Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 33.94 units

- 4 units (10/11) Racing Metro -5
- 2 units (5/6) Toulon to win
- 1.5 units (10/11) Ireland Wolfhounds to win
- 1 unit (4/5) Bayonne to win
- .5 units (11/4) Castres to win
- .5 units (15/8) Oyonnax to win (refunded - match postponed)
- .25 units (13/2) Rory Kockott try in 80 minutes

New Balance: 24.19 units

New Balance: 36.99 units

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 30.08 units

- 2 units; A Internationals - England Saxons v Ireland Wolfhounds - Ireland Wolfhounds @ 1.72

New Balance: 31.54 units

thomond2006

I went for France -3 earlier in the week and with England set to name a pretty experimental backline I'm pretty confident they can cover it!

sydthebeat

thomond2006 wrote: »

I went for France -3 earlier in the week and with England set to name a pretty experimental backline I'm pretty confident they can cover it!

never know what french team may turn up though.

PSA has them playing a 10 man game thats pretty awful to watch.

Ugo Monye spacecraft experience

Put €10 on us for the championship. 5/1, Think we're a bit of value at that

thomond2006

Old Balance: 36.99 units

Bets for the Weekend:

- 3 units (10/11) France -3
- 1 unit (evens) Ireland -12

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 units (40/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer (place part of each way bet, 4 places)

New Balance: 27.99 units

The Pheasant2

I had Fitzgerald to score in 80 vs Scotland, since he's injured that'll be void now - do they refund that?

thomond2006

The Pheasant2 wrote: »

I had Fitzgerald to score in 80 vs Scotland, since he's injured that'll be void now - do they refund that?

They will refund it.

CoDy1

Ireland -9
England win
Wales - 20

Inspector Coptoor

CoDy1 wrote: »

Ireland -9
England win
Wales - 20

I went for a free bet treble on this.

sydthebeat

England +3
Ireland -6.5
Wales to win by 11-20

Accum pays approx 10/1

Edit:
Also trimble first try scorer @ 10/1

captbarnacles

France are amazing value @ 3-1 for the outright

with Ireland and England at home

Wales away are difficult but I think Wales will already have lost to Ireland and England

Judgement Day

Whole weekend's budget committed on this game.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Never backed unfortunately. Both beat the handicaps but the Perpignan one shifted and Toulouse's team sheet put me off. Nevertheless, up to 47.4.

1 unit on France to win 1.74. Might take Ireland -12 as the weather is meant to dry up. Still meant to be extremely windy though, anyone know how windy the Aviva gets in these situations?

Suckfisher

Judgement Day wrote: »

Whole weekend's budget committed on this game.

Fofana 150/1 score a hat trick with Ladbrokes may as well get price going.

Suckfisher

Like Wales to be top points scorer this weekend @11/8 in Ladbrokes
France- England should be tight enough.
Ireland Scotland weather could be poor pitch will definitely be heavy.

Wales should hammer italians hop ethe roof is on keep the dirty weather out

matthew8

Suckfisher wrote: »

Like Wales to be top points scorer this weekend @11/8 in Ladbrokes
France- England should be tight enough.
Ireland Scotland weather could be poor pitch will definitely be heavy.

Wales should hammer italians hop ethe roof is on keep the dirty weather out

That's actually very good. Wish I had a Ladbrokes account. Not a chance France/England will be top so it's essentially a 2 horse race and the bookies are favouring Wales by 8 more than they're favouring Ireland.

MikeCork2009

Looking at 7/1 for the handicap treble:

Ireland -12 Evens
France -3 Evens

and

Italy + 20 Evens

Reckon Ireland will account for Scotland pretty handily (only worry would be if the weather turned nasty)

Think France will be too good for England in Paris

Italy always start well, and are improving year on year (and if the after Lions tour effect applies to France doing well then why not Italy) and last year, Wales got off to a slow start. Still think Wales will win but not by more than 20

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit on France to win 1.74. Might take Ireland -12 as the weather is meant to dry up. Still meant to be extremely windy though, anyone know how windy the Aviva gets in these situations?

48.14 now. Hate to have backed the -3 .

1 unit on Ireland -12.5 1.96.

Inspector Coptoor

Today was a pretty good day.

2 units on France -3 didnt pay off
2 units on Wales -20 didnt pay off

1 unit on Cuthbert at 6-1 as first try scorer was good (7 units returned)
1 unit on Huget at 11-1 as first try scorer was good and the odds were doubled as he scored a 2nd try (23 units returned)

Tomorrow I'm going
2 units on Ireland -12
1 unit on Cian Healy for first try scorer at 18-1
1/2 unit on Johnny Sexton to hit a penalty, conversion and DG at 14-1

Fireball07

Not doing the whole units thing but I have the following rugby bets laid:


Ireland -12 @evens
Ireland > 2.5 Tries @8/11
Conor Murray Anytime Tryscorer @16/5

and

Ireland > 9.5 Tries in Tournament @5/6
Conor Murray Ireland's Top Tryscorer in Tournament @25/1



I've put a lot less on the two Conor Murray ones compared to the others but they have a bigger reward. I reckon he's a decent shout at being our top tryscorer in the tournament... he likes to snipe around the fringes, and we don't really have top-class wings... and the ones who start tomorrow may not be starting by the end. I could easily see him getting 2 or 3 and that being enough.


I also think that we'll score 10 or more tries in the whole tournament, get 3 tomorrow and lay down a marker.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

48.14 now. Hate to have backed the -3 .

1 unit on Ireland -12.5 1.96.

49.1 now, also made a lot of money by backing Scotland +24.5 on Betfair the moment I saw people were offering them at 2.2 because they thought that last try had been scored.

sydthebeat

Trimble first try scorer at 10/1 means i doubled up for the weekend.

Fireball07

Murray didn't score, but the other 2 came through... fairly happy.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 36.99 units

Bets for the Weekend:

- 3 units (10/11) France -3
- 1 unit (evens) Ireland -12

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship
- .5 units (40/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin top tournament tryscorer (place part of each way bet, 4 places)

New Balance: 27.99 units

New Balance: 29.99 units

Very annoyed that France lost that lead but it's a good start on my outright winners front. Not the best weekend on the top tryscorer bet with Huget and Campagnaro picking up a brace each.

thomond2006

I'm leaning towards Scotland +10 at the moment, will wait on team news. I can see that match being a pretty dour affair at Murrayfield with England winning by less than 7.

Judgement Day

PP are offering 9/2 on the extremely unlikely outcome of a Scottish win on Saturday - surely worth a tenner.

Since 2000 there have been 7 Murrayfield encounters between the two sides as follows:

2/4/00 19-13
2/2/02 3-29
21/2/04 13-35
25/2/06 18-12
8/3/08 15-9
13/3/10 15-15
4/2/12 6-13

Three wins apiece and 1 draw. I refused to bet on England beating the All Blacks in 2012 @ 10/1 and explained to my son that NZ couldn't lose (this ship can't sink) hence the odds....I won't make that mistake again for a long time. Time for Scotland to spoil England's dreams?

The Pheasant2

Heaslip to score in 80 @4.33 1 unit
POM ,, ,, ,, @8.5 .5 units
George North ,, ,, ,, @3.6 .5 units

The Pheasant2

On a side note I think O'Mahoney at 8.5 to score in 80 is very generous; especially considering the likely style of play we'll adopt vs. Wales not to mention the conditions. It'll probably be a game for the forwards

thomond2006

3 units on Scotland +10 and half a unit on Scotland to win at 9/2. It sounds like the pitch will be a mess so I can't see it being high scoring.