December 2013 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT (deg C) for the five stations used. The most recent (1981-2010) 30-year average is 5.4 C ... before that (1971-2000), 5.7 and before that (1961-90), 5.3.

2. Predict the maximum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

3. Predict the minimum temperature at any Met-IE station (deg C)

4. Predict the precip (rainfall plus liquid equivalent of snow etc) as a percentage of normal values, for eleven stations around Ireland as per the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

5. Predict the sunshine hours as percentage of normal for the stations used in the Monthly Summary (met-IE).

6. Bonus, as usual for December, predict the min and max temperature during the 24-hour calendar day for 25 December at Dublin Airport. A second bonus question (for three possible double-bonus points) asks you to name a location where it may snow on the 25th (in the ROI). If you don't expect any snow on the date just leave this blank or insert "none" or similar. If you do expect snow, take a punt on where, but points will be awarded on the basis of yes or no snow, if nobody has a correct location. If some do, then they will get 3 pts and all incorrect guesses other than "no snow" will get 2/3.

And, once again thanks to our off-forum friend, we have an entry form ready for your use ... but any entries made in this thread will also be accepted.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/viewform?formkey=dElyZTJQeUJzVjdnQ1JBcThYdHpCSEE6MQ#gid=1

Deadline for entries is the usual 0300h 2nd (Monday) with 5 pt incremental penalties per half-day late thereafter. Good luck and let me know in this thread if you have any suggestions for 2014, hoping you all enjoy the contest but always open to improvements.

omicron

Done

Gonzo

done

Bsal

Done.

M.T. Cranium

done

dasa29

Done

okla

Done

Joe Public

Done

DOCARCH

Done

waterways

Joe Public wrote: »

Done

snow way? :eek:



http://hooniverse.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/01/Snow-Way.jpg

Lumi

Done .....

Harps

Done

mickger844posts

done

talkabout

Done

nilhg

done

traecy1

Done

SeaFields

Done

Rikand

Entered a few days ago but forgot to say done so...

Done!

rameire

done

Tae laidir

Done

waterways

Done

Jpmarn

Done, sorry guys but I don't think there be any snow this Christmas Day.

dacogawa

Done & Happy Christmas season MT & Sponge Bob!

homolumo

done

M.T. Cranium

December 2013 forecasts
)))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))))
*******************************

Elf'orecaster _____ IMT __ MAX __ MIN __ PRC __ SUN __ Max,Min __ Snow
_______________________________________________________________

Jpmarn ________ 7.5 __ 15.5 __ --4.2 __ 125 __ 076 ____ 1.1 _ 8.9 _ N
Pauldry ________ 7.0 __ 14.1 __ --6.3 __ 177 __ 077 ____2.0 _12.0 _ Y Kno
cogsy __ (-10) ___6.2 __ 14.0 __ --5.0 __ 050 __ 070 __ --3.0 _ 7.0 _ N
Bsal ___________ 5.9 __ 10.3 __ --4.0 __ 099 __ 085 ____0.5 _ 6.2 _ N
gonzo __________ 5.8 __ 13.9 __ --7.4 __ 068 __ 094 ___3.4 _10.5 _ N
Tae laidir _______ 5.8 __ 13.2 __ --5.0 __ 078 __ 095 ____4.0 _10.0 _ N
seafields ________5.7 __ 14.5 __--10.0 __ 080 __ 100 __ --1.5 _ 4.5 _ Y Kno
M.T. Cranium ____5.7 __ 14.2 __ --7.9 __ 055 __ 125 ___10.2 _12.8 _ N
harps __________ 5.7 __ 13.6 __ --5.8 __ 065 __ 120 __ --0.7 _ 5.1 _ N
nilhg ___________ 5.7 __ 13.2 __ --4.3 __ 090 __ 085 ___2.0 _ 8.1 _ N
omicron ________ 5.7 __ 13.0 __ --4.0 __ 100 __ 100 __ --1.0 _ 7.0 _ N
200motels ______ 5.7 __ 12.8 __ --4.9 __ 123 __ 070 __ --2.2 _ 9.8 _ N
tracey.1 ________ 5.6 __ 13.8 __ --5.9 __ 080 __ 105 ___ 2.5 _ 9.5 _ N
rameire _________5.6 __ 11.8 __ --5.5 __ 084 __ 092 __ --1.1 _ 5.4 _ N
kindredspirit (-10) .5.5 __ 13.0 __ --4.7 __ 095 __ 103 ____2.0 _ 9.0 _ N

