The Football Tips Thread V

seanhynes

seanhynes wrote: »

Card before 22.00 Madrid derby 5/6

Card 18th minute:)

Lasagna Diarra

Spartak Moscow -1 @ 1.72

First official game for Spartak in their new stadium, I read 32k tickets have been sold so far so there should be a big crowd - the average attendance in their old stadium was between 5k and 10k. Probably gonna take them in a double with Man Utd.

Spartak & Man Utd double @ 1.60

ben.schlomo

jebus84 wrote: »

not bad for a random fancy

Hard to argue with a win but it doesnt change that it wasnt a tip just a fancy.

Lasagna Diarra

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Spartak Moscow -1 @ 1.72

First official game for Spartak in their new stadium, I read 32k tickets have been sold so far so there should be a big crowd - the average attendance in their old stadium was between 5k and 10k. Probably gonna take them in a double with Man Utd.

Spartak & Man Utd double @ 1.60

Double boom

Slimseamie

Lasagna Diarra wrote: »

Double boom

Great shout mate, I followed you on this and put valenica -1 to boot! great day!

retalivity

Fc sillamae kalev vs levadia tallinn (estonia)
Sillamae kalev to win 3.2

Sillamae beat levadia away 3-0 a little over 3 weeks ago, have won their games since 8-0, 13-0, 8-1 and also havent lost in ten. Levadia are second but sillamae (4th) are the form team in the division and i think they are definitely overpriced at 3.2 on pp

Lamposts

This game on b365 ?

massdebater

Lamposts wrote: »

This game on b365 ?

Yep, Sillamae are 3.00. You'll find it under Soccer>Europe>Estonia Meistriliigia

Lamposts

2/1 now!

massdebater

Lamposts wrote: »

2/1 now!

2/1 is 3.00... fractions v decimals

TheStook

retalivity wrote: »

Fc sillamae kalev vs levadia tallinn (estonia)
Sillamae kalev to win 3.2

Sillamae beat levadia away 3-0 a little over 3 weeks ago, have won their games since 8-0, 13-0, 8-1 and also havent lost in ten. Levadia are second but sillamae (4th) are the form team in the division and i think they are definitely overpriced at 3.2 on pp

Followed, were down to 2.62 on B365 when I got on though.

CriticEyes

Lads, Notts Forest at home to Fulham tomorrow has to be bet of the week, no?
Notts Forest at home V's rock bottom Fulham at 8/11.
Top goalscorer Assombalonga B is 6/5 anytime. 5 goals already. And Fulham have the worse away record conceding 10 goals in 3 games.
I'm gonna be on
N. Forrest win (Large)
Medium Assombalonga B anytime (medium)
and maybe a small bet on -1.
Won't be taking these til closer to kick off.

the whole year inn

retalivity wrote: »

Fc sillamae kalev vs levadia tallinn (estonia)
Sillamae kalev to win 3.2

Sillamae beat levadia away 3-0 a little over 3 weeks ago, have won their games since 8-0, 13-0, 8-1 and also havent lost in ten. Levadia are second but sillamae (4th) are the form team in the division and i think they are definitely overpriced at 3.2 on pp

1-0 down at half time

retalivity

the whole year inn wrote: »

1-0 down at half time

No joy, thats how it finished.
Seems like a pretty even game looking at the stats....ho-hum, onto later

Mountainlad

Two doubles for tonight:

Chelsea play Schalke at home while Barca do likewise with Apoel Nicosia.

Chelsea have scored 13 in their last 4 games and are in great form, having sorted the attacking issues of last season. Them same can't be said for their opponents, 17th in the league and conceded 7 in their last 4.

Barca's problems lie in defence, and though that may be exploited down the line it is unlikely to happen today (one of Apoels two leading scorers being an Irishman, Cillian Sheridan, who has 3 caps for the Country and not played in 3 years). They have plenty up front as always, and are in good form.

Chelsea -1
Barca -1
Double at 2.14 (Boyles)

Also a small bet on:

Chelsea over 2.5
Ibra 2 or more (courtesy of Infor)

10/1

shmeee

Mountainlad wrote: »

Two doubles for tonight:

Chelsea play Schalke at home while Barca do likewise with Apoel Nicosia.

