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Should we be worried about property bubble re-inflation?

24

Comments

  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    Ronan Lyonss seems to think the basis of our eceonmic recovery should be a strong construction sector...i mean,construct what? Where?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,153 ✭✭✭everdead.ie


    techdiver wrote: »
    Just more evidence, not that we needed any of the disconnect between the government and ordinary people.

    It was clearly evident on Prime Time last night when Jan O'Sullivan (Minister for Housing FFS!) was touting the same crap about a low base and prices being low etc, until she was challenged on it by a member of the audience who pointed out that they may be low for some one on a ministerial salary, but that €500,000 for a semi d is outside normal peoples budgets!

    Even David McWilliams said that their is the start of a bubble and no plan to tackle it and that anyone thinking of buying should do so now as it's only going to get worse with the current governments policies.

    Of course it was stated that people in negative equity would be happy with price rises, until it was also pointed out that most people that want to sell, want to do so to trade up and any gains made in the sale of their property will be eroded by the increases in property they wish to "upgrade" to.

    Irish people need to learn, that high house prices benefit no one except for the already wealthy. We need to get away from news of increasing house prices being good news. It is bad news for everyone!
    If their really is a housing bubble that would only exacerbate the issue.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,153 ✭✭✭everdead.ie


    chopper6 wrote: »
    Ronan Lyonss seems to think the basis of our eceonmic recovery should be a strong construction sector...i mean,construct what? Where?
    Homes particularly around Dublin. Also lack of large commercial property down at the docks where all the big Tech Companies want to be.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    Homes particularly around Dublin.

    Is there not a surfeit of homes already built and sitting idle?

    Everywhere within 20km of the city centre has scabby-looking apartment blocks and ghost estates as far as the eye can see...the only option is to knock them down and start again....which i feel is a bit pointless.

    There's new estates being launched in stapaside and newcastle being billed as "ten minutes from the city" going on sale for 440 k!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,279 ✭✭✭techdiver


    If their really is a housing bubble that would only exacerbate the issue.

    Agreed.

    But they way the question was phrased to him was - "Should someone buy now or wait a couple of years?". His response was pretty much based on what he said earlier, which was to say that he can't see any change in supply and that prices are unlikely to decrease or even stabilise with the way the market is going.


  • Registered Users Posts: 29 cream_cracker


    techdiver wrote: »
    Just more evidence, not that we needed any of the disconnect between the government and ordinary people.

    It was clearly evident on Prime Time last night when Jan O'Sullivan (Minister for Housing FFS!) was touting the same crap about a low base and prices being low etc, until she was challenged on it by a member of the audience who pointed out that they may be low for some one on a ministerial salary, but that €500,000 for a semi d is outside normal peoples budgets!

    Even David McWilliams said that their is the start of a bubble and no plan to tackle it and that anyone thinking of buying should do so now as it's only going to get worse with the current governments policies.

    Of course it was stated that people in negative equity would be happy with price rises, until it was also pointed out that most people that want to sell, want to do so to trade up and any gains made in the sale of their property will be eroded by the increases in property they wish to "upgrade" to.

    Irish people need to learn, that high house prices benefit no one except for the already wealthy. We need to get away from news of increasing house prices being good news. It is bad news for everyone!



    its not bad news for everyone , its great news for those who stand to benefit and its a considerable number , people with votes , for example , the wealthiest demographic in this country are the over sixties , they are also the most politically powerful , a very large number of retired public servants pocketed extremley generous packages and at a time when property was cheap , thats just one example , the younger generation are in the main the ones who are going to suffer if their is to be another property bubble , many older people will cheer it on

    greed cant be eradicated and its not in goverments interest to anyway


  • Registered Users Posts: 29 cream_cracker


    techdiver wrote: »
    Agreed.

    But they way the question was phrased to him was - "Should someone buy now or wait a couple of years?". His response was pretty much based on what he said earlier, which was to say that he can't see any change in supply and that prices are unlikely to decrease or even stabilise with the way the market is going.

    the growth in prices is only up and running , dublin hit the bottom exactly two years ago , the media as usual was way behind the story , these things run in cycles , if their is to be a crash , it wont happen for another five years at least if not ten

    houses may not go up dramatically in the next year but they are going to go up


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    techdiver wrote: »
    Just more evidence, not that we needed any of the disconnect between the government and ordinary people.