Con Sensus _____ 5.5 __ 13.0 __ --6.0 __ 085 __ 098 ___1.0 _ 7.5 _ N

Lumi ___________ 5.5 __ 12.4 __ --6.3 __ 083 __ 087 ___2.5 _12.5 _ N
Rikand _________ 5.4 __ 12.3 __ --6.8 __ 100 __ 120 __ --2.0 _ 7.0 _ N
H2UMrsRob (-10) _5.4 __ 12.2 __ --4.9 __ 077 __ 108 __ --2.4 _ 6.7 _ Y Dub
talkabout _______ 5.4 __ 12.1 __ --7.2 __ 090 __ 090 ___ 2.1 _ 8.7 _ N
waterways ______ 5.3 __ 13.9 __ --8.0 __ 088 __ 099 ____1.5 _ 6.3 _ Y **
John Mac _ (-10) _ 5.2 __ 13.2 __ --6.2 __ 105 __ 089 ____ 1.2 _ 8.2 _ Y Kno
DOCARCH _______5.2 __ 12.3 __ --5.6 __ 087 __ 090 __ --1.6 _ 7.3 _ N
dasa29 _________ 5.2 __ 12.0 __ --8.0 __ 090 __ 100 __ --3.0 _ 6.0 _ Y Mul
dacogawa _______5.1 __ 13.2 __ --8.2 __ 078 __ 111 __ --1.2 _ 7.4 _ Y Mal*
gothwalk _______ 5.1 __ 13.0 __ --6.0 __ 085 __ 110 ___5.0 _12.5 _ N
jd _____________ 5.1 __ 12.4 __ --7.9 __ 101 __ 098 __ --2.1 _ 4.1 _ Y Bal
mickger844posts _ 5.0 __ 13.7 __ --6.3 __ 085 __ 110 ___3.3 _11.2 _ N
snowstreams ____ 4.8 __ 13.0 __ --6.7 __ 088 __ 120 __ --0.5 _ 5.5 _ N
okla ___________ 4.8 __ 14.6 __ --7.9 __ 085 __ 120 ___6.2 _10.4 _ Y Kno
Joe Public _______4.6 __ 12.9 __ --7.9 __ 089 __ 119 ____3.0 _ 9.0 _ N
homolumo (-10) __4.3 __ 10.0 __ --7.0 __ 082 __ 089 __ --1.0 _ 6.7 _ Y Cas

____________________________________________________________

For snowfall forecasts, those who chose "yes" have various stations predicted, for dacogawa (*) also Markree and Finner, for waterways (**) the site is Blue Stack Mtns but for this to qualify under contest rules snow will have to fall at nearest station which I believe is Finner.

kindredspirit

Ooops! I thought Monday was the 1st. Duh!

M.T. Cranium

After first seven days,

IMT was 6.8 C

PRC was 21%

SUN was 60%

(zzz zzzzzz zzzz zzzzz)

Tae laidir

13.1 Finner yesterday.

Tae laidir

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

(zzz zzzzzz zzzz zzzzz)

I'm lovin' it! (r)

Finner 14.1 yesterday

Tae laidir

Finner & Malin 15.2 yesterday.
Unlikely to be beaten.

M.T. Cranium

They may dig up something from Kerry as per July's MS, so as you say the day is likely to produce the monthly max but it could be something closer to 16 as reported on another thread. By the rules, I go with whatever the MS says the max was.