Chelsea have scored 13 in their last 4 games and are in great form, having sorted the attacking issues of last season. Them same can't be said for their opponents, 17th in the league and conceded 7 in their last 4.

Barca's problems lie in defence, and though that may be exploited down the line it is unlikely to happen today (one of Apoels two leading scorers being an Irishman, Cillian Sheridan, who has 3 caps for the Country and not played in 3 years). They have plenty up front as always, and are in good form.

Double at 2.14 (Boyles)

What that price for?

Mountainlad

shmeee wrote: »

What that price for?

Sorry just edited

shmeee

Mountainlad wrote: »

Sorry just edited

No worries, was thinking it was -1 but was wondering did they lose their mind and give us a special. hahah. I'm liking that bet also.

CriticEyes

CriticEyes wrote: »

Lads, Notts Forest at home to Fulham tomorrow has to be bet of the week, no?
Notts Forest at home V's rock bottom Fulham at 8/11.
Top goalscorer Assombalonga B is 6/5 anytime. 5 goals already. And Fulham have the worse away record conceding 10 goals in 3 games.
I'm gonna be on
N. Forrest win (Large)
Medium Assombalonga B anytime (medium)
and maybe a small bet on -1.
Won't be taking these til closer to kick off.

Boooooom!! Clean sweep!! Never in doubt!! :eek::D

paul8209

Brazil Serie A: Goias- Atletico Mineiro

You do not expect too many goals when Goias play at home, with their ten starts this season averaging just 1.7 goals and it was a largely similar story last year. However, the hosts sit just five points above the drop zone and could really do with all three points this evening, Atletico are far more attack minded and only the top two have scored more road goals, but that has only resulted in two wins, with games averaging 2.7 goals, when they do attempt to tighten up at the back it tends to backfire and end in dropped points. They are five points off Copa Libertadores pace and that seems likely to increase tonight, with Corinthians hosting Chapecoense, unless they can collect the win and they are facing a trip to Cruzeiro at the weekend. Therefore, I do expect this to be a little more open than the usual Goias home game.

Hosts are without suspended duo of defensive midfielder Thiago Mendes and Tiago Real (lost all three he has missed), Goias lost 4-1 at Atletico in the absence of Mendes at the end of last season.

Atletico are without forwards Diego Tardelli and Luan, but coach Levir Culpi has spoken about the need to win and his team will take chances for the points, at the back, they are missing central defender Leonardo Silva ( he has missed four away starts in the last 12 months, three defeats and two goals conceded in three of those starts) and key right back Marcos Rocha. The last game both defenders missed was a 3-2 win at Vitoria and it is hard to see how they can win here with a clean sheet.

1.25 units "over" 2 goals 1.99 asian line/Sportmarket.


Goias: Paulo Henrique , Renan, Léo Veloso, Lima , Moisés Alex Alves, Felipe, Jackson , Valmir Lucas, Amaral, David , Rodrigo, Esquerdinha, Liniker, Murilo , Ramon, Bruno Mineiro, Erik, Samuel , Welinton Júnior.

Atletico : Victor, Uilson, Emerson Conceição, Alex Silva, Douglas Santos, Edcarlos, Jemerson, Tiago, Claudinei, Fillipe Soutto, Eduardo, Leandro Donizete,Dodô, Dátolo, Paulinho, Guilherme, André, Carlos, Jô.

paul8209

Europa League :Metalist Kharkiv -Trabzonspor

This match is being played in Lviv, 1,000 km from Kharkiv, their home match in the playoff round was held in Kiev, which is about half that distance away and very few Metalist supporters made the journey and it is hard to see tonight's fixture offering them much by way of home advantage and as a team, they look weaker than in recent seasons. Traditionally the third best club side behind Shakhtar and Dynamo, they made the big breakthrough in 2012-13 to finish runner up, but last season again slipped back to third, with Dnipro edging them out. Dnipro look to have made the progress from that second place finish that Metalist were hoping for and are putting pressure on Donetsk and with Dynamo looking stronger, things look tough for tonight's host. Their confidence will not have been helped by losing 5-2 at home to Dnipro on Saturday and the mood amongst the players will surely not have been good on the long road trip to Lviv.

