Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

Old Balance: 40.16 units

- 2 units (4/5) Leinster to win
- .25 units (5/2) Zane Kirchner try in 80 minutes
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +14

- 2 units (10/11) Munster -8
- .25 units (5/2) Keith Earls try in 80 minutes

- 1 unit (10/11) Castres +12
- 1 unit (15/8) Stade Francais to win
- .5 units (5/1) Oyonnax to win

- 1 unit (4/5) Sale Sharks to win
- .5 units (10/11) Exeter Chiefs -3

Open Bets:

- 5 units (10/11) Toulon vs Munster: Munster +8
- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 21.66 units

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit Edinburgh -5 1.91. 1 unit Brumbies to win 1.90.

1 unit Sale to win 1.90. 1 unit Bordeaux -2 1.91. 1 unit Bath to win 1.8. 1 unit Worcester +4 1.9. 1 unit Glasgow +8.5 1.91. 1 unit Montpellier -1 1.95.

its_phil

Marmion anytime is 13/2. Loves the try line

rockbeast

its_phil wrote: »

Marmion anytime is 13/2. Loves the try line

??? brave

Feck it, I was gonna have a go at boss anytime at 6/1.

Will put a small(tiny) wager on a boss/marmion double at approx 50/1:eek:

thomond2006

Connacht hammered, Sale hammered, Leinster lose, Castres handicap draw

Wipeout

Judgement Day

Couldn't get a stream for either game so ended up watching the Ulster game by reports here and on scrum.com. At least I was compensated by a decent return from PP which makes up for Toulon vs Leinster.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit Edinburgh -5 1.91. 1 unit Brumbies to win 1.90.

matthew8 wrote: »

1 unit Sale to win 1.90. 1 unit Bordeaux -2 1.91. 1 unit Bath to win 1.8. 1 unit Worcester +4 1.9. 1 unit Glasgow +8.5 1.91. 1 unit Montpellier -1 1.95.

Quite an exciting weekend, down to 59.23 units

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 40.16 units

- 2 units (4/5) Leinster to win
- .25 units (5/2) Zane Kirchner try in 80 minutes
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +14

- 2 units (10/11) Munster -8
- .25 units (5/2) Keith Earls try in 80 minutes

- 1 unit (10/11) Castres +12
- 1 unit (15/8) Stade Francais to win
- .5 units (5/1) Oyonnax to win

- 1 unit (4/5) Sale Sharks to win
- .5 units (10/11) Exeter Chiefs -3

Open Bets:

- 5 units (10/11) Toulon vs Munster: Munster +8
- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 21.66 units

New Balance: 22.61 units

Betting wipeout make thomond something something...

Judgement Day

Munster more than 11.5 in the first half and Keith Earls to score a try cancelled out my Ulster winnings completely - plus I had to endure the game on a very laggy stream.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Quite an exciting weekend, down to 59.23 units

1 unit on each of: Toulon -2 1.91, Harlequins to win 2.2, Sharks -12.5 1.88, Waratahs -7.5 1.92.

antogz1979

Hurricanes vs blues total match pts over 44.5 has to be the bet. This is low as rain is expected but I don't think that is going to happen. 2 of the best attacking teams in the comp and tries will be plentiful. I'd say we will see 55 pts plus.

matthew8

antogz1979 wrote: »

Hurricanes vs blues total match pts over 44.5 has to be the bet. This is low as rain is expected but I don't think that is going to happen. 2 of the best attacking teams in the comp and tries will be plentiful. I'd say we will see 55 pts plus.

That's really good. I had a check there and true enough games involving either of those 2 have averaged 55 points. The thunderstorm is a worry, as is the wind but NZ sides generally cope really well with bad weather. My general reluctance to bet on overs/unders means I won't put it in my "official" log but I'll definitely place a bit on it.

rockbeast

antogz1979 wrote: »

Hurricanes vs blues total match pts over 44.5 has to be the bet. This is low as rain is expected but I don't think that is going to happen. 2 of the best attacking teams in the comp and tries will be plentiful. I'd say we will see 55 pts plus.

@ 5/6 or is there better?

I'm stuck with pp

matthew8

rockbeast wrote: »

@ 5/6 or is there better?

I'm stuck with pp

Evens if you have betfair (sportsbook).

rockbeast

matthew8 wrote: »

Evens if you have betfair (sportsbook).

I'd take evens.

5/6 either way...Hmmmnn....

I wonder is pp's position because of the (possible) weather or because they just offer sh!te odds?

* Wait, I just answered my own question there!:)

thomond2006

Followed ye on Hurricanes/Blues!

Old Balance: 22.61 units

- 2.5 units (4/5) Toulon to win
- 1.5 units (4/5) Hurricanes vs Blues over 44.5 points
- .75 units (5/6) Leinster over 4.5 tries

- .5 units (10/11) Edinburgh -4
- .5 units (2/1) Montpellier to win

Open Bets:

- 5 units (10/11) Toulon vs Munster: Munster +8
- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 16.86 units

rockbeast

thomond2006 wrote: »

- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 17.86 units

Fortune favours the brave(and faithful), I suppose.:)

The rest of your bets look solid.