    It was clearly evident on Prime Time last night when Jan O'Sullivan (Minister for Housing FFS!) was touting the same crap about a low base and prices being low etc, until she was challenged on it by a member of the audience who pointed out that they may be low for some one on a ministerial salary, but that €500,000 for a semi d is outside normal peoples budgets!

    Even David McWilliams said that their is the start of a bubble and no plan to tackle it and that anyone thinking of buying should do so now as it's only going to get worse with the current governments policies.

    Ah yes you must get on the property ladder now before you are left behind.
    Why does that sound familiar. :rolleyes:

    To have a bubble you need credit and a fair chunk of it.
    How many functional, non taxpayer lifeline attached, banks do we now have ?

    BTW everytime I now hear mcwilliams I think of the night he have old lenny a bit of advice.
    techdiver wrote: »
    Of course it was stated that people in negative equity would be happy with price rises, until it was also pointed out that most people that want to sell, want to do so to trade up and any gains made in the sale of their property will be eroded by the increases in property they wish to "upgrade" to.

    Irish people need to learn, that high house prices benefit no one except for the already wealthy. We need to get away from news of increasing house prices being good news. It is bad news for everyone!

    Anyone that thinks the answer to our issues are increasing house prices and kicking starting a building boom is an eejit who hasn't learned anything from the last 10 odd years.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,728 ✭✭✭Villa05


    retired public servants pocketed extremley generous packages and at a time when property was cheap , thats just one example , the younger generation are in the main the ones who are going to suffer if their is to be another property bubble , many older people will cheer it on
    Unfortunately older people are more prone to death and will be replaced by younger people on lower wages and higher taxes. This makes the whole thing unsustainable


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,326 ✭✭✭Farmer Pudsey


    chopper6 wrote: »
    Is there not a surfeit of homes already built and sitting idle?

    Everywhere within 20km of the city centre has scabby-looking apartment blocks and ghost estates as far as the eye can see...the only option is to knock them down and start again....which i feel is a bit pointless.

    There's new estates being launched in stapaside and newcastle being billed as "ten minutes from the city" going on sale for 440 k!

    There is excess housing around but it is not in Dublin. It is along the west coast and Leitrim. these are not much use to anybody wanting to live or work In Dublin.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    There is excess housing around but it is not in Dublin. It is along the west coast and Leitrim. these are not much use to anybody wanting to live or work In Dublin.

    There's plenty of it in Ashtown,Clongriffen,Tyrellstown,Damastown and Ballymun...that's just off the top of my head.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    There is excess housing around but it is not in Dublin. It is along the west coast and Leitrim. these are not much use to anybody wanting to live or work In Dublin.

    Why oh why does everyone single out poor old Leitrim.
    Oh and they do have a coast and it is on the west of the island. ;)

    I can point you to a completed, or almost completed, vacant estate in Carlow town.
    A batch of the houses went for sale a number of years, but there were no takers.
    It is not west coast, but actually one of the towns seen as commutter town for Dublin due to motorway and rail links.
    There are probably other examples in other towns in midlands and nearer east coast, but people always choose to drag poor old Leitrim into this argument.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,486 ✭✭✭miju


    golfwallah wrote: »

    ive always said FG , LAB wouldn't have reacted or done anything different than FF id they had been in power during the boom.

    I think Mr.Noonan has just validated that point for me. Hello dead cat bounce


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,486 ✭✭✭miju


    , it wont happen for another five years at least if not ten

    ah good so we ignore it until it goes pop again and we add how many bailout billions to the National Debt?

    a property bubble is bad news full stop, its completely different from speculative bubbles in stock markets like technology and so on.

    house prices fell what on average 55%. Are you honestly telling me that a 110% rise in house prices to bring things back to where they were is a good thing????


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    The property supplements are making a return in the rags...bad times ahead.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,486 ✭✭✭miju


    chopper6 wrote: »
    The property supplements are making a return in the rags...bad times ahead.

    thing is though "this time it's different" ;)

    And it will be because Ireland Inc cant afford another popped property bubble


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    miju wrote: »
    thing is though "this time it's different" ;)

    And it will be because Ireland Inc cant afford another popped property bubble


    What we REALLy need is another Eircom-style flotation to hoover up any savings we might have lying around and fleece those too cautious to "invest" in property.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,815 ✭✭✭creedp


    miju wrote: »
    thing is though "this time it's different" ;)

    And it will be because Ireland Inc cant afford another popped property bubble


    The last bubble happenned because people were led to believe (and actually believed) that there was gold in them there properties and there was an infinite supply of cheap credit being trown around by the banks.