Trabzonspor have made a good start to life under new coach Vahid Halilhodzic (pictured), who proved his tactical worth with Algeria at the World Cup and his usual approach of keeping things tight and then counter attacking with speed and tactical nous, is ideally suited to playing on the road, especially in Europe. His team has yet to concede a goal and they will be very tough to breakdown this evening. I watched their 0-0 draw at Rostov in the playoff round and Halilhodzic has done an incredible job very quickly, they only allowed the hosts a couple of long range efforts on goal and three times got 3 v 1 on the break and were only denied by some fine saves and poor finishing, overall a very impressive performance and this is a team we have to give close attention to in the coming months.


1.25 units Trabzonspor level ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.

Chrissybhoy

Sevilla -1 5/4 tonight in Europa league agains Feyenoord. Sevilla flying at the moment unbeaten and 3rd in La Liga. They have a real exciting attacking team Feyenoord are struggling on the other hand 5 points out of 5 games and the Dutch league not great at the moment. Get on !

Chrissybhoy

Sevilla 2-0 HT hopefully they push on now and cover the bet without making it a sweat job

KingJamsie

Chrissybhoy wrote: »

Sevilla 2-0 HT hopefully they push on now and cover the bet without making it a sweat job

Did a double with Everton BTTS & Bendtner just came on ):

Chrissybhoy

KingJamsie wrote: »

Did a double with Everton BTTS & Bendtner just came on ):

Wouldn't be confident on him getting one hopefully someone pops up and gets one for ya

hellfish08

Chrissybhoy wrote: »

Sevilla -1 5/4 tonight in Europa league agains Feyenoord. Sevilla flying at the moment unbeaten and 3rd in La Liga. They have a real exciting attacking team Feyenoord are struggling on the other hand 5 points out of 5 games and the Dutch league not great at the moment. Get on !

Thank you! Doubled it with Everton win & Over 2.5 goals

Chrissybhoy

Chrissybhoy wrote: »

Sevilla -1 5/4 tonight in Europa league agains Feyenoord. Sevilla flying at the moment unbeaten and 3rd in La Liga. They have a real exciting attacking team Feyenoord are struggling on the other hand 5 points out of 5 games and the Dutch league not great at the moment. Get on !

Bet up! Finished 2-0 Sevilla. Good to get a bet up in that Europa League there hard come by.

To be fair to Sevilla they always treat the competition with respect. It won't be my last time backing them.

KingJamsie

94' Wolfsburg free kick goal. Ricardo Rodriguez is class. Thanks for Sevilla tip

Chrissybhoy

Accrington Stanley are a bit all over the place at the moment they've lost their manager James Beattie and replaced with old manager John Coleman on Thursday. Their a point off relegation and missing James Gray their top scorer through suspension. Northampton away are their opposition Saturday Northampton are in they play off position and doing well this season. There 3/4 early with PP.

Northampton 3/4 large

Colonialboy

Steaua 13/10 away to Polizi .... 1st V 4th .. and coming off a 6-0 win in EL.

upandcumming

My boys Salzburg against 8th place Vienna at home. -1 no bother.

I also have Longford Town -1 at home against Cobh. Town need to keep out in front with four games to go and only one point ahead of Shels. Top v bottom. I fancy David O'Sullivan to net one or two as well... he hasn't scored in a while which isn't like him.

Shels are also playing second from bottom Shamrock Rovers B at home. They need to keep pressure on us and they still have to play Galway who now have Wexford up their hole. Town have also a 10 goal advantage which might come into play here too. -1.

Salzburg -1
Town -1
Shels -1.

5/1 20 on.

hoopyhoopy

Aberdeen -1 11/8


my main bet this weekend

Aberdeen really impressed me against Celtic last week, they grew in confidence throughout the game and finished the game a lot better than Celtic, very unlucky not to nab a draw in the end.

Ross county have an extremely poor team this year and have had a horrible start to the campaign, on the road newly promoted Hamilton hammered them 4-0 and they also suffered the same 4-0 defeat when travelling to face Patrick thistle. Ross have conceded 16 goals in the opening 6 games - nearly 3 goals on average a game.

Aberdeen are an extremely organised solid team, especially at home. I was surprised at their slow start to season but on last weeks showing at Celtic park they look to be finding their feet.

