Betting Thread Part III - Insert witty title here

matthew8

75 staked and 63.89. Referee had a shocker in the Saracens game.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 56.53 units

- 2 units (10/11) South Africa +2
- 1 unit (evens) Ian Madigan try in 80 mins
- .25 units (7/2) Ireland to win to nil

New Balance: 53.28 units

New Balance: 57.10 units

sydthebeat

France (-12.0) @ 10/11

Ireland (-2.0) @ 10/11

accum @ approx 5/1


i think ireland will go wider closer to the game and that theyre good value right now at -2

Argentina were lucky against italy, who self destructed, and have looked out of sorts in their first two games.
Scotland ran in 41 points against them and i think France, whos tails are high, can get a bagful on them.

matthew8

London Welsh premiership handicaps this year vs. actual results:
1. +7 vs. lost by 52
2. +23 vs. lost by 27
3. +19 vs. lost by 38
4. +17 vs. lost by 36
5. +24 vs. lost by 52
6. +7 vs. lost by 20
7. +29 vs. lost by 64

Talk about a cash cow to back against them. Home to Leicester this week, +26 with the early odds bookies. Internationals obviously missing for Leicester and a bit of rain forecast, but at this point it's seriously remiss not to back against them, and Leicester were good enough to draw against quite a good Saracens side at the weekend.

matthew8

Waiting on a Leicester team announcement, maybe taking a risk with 3 bookies going -26 and the other -28 but you'd bloody well want all players they can get out there for a 26 point handicap. Rotten week to pick I think, for me the bookies are absolutely spot on with the Friday pro 12 games and the rest of the Aviva games and most internationals. Boyles though are giving evens on France -12 so 1 unit on that. Don't buy into the "France are back" vibe but the AIs and home games in general have got the best out of them and Argentina look like they've taken their eye off the ball, in the highlights looked a bit flattered by 41-31 against Scotland and wouldn't have won against any team other than Italy with how they played last Friday.

matthew8

After all that Leicester have gone with Burns over Williams, left Tait and Benjamin out and there's a very high chance of rain so I may have to leave it alone. What a shame. Good Bath team out, 1.61 1 unit Bath win. 1 unit Connacht -14 2.0. 1 unit Leinster -11 1.91.

skippymac6

Connacht -14 (looking forward to seeing Aki and Muliania lining out for Connacht).
Tonga +14
Ireland -2
France -12
Over 46.5 points in Wales vs NZ

Singles and accumulator

thomond2006

Old Balance: 57.10 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Connacht -13
- .25 units (9/4) Mils Muliana try in 80 mins

- 1 unit (10/11) Samoa +20
- .5 units (5/6) Newcastle Falcons to win
- .75 units (5/6) Munster-Munster double result

- 1.5 units (13/10) Ireland-Ireland double result
- .5 units (7/4) Ireland-Australia no yellow card
- .5 units (15/8) Ireland -8
- .25 units (13/2) Robbie Henshaw try in 80 mins
- .25 units (8/1) Peter O'Mahony try in 80 mins

New Balance: 50.10 units

matthew8

1 unit Leicester -26 1.9. 1 unit South Africa-17 2.0

matthew8

1 unit Cardiff to win 2.87.

skippymac6

Northampton +6
Leinster -13

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 57.10 units

- 1.5 units (10/11) Connacht -13
- .25 units (9/4) Mils Muliana try in 80 mins

- 1 unit (10/11) Samoa +20
- .5 units (5/6) Newcastle Falcons to win
- .75 units (5/6) Munster-Munster double result

- 1.5 units (13/10) Ireland-Ireland double result
- .5 units (7/4) Ireland-Australia no yellow card
- .5 units (15/8) Ireland -8
- .25 units (13/2) Robbie Henshaw try in 80 mins
- .25 units (8/1) Peter O'Mahony try in 80 mins

New Balance: 50.10 units

New Balance: 57.16 units

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

75 staked and 63.89. Referee had a shocker in the Saracens game.

81 staked, 60.50. What a woeful 2 weeks.

matthew8

1 unit Sale to win 2.2. I'm in disbelief as to how sportingbet have Newcastle as faves for this one.

matthew8

Ulster +6 1 unit 1.91. Looks like they have a better team out than Munster.

Pudsy33

Taken Ulster and Australia +4. I can't see England winning this one let alone by a score.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 57.16 units

- 2.5 units (10/11) Australia +4

- 1 unit (5/6) Munster v Ulster over 38.5 points
- .5 units (15/8) Munster v Ulster no yellow card
- .25 units (9/1) Denis Hurley try in 80 mins
- .25 units (5/1) Pat Howard try in 80 mins
- .25 units (11/2) Sam Burgess try in 80 mins

- .75 units (3.47/1) Oyonnax, Lyon, La Rochelle, Castres & Toulon to win
- .5 units (6/4) Pau to win

New Balance: 51.16 units

matthew8

Saracens to win 2.37 1 unit bet365. Couldn't think of a better team to play Exeter. Glasgow -15 1.91 PP. Zebre +5 1.91.

thomond2006

thomond2006 wrote: »

Old Balance: 57.16 units

- 2.5 units (10/11) Australia +4

- 1 unit (5/6) Munster v Ulster over 38.5 points
- .5 units (15/8) Munster v Ulster no yellow card
- .25 units (9/1) Denis Hurley try in 80 mins
- .25 units (5/1) Pat Howard try in 80 mins
- .25 units (11/2) Sam Burgess try in 80 mins

- .75 units (3.47/1) Oyonnax, Lyon, La Rochelle, Castres & Toulon to win
- .5 units (6/4) Pau to win

New Balance: 51.16 units

New Balance: 54.25 units

skippymac6

matthew8 wrote: »

Saracens to win 2.37 1 unit bet365. Couldn't think of a better team to play Exeter. Glasgow -15 1.91 PP. Zebre +5 1.91.

Had Exeter -10. Sick after that last second converted try

matthew8

matthew8 wrote: »

81 staked, 60.50. What a woeful 2 weeks.

87 staked, 61.52. Think money came for all the selections. Hoping for more outstanding challenge cup value this week.

matthew8

1 unit Leicester to win 2.6. 1 unit Leinster to win 1.91.

skippymac6

Leicester +4
Ulster -11 -- Love Ulster this week

matthew8

Northampton -19 1.9 1 unit.

thomond2006

Old Balance: 54.25 units

- 2.5 units (10/11) Grenoble -32

New Balance: 51.75 units

I'll see how this goes before backing anything else!

skippymac6

Just saw the Montpellier team and they have named such a weak lineup. I know Ranger, Oliver and one or two others are there but it's very much a second string side. Bath +4 for sure

matthew8

1 unit Ulster -10 1.91.

matthew8

Connacht -18 1 unit 1.91.

its_phil

matthew8 wrote: »

Connacht -18 1 unit 1.91.

Where did you get that? Only seeing -23 with Bet365

matthew8

Opened -18 and has been massively backed since.