    Its infinitely possible that the first part of the equation will repeat itself again but the 2nd part won't. The only people who will drive the bubble part deux are people with their own money and therefore if they lose out in the future the taxpayer will not be in the hock!


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,486 ✭✭✭miju


    creedp wrote: »
    The last bubble happenned because people were led to believe (and actually believed) that there was gold in them there properties and there was an infinite supply of cheap credit being trown around by the banks.

    Its infinitely possible that the first part of the equation will repeat itself again but the 2nd part won't. The only people who will drive the bubble part deux are people with their own money and therefore if they lose out in the future the taxpayer will not be in the hock!

    You genuinely actually believe that?? We've learned our lesson it wont ever happen again :rolleyes::rolleyes:

    Your looking at this arseways, it's the people with cash now who usually make their money get out and leads the masses to follow, not the other way around.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 380 ✭✭ScottSF


    There is another piece of the housing concern - how it can hurt job creation.

    What about the push to get multi-nationals to create more jobs (in Dublin)? Yes Dublin is gets all the attention, but that is the current reality.

    If apartment rents especially go up to bubble levels, the cost of living will be back on par with (or more than) London. Then it will be harder for Silicon Ireland to compete with London for creating hi-tech jobs. While many of the jobs created are filled by Dublin residents, many lead people to move to Dublin from other parts of Ireland as well as bring in new (tax paying and spending) people from across Europe and the Americas. They'll all need someplace to live which already is getting challenging to find I hear.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 523 ✭✭✭carpejugulum


    This is a supply/demand issue and the sample is small.
    Having said that, government intervention is responsible for this problem.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 6 deere_john


    miju wrote: »
    ah good so we ignore it until it goes pop again and we add how many bailout billions to the National Debt?

    a property bubble is bad news full stop, its completely different from speculative bubbles in stock markets like technology and so on.

    house prices fell what on average 55%. Are you honestly telling me that a 110% rise in house prices to bring things back to where they were is a good thing????

    house prices are going to rise in the next few years , these things are cyclical in nature , economics , goverment policy and human psychology is utterly predictable


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,815 ✭✭✭creedp


    miju wrote: »
    You genuinely actually believe that?? We've learned our lesson it wont ever happen again :rolleyes::rolleyes:

    Your looking at this arseways, it's the people with cash now who usually make their money get out and leads the masses to follow, not the other way around.


    Why do some people feel its necessary to use multiple? :rolleyes::rolleyes: Is is how they can't get their message across any other way?

    I didn't say we learned our lesson .. I clearly said that it is likely people will repeat the mistakes of the past. My point is that this time around it will be more difficult for people to take out massive mortgages to pay for over inflated homes or multiple investment properties. I'm wondering what people want to happen to avoid property price increases especially since many of these people decry any Govt intervention in the mighty free market. Bottom line plenty people in this country and abroad have plenty of cash and want to buy property ... why should we want to stop them spending their money on property? Maybe we should give them more tax breaks to invest on financial products instead, particularly as they are rock solid.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,326 ✭✭✭MayoSalmon




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,511 ✭✭✭golfwallah


    MayoSalmon wrote: »

    In fairness, David McWilliams provides informative data and a good contribution to the debate on rising property prices in his blog article of 07/04/2014.

    As regards why he is not in politics ....... well, I watched some of his performance on Prime Time on 08/04/2014 and was not so impressed. He just wasn't convincing, IMO.

    Maybe that's why he isn't in politics and that is not necessarily a bad thing. This is somewhat illustrated by the difference between football punditry and football management. It's a lot easier to comment on the performance of those on the field than to do it yourself and to carry the can if it all goes pear shaped.