Can't see anything but Aberdeen win, 1/2 for that doesn't interest me. I'm confident they can beat the -1 11/8

KingJamsie

Half time
Aberdeen looking good
Northampton not so much

Chrissybhoy

KingJamsie wrote: »

Half time
Aberdeen looking good
Northampton not so much

Northampton went horribly wrong. What a mad game 5-4

magherakid

Dundee v Dundee Utd
Over 2.5 Goals 21/20

Normally goals in this fixture, 8 of the last 10 meetings seen overs.

Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano
BTTS 10/11

Both teams love to attack can see goals here, Villarreal played away in Europa League on Thursday so gone with the better price both teams to score.

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Dundee v Dundee Utd
Over 2.5 Goals 21/20

Normally goals in this fixture, 8 of the last 10 meetings seen overs.

Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano
BTTS 10/11

Both teams love to attack can see goals here, Villarreal played away in Europa League on Thursday so gone with the better price both teams to score.

both bets in

Colonialboy

Colonialboy wrote: »

Steaua 13/10 away to Polizi .... 1st V 4th .. and coming off a 6-0 win in EL.

2-3 to Steaua

magherakid

Valenciennes v Clermont
BTTS 1/1 William Hill

Both teams in the bottom 3, 1 point between them

Valenciennes played 3 home games conceded in all 3 with both teams scoring in 2.

Clermont played 4 away games 1 clean sheet with both teams scoring in 3.

Colonialboy

Panaitolikos v PAOK . 3rd from bottom V 3rd place.
Medium stakes, only a few games played in the Greek league but
PAOK coming off 6-1 EL win. Can go joint top if the win today.
Taking PAOK win, 11/10, -1 and -2 (10/1) .

Chrissybhoy

English U21 premier league 1st vs 2nd tonight 7pm Arsenal vs Newcastle. Arsenal are first however with Carling cup tomorrow Wenger has called up four of of their better players including their striker Akpom who has 6 in 4 games. Newcastle could turn them over here who are doing well themselves in 2nd.

Newcastle +1 11/10 Ladbrokes

mailburner

Chrissybhoy wrote: »

English U21 premier league 1st vs 2nd tonight 7pm Arsenal vs Newcastle. Arsenal are first however with Carling cup tomorrow Wenger has called up four of of their better players including their striker Akpom who has 6 in 4 games. Newcastle could turn them over here who are doing well themselves in 2nd.

Newcastle +1 11/10 Ladbrokes

1-2

good work there

Chrissybhoy

mailburner wrote: »

1-2

good work there

Yea nice little win

magherakid

magherakid wrote: »

Valenciennes v Clermont
BTTS 1/1 William Hill

Both teams in the bottom 3, 1 point between them

Valenciennes played 3 home games conceded in all 3 with both teams scoring in 2.

Clermont played 4 away games 1 clean sheet with both teams scoring in 3.

2-1 FT lucky late goal

Colonialboy

Colonialboy wrote: »

Panaitolikos v PAOK . 3rd from bottom V 3rd place.
Medium stakes, only a few games played in the Greek league but
PAOK coming off 6-1 EL win. Can go joint top if the win today.
Taking PAOK win , 11/10, -1 :(and -2 (10/1):( .

0-1 to PAOK
was a bit too greedy should have just done the win .

magherakid

Dijon v Creteil
BTTS 20/21

Bet landed in the last 6 H2H http://uk.soccerway.com/matches/2014/09/23/france/ligue-2/dijon-football-cote-dor/union-sportive-creteil-football/1687585/head2head/

Creteil have scored in their last 20 away league games with both teams scoring in 18 games

Dijon have scored in their last 28 home league games with both teams scoring in 17 games

the whole year inn

magherakid wrote: »

Dijon v Creteil
BTTS 20/21

Bet landed in the last 6 H2H http://uk.soccerway.com/matches/2014/09/23/france/ligue-2/dijon-football-cote-dor/union-sportive-creteil-football/1687585/head2head/

Creteil have scored in their last 20 away league games with both teams scoring in 18 games

Dijon have scored in their last 28 home league games with both teams scoring in 17 games

bets in ,thats nice research!!

inforfun

Looking at a couple of Dutch cup matches:

AFC - Excelsior (16.00 kick off)
De Treffers - Telstar (19.00 kick off)

Excelsior has been eliminated 3x by amateurs since 2010

Both De Treffers and AFC are playing in the Topklasse which is the highest amateur level.
Therefore there is only about 13 places difference between De Treffers and Telstar.

