Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

its_phil

Marmion @ 13/2 anytime today. He should have had two last weekend and scored in previous 3 games.

Muldoon @ 4/1 anytime is hilarious considering he hadn't scored for two years before the last two weeks. 4 in 2 now

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

53.49, devastating week. Dragons joining the last minute try club to deny Zebre the win. If only I'd taken the +1 on Zebre.

1 unit on 2 asian handicaps:
Worcester +5 1.96
Bordeaux -10 1.96

Little bit of redemption. 55.41 units. Good shout on Marmion. Should've put that on, he always seems to get on the scoresheet.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 36.89 units

- 4 units (10/11) Munster +7
- 2 units (9/4) Munster to win
- .5 units (9/2) Munster -6
- .5 units (13/8) Munster over 1.5 tries

- .50 units (9/2) Simon Zebo first Munster tryscorer - refunded BOD MBS Special
- .50 units (13/5) Simon Zebo try in 80 minutes - refunded BOD MBS Special
- .25 units (9/1) Damien Varley try in 80 minutes - refunded BOD MBS Special
- .25 units (7/1) Dave Kilcoyne try in 80 minutes - refunded BOD MBS Special

- 1.5 units (11/10) Racing Métro to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Castres -7
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +11
- 1 unit (10/11) Queensland Reds -3

New Balance: 23.89 units

New Balance: 39.99 units

durkadurka

Munster are 6/1 to win the regular season Rabo league. Good value no?

Leinster have two very difficult away games to come.

CatFromHue

durkadurka wrote: »

Munster are 6/1 to win the regular season Rabo league. Good value no?

Leinster have two very difficult away games to come.

I'd only go for it if you think Munster will beat Glasgow the week after the Toulouse game. Munster will have to rest a few guys for this and so could get caught out.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Little bit of redemption. 55.41 units. Good shout on Marmion. Should've put that on, he always seems to get on the scoresheet.

1 unit on each of Brumbies -5 and Lions +5 1.91. Loving the odds on Saracens and Oyonnax too but they should be even better just before kick off.

EDIT: 1 unit Glasgow -10 1.91. Treviso are starting a weak bunch of forwards and Glasgow are getting better recently. Harlequins -4 1.97 (asian).

thomond2006

Old Balance: 39.99 units

- 1 unit (4.105/1) Munster, Clermont, Ulster and Toulon to win
- 1 unit (13.285/1) Munster -4, Clermont -12, Ulster -3 and Toulon -4

- 1.5 units (10/11) Glasgow -11
- 1 unit (9/4) Stade Francais to win

New Balance: 35.49 units

McCBrian

9.68 Units on Edinburgh/Highlanders/Brumbies treble (5.17/1)
and 2.69 units on Sale to win (6/5)

Balance 30 Units

Still 54.17 units running on other open bets

McCBrian

McCBrian wrote: »

9.68 Units on Edinburgh/Highlanders/Brumbies treble (5.17/1)
and 2.69 units on Sale to win (6/5)

Balance 30 Units

Still 54.17 units running on other open bets

Heart in the mouth time there with the Dragons game there. Edinburgh down to 14 men and only putting 7 in the scrum on the 5m, 2 pens against them and Drags looking for a pen try but Edin turn it on the 3rd scrum game over to win 23-19:D

Eod100

durkadurka wrote: »

Munster are 6/1 to win the regular season Rabo league. Good value no?

Leinster have two very difficult away games to come.

Don't think so. Munster and Leinster both have to play Ulster and Edinburgh. Leinster have Treviso and Ospreys while Munster have Connacht and Glasgow.

Munster are currently 5 behind (ahead on pd) so think the least they'd have to do is win 1 game with a TBP and hope Leinster lose a game by 8 or more and not win with a TBP in any of their matches.

But who knows? Leinster only beat Treviso by a point (Treviso were at home though). Lost to Ednburgh away. Could be close but still see Leinster topping it.

sydthebeat

Harlequins to win by 13 or more
@ 7/5

wowy

sydthebeat wrote: »

Harlequins to win by 13 or more
@ 7/5

Phew!

sydthebeat

wowy wrote: »

Phew!

Yeah close enough there for a bit, but stade were their worst enemies. Quins didn't even play that well

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit on each of Brumbies -5 and Lions +5 1.91. Loving the odds on Saracens and Oyonnax too but they should be even better just before kick off.

EDIT: 1 unit Glasgow -10 1.91. Treviso are starting a weak bunch of forwards and Glasgow are getting better recently. Harlequins -4 1.97 (asian).

To add to this (great Friday), the promised Saracens (2.72) and Oyonnax (1.75) bets (both to win) with 1 unit on each.

wowy

sydthebeat wrote: »

Yeah close enough there for a bit, but stade were their worst enemies. Quins didn't even play that well

My post was actually me having a complete brainfart and thinking that the winning margin was 13, not 23.

Back to primary school maths with me...

RoyalCelt

My bet this weekend.

Tolouse +4 11/10
Toulon -1 7/5
Ulster -3 evens

10 quid on the treble. I'm a Leinster fan but can't see us winning. We beat Clermont away by pure miracle 2 years ago and just don't see it happening again. Munster I think are overrated and Ulster underrated. Would love to beat Munster in a semi again but just don't see it happening.

Anybody know if the semi would be played in Croker if both Leinster and Munster won?