    But at least our Minister for Finance is promising to do something about relief from Capital Gains Tax on property from next year:
    http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/noonan-wont-renew-capital-gains-tax-relief-in-budget-2015-30171616.html

    It would also help if he and his government colleagues did something about reducing the local authority barriers to new house construction but there is some hope on that front too, according to this Irish Times report:
    Speaking in Limerick today, Minister of State with responsibility for housing Jan O’Sullivan said the Government’s construction strategy, due to be published within weeks, will examine the planning process to ensure it is fit for purpose.
    She said planning permissions granted during the boom could be reviewed to make sure they were needed.
    “We intend to stimulate building where it is required, not where it isn’t required,” she said.
    “There is quite a lot of zoned land particularly in the Dublin area and we want to make sure that can be built on,” she added.


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,533 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    I reckon we could see property prices approach the prices that were being offered during the boom over the next few years in certain areas, only to fall back dramatically again when we realize yet again that property prices were vastly overpriced during the height of the Celtic Tiger. We should know that by now, but evidently some people refuse to believe it.

    I find it really alarming that Noonan wants property prices to approach Celtic Tiger levels. Yes we know there are a lot of people in negative equity, but over inflating the entire property market yet again will not be of benefit to us in the long run.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 8,486 ✭✭✭miju


    I find it really alarming that Noonan wants property prices to approach Celtic Tiger levels.

    I can see some benefit to the tax payer IF NAMA were to be able to sell off their portfolio at a profit / no loss thus actually coming through the FF plan for NAMA in the first place.

    Obviously for that to happen the market and Irish people will have to bear higher prices which in the grand scheme of things wont be a bad thing IF its not constant rising prices and a dead cat bounce doesnt happen which seems to be starting to occur.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,186 ✭✭✭✭jmayo


    miju wrote: »
    I can see some benefit to the tax payer IF NAMA were to be able to sell off their portfolio at a profit / no loss thus actually coming through the FF plan for NAMA in the first place.

    I would say there is a fair amount of stuff in NAMA that never will make back even the value that was paid for the loans.
    Take the Irish Glass bottle plant as glaring example of this.
    And even if they do get what they paid for them, factor in all those professional fees that the pigs with their snouts in the NAMA trough have got to enjoy.
    Then the muggins of a taxpayer is always on the hook for the amount of recapitalisation that was necessary to square the loan book value and the written off value that NAMA paid fot it.

    I am not allowed discuss …



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Computer Games Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 8,533 CMod ✭✭✭✭Sierra Oscar


    miju wrote: »
    I can see some benefit to the tax payer IF NAMA were to be able to sell off their portfolio at a profit / no loss thus actually coming through the FF plan for NAMA in the first place.

    Obviously for that to happen the market and Irish people will have to bear higher prices which in the grand scheme of things wont be a bad thing IF its not constant rising prices and a dead cat bounce doesnt happen which seems to be starting to occur.

    What I can't understand is why the government is rushing to have a fire-sale of the NAMA portfolio. It was setup to make a long term economic return for the state, yet the government want to wrap up its operations by 2016. If they do that then we will not be making the returns we should be making for providing stability for the market back in 2009.

    Of course when you think about it, it is clear that the government want to wrap up NAMA for 2016 so that they can head into an election with some nice soundbites that they can apply to PR spin.

    The government is placing short term benefits ahead of longer term stability. Its funny, because as someone who can see where FF slipped up in the past I can see that FG / LAB are about to make the exact same mistakes. Wait and see!


  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,335 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    I'd say they also want the firesale now in the hope it might get them some extra cash for buying votes in the election year budget (not that's a new concept after all)...


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,815 ✭✭✭creedp


    Nody wrote: »
    I'd say they also want the firesale now in the hope it might get them some extra cash for buying votes in the election year budget (not that's a new concept after all)...

    Could it be possible that a firesale now would be very welcome for monied FG supporters enabling them to maximise the benefit from the well publicised boom ahead? This might also help FG to build its 2016 warchest - back scratching galore.


  • Registered Users Posts: 523 ✭✭✭carpejugulum


    deere_john wrote: »
    economics , goverment policy and human psychology is utterly predictable
    :rolleyes:


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,780 ✭✭✭Frank Lee Midere


    David McWilliams article pointed out that rents shouldn't be rising as Ireland's demographics are an inverted pyramid. The number of people needing houses should therefore reduce in the next few generations. So why did rents rise and property prices increase last year.

    My feeling is it was due to a law passed in 2013 which effectively banned bedsits and pushed up to 10k people into the rest of the rental market - especially in Dublin - pushing up returns for investors and bringing in cash buyers once off. The law was passed last feb. And house prices increased from the summer with cash being 60% of the summer market. It absolutely wasn't the "demographics" or mediocre economic growth.

