The Official Off Topic Thread

kiers47 · 29-03-2014 2:05pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Whatever people think, PP has the best marketing department in the world. If you back Oxlade Chamberlain to score first and Gibbs does they'll pay out

That's hilarious!!

hawaii501 · 29-03-2014 2:29pm

UrbanSea wrote: »

Whatever people think, PP has the best marketing department in the world. If you back Oxlade Chamberlain to score first and Gibbs does they'll pay out

And a banner over Old Trafford, no wonder they're making record profits.

Colonel Sanders · 30-03-2014 12:06am

Interesting to see how Liverpool get on. In the previous few seasons it's a game you'd be waiting on them to slip up in after Chelsea lost & City drew but they seem to have really turned a corner this year

carmanard · 30-03-2014 12:09am

O'Haras finest and tyskie.. What a combo. Watching MOTD half cut, best way to do it

Colonel Sanders · 30-03-2014 12:16am

carmanard wrote: »

O'Haras finest and tyskie.. What a combo. Watching MOTD half cut, best way to do it

As is well documented I think Seamus O'Hara makes Arthur Guinness look like a pansy but Tyskie is a solid effort. Spent about 4 or 5 years drinking it almost exclusively

carmanard · 30-03-2014 12:22am

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

As is well documented I think Seamus O'Hara makes Arthur Guinness look like a pansy but Tyskie is a solid effort. Spent about 4 or 5 years drinking it almost exclusively

Haven't had the red or the plain O'Haras in ages, top notch stuff. And still got the Leann Follain to go yet. Tough life

Colonel Sanders · 30-03-2014 12:30am

carmanard wrote: »

Tough life

Indeed. I was at a party earlier, drinking minerals. Poisoned myself with drink Thursday and couldn't face any more tonight

carpothepunk · 30-03-2014 4:29pm

Liverpool can't win the league lads.... Can they? What Rodgers has done this year is incredible.

Colonel Sanders · 30-03-2014 5:50pm

carpothepunk wrote: »

Liverpool can't win the league lads.... Can they? What Rodgers has done this year is incredible.

Martinez too. If they beat arsenal at home next week they're right in the thick of the race for 4th

jimjamcos · 30-03-2014 7:24pm

I think Liverpool will win the league, sadly. Rodgers is a serious operator, has went to huge lengths to embrace all aspects of the club, has no fear of failure whatsoever and with the two big games at home he'll send them out with the mentality that they've nothing to lose. They have the attack to hurt City and Chelsea, just a question of whether they can limit defensive lapses.

Colonel Sanders · 30-03-2014 8:38pm

A pro football punter I know now makes City a "strong bet"

He's a pool fan too!

JONJO THE MISER · 31-03-2014 3:17am

great movie on rte1 now:D army at war with a town in the deep south 1970

JONJO THE MISER · 31-03-2014 3:22am

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

A pro football punter I know now makes City a "strong bet"

He's a pool fan too!

No such a thing and anybody that tells you otherwise is either deluded or talking ****, whats his edge? football too low scoring and the markets too efficent to get a edge.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 9:55am

JONJO THE MISER wrote: »

No such a thing and anybody that tells you otherwise is either deluded or talking ****, whats his edge? football too low scoring and the markets too efficent to get a edge.

Incorrect but as you were

He's made a living from it for years, there are a lot of pro football punters out there

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 5:28pm

Laid Sunderland at 2.1, although I've a feeling I might have jumped the gun & they could go even shorter.

Backing West Ham +0.5 with Pinnacle a slightly better option but I've not passed their KYC checks yet

kiers47 · 31-03-2014 5:31pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Laid Sunderland at 2.1, although I've a feeling I might have jumped the gun & they could go even shorter.

Backing West Ham +0.5 with Pinnacle a slightly better option but I've not passed their KYC checks yet

Think the match has nil all written all over it.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 5:33pm

kiers47 wrote: »

Think the match has nil all written all over it.

