Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

53.88 now, just reminding myself of the Ireland to win 6N bet. 1 unit on Italy +23 evens. I'm absolutely astounded by those odds.

EDIT: 1 unit 2.0 Lions +4.

54.78 now, never been so happy to win a bet.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 30.89 units

- 3 units (10/11) Ireland scr
- 1.5 units (2/1) Ireland -7
-.5 units (5/2) France to score no tries
- 3 units (10/11) Italy +21
- .5 units (12/1) Italy to win

Open Bets:

- 2 units (5/1) Ireland to win Six Nations Championship
- 2 units (3/1) France to win Six Nations Championship (I'll take that hit )
- .5 unit (40/1) Brice Dulin Top Six Nations tryscorer
- .5 units (10/1) Brice Dulin Top Six Nations tryscorer place (4 places)

New Balance: 22.39 units

Italy were available at +23 at evens today, I took them earlier in the week. Hopefully they'll do the job anyway!

New Balance: 40.11 units

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 39.08 units

Open Bets
- 1 unit: France To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 4.00
- 2 unit: Ireland To Win Six Nations - Yes @ 6.00

Weekend Bets
- 1 unit: Wales v Scotland - Wales (-14.0) @ 1.90
- 2 unit: Italy v England - Italy (+23.0) @ 1.90
- 2 unit: France v Ireland - Ireland (-1.0) @ 2.00

New Balance: 33.08 units

New Balance: 50.00 units, i'm glad these bets worked out but i'm more happy that Ireland won!

McCBrian

McCBrian wrote: »

Start 50 Units

6N Ireland Outright - 7/2 - 5 units:)
6N Top try scorer Trimble - 12/1 - 2.5 units ew (5 units total):)

Current Balance 27.5 Units

Gone a bit reckless, after my early success with the free money on Tokyo for the 2020 Olympics lol

Open Bets
10 Units - Munster - 6/4 - Rabo winner regular season
2.5 Units - Munster - 11/4 -play off winners
2.5 Units - Munster - 11/12 - play off finalists
5 Units - Bath - 10/1 - AP play off winners
5 Units - Bath - 100/30- AP play off finalists
3.085 Units -SF - 6/1 - T14 Play off winners
3.085 Units -SF - 2/1 - T14 Play off finalists
10 Units - Munster - 9/1 - HEC Winners
10 Units - Munster - 3/1 - HEC Finalists
2.5 Units - HEC QF's - (10/11, 10/11 10/11 10/11) 4 timer Munster -4, Ulster -3, CA -14 & Leinster +6
0.5 Units - Playoff winners Rabo/AP/T14 - 233/1 - Munster/Bath/SF

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

54.78 now, never been so happy to win a bet.

1 unit on Waratahs -13 1.9. Waratahs started at -11 but have been backed to the hilt since. On exchanges they've drifted towards -15.

sydthebeat

weekend bets, out of 50 units:

Leinster V Zebre under 48.5 points @ 5/6 18 units
Madigan first try scorer @ 9/1 7 units

Ulster -8 @ 10/11 18 units
payne anytime try @ 13/5 7 units

Edit: 2 units Handicap draw -26 @ 22/1

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit on Waratahs -13 1.9. Waratahs started at -11 but have been backed to the hilt since. On exchanges they've drifted towards -15.

55.68, 1 unit on each of the following:

Ulster -6.5 1.98
Clermont -7.5 1.77
Ospreys -10.5 1.99

thomond2006

Old Balance: 40.11 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Ulster -8
- 1 unit (5/6) Over 3.5 tries Edinburgh vs Ulster
- 1.5 units (10/11) Glasgow -5
- 1 unit (11/10) Leinster over 4.5 tries

- 1.5 units (10/11) Stade Francais -4
- 1 unit (10/11) Toulon +10
- .5 units (5/2) Toulon over 1.5 tries

New Balance: 32.11 units

thomond2006

Well tonight was a near disaster.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

55.68, 1 unit on each of the following:

Ulster -6.5 1.98
Clermont -7.5 1.77
Ospreys -10.5 1.99

54.67 1 unit on Western Force +9 2.0

Judgement Day

thomond2006 wrote: »

Well tonight was a near disaster.

+1

This weekends entire budget blown. Can I stay from the Munster game though?

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

54.67 1 unit on Western Force +9 2.0

55.67 1 unit on Saracens -10 1.95.

EDIT: Bath -3.5 1.96

sydthebeat

sydthebeat wrote: »

weekend bets, out of 50 units:

Leinster V Zebre under 48.5 points @ 5/6 18 units
Madigan first try scorer @ 9/1 7 units

Ulster -8 @ 10/11 18 units
payne anytime try @ 13/5 7 units

Edit: 2 units Handicap draw -26 @ 22/1

The handicap draw would have been tasty.. down to about 40 units. Ulster let me down

sydthebeat

Accum.
Gloucester
Munster
Exeter

To beat spread @ 6.5/1

30 units

thomond2006

Stade Francais

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

55.67 1 unit on Saracens -10 1.95.

