The Football Tips Thread V

seanhynes

Can't see any value on these rotton games

jantheman91

Great value on the Celtic game earlier, surprised nobody copped it.

They were 6/4 to beat FK Krasnodar and done just that pretty easily.

Keep an eye out on those Friendly games, there's a good bet to be found.

seanhynes

jantheman91 wrote: »

Great value on the Celtic game earlier, surprised nobody copped it.

They were 6/4 to beat FK Krasnodar and done just that pretty easily.

Keep an eye out on those Friendly games, there's a good bet to be found.

Missed it but at 3-1 I switched on and had Krasnodar to score dominated keeper for Celtic was brilliant unfortunately they missed an open goal too

jantheman91

seanhynes wrote: »

Missed it but at 3-1 I switched on and had Krasnodar to score dominated keeper for Celtic was brilliant unfortunately they missed an open goal too

First half Celtic had their first team out and they were pretty poor.

Second half the youngsters took over and looked very good.

Looking forward to seeing more of Leo Fasan (the youth keeper you mentioned).

Smithwicks Man

shmeee wrote: »

Any update on this?

Monaco 1/2 with BV and AC @ 4/1.

6/4 then with the rest that are priced up for AC. An odd market.

Looks like he's set to head to Roma, price cut into 1/33 with SkyBet.

Had the right country at least :pac:

shmeee

Smithwicks Man wrote: »

Looks like he's set to head to Roma, price cut into 1/33 with SkyBet.

Had the right country at least :pac:

Haha, ah Feck it. These transfer bets do be impossible to hit but when there's value I don't mind having a punt at a price.

Lasagna Diarra

Trans Narva are missing quite a few players for tomorrow's game vs Tammeka

Apart from Tanel Tamberg, there is a long list of injuries affecting the Eastern Estonia club. Reason why they will field a starting XI packed with youngsters from the double team. Additionally, Andrejev (left back) and Nesterovsky (CB) are sidelined by suspensions, making the defence-line situation even more dramatic.

They'll also be without their defensive midfielder Tenno who's joined a German club, not to mention that their coach has left the club.

Tammeka are on a 3 game losing streak, they haven't lost more than 3 games in a row this season.
in depth preview: http://www.rumodispo.com/news/trans-tammeka-preview-18

Tammeka Tartu double chance @ 1.95

jantheman91

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Trans Narva are missing quite a few players for tomorrow's game vs Tammeka



They'll also be without their defensive midfielder Tenno who's joined a German club, not to mention that their coach has left the club.

Tammeka are on a 3 game losing streak, they haven't lost more than 3 games in a row this season.
in depth preview: http://www.rumodispo.com/news/trans-tammeka-preview-18

Tammeka Tartu double chance @ 1.95

Strange I can't find it on Bet365

EDIT: Found it.

Cheers Lasagna, will spread the word.

jantheman91

Game in the CAN league tonight between Waterloo Region and Serbia White Eagles -> OVR3.5 has been tipped by a guy on twitter.

The match is available with 888bet, PP, Titanbet, Betway, and Unibet.

I've only got Coral, WH, and B365 accounts so will be giving it a miss.

There's quite a bit of money going on it apparently, and I said I'd pass it on.



Recent games results in that league ^^^



Odds for OVR3.5 by bookmaker ^^^^^

jantheman91

jantheman91 wrote: »

Game in the CAN league tonight between Waterloo Region and Serbia White Eagles -> OVR3.5 has been tipped by a guy on twitter.

The match is available with 888bet, PP, Titanbet, Betway, and Unibet.

I've only got Coral, WH, and B365 accounts so will be giving it a miss.

There's quite a bit of money going on it apparently, and I said I'd pass it on.



Recent games results in that league ^^^



Odds for OVR3.5 by bookmaker ^^^^^

Finished 4-0, so the bet came in.

Surprised nobody done it.

Oh well.

