ 45 _ 54 _ 38 _ 17 ___ 356 (20t)
21 301 jd ______________ 49 _ 67 _ 14 _ 46 _ 36 _ 56 _ 31 _ 47 ___ 346 (23)
24 298 200motels________ 54 _ 61 _ 36 _ 52 _ 49 _ 25 _ 33 _ 46 ___ 356 (20t)
25 297 jpmarn __________ 36 _ 47 _ 23 _ 35 _ 54 _ 59 _ 65 _ 36 ___ 355 (22)

26 285 dacogawa________ 51 _ 56 _ 35 _ 43 _ 38 _ 51 _ 40 _ 44 ___ 358 (17t)
27 278 M.T. Cranium _____ 34 _ 39 _ 31 _ 52 _ 47 _ 48 _ 52 _ 40 ___ 343 (24t)
28 277 waterways _______57 _ 70 _ 21 _ 45 _ 41 _ 43 _ 14 _ --- ___ 291 (30)
29 272 snowstreams______ -- _ 54 _ 29 _ 36 _ 57 _ 50 _ 28 _ 46 ___ 300 (29)
30 270 Seafields ________ 35 _ 33 _ 16 _ 49 _ 50 _ 56 _ 36 _ 44 ___ 319 (28)

31 230 cherryghost ______ 71 _ 58 _ 21 _ -- _ --- _ --- _ 42 _ 38 ___ 230 (32)
32 217 H2UMrsRobinson __ 41 _ 36 _ 22 _ 44 _ 39 _ 10 _ 32 _ 25 ___ 249 (31)

Three or four entries __

Hammer Archer _____ 63 _ 60 _ --- _ 46 _ 46 _ -- _ --- ___ 215 (33)
Bejubby ___________ -- _ 46 _ 44 _ 40 _ 25 _ -- _ --- ___ 155 (34)
Rebelbrowser _______ 52 _ 14 _ 33 _ 55 _ -- _ -- _ --- ___ 154 (35)
Rocky Bay _________ 43 _ -- _ -- _ -- _ -- _ 37 _ 20 ____ 100 (38)


____________________________________________

Two entries

jambofc 71 (Jan), 54 (Feb) ____ 125 (36)
nabber 69 (Feb) 38 (Mar) _____ 107 (37)
dexter647 32 (Feb) 63 (Apr)____ 95
Quixelles 64 (June) 19 (July) ____83
Gonzo 30 (Mar), 52 (May) ______82
Keith96 52 (July), 18 (Aug) _____70
MiNdGaM3 30 (Jan) 32 (Feb) ____62
clintondaly 50 (June) 10 (July) __ 60

(one entry)

singers 53 (Aug)
blackbird 49 (Aug)
Tazio 58 (June)
E. Fudd 55 (Feb)
Deank 53 (Feb)
baraca 50 (Feb)

Deep Easterly 69 (Jan)
Danno 65 (Jan)
howlinwolf 59 (Jan)
"plan comes together" 53 (Jan)

NIALL_D 35 (Jan)
BEASTERLY 34 (Jan)

___________________________________________________

So, we are all staring up at the massive posterior of Con Sensus, the great nemesis of us all. At least dasa29 is keeping pace. Your ranks are shown to left for the main contest (at this point best 6 of 8 scores, and I will maintain cherryghost despite his missing three and having only 5), and at right for the secondary MTC award for all twelve months (ties are indicated there). The ranks ignore the higher ranking of Con Sensus.

Next up will be a report on the third contest that we have going on, the seasonal title, as I can now report on the summer third quarter of that event, but first I have to go find the report made at the end of spring which I guess must be in the May thread. So, see you again in a few minutes with that.

M.T. Cranium

Summer seasonal top eleven

These forecasters scored points towards the seasonal contest

Bsal _______ 188 (10 pts)
John Mac ___ 185 ( 7 pts)
kindredspirit _ 182 ( 6 pts)
nilhg _______ 181 ( 5 pts)
harps ______ 169 (4 pts)
DOCARCH __ 169 ( 4 pts)
rameire ____ 163 (2 pts)
Tae laidir ___ 161 (1 pt)
Joe Public __ 161 (1 pt)
lostinashford .161 (1 pt)
jpmarn ____ 160 (1 pt)


Seasonal point totals


Bsal (0,6,10) ______ 16
harps (7,2,4) ______ 13
homolumo (10,0,0)__ 10
dasa29 (0,10,0) ____ 10
Jerry Seinfeld (4,5,0)_ 9
kindredspirit (1,2,6)__ 9
delw (0,7,0) _______ 7
John Mac (0,0,7) ____ 7
DOCARCH (1,1,4)____ 6
waterways (6,0,0) ___ 6
Tae laidir (2,3,1) ____ 6
jambofc (5,0,0) _____ 5
nilhg (0,0,5) ________ 5
okla (0,4,0) ________ 4
Pauldry (3,0,0)______ 3
rameire (0,1,2) _____ 3
Hammer Archer(1,0,0) 1
Joe Public (0,0,1) ___ 1
lostinashford (0,0,1) _ 1
Jpmarn (0,0,1) _____ 1

Congrats to Bsal and harps for moving up to top two positions in this seasonal contest.