Good luck

*sorry, T2006, but I don't think 3/1 is value...9/2 maybe...

thomond2006

rockbeast wrote: »

Fortune favours the brave(and faithful), I suppose.:)

The rest of your bets look solid.

Good luck

*sorry, T2006, but I don't think 3/1 is value...9/2 maybe...

Heart not head stuff, we'll see what happens.

On another note, Hurricanes/Blues overs comes in before the 60 minute mark. Good call antogz!

rockbeast

thomond2006 wrote: »

Heart not head stuff, we'll see what happens.

On another note, Hurricanes/Blues overs comes in before the 60 minute mark. Good call antogz! :)

nice one:-) thanks, tipster. I nearly doubled my money with PP;)

its_phil

antogz1979 wrote: »

Hurricanes vs blues total match pts over 44.5 has to be the bet. This is low as rain is expected but I don't think that is going to happen. 2 of the best attacking teams in the comp and tries will be plentiful. I'd say we will see 55 pts plus.

Good call. Went for Canes over 2.5 tries after reading this just because I heard the conversion rate in Super rugby this year. Got in thankfully

matthew8

Zebre +7 1.75, Toulouse to win (moneyline, it means if it's a draw half the stake loses and half wins) 2.11. Brive +4 (asian) 1.95, Sale +5 1.91. 1 unit on each as always.

antogz1979

antogz1979 wrote: »

Hurricanes vs blues total match pts over 44.5 has to be the bet. This is low as rain is expected but I don't think that is going to happen. 2 of the best attacking teams in the comp and tries will be plentiful. I'd say we will see 55 pts plus.

Worked out well in fairness, it did rain before the match, but conditions were good during the match. The layers got caught out here in fairness, my system had it at 55.5 pts. Good to see some people were on. Wasps -2 would be my main bet for tomorrow. they beat Gloucester by 12 two weeks ago in the amlin, very similar teams again, with Varndell back for Wasps a major plus. Wasps to bully them again in the forwards tomorrow and win by 5 plus.

No, you're a...

Old Balance: 52.65 units

Previous Bets
- 2 unit: Munster v Glasgow Warriors - Munster (-8.0) @ 1.90

This weekend
- 2 unit: Connacht v Munster - Munster (-7.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit: Connacht v Munster - Munster To Get Bonus Point Try @ 2.62

Open Bets
- 5 units: Toulon v Munster - Munster (+8.0) @ 1.90
- 3 units: Toulon v Munster - Munster @ 4.00

New Balance: 39.65 units

matthew8

1 unit on each of Northampton -18.5 1.95 and Ospreys -13.5 1.95.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Quite an exciting weekend, down to 59.23 units

60.05 at this point. Toulouse and Sharks letting me down on last second kicks, Brive on a try right at the end. Could have been a fantastic weekend.

No, you're a...

No, you're a... wrote: »

Old Balance: 52.65 units

Previous Bets
- 2 unit: Munster v Glasgow Warriors - Munster (-8.0) @ 1.90

This weekend
- 2 unit: Connacht v Munster - Munster (-7.0) @ 1.90
- 1 unit: Connacht v Munster - Munster To Get Bonus Point Try @ 2.62

Open Bets
- 5 units: Toulon v Munster - Munster (+8.0) @ 1.90
- 3 units: Toulon v Munster - Munster @ 4.00

New Balance: 39.65 units

New Balance: 46.11 units, got a bit lucky with munster there, love it!

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Followed ye on Hurricanes/Blues!

Old Balance: 22.61 units

- 2.5 units (4/5) Toulon to win
- 1.5 units (4/5) Hurricanes vs Blues over 44.5 points
- .75 units (5/6) Leinster over 4.5 tries

- .5 units (10/11) Edinburgh -4
- .5 units (2/1) Montpellier to win

Open Bets:

- 5 units (10/11) Toulon vs Munster: Munster +8
- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 16.86 units

New Balance: 25.49 units

matthew8

Oh FFS. Northampton were 29-0 up and had all the territory and possession, gave Irish 2 absolute gifts of tries and then conceded another. That is disgraceful bottling.

matthew8

I've never had such an unlucky week. The Ospreys spoiled about 10 try scoring opportunities. 58.05 units.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 25.49 units

- 2 units (10/11) Clermont -3
- .25 units (6/1) Munster -7
- .25 units (9/1) Dave Kilcoyne try in 80 mins
- .25 units (7/2) Keith Earls try in 80 mins
- .25 units (7/2) Simon Zebo try in 80 mins

Open Bets:

- 5 units (10/11) Toulon vs Munster: Munster +8
- 4 units (3/1) Toulon vs Munster: Munster to win

New Balance: 22.49 units