Eod100

Zebo to score a try in 80mins, 3/1 with PP, surely worth a punt?

Judgement Day

A little bit of 'before' timing for a change.

wowy

RoyalCelt wrote: »

My bet this weekend.

Tolouse +4 11/10
Toulon -1 7/5
Ulster -3 evens

Where are you getting that?

sydthebeat

wowy wrote: »

Where are you getting that?

Yeah that seems mental seeing as they are -4 @ evens in most places.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

To add to this (great Friday), the promised Saracens (2.72) and Oyonnax (1.75) bets (both to win) with 1 unit on each.

Wow a cracking weekend but seriously lucky on the Saracens. 15 on 15 it would have been no contest. 59.67 units.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 39.99 units

- 1 unit (4.105/1) Munster, Clermont, Ulster and Toulon to win
- 1 unit (13.285/1) Munster -4, Clermont -12, Ulster -3 and Toulon -4

- 1.5 units (10/11) Glasgow -11
- 1 unit (9/4) Stade Francais to win

New Balance: 35.49 units

Updated Balance: 38.36 units

- 3 units (1/2) Toulon to win
- 1 unit (17/10) Toulon -7
- .25 units (10/1) Jimmy Gopperth try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (11/1) Jonny Wilkinson try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (7/1) Craig Burden try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (11/4) Matt Giteau try in 80 minutes

New Balance: 33.36 units

RoyalCelt

I was wrong with Munster and Ulster. Hopefully Leinster can do it tomorrow but I have a bad feeling we're going to let the nation down tomorrow. Mun v Leinster semi part 3 would be epic.

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 51.25 units

- 1 unit: Munster (-4.0), Clermont Auvergne, Ulster, Toulon @ 5.51
- 2 unit: Munster v Toulouse - Munster (-4.0) @ 2.00
- 1 unit: Clermont Auvergne v Leicester - Leicester (+10.0) @ 2.00
- 0.5 unit: Ulster v Saracens - Tommy Bowe To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.30
- 1 unit: Ulster v Saracens - Ulster (-3.0) @ 1.90

Mid Balance: 51.74 units

- 2 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Toulon @ 1.50
- 1 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Toulon (-4.0) @ 1.90
- 0.5 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Jimmy Gopperth To Score a Try in 80 min @ 11.00
- 0.5 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Matt Giteau To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.75

New Balance: 47.74 units

Judgement Day

Judgement Day wrote: »

A little bit of 'before' timing for a change.

3 from 3 - happy days - and I also had a win on Mike Brown to score a try in SF vs Quins game on Friday.

Things are too close to call today and so I'm going to go with safer (?) options:

More than 18.5 points in the first half 5/6
Toulon more than 10.5 points in the 1st half 5/6
Leinster more than 8.5 points in the 1st half 5/6

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 51.25 units

- 1 unit: Munster (-4.0), Clermont Auvergne, Ulster, Toulon @ 5.51
- 2 unit: Munster v Toulouse - Munster (-4.0) @ 2.00
- 1 unit: Clermont Auvergne v Leicester - Leicester (+10.0) @ 2.00
- 0.5 unit: Ulster v Saracens - Tommy Bowe To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.30
- 1 unit: Ulster v Saracens - Ulster (-3.0) @ 1.90

Mid Balance: 51.74 units

- 2 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Toulon @ 1.50
- 1 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Toulon (-4.0) @ 1.90
- 0.5 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Jimmy Gopperth To Score a Try in 80 min @ 11.00
- 0.5 unit: Toulon v Leinster - Matt Giteau To Score a Try in 80 min @ 3.75

New Balance: 47.74 units

New Balance: 52.65 units

Judgement Day

Wipeout today but I still managed to come out of the weekend 100% up and the winnings transferred away from temptation.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Updated Balance: 38.36 units

- 3 units (1/2) Toulon to win
- 1 unit (17/10) Toulon -7
- .25 units (10/1) Jimmy Gopperth try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (11/1) Jonny Wilkinson try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (7/1) Craig Burden try in 80 minutes
- .25 units (11/4) Matt Giteau try in 80 minutes

New Balance: 33.36 units

New Balance: 40.16 units

Tiny profit on the weekend so!

McCBrian

McCBrian wrote: »

9.68 Units on Edinburgh/Highlanders/Brumbies treble (5.17/1)
and 2.69 units on Sale to win (6/5):(
Balance 30 Units

New Balance 50.05 units

Open Bets
Made a decision before yesterday to place 5 units on an Irish winner of the
Heineken, in the misguided hope Ulster would be hosting CA and an all Irish semi in the Aviva, so now only getting 6/4 on Munster to win the Heineken

More bets placed months ago with the heart rather than than the head, still running

Munster 10 Units E/W to win HEC 9/1
SF 6.17 Units E/W to win T14 Grande Final 6/1
Munster 5 Units E/W to win Rabo Grand Final 11/4
Munster 10 Units to win Rabo Regular season 6/4
Bath 5 Units E/W to win AP
Treble Bath/SF/Munster 0.5 Units to win AP/T14/Rabo Grand Finals 182/1

At least showing a profit so far and in the unlikely event any of my others coming in will be €'s in

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Wow a cracking weekend but seriously lucky on the Saracens. 15 on 15 it would have been no contest. 59.67 units.

1 unit Edinburgh -5 1.91. 1 unit Brumbies to win 1.90.