Sunderland are definitely too short. They've been backed from around 2.5 on betfair, I though they should be around 6/4. A few of the lads reckon a bit bigger again, spread firms goals expectation is a bit lower than typical too

BumperD · 31-03-2014 5:35pm

I wouldn't know how to price a football match if I got a kick in the shackles ...:)

kiers47 · 31-03-2014 5:37pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Sunderland are definitely too short. They've been backed from around 2.5 on betfair, I though they should be around 6/4. A few of the lads reckon a bit bigger again, spread firms goals expectation is a bit lower than typical too

10/11 seems fair enough on under 2.5. Although these bottom of the table games have been a disaster betting wise for me this year. Most likely I will talk myself into the under though.

kiers47 · 31-03-2014 5:39pm

Ya 2.1 seems plenty short enough alright. I really don't know who will be scoring for west ham though. Although you could definitely say the same about Sunderland.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 5:41pm

BumperD wrote: »

I wouldn't know how to price a football match if I got a kick in the shackles ...:)

I'm far from an expert (simply don't have the time to pour over stats enough week in week out any more), but I use a GLM to give me a rough idea

Some of the lads I know and read online are on a difference level though. Say something like "<insert team> are on a good run" and straight away they'll tell you their shots conversion rate on that run is unsustainable and they're over rated as a result

BumperD · 31-03-2014 5:44pm

Deck me Colonel I felt my head go whizzy just reading the title of that paper.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 6:44pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

I've a feeling I might have jumped the gun & they could go even shorter.

2.04 now and that's under pressure on Betfair

Johner · 31-03-2014 7:08pm

Was going to back Sunderland as I thought they might be a decent price but they are awful short.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 7:11pm

Johner wrote: »

Was going to back Sunderland as I thought they might be a decent price but they are awful short.

It's the usual "they need to win so they're more likely to" crowd. Even though these no truth to it at all

Always happens this time of year, especially when a relegation threatened team plays a middle table, perceived "safe" team

jimjamcos · 31-03-2014 7:51pm

Lads, the football bet of the week is Bayern to win to nil @ 13/8 tomorrow night. They will own the ball against United and despite Rooney bagging a few in the last couple of games, he's the sole threat and they'll handle him easily enough by playing round him while he chases in vain. A free kick or penalty is United's only hope of a goal. With no RVP, no Mata and the lampshade that is Fellani in midfield, it'll be embarrassing. Guardia, like they did the last two seasons, will make sure Bayern are out to settle the tie in the first leg.

BumperD · 31-03-2014 7:59pm

jimjamcos wrote: »

and the lampshade that is Fellani in midfield

Hahaha so true, for a lampshade, he hardly sets the pitch alight. Big let down this season. Baines was right to stay put

jimjamcos · 31-03-2014 8:35pm

BumperD wrote: »

Hahaha so true, for a lampshade, he hardly sets the pitch alight. Big let down this season. Baines was right to stay put

For what United paid for him they probably could have got the two Everton FB's. Its hardly been mentioned but out of all his old players, the fact that he broke the bank for him and not Coleman, Baines or Barkley says it all when it comes to his ability to judge talent, sadly. Martinez was playing Barkley and preparing him to Gascoigne after a few games this season..

kiers47 · 31-03-2014 9:56pm

Good call Colonel.

For once I talked myself out rather than into a bet on one of these games.

Colonel Sanders · 31-03-2014 10:03pm

kiers47 wrote: »

Good call Colonel.

Cheers

As I said I thought Sunderland would be around 6/4. They touched very slight odds on before the game which was idiocy. Happens every year though.

BumperD · 01-04-2014 6:35pm

jimjamcos wrote: »

Lads, the football bet of the week is Bayern to win to nil @ 13/8 tomorrow night. They will own the ball against United and despite Rooney bagging a few in the last couple of games, he's the sole threat and they'll handle him easily enough by playing round him while he chases in vain. A free kick or penalty is United's only hope of a goal. With no RVP, no Mata and the lampshade that is Fellani in midfield, it'll be embarrassing. Guardia, like they did the last two seasons, will make sure Bayern are out to settle the tie in the first leg.

