Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

thomond2006

What was your starting balance (in units) matthew?

matthew8

thomond2006 wrote: »

What was your starting balance (in units) matthew?

50

thomond2006

matthew8 wrote: »

50

Cool, at least you actually have a profit unlike some people... :pac:

matthew8

thomond2006 wrote: »

Cool, at least you actually have a profit unlike some people... :pac:

Heh, I was thinking there about what you would do if Munster lost and you managed to lose the other 5 before the start of the next season. Of course it's a lot easier for me that I post my bets from everywhere (pinnacle, Betfair, both the exchange and sportsbook, and Paddy the only ones I use) which gives me a level playing field with the bookies (you only have to look at today, I was getting 2.07 on a -2.5 on Pinnacle while you got 1.91 on Paddy for a -3). Pinnacle by the way is an outstanding online bookies. They don't refuse any money (they have limits for markets but you'd never have to worry about being singled out as a customer they won't take money from) and give exchange-like odds without a commission. The only disadvantage is they don't have as many games/markets as Paddy does and it takes longer for them to publish the odds (hence me never posting all the bets in one go) but I really think they're top notch.

thomond2006

What I might do next year is have Account 1, Account 2, Account 3 next year with three different bookies so I can get better value.

matthew8

Leinster -21 1.91 1 unit. Going through the games before the odds were released I reckoned Leinster would win by 30+. And that was before I found out about SOB.

Sale to win 1.91 1 unit, Treviso +7.5 1.95 1 unit.

sydthebeat

2 accumulators

highlanders -11
western force +4
bath +5
Leinster - 22

@ 14/1 ish

Crusaders -7
western force +4
highlanders -11

@7/1 ish

thomond2006

Old Balance: 20.68 units

- 2.5 units (10/11) Leinster -22
- 2 units (10/11) Munster -19
- 1.5 units (11/4) Racing Métro to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +17
- .25 units (11/1) Rory Kockott try in 80 minutes

New Balance: 13.43 units

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Leinster -21 1.91 1 unit. Going through the games before the odds were released I reckoned Leinster would win by 30+. And that was before I found out about SOB.

Sale to win 1.91 1 unit, Treviso +7.5 1.95 1 unit.

51.64. Sale lead for most of the game but this is what I get for betting on an absolute dead rubber. Treviso covering and Leinster not never really looked like they would go differently.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 20.68 units

- 2.5 units (10/11) Leinster -22
- 2 units (10/11) Munster -19
- 1.5 units (11/4) Racing Métro to win
- 1 unit (10/11) Connacht +17
- .25 units (11/1) Rory Kockott try in 80 minutes

New Balance: 13.43 units

New Balance: 19.05 units

The weekend started so well....

Glasgow are available at -1 for next weekend which I think is 5 or 6 points too generous.

wowy

thomond2006 wrote: »

Glasgow are available at -1 for next weekend which I think is 5 or 6 points too generous.

All over that.

matthew8

It's a tough one to predict. Munster aren't great in the league under Penney but you feel they might be able to up their game. Glasgow are the form side so I'll probably place it, but it's not so clear cut. Might even be worth a small stake on something like Glasgow -16 if Munster do prove to be so inept.

Saracens -8 stands out to me right now. Awesome home team, they've brought so much money to me from their home ground(s) and Harlequins are an average side these days.

sydthebeat

ulster +5 and glasgow -1 looks like a good value double at 3.64

matthew8

1 unit on each: Sharks +10 (asian) 1.95, Reds to win 1.67, Glasgow to win 1.82, Saracens -8 (asian) 1.95.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 19.05 units

- 3 units (7/4) Ulster to win
- 1 unit (1.09/1) Toulon and Montpellier to win
- .5 units (3/1) Harlequins to win

New Balance: 14.55 units

Judgement Day

This week's and next week's gambling budget all committed on a tonight's three games.

G'wan Munster!

Judgement Day

Almost the perfect storm but still 1/6 ain't bad. My pot is down to about 26% of what I started the evening with and Munster lost but NOT by enough.

wowy

wowy wrote: »

All over that.

Uuuuuuuugh.

Judgement Day

Back up on the horse with a nice safe bet: Crusaders to beat Sharks tomorrow at 3/10 on.

matthew8

Thank god I backed the win and not the -1 handicap.

Judgement Day

Judgement Day wrote: »

Back up on the horse with a nice safe bet: Crusaders to beat Sharks tomorrow at 3/10 on.

Ooops! 30-25 to the Sharks in an unprecedented victory and despite being down to 14 men after just 17 minutes. I sure put the hex on that. Now to just enjoy what's left of the rugby with no betting.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

51.64. Sale lead for most of the game but this is what I get for betting on an absolute dead rubber. Treviso covering and Leinster not never really looked like they would go differently.

53.36.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 19.05 units

- 3 units (7/4) Ulster to win
- 1 unit (1.09/1) Toulon and Montpellier to win
- .5 units (3/1) Harlequins to win

New Balance: 14.55 units

New Balance: 14.55 units

It was looking good for Ulster for quite a while...

thomond2006

Right I'm all in on Toulon!

Old Balance: 14.55 units

- 13.55 units (8/13) Toulon to win the Heineken Cup

- .25 units (9/2) Delon Armitage try in 80 mins
- .25 units (13/2) Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe try in 80 mins
- .25 units (7/1) Craig Burden try in 80 mins
- .25 units (13/1) Jonny Wilkinson try in 80 mins

New Balance: Zero!

matthew8

Toulon to win 1 unit 1.74. Northampton to win 1 unit 1.78.

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

Toulon to win 1 unit 1.74. Northampton to win 1 unit 1.78.

54.88.

Judgement Day

Wiped out again but happy.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Right I'm all in on Toulon!

Old Balance: 14.55 units

- 13.55 units (8/13) Toulon to win the Heineken Cup

- .25 units (9/2) Delon Armitage try in 80 mins
- .25 units (13/2) Juan Martin Fernandez Lobbe try in 80 mins
- .25 units (7/1) Craig Burden try in 80 mins
- .25 units (13/1) Jonny Wilkinson try in 80 mins

New Balance: Zero!

New Balance: 21.89 units

matthew8

1 unit Chiefs to win 1.74 (moneyline), 1 unit Castres +7.5 1.95.

matthew8

Ireland are 4/11 to win the Arg series 2-0. Considering most of Argentina's players are semi-pros from their own leagues while resting the main men who play up north and England (without Lions) beat them very easily last year I think that's a fantastic bet.