    That can't continue, it depends on the special circumstances of low transactions, plenty of cash, and no rise in interest rates. Not can prices even start to fall or there's a riot. Cash can sell as fast as it can buy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 14,005 ✭✭✭✭AlekSmart


    chopper6 wrote: »
    There's plenty of it in Ashtown,Clongriffen,Tyrellstown,Damastown and Ballymun...that's just off the top of my head.

    Dead right Chopper6,Dublin has plenty of vacant space on it's periphery,as well as throughout it's centre.

    However,for some unfathomable reason,it seems that funding Builders to construct more stock is deemed to be a sensible thing...?

    And all of this without recourse to a tent at Galway Races.....truly a miracle ?


    Men, it has been well said, think in herds; it will be seen that they go mad in herds, while they only recover their senses slowly, and one by one.

    Charles Mackay (1812-1889)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,326 ✭✭✭Farmer Pudsey


    David McWilliams article pointed out that rents shouldn't be rising as Ireland's demographics are an inverted pyramid. The number of people needing houses should therefore reduce in the next few generations. So why did rents rise and property prices increase last year.

    My feeling is it was due to a law passed in 2013 which effectively banned bedsits and pushed up to 10k people into the rest of the rental market - especially in Dublin - pushing up returns for investors and bringing in cash buyers once off. The law was passed last feb. And house prices increased from the summer with cash being 60% of the summer market. It absolutely wasn't the "demographics" or mediocre economic growth.

    That can't continue, it depends on the special circumstances of low transactions, plenty of cash, and no rise in interest rates. Not can prices even start to fall or there's a riot. Cash can sell as fast as it can buy.
    AlekSmart wrote: »
    Dead right Chopper6,Dublin has plenty of vacant space on it's periphery,as well as throughout it's centre.

    However,for some unfathomable reason,it seems that funding Builders to construct more stock is deemed to be a sensible thing...?

    And all of this without recourse to a tent at Galway Races.....truly a miracle ?

    As Bill Clinton said ''It the economy stupid''. I am not trying to be glib. Dublin has been lifting for 18 months now. Yes the abolishment of bedsit may have contributed however we have a situation where we have centralized the economy around Dublin. Ergo we have a rental issue.


  • Registered Users Posts: 523 ✭✭✭carpejugulum


    David McWilliams article pointed out that rents shouldn't be rising as Ireland's demographics are an inverted pyramid. The number of people needing houses should therefore reduce in the next few generations. So why did rents rise and property prices increase last year.
    Because this doesn't apply to Dublin.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    AlekSmart wrote: »
    Dead right Chopper6,Dublin has plenty of vacant space on it's periphery,as well as throughout it's centre.

    However,for some unfathomable reason,it seems that funding Builders to construct more stock is deemed to be a sensible thing...?

    And all of this without recourse to a tent at Galway Races.....truly a miracle ?


    It's a plan to return to mass employment in the construction sector...this will be accompanied by a gradual heating up of the housing market,Property supplements will appear in all major newspapers,banks will tentatively start to loan again,New properties will appear in previously uninhabitable areas,people will buy,prices will increase,more people will buy and so on and so on.

    The Govt will collect taxes on Stamp duty and people will see their taxes gradually decrease,encouraging them to vote for whicever party will promise to further increase thier "earnings" meanwhile envelopes are changing hands and corrupt barons of industry are emerging in the construction and property sectors.

    Joe Shmoe will be suckered into "releasing equity" in order to "buy to let" and the whole sordid cycle will repeat itself.
    If this happens again we will be ruined irrevocably inside a decade.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,702 ✭✭✭flutered


    my take on some of this is, one of the reasons for the lack of reposessions is that a lot people in the public service are in trouble after the crash, the goverment will not, can not move against their employees, also the reason we have so many cash customers is goverment employees are leaving with their lump sum and nice pensions, they see value in blocks and cement, they do not trust either their exemployers or the banks, i believe this lump sum and nice pension duo are to end in august, time will either prove me either right wrong.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    flutered wrote: »
    my take on some of this is, one of the reasons for the lack of reposessions is that a lot people in the public service are in trouble after the crash, the goverment will not, can not move against their employees, also the reason we have so many cash customers is goverment employees are leaving with their lump sum and nice pensions, they see value in blocks and cement, they do not trust either their exemployers or the banks, i believe this lump sum and nice pension duo are to end in august, time will either prove me either right wrong.


