Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

sydthebeat

Weekend accumulator

Scarlets handicapped
Clermont handicapped
Connacht
munster
Leinster handicapped
Leicester

matthew8

Exeter -4.5 1 unit 2.37.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Down to 49.46, 1 unit on Leicester -13.5 (1.76) and Harlequins to win (2.7). Not like I really rate Quins or anything, but 2.7 is too good to pass up.

Down to 49.22. Couldn't believe Leicester covered, very annoyed Quins bottled it.

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Weekend accumulator

Scarlets handicapped
Clermont handicapped
Connacht
munster
Leinster handicapped
Leicester

Dead in the water now

P_1

sydthebeat wrote: »

Dead in the water now

Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive

PokeHerKing

Was yesterday when I took it, maybe it drifted out this morning.

sydthebeat

P_1 wrote: »

Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive

Can't remember, hope so. I checked just before the game and it was -5

sydthebeat

P_1 wrote: »

Wasn't the handicap 2 points? Seeing as Clermont won by 3 you're still alive

Actually just checked, I think I'm ok.

The result is up as H which i assume is a handicap win. Same as the scarlets result.

Here's hoping Munster and Leinster can do me a favor.

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Weekend accumulator

Scarlets handicapped
Clermont handicapped
Connacht
munster
Leinster handicapped
Leicester

Only Leinster left but always the hardest to call. I have them -5

P_1

sydthebeat wrote: »

Only Leinster left but always the hardest to call. I have them -5

Now's your chance to lump on Castres +5 and lob a few pennies on the handicap draw to lock in some profit assuming the line hasn't shifted

sydthebeat

P_1 wrote: »

Now's your chance to lump on Castres +5 and lob a few pennies on the handicap draw to lock in some profit assuming the line hasn't shifted

It Comes in around 11/1 so I've put on castre +5 to Cover all bets and something small on the handicapped draw at 18/1.

So Leinster win by the spread would still give me around 10/1

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Exeter -4.5 1 unit 2.37.

Down to 48.22 with 1 unit on Ospreys +4.5 (evens).

sydthebeat

Leinster v castres under 37.5 @ 10/11

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

Weekend accumulator

Scarlets handicapped
Clermont handicapped
Connacht
munster
Leinster handicapped
Leicester

Jesus my heart for that last conversion

beertons

Well done syd.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Down to 48.22 with 1 unit on Ospreys +4.5 (evens).

Shocking weekend (down to 47.22), Saracens 1 unit 2.9 to win.

its_phil

Waiting on Liverpool to deliver on an accum with Toulouse, Leinster and Northampton in it

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 33.05 units

- 4.5 units (10/11) Munster -5
- 3 units (10/11) Clermont Auvergne scr
- 2 units (10/11) Toulouse -5
- 2 units (10/11) Castres +5
- 1 unit (10/11) Cardiff Blues +21
- 1 unit (10/11) Racing Métro -8
- 0.5 units (11/2) Toulouse, Clermont & Castres to win

New Balance: 19.05 units

New Balance: 37.19 units

Castres lose a 14-0 lead, had they held on it would have been an excellent weekend! Still it's a 4 unit gain.

Inspector Coptoor

Accumulator of Leinster -5, Toulouse -5, man city win & Liverpool win came in at just over 10-1
1 unit on it.
Happy days

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 34.14

Some old bets that haven't been posted
- 2 units Edinburgh v Leinster - Leinster @ 1.90 (-3.0)
- 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Keith Earls @ 2.87
- 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Munster @ 1.90 (-8.0)
- 1 unit Munster v Connacht - Munster @ 2.00 (-3.0) @ halftime

this weekend
- 3 units Gloucester v Munster - Munster @ 1.90 (-6.0)
- 1 unit Racing Metro v Scarlets - Racing Metro @ 2.00 (-9.0)
- 1 unit Ulster v Montpellier - Montpellier @ 2.00 (+18.0)
- 1 unit Castres v Leinster - Castres @ 1.90 (+5.0)
- 1 unit Harlequins v Clermont Auvergne - Clermont Auvergne @ 1.90 (-2.0)
- 1 unit for all four irish provinces to win @ 2.30

New Balance: 24.14

New Balance: 35.08, an increase in units

thomond2006

Connacht +25 is available, anyone think that's 4 or 5 points too generous?

sydthebeat

definitely, connacht will not lie down and roll over over there

its_phil

+25 is a lot and look its a pretty difficult task but 20/1 for the win isn't bad value to throw down a 5er

I'd also be watching live betting and see how first 10-15 mins go

matthew8

If anything I'd back Saracens there. They are out of this world at home (beat Leicester 49-10, Gloucester 44-12, Bath 31-17, Wasps 19-12, Newcastle 40-3, Sale 24-19, Zebre 64-3 but lost to Toulouse). They are ruthless and clinical and I can't even see it being close. If they are on their game Connacht will need to play very well to come close. And if they get a couple of scores up they could really turn the screw and run up the score, like they did in that Leicester game which was quite close at half time.

Munster -17 (especially if they have reason to score a lot of tries, should dominate Edinburgh up front to the extent that a 2+ score win is assured) Glasgow +7 (I expect Toulon to bring the usual away attitude, which is to try and win by as little as possible) and Toulouse -23 (Zebre don't seem to care about the Heineken) are the handicaps I like right now.

sydthebeat

I don't like spread betting on the last round, to many extra unknowns. Who's not going to give a Shiite, what players will restrict themselves/ be tested etc.

Ill wait closer to the games for alternative handicaps to see if there's any value.

simonrooneyzaga

Thinking of going with this:

Ulster +3 (A) v Leicester
Leinster -16 (H) v Hairsprays
Toulouse -23 (A) vs Zebre
Munster -17 (H) vs Edinburgh

Leinster, Munster and Toulouse will all be out to secure the bonus point and potential HQF - I think Ulster will pip Leicester in a tight away game.

20 quid makes 265 back

sydthebeat

ok im going to go completely against what i posted above for thsi weekend, just because for an fun accumulator i suppose.

Heineken Cup Munster v Edinburgh
19-01-2014 12:45
Handicap Betting
Edinburgh (+17.0) @ 10/11

Heineken Cup Leicester v Ulster
18-01-2014 18:00
Handicap Betting
Ulster (+3.0) @ 10/11

Heineken Cup Glasgow Warriors v Toulon
18-01-2014 15:40
Handicap Betting
Toulon (-7.0) @ 10/11

Heineken Cup Leinster v Ospreys
17-01-2014 20:00
Handicap Betting
Leinster (-16.0) @ 10/11


13/1 approx

matthew8

With the Ospreys team released is it just me or is 16 points an absolute joke of a handicap? Defo have to back Ospreys there. I reckon Northampton will cover the 15 in their game but if Castres continue to really have a go they might not.

antogz1979

Bath match under 47.5 pts and Mogliano + 30 for tonight.
It is raining heavily in Bath and even with a 2nd string Begles shouldn't let the total go out of control. A practically 2nd half arsed Dragons team shouldn't be giving 30 pts to no one.

Inspector Coptoor

Got a 25 euro free bet from brag bet on the Connacht Zebre game.

They gave evens on Connacht as a special promo so now have a 50 euro free bet.

I threw €30 on Connacht at 14-1 & €20 on them +22 @ evens.
One can but dream.

Connacht abú