Yesterday there were already a couple of big surprises in Willem II, RKC & NEC. First 2 went out and NEC only managed to win after penalties vs Ajax amateurs

Excelsior and Telstar not winning in regular time wouldnt make me fall of my chair

Double of Treffers & AFC DC = @8.43

JOS Watergraafsmeer - Ajax should see goals.
Ajax not playing their strongest 11 but still strong enough to score 5 or 6 and maybe more.
Watergraafsmeer is from the area where Ajax used to play their matches before moving to their new stadium in '95.
This match is not played at the amateurs ground which would have made life a bit more difficult for Ajax as it is a small artificial pitch.
Match is being played in the Olympic stadium which has real grass.

Chrissybhoy

Ath Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano tonight. Bilbao are in a false position at the moment in La Liga there a very good side playing Champions League this year the should get going in the league tonight with a win vs Vallecano who struggle every year and haven't won this season yet.

Ath Bilbao 7/5 PP

paul8209

Brazil Serie A betting preview: Chapecoense - Atletico Paranaense

We spoke about Chapecoense ahead of their trip to Gremio on Sunday.....

"The visitors have given themselves a little breathing space over the drop zone with a home defeat of Sport Recife and fine point at highflying Corinthians in midweek, it will be very hard for them to raise their game again tonight, for the third time in little over a week , especially given the quailty of opposition they will have faced inside four days and bearing in mind they have two home games in the next week, A-P in midweek, followed by Criciuma, games where they have a real chance of picking up 4-6 hugely valuable points, if they do not leave everything on the battle field of Porto Alegre.


It was a similar situation going into their away game with Coritiba earlier this month ......

We discussed Chapecoense quite a bit early in the season and how it was all going to be about the home games for them and coming off a tough sequence of games, their focus could quickly switch to the visit from Sport Recife at the weekend if they fall behind this evening. They have already lost six on the road and failed to score in 5 of their last 7, a very motivated host to win this one.


They lost that 3-0 and something similar would not surprise tonight, as I feel strongly that motivation might fade if they fall behind."

They lost 1-0 but felt robbed and must be delighted with how this first season in the top flight has gone and how well they have competed on the road against two very strong home teams in the last week. However, their fate will ultimately be decided by how they play at home and with the top 3 still to visit over the final six home starts, the two matches this week are just HUGE and four points has to be targeted as a minimum requirement, it is always easier when you get three from the first and I expect them to give everything this evening. Whereas, Atletico might just have one eye on a visit from Corinthians at the weekend, they arrive without right back Mario Sergio ( collected 0.4 points per game less without him) and top scorer Douglas Coutinho, he scored four of the five goals in the only two away games they have won this season and lost both road games he missed. Home win.

1.5 units Chapecoense -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket.

Chapecoense :Abuda, Bergson, Bruno Rangel, Bruno Silva, Camilo, Danilo, Dedé, Diones, Ednei, Fabinho Alves, Grolli, Hyoran, Jaílton, Leandro, Nenén, Silvio, Rafael Lima, Ricardo Conceição, Rodrigo Biro, Wanderson, Zezinho , Rychely.


Atletico have conceded a league high ten goals through the middle third ( 31st -60th minute...15 mins either side of the break, a whopping seven coming leading up to HT) of games, Chap are a very nice 7-1 (goals scored- conceded) through the same 30 minute period and this looks perfect for "in play" betting.

magherakid

Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao
Over 2.5 Goals 9/10

Rayo played 4 league games with 15 goals, attacking team and leaves gaps at the back. H2H between these two good for overs and both teams to score, last 6 meetings seen overs.
http://uk.soccerway.com/matches/2014/09/24/spain/primera-division/rayo-vallecano/athletic-club/1821429/head2head/

Dundee Utd v Dundee
Over 2.5 Goals 5/6

These two meet again in the cup after league meeting at the weekend which seen 5 goals. As like the weekend normally goals in this fixture, 9 of the last 11 meetings seen overs.