    You're wrong.

    Having worked in the Public sector for over 20 years i can tell you that almost nobody i've ever heard of speculated in property on a PS wage.

    A PS job is considered a job for life but it is NOT considered a way to get rich and knowing this most PS pensioners would be very carefull about potentially blowing their savings/pension on a "get rich quick scheme".

    Remember a 65 year old retiring now would know a thing or two about previous recessions and in fairness would have a certain amount of cop on,having worked for decades to secure his pension.

    Most of these PS pensioners would be grandparents with thier own children in full time emplyment and probably mortages of thier own.

    *They* are the ones who may be dabbling in the property nonsense..absolutely not the pensioner or PS emplyee.

    The people *I* know involved in Buy to lets are 40 years of age or younger and got themselves into deep shiit "speculating" on buy to lets whilst levering thier principal residence to do it.

    All of them are from the private sector.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,702 ✭✭✭flutered


    how many credit unions ran by various public sector identies are have a little bother, i did not say that all public sector employees are in trouble, people on my road are retireing in august from the ps, all have made or are about to purchace shortly, folk with a tax free lump sum of 120k and a pension to back it up are in my neck of the woods anyway purchaseing property, not hereabouts, but where it is plentyfull enough


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    flutered wrote: »
    how many credit unions ran by various public sector identies are have a little bother, i did not say that all public sector employees are in trouble, people on my road are retireing in august from the ps, all have made or are about to purchace shortly, folk with a tax free lump sum of 120k and a pension to back it up are in my neck of the woods anyway purchaseing property, not hereabouts, but where it is plentyfull enough


    Drivel.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,326 ✭✭✭Farmer Pudsey


    chopper6 wrote: »
    You're wrong.

    Having worked in the Public sector for over 20 years i can tell you that almost nobody i've ever heard of speculated in property on a PS wage.

    A PS job is considered a job for life but it is NOT considered a way to get rich and knowing this most PS pensioners would be very carefull about potentially blowing their savings/pension on a "get rich quick scheme".

    Remember a 65 year old retiring now would know a thing or two about previous recessions and in fairness would have a certain amount of cop on,having worked for decades to secure his pension.

    Most of these PS pensioners would be grandparents with thier own children in full time emplyment and probably mortages of thier own.

    *They* are the ones who may be dabbling in the property nonsense..absolutely not the pensioner or PS emplyee.

    The people *I* know involved in Buy to lets are 40 years of age or younger and got themselves into deep shiit "speculating" on buy to lets whilst levering thier principal residence to do it.

    All of them are from the private sector.

    The people who are in trouble with buy to lets are generally people that got caught up in the boom. They are of various backgrounds. NAMA is selling what it calls the Doctors and Dentists portfolio. However this also contains a few Judges and Guards.

    For ever person from the private sector I know with rented houses I know at least one public servant. The ratio is fifty/fifty or better. The one's under the least pressure are guys that have been in property from the late eighties/early ninties and laid off buying from 2004 onward's.

    The main difference between private sector investors and public sector investors is that most private sector investors were using it as part of a pension plan. For most public servants it was wealth creation nothing wrong with that but that is my analysis.


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    The people who are in trouble with buy to lets are generally people that got caught up in the boom. They are of various backgrounds. NAMA is selling what it calls the Doctors and Dentists portfolio. However this also contains a few Judges and Guards.

    For ever person from the private sector I know with rented houses I know at least one public servant. The ratio is fifty/fifty or better. The one's under the least pressure are guys that have been in property from the late eighties/early ninties and laid off buying from 2004 onward's.

    The main difference between private sector investors and public sector investors is that most private sector investors were using it as part of a pension plan. For most public servants it was wealth creation nothing wrong with that but that is my analysis.


    Since when did a Public Sector worker become a "Public Servant"?


    Does that mean that everybody who works for a private company should be referred to as a "Servant"?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,153 ✭✭✭everdead.ie


    chopper6 wrote: »
    You're wrong.

    Having worked in the Public sector for over 20 years i can tell you that almost nobody i've ever heard of speculated in property on a PS wage.

