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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion: Summer/Autumn/Winter 2014-15

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  • Registered Users Posts: 1,774 ✭✭✭Bsal


    We should have some nice cells pop up in the east during the afternoon and some convergence at the coast.


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Bsal wrote: »
    We should have some nice cells pop up in the east during the afternoon and some convergence at the coast.

    Few sparks maybe?

    ukcapeli.png


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,849 ✭✭✭sparrowcar


    Well anyone think we might get a spark or two this eve?
    I see some cells building over the midlands.


  • Registered Users Posts: 86 ✭✭spooky woo


    Cells over balieborough co cavan


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Within 30-50 km of Athlone possibly a brief thunderstorm now to sunset. Not very fast moving and likely to become non-thundery after midnight further into Westmeath, Meath, Louth, east Ulster.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 8,913 ✭✭✭Danno


    Lightning detector picked up two strikes from the Roscommon/Longford shower... heavy shower rolled through here and gave a rain rate of 28mm/hr briefly and dark sky to boot... no thunder heard tho... :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Nice few sparks in southern England now.
    images.aspx?jaar=-3&voor=&soort=loop-bliksem&c=&n=&tijdid=2014614223


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Some epic lightning reported in parts of southern England last night.
    At least 10 houses in Reading damaged by lightning.
    Wonder did Harps see any of it.

    5 second exposure shot from twitter.
    BqEra_1IcAATDFR.jpg



  • Closed Accounts Posts: 3,548 ✭✭✭Harps


    lolie wrote: »
    Some epic lightning reported in parts of southern England last night.
    At least 10 houses in Reading damaged by lightning.
    Wonder did Harps see any of it.

    Didn't even know about it until I heard on the news that Gatwick Airport was hit last night! I'm a light sleeper so assume it bypassed me


  • Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Harps wrote: »
    Didn't even know about it until I heard on the news that Gatwick Airport was hit last night! I'm a light sleeper so assume it bypassed me

    It caught a lot of people by surprise.
    I was gonna txt the brother in Tooting but thought it would prob die out but it kept going.
    He's up at 6 all week so prob wouldn't have stayed up to late.
    Wasn't to far from London.

    310902.png


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  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Thunderstorm tomorrow? Cape over 1200 -4 LI in some places... very high temps for this time of year..


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Video wrote: »
    Thunderstorm tomorrow? Cape over 1200 -4 LI in some places... very high temps for this time of year..

    Moderate risk for southern regions later in the day. Weak cap that will probably break in the late afternoon/early evening, potential for a few airmass storms to pop up.


  • Registered Users Posts: 14,513 ✭✭✭✭M.T. Cranium


    Unofficial (MTC) thunderstorm watch now in place for inland south and west generally speaking along a sea breeze boundary 10-30 km inland from south coast and then north-south from about Cork (city) to Shannon to Galway and then across Connemara towards Westport. Not expecting storms in all these areas but watching radar for development, valid now to 8:30 pm.

    Somewhat higher risk in south-central Cork (county) and western Mayo, but would expect if these verify a third area on either side of the Shannon estuary. Cells once formed would likely move southwest in southern portions and south in northern portions of the watch zone.


  • Registered Users Posts: 24 irobmw


    Under some dark clouds now in Cork City.


  • Registered Users Posts: 173 ✭✭teddybones


    Looks like a few sparks off east coast this morning according to sat 24. Is this right?


  • Users Awaiting Email Confirmation Posts: 5,620 ✭✭✭El_Dangeroso


    Has this been linked to on this thread before?

    Lightening strikes in real time across Europe:
    http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php?lang=en

    Love the little 'click' sound effects!


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Very active day for europe


  • Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,986 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Video wrote: »
    Very active day for europe

    Spain and Portugal pretending to be a Christmas tree! :)http://www.euclid.org/realtime.html


  • Registered Users Posts: 439 ✭✭TedR


    What do the experts reckon... any chance of a spell of thunder/lightning on the end of this current spell of warm weather?
    Feels very heavy/close in Dublin. Fingers crossed!


  • Registered Users Posts: 23,757 ✭✭✭✭Kermit.de.frog


    TedR wrote: »
    What do the experts reckon... any chance of a spell of thunder/lightning on the end of this current spell of warm weather?
    Feels very heavy/close in Dublin. Fingers crossed!

    Thursday and Thursday night currently looking interesting with some heavy pulses of rain moving up across the country from the south. Some of this looks very heavy atm in the southeast in particular.


    Even tomorrow there is a smaller chance that East Leinster may see some heavy showers and they could have thunder too but it's marginal depending on exactly the wind direction. For storms we would want it just off shore as opposed to an onshore wind.

    So a risk tomorrow but a bigger risk by Thursday.


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  • Registered Users Posts: 439 ✭✭TedR


    Thanks! Looks like the hot weather breaking soon alright, would be great if we got a bit of action off that


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Is the UK Met office rainfall radar not fixed yet? the thing was perfect for getting an idea of intensity. Very annoying


  • Registered Users Posts: 1,774 ✭✭✭Bsal


    Video wrote: »
    Is the UK Met office rainfall radar not fixed yet? the thing was perfect for getting an idea of intensity. Very annoying

    They updated the site recently, here's the new radar page with more options available

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/map/u1315b791#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1403604900&zoom=7&lon=-2.88&lat=52.21


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Bsal wrote: »
    They updated the site recently, here's the new radar page with more options available

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/observation/map/u1315b791#?map=Rainfall&fcTime=1403604900&zoom=7&lon=-2.88&lat=52.21

    No they used to have one that would forecast where the rainfall would be within a couple of hours... disappointing that's gone :(


  • Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Video wrote: »
    No they used to have one that would forecast where the rainfall would be within a couple of hours... disappointing that's gone :(

    Still there.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/map/gcpvj0v07#?zoom=6&map=Rainfall&lon=-4.00&lat=51.73&fcTime=1403607600


  • Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video




  • Registered Users Posts: 356 ✭✭Strangegravy


    Very sticky and humid out there, some of the clouds look very ominous here in east Limerick, any chance of any sparks, Cape seems quite low too, not that I know much about that.


  • Registered Users Posts: 227 ✭✭diceyd


    could someone explain what a cape is please.


  • Registered Users Posts: 8,720 ✭✭✭Hal1


    diceyd wrote: »
    could someone explain what a cape is please.
    A cape is any sleeveless outer garment, such as a poncho, but usually it is a long garment that covers only the back half of the wearer, fastening around the neck ...
    :pac:
    CAPE is effectively the positive buoyancy of an air parcel and is an indicator of atmospheric instability, which makes it very valuable in predicting severe weather.

    Take you're pick! :p


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  • Registered Users Posts: 3,055 ✭✭✭Red Nissan


    diceyd wrote: »
    could someone explain what a cape is please.

    CAPE is a measure instability or potential energy release if suitable weather takes advantage of it.

    It's measured in J/kg that's Joules of energy and the higher the number the better the chance of any passing weather will interact with.

    And approaching thunderstorm passing over 100 J/kg will probably not fire up, and area needs a minimum of 300/500 J/kg to elicit a response from a passing storm.

    A CAPE of 3,000 J/kg will cause a massive reaction to any storm passing its way, that much will produce great lightning and possibly even a Tornado.


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