EDIT: Bath -3.5 1.96

57.58, great weekend.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 40.11 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Ulster -8
- 1 unit (5/6) Over 3.5 tries Edinburgh vs Ulster
- 1.5 units (10/11) Glasgow -5
- 1 unit (11/10) Leinster over 4.5 tries

- 1.5 units (10/11) Stade Francais -4
- 1 unit (10/11) Toulon +10
- .5 units (5/2) Toulon over 1.5 tries

New Balance: 32.11 units

New Balance: 36.89 units

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 50.00 units

- 1 unit: Edinburgh v Ulster - Ulster (-8.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit: Glasgow Warriors v Scarlets - Glasgow Warriors (-5.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit: Leinster v Zebre - Leinster To Get Bonus Point Try @ 1.33
- 1 unit: Munster v Benetton Treviso - Munster (-25.0) @ 1.90

New Balance: 49.25 units

Judgement Day

I hate to say it but, barring divine intervention, Leinster -6 @ 10/11 looks like easy money.

sydthebeat

Judgement Day wrote: »

I hate to say it but, barring divine intervention, Leinster -6 @ 10/11 looks like easy money.

i wouldnt be that confident

the last three games have had 9, 6 and 4 points between teams respectively.

i think it will be a one score game

thomond2006

Judgement Day wrote: »

I hate to say it but, barring divine intervention, Leinster -6 @ 10/11 looks like easy money.

I completely disagree JD. I think Leinster -3 would be my initial cap if I was a bookie.

matthew8

thomond2006 wrote: »

I completely disagree JD. I think Leinster -3 would be my initial cap if I was a bookie.

Lots of people are talking up Munster +6 but I think 6 is a fair handicap. Home field is definitely worth something, let's say 3 points in this situation (rabo, inter-pro, both teams fully motivated) and I don't think it's unfair to say Leinster have looked better than Munster in the big games this year. I think the team sheet is definitely better (hard to argue after that 6 nations) and despite all the people saying they regret Penney leaving and how MOC is underachieving with Leinster I'm happier with MOC at the helm than Penney. Leinster at full strength always look like a team with a plan.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

57.58, great weekend.

1 unit on each of:
Brive -2.5 1.96
Sale +9 1.91
Brumbies -5 1.75
Highlanders +5.5 1.96

The Brive handicap shortened right after I bet on it but the other bets are very good odds. Very confident in Brive anyway, they've covered that spread at home against everyone except Biarritz (!?) and maybe someone else, while Clermont are usually beaten by more than 2 away from home.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 36.89 units

- 4 units (10/11) Munster +7
- 2 units (9/4) Munster to win
- .5 units (9/2) Munster -6
- .5 units (13/8) Munster over 1.5 tries

- .50 units (9/2) Simon Zebo first Munster tryscorer
- .50 units (13/5) Simon Zebo try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (9/1) Damien Varley try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (7/1) Dave Kilcoyne try in 80 minutes

- 1.5 units (11/10) Racing Métro to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Castres -7
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +11
- 1 unit (10/11) Queensland Reds -3

New Balance: 23.89 units

sydthebeat

Toulon
Ulster
Leicester
Munster

Accum to beat spread @ 12/1

rockbeast

Do any bookies give odds on exact score bets for rugby games?

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 49.25 units

- 4 unit: Leinster v Munster - Munster (+6.0) @ 2.00
- 2 unit: Leinster v Munster - Munster @ 3.25
- 1 unit: Leinster v Munster - Simon Zebo To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.60

New Balance: 42.25 units

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit on each of:
Brive -2.5 1.96
Sale +9 1.91
Brumbies -5 1.75
Highlanders +5.5 1.96

The Brive handicap shortened right after I bet on it but the other bets are very good odds. Very confident in Brive anyway, they've covered that spread at home against everyone except Biarritz (!?) and maybe someone else, while Clermont are usually beaten by more than 2 away from home.

55.49 now, devastating that Brive bet. If only I had waited longer to place the bet and I would have won.

1 unit on each:
Northampton -4.5 2.05
Zebre to win 2.04

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

55.49 now, devastating that Brive bet. If only I had waited longer to place the bet and I would have won.

1 unit on each:
Northampton -4.5 2.05
Zebre to win 2.04

53.49, devastating week. Dragons joining the last minute try club to deny Zebre the win. If only I'd taken the +1 on Zebre.

1 unit on 2 asian handicaps:
Worcester +5 1.96
Bordeaux -10 1.96

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 49.25 units

- 4 unit: Leinster v Munster - Munster (+6.0) @ 2.00
- 2 unit: Leinster v Munster - Munster @ 3.25 :mad:
- 1 unit: Leinster v Munster - Simon Zebo To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.60 bet void MBS

New Balance: 42.25 units

New Balance: 51.25 units