    A PS job is considered a job for life but it is NOT considered a way to get rich and knowing this most PS pensioners would be very carefull about potentially blowing their savings/pension on a "get rich quick scheme".

    Remember a 65 year old retiring now would know a thing or two about previous recessions and in fairness would have a certain amount of cop on,having worked for decades to secure his pension.

    Most of these PS pensioners would be grandparents with thier own children in full time emplyment and probably mortages of thier own.

    *They* are the ones who may be dabbling in the property nonsense..absolutely not the pensioner or PS emplyee.

    The people *I* know involved in Buy to lets are 40 years of age or younger and got themselves into deep shiit "speculating" on buy to lets whilst levering thier principal residence to do it.

    All of them are from the private sector.
    In fairness public sector workers are no different from anyone else a lot of the older employees like their private sector counterparts would have been doing their best to help their children getting onto the property ladder.

    Then their are of course those public workers who would of speculated themselves in property their would be less of them given the ratios of public to private sector workers this is not surprising but I wouldn't know the exact ratios. But to say no one speculated is a bit disingenuous.


    Although now would be a good time for people with a big lump sum to buy certain property like apartments in Dubln where renting is more expensive then buying. HOw long it wil last for is another question though.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,326 ✭✭✭Farmer Pudsey


    chopper6 wrote: »
    Since when did a Public Sector worker become a "Public Servant"?


    Does that mean that everybody who works for a private company should be referred to as a "Servant"?

    In my younger days this was there title, sorry for being older than you for not being politically correct.


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  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    In fairness public sector workers are no different from anyone else a lot of the older employees like their private sector counterparts would have been doing their best to help their children getting onto the property ladder.

    Then their are of course those public workers who would of speculated themselves in property their would be less of them given the ratios of public to private sector workers this is not surprising but I wouldn't know the exact ratios. But to say no one speculated is a bit disingenuous.


    Although now would be a good time for people with a big lump sum to buy certain property like apartments in Dubln where renting is more expensive then buying. HOw long it wil last for is another question though.


    Dangerous advice...not everybody wants to "invest" in property and encouraging people to do so is exactly what caused the mess a few years back.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,153 ✭✭✭everdead.ie


    chopper6 wrote: »
    Dangerous advice...not everybody wants to "invest" in property and encouraging people to do so is exactly what caused the mess a few years back.
    Very selective if you read the last part of the line you will note I intimate it won't last.

    What did you think of the rest of the post or are you going to ignore that to?


  • Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 3,214 ✭✭✭chopper6


    Very selective if you read the last part of the line you will note I intimate it won't last.

    What did you think of the rest of the post or are you going to ignore that to?

    Well the rest of it was opinion,wherby you opined that PS workers would have speculated as much as everybody else during the mania known as the "boom".

    I was merely stating that based on my own experience in the PS this is not generally the case...mind you where i work is only a sample area of the PS and not indicitave of a whole.

    Certainly some Gardai purchased rental property but i have no ideas about numbers or percentages...but i stand by my assertation that it was the Private sector who did the lion's share of the "investing" in property and not the PS.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,815 ✭✭✭creedp


    The main difference between private sector investors and public sector investors is that most private sector investors were using it as part of a pension plan. For most public servants it was wealth creation nothing wrong with that but that is my analysis.


    This is a pretty sweeping generalisation wouldn't you think? Most private sector property investors are doing so for their pension and not wealth creation? I'm interested also in the fact that you have such a balanced portfolio of acquaintances with rented properties. I wonder if there are statistics out there to prove this is representative of the population in general?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,153 ✭✭✭everdead.ie


    chopper6 wrote: »
    Well the rest of it was opinion,wherby you opined that PS workers would have speculated as much as everybody else during the mania known as the "boom".

    I was merely stating that based on my own experience in the PS this is not generally the case...mind you where i work is only a sample area of the PS and not indicitave of a whole.

    Certainly some Gardai purchased rental property but i have no ideas about numbers or percentages...but i stand by my assertation that it was the Private sector who did the lion's share of the "investing" in property and not the PS.
    As I said it would only be natural that the private sector would be the main driver behind purchasing property given the private sector is significantly larger than the public sector.

    It is hardly opinion to state that people who are public sector employees purchased houses and apartments and helped their kids get on the property ladder.

    It is highly unlikely just "some" Gardai, the public sector mentality was no different from the rest of the mob mentality at the time.


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