Gavin "shels"

jantheman91 wrote: »

Finished 4-0, so the bet came in.

Surprised nobody done it.

Oh well.

Not surprised one bit, everyone and their wind has coped onto the CSL and the fixing. Last season was easy to back the fixes as it was plain as day, this season everyone and their dog are backing overs, etc... so it's more difficult too see genuine fixes.

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Trans Narva are missing quite a few players for tomorrow's game vs Tammeka



They'll also be without their defensive midfielder Tenno who's joined a German club, not to mention that their coach has left the club.

Tammeka are on a 3 game losing streak, they haven't lost more than 3 games in a row this season.
in depth preview: http://www.rumodispo.com/news/trans-tammeka-preview-18

Tammeka Tartu double chance @ 1.95

Trans have a 15 yo defender in their starting 11... http://int.soccerway.com/players/nikita-savenkov/332645/, they also have a 16 yo in it.

But Tammeka also have a 16 yo in their starting 11 :pac: lol...

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Trans Narva are missing quite a few players for tomorrow's game vs Tammeka



They'll also be without their defensive midfielder Tenno who's joined a German club, not to mention that their coach has left the club.

Tammeka are on a 3 game losing streak, they haven't lost more than 3 games in a row this season.
in depth preview: http://www.rumodispo.com/news/trans-tammeka-preview-18

Tammeka Tartu double chance @ 1.95

Tammeka Tartu won 2-1

Missing Links

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Tammeka Tartu won 2-1

Childs play Nice one.

Oat23

Sligo Rovers v FK Banga is 75/1 for it to be won on penalties. €10 on each team to win on penalties will give you €740 profit if it's a draw after 120 mintues.

It was a 0-0 bore in Lithuania last week and we looked terribly clueless going forward. I can see the Lithuanian team sitting back and playing for penalties.

jantheman91

Game between Daugava Daugavpils and Vikingur tomorrow.

Movement on the exchange is very funny indeed according to a guy on twitter.

Opened 1 - 1.33, X - 5.0, 2 - 8.5
Current 1 - 1.75, X - 3.8, 2 - 3.9

Wouldn't be the first time Daugava have taken money to throw a match.

I'll be jumping all over Vikingur Gota DC!

jantheman91

I am failing to see any negative to this bet....

Iceland Division 4 - Orninn Vs. Skallagrimur Borgarnes - Tomorrow 10th July 9pm.

Skallagrimur Borgarnes DC @5/6

Skallagrimur WIN @8/5

Skallagrimur HT/FT @15/4

Bet365

In their last meeting Skallagrimur thumped Orninn 6-1.






The goal difference is a big selling point too. Skallagrimur scored 12 in one of their recent games too.

Shanotheslayer

In the last year and a half Skall have only won 1 out of 7 away. Winning 1. Orinn seem to be a new team by the looks of soccerway. Only 5ever results. Beating Afrika(The team Skall beat 12-1) Seem to be whipping boys in that league. But Orinn lost other 3/5 games. Beating Afrika at home and HVot (team in 2nd). Bit sketchy for me. Might see of odds change in morning and back it

jantheman91

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

In the last year and a half Skall have only won 1 out of 7 away. Winning 1. Orinn seem to be a new team by the looks of soccerway. Only 5ever results. Beating Afrika(The team Skall beat 12-1) Seem to be whipping boys in that league. But Orinn lost other 3/5 games. Beating Afrika at home and HVot (team in 2nd). Bit sketchy for me. Might see of odds change in morning and back it

Can't see the odds staying anywhere close to what they are now.

I've got it out on twitter and a tipster has retweeted it.

Skall pumped them 6-1 less than 2 months ago, and ever since Orninn have been getting railed.

No brainer for me.