OK Jimjamcos, I will follow you on this. Your ade bet tells me you know a footy bet when you see one. I'm not going wild by the way, a score thats it.

jimjamcos · 01-04-2014 7:48pm

Have also backed both Robben and Müller first goalscorer ew 5 places @ 11/2 and 5/1 respectively.

jimjamcos · 01-04-2014 9:03pm

Haha as Fergie once said - football, bloody 'ell.

BumperD · 01-04-2014 9:11pm

Just got home. Utd scored!! They better win now!

jimjamcos · 01-04-2014 9:38pm

BumperD wrote: »

Just got home. Utd scored!! They better win now!

Haven't seen any of game. Sounds like a very gusty performance though, credit where its due.

Colonel Sanders · 02-04-2014 3:11pm

Backed PSG at 11/10. Spoils were 23/20 which I hoped to take by dropping into a shop on the way home but it's gone

Colonel Sanders · 02-04-2014 9:35pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Backed PSG at 11/10. Spoils were 23/20 which I hoped to take by dropping into a shop on the way home but it's gone

Sets me up nicely for Aintree. Only frustrating thing is they drifted to 6/5 around 7pm

byronbay2 · 03-04-2014 12:37am

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Sets me up nicely for Aintree. Only frustrating thing is they drifted to 6/5 around 7pm

You're frustrated because you missed out on 1/10 of a point? What a perfectionist!

premierstone · 03-04-2014 1:20pm

byronbay2 wrote: »

You're frustrated because you missed out on 1/10 of a point? What a perfectionist!

Its a 10% differnce in the ROI, these are the things that really matter in punting and seperate the consistent winners from the casual punter.

If you were lodging a lump sum in the bank for example and one bank said they would offer you 3% interest but there was another bank offering 13% under the exact same conditions, do you not think it would be pretty foolish to lodge the money to bank A??

Colonel Sanders · 03-04-2014 5:48pm

Why are they running Boston Bob over 2 and a half again tomorrow?

Are they trying to get him handicapped for something

I though they might give him a sighter in the Topham with an eye on next year's national.

Colonel Sanders · 03-04-2014 8:10pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Why are they running Boston Bob over 2 and a half again tomorrow?

Are they trying to get him handicapped for something

I though they might give him a sighter in the Topham with an eye on next year's national.

Just been told Mordin gave him a big write up for this. Still not for me

NewApproach · 04-04-2014 11:16am

Signed up for Proform the other day. Seriously impressive piece of kit.

Colonel Sanders · 04-04-2014 3:13pm

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Why are they running Boston Bob over 2 and a half again tomorrow?

Are they trying to get him handicapped for something

I though they might give him a sighter in the Topham with an eye on next year's national.

back in your box you fool

carpothepunk · 04-04-2014 10:52pm

4 for 9 on the o haras range in dunnes. 8 Leann follain obviously

Johner · 04-04-2014 11:00pm

Cracking card at Fairyhouse on Sunday, might take a ramble down!

UrbanSea · 05-04-2014 12:11am

Brilliant card Johner. Some Tikket could be well handicapped, Le Vant could be above average

NaiveMelodies · 05-04-2014 12:28am

Apache Stronghold :cool:

Colonel Sanders · 05-04-2014 8:04pm

Only had a couple of bets at Aintree but boy rarely has a festival gone by that I've got so much wrong.

Last text I sent to a mate today said that Whisper was a shocking price, just before he won!

BumperD · 05-04-2014 8:10pm

Whisper sweated up so much before the off he looked like a piebald who'd contracted the Ebola virus. He then pulled for his head. How he managed to win after all that is a mystery.

mdwexford · 06-04-2014 5:29am

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

back in your box you fool

Colonel Sanders wrote: »

Only had a couple of bets at Aintree but boy rarely has a festival gone by that I've got so much wrong.

Last text I sent to a mate today said that Whisper was a shocking price, just before he won!

Lol Cheltenham is impossible, not sure there's a word for what Aintree is.

The Official Off Topic Thread

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