Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat

NAP of the week is definitely bokke -8 versus the aussies.

my bets

sa -8 @evens

sa - 17.5 @5/2

sydthebeat

Well that didn't work out too good :D

Leinstertomas

Doris anytime @ 21/10

Leinstertomas

Scarlets +3 @ evens

ersatz

Anyone got odds for Munster to get to the CC final?

Leinstertomas

Maxwane anytime @ 8/5

Connacht -8 @ 10/11

Connacht & Stormers @ 4.6/1

Connacht win & Stormers +10 @ 8/5

sydthebeat

wales v NZ over 54.5 points @ evens

scotland -32 @ evens

dillin leyds 1st @ 18/1

Ihaia west anytime @ 5/1

chases0102

NZ -11, should cover that

eagle eye

I'm on the handicap treble of South Africa, Argentina and the All Blacks.

The real mccoy 91

It's a long time to be keeping money tied up for but I can't get my head around racing only being -3 against stade in the first leg of the last 16 ties. Understand that home advantage is big deal with this format but that line is 6/7 points wrong imo.

Montpellier -3 against quins is the other spread that looks short to me but they are far too Jekyll and Hyde for my liking

sydthebeat

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118524060#Comment_118524060

do not under estimate the strength of the Parisienne rivalry between Stade and Racing.

Stade at home will die with their boots on here

Loafing Oaf

Doing two straight forecasts for the 6N: France-Ireland and Ireland-England

fryup

Scotland to beat Wales by 1 to 5 points @ 5/1 good value?

Leinstertomas

Munster @ 21/20

Wales @ 7/5

fryup

England to beat Italy by 1 to 12 points @ 4/1 seems good value?

Loafing Oaf

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118623992#Comment_118623992

I'd be surprised if the margin is that narrow but the Telegraph are predicting 31-17, just a shade above, https://www.theweek.co.uk/news/sport/rugby-union/955458/six-nations-2022-guide-fixtures-squads-predictionsso maybe it's worth a nibble at those odds...

fryup

well that was close wasn't it😕

eagle eye

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118625973#Comment_118625973

I think it all turned on that penalty fir holding on where one of the Italians caught the ball in the air and got knocked down. No review of the incident where imo one English player made a genuine attempt to go fur the ball but the second didn't and was partly responsible for knocking the player sideways. I thought that should have been a penalty for Italy but it ended up a penalty for England and led to the second try. I felt things changed after that second try with England more willing to take risks and that worked out fir them.

sydthebeat

Bets for today

Ireland -16 @10/11 (nap)

Munster +1 @10/11

Ireland, wales and England to win @3/1

England win @23/10

Ireland to win championship @9/2

@10/10

kuang1

Brave bets in the main Syd. Although definitely agree with your nap.

In the second half especially today, I think we'll see Scottish heads drop. A manifestation onfield of the estrangement in the camp.

More points scored in second half than first, might be worth looking at the handicap price at half time for Ireland too.

snailsong

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118804742#Comment_118804742

Ireland and England both to win now 9/2 with PP.

fryup

Alun Wyn Jones making his 150th appearance for Wales today - so i went for anytime try-scorer @ 7/1 😶

Loafing Oaf

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118585988#Comment_118585988

Okay for me to cheer for a French grand slam in the circumstances? I suppose I can say I want the English to lose...

France win; France win most lineouts; England concede most penalties - 3/1

fryup

does anyone know what the odds on Italy to win in Cardiff were??

robbiezero

Would Ireland women really be expected to beat Wales by 16 today?

Wouldn't have thought there was that much betwen them.

robbiezero

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/118838035#Comment_118838035

Easy money. 16 was a mad line.

ClanofLams

Won’t be backing it but hard to understand Leinster -11 v Connacht this week. Connacht on horrific run of form despite eeking out win against far from full strength Treviso at weekend. Leinster isn’t far off being the Irish team currently, comfortably beat Munster in Thomond by 17, could have won by more.

Bookies seem to be factoring in hope/expectation that Connacht will raise their game for occasion but if you like backing on form, clearly only one side to be on.

sydthebeat

they are -12 at the moment with PP. I took them at -10 after the last round.

all the logical money would say that even -12 is about 5 points too short at least, but this game is basically all connacht have to play for this year. I wouldn't discount the level of impact a returning bundee Aki would have as well. he can be a game changer himself, and a leader by action on the field.

i think the best value is the double connacht 1st half - leinster 2nd half @5/1

i can see connacht coming out of the blocks at 110% and if carty is on form behind a pack going forward he can create openings where connacht can score from. However its inevitable that leinster just keep turning the screw and thats why loads of team wilt against then with 30 minutes ot go

ClanofLams

That seems a reasonable bet too. Only concern I would have is if there is strong wind (haven’t checked forecast) & Leinster play with it in first half, you’re basically dead before ko.