I've put €15 on DC, and €10 on straight win.

seanhynes

Odds are already gone into 13/10 ,bookies watching forums at all hours

Shanotheslayer

Where are you seeing they beat them?http://ie.soccerway.com/teams/iceland/skallagrimur-borgarnes/2411/ Soccerway got feck all on them. edit: Threw 12.50 on them to even off my account.

jantheman91

Shanotheslayer wrote: »

Where are you seeing they beat them?http://ie.soccerway.com/teams/iceland/skallagrimur-borgarnes/2411/ Soccerway got feck all on them.

Hit previous once.

Their goal difference by comparison to Skalla tells a very telling story.

Will be surprised if this bet doesn't stroll it.

Just dropping these screens here to show I actually backed them myself.

Shanotheslayer

Feck it. That 12.50 was on DC btw. Threw €5 on the win. Touchwood.

Missing Links

Dundalk at home on their astro pitch to tonight -2 @ 6/5.Strolled first leg in Luxembourg winning 2-0.Top scorers in LOI with 44 goals.Have scored 27 goals at home in 9 league matches against better opposition.

Gavin "shels"

Missing Links wrote: »

Dundalk at home on their astro pitch to tonight -2 @ 6/5.Strolled first leg in Luxembourg winning 2-0.Top scorers in LOI with 44 goals.Have scored 27 goals at home in 9 league matches against better opposition.

The team Dundalk are playing play on astro afaik.

Shanotheslayer

Skall now gone into 6/5 for anyone still interested

Missing Links

Gavin shels wrote: »

The team Dundalk are playing play on astro afaik.

Didn't serve them well at home then

Gavin "shels"

Personally won't be touching Dundalk, they'd take a 1-0 win, Kenny may rest players for Sunday and Towell is rumoured to be off to Brentford.

jantheman91

jantheman91 wrote: »

Game between Daugava Daugavpils and Vikingur tomorrow.

Movement on the exchange is very funny indeed according to a guy on twitter.

Opened 1 - 1.33, X - 5.0, 2 - 8.5
Current 1 - 1.75, X - 3.8, 2 - 3.9

Wouldn't be the first time Daugava have taken money to throw a match.

I'll be jumping all over Vikingur Gota DC!

Game ended 1-1, not surprisingly.

Winning bet. :cool:

jantheman91

IF Fuglafjodur V MyPa (7pm K:O I believe)


MyPa take a 1-0 lead to the Faroe Islands and should have scored at least 7.

This Faroe Islands team is incredibly poor, and I expect MyPa to stick a few past them.

MyPa WIN @4/7

Lasagna Diarra

Celik seem to be the most obvious fixers of the competition, this is the Celik keeper last week...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bC1oPQgI3KU

Koper to score over 4.5 goals @ 2.50

jantheman91

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Celik seem to be the most obvious fixers of the competition, this is the Celik keeper last week...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bC1oPQgI3KU

Koper to score over 4.5 goals @ 2.50

This is a good spot, however it is possible they have set up a trade fix so to speak.

This time it is Celik's turn in order to throw the bookies off.

Have a look at the exchange on betfair 15 mins before KO and see where the fixers are throwing money.

jantheman91

I checked the exchange about 5 minutes in to the game and there was A LOT of money on ''Penalty to be awarded - Yes''.

Sure enough it came in. Fixed inside and out.

Lasagna Diarra

jantheman91 wrote: »

I checked the exchange about 5 minutes in to the game and there was A LOT of money on ''Penalty to be awarded - Yes''.

Sure enough it came in. Fixed inside and out.

and the penalty was caused by the keeper... I wonder if UEFA will do something he's obviously in on the fix...

jantheman91

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

and the penalty was caused by the keeper... I wonder if UEFA will do something he's obviously in on the fix...

Hopefully not, so I can keep a FIRM EYE on all of their future games.

Serious money to be made there.

SteelyDanJalapeno

jantheman91 wrote: »

I checked the exchange about 5 minutes in to the game and there was A LOT of money on ''Penalty to be awarded - Yes''.

Sure enough it came in. Fixed inside and out.

How much and have you got a screenshot?

jantheman91

TiltedBrain wrote: »

How much and have you got a screenshot?

Unfortunately I don't as I thought nothing of it at the time.

It was about 5,000 euro.

SteelyDanJalapeno

jantheman91 wrote: »

Unfortunately I don't as I thought nothing of it at the time.

It was about 5,000 euro.

What "exchange" was it?

jantheman91

TiltedBrain wrote: »

What "exchange" was it?

Betfair.

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Celik seem to be the most obvious fixers of the competition, this is the Celik keeper last week...

of course when the dodgy keeper was sent off Celik stopped conceding goals :rolleyes:

edit: two late goals but it wasn't enough

seany212121

jantheman91 wrote: »

Hit previous once.

Their goal difference by comparison to Skalla tells a very telling story.

Will be surprised if this bet doesn't stroll it.

Just dropping these screens here to show I actually backed them myself.

Winning 1-0 at the moment and seem to be all over the other team looks like this could be a great spot

Haha 2-0 greay spot you just won me 80 euro ☺

jantheman91

seany212121 wrote: »

Winning 1-0 at the moment and seem to be all over the other team looks like this could be a great spot

Haha 2-0 greay spot you just won me 80 euro ☺

Enjoy it mate. Better in your pocket than the ***** at Bet365 or otherwise.

jantheman91

2-1 now. Not too worried. Skalla are the better side and should come out stronger 2nd half.

jantheman91

jantheman91 wrote: »

2-1 now. Not too worried. Skalla are the better side and should come out stronger 2nd half.

And just like that, they score in the 50th minute.

3-1 now.

Think I've found a new club.

jantheman91

jantheman91 wrote: »

And just like that, they score in the 50th minute.

3-1 now.

Think I've found a new club.

4-1.

Don't doubt the Skalla!

jantheman91

Pretty sure this came from the same guy/information as the Skalla bet.

Iceland Division 2 - Aegir Vs. Afturelding

Afturelding Double Chance @ 4/5 Bet 365






And as always, my bet:

inforfun

MOD:

Now the WC comes to an end and the Live, DBB and Football Tips thread are being used a bit more again, would you all be so kind to post your stuff in the right threads?

My back is hurting from moving posts here and there the last few days.

So, what goes where?

Researched bets > Football tips
No endless discussions about bets that people take, if you dont agree with someones bet, just dont follow him or her.
But dont hesitate if you found additional, important info about matches people tip to add that.
Also dont add that you found a better price for bets. Some tipsters here are very restricted as it comes to available bookies and know very well they are being screwed (Hi, Lass)
Most people know how to use oddschecker and will find the odds they like.

Silly accumulators and all other bets you take just because you think it looks sexy > Daily bets and banter.

Bets you take while the match you bet on is already going on > Live bets.

Any questions about rules here , please read the charter first (link in my sig)
There are several threads here with very useful information, search first there. Almost every question has been asked and answered by now.

Thank you

Lasagna Diarra

Aktobe to qualify @ 2.00 is my bet of the month so far

I've been following them for a few years and they've always done well in Europe compared to the other Kazakh teams. Their team is getting stronger and stronger every year and this year, they have several players who used to play in the Russian premier league and their striker Antonov played for Chornomorets last season who finished 5th in the Ukrainian premier league and went far in the Europa League.
Aktobe have already played twice against Georgian opposition and each time they made it to the next round.

Bateman

I can't find the To Qualify market on this one, had a quick look on Powers and Oddschecker, maybe I am not looking hard enough but are there many firms betting on this?

Lasagna Diarra

Bateman wrote: »

I can't find the To Qualify market on this one, had a quick look on Powers and Oddschecker, maybe I am not looking hard enough but are there many firms betting on this?

http://www.oddsportal.com/soccer/europe/champions-league/dinamo-tbilisi-aktobe-2JPKSrJj/#qualify;1

Bwin has it too