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Convective/Thunderstorm Discussion: Summer/Autumn/Winter 2014-15

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    #482
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    I think there could be a few tasty enough storms here later this evening. Midlands and east most at risk, with storms tracking in band eastwards.


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    #483
    robclay26
    Registered Users Posts: 556 ✭✭✭robclay26


    Thunder and lightning in Delvin , co Westmeath @ 20:00


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    #484
    Red Nissan
    Registered Users Posts: 3,055 ✭✭✭Red Nissan


    Larbre34 wrote: »
    Havent been impressed with estofex' outcomes. Am ignoring it from now on.

    As with other chart, forecast and trend observations, it cannot be taken in isolation.


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    #485
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,196 ✭✭✭pad199207


    More chances of storms end of the week


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    #486
    ninebeanrows
    Registered Users Posts: 12,778 ✭✭✭✭ninebeanrows


    Looks like there could be a lot of good storms this week for the Midlands and West in particular nice set-up right through most afternoons this week!

    East coast looks best spot to stay dry with best sunshine but perhaps we might get a storm at some point!


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    #487
    weisses
    Registered Users Posts: 9,483 ✭✭✭weisses


    Nice few rumbles here .... Was on the beach thought it was a lorry in the distance .... Didn't expect it with these low clouds/fog hanging around all day


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    #488
    secman
    Registered Users Posts: 6,339 ✭✭✭secman


    weisses wrote: »
    Nice few rumbles here .... Was on the beach thought it was a lorry in the distance .... Didn't expect it with these low clouds/fog hanging around all day

    Where's "here" ?


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    #489
    Joe Doe
    Closed Accounts Posts: 559 ✭✭✭Joe Doe


    guessing SW or Dingle, rain on the way towards Limerick by the looks of it...
    here.png


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    #490
    Video
    Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    just heard thunder... im around the shannon area and the radar says it was all the way in listowel... WTF!


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    #491
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Chance of some storms popping up in midlands to northern areas tomorrow afternoon/evening, maybe one or two further east too.

    Nothing severe expected but enough ingredients for your typical Irish thunderstorms. :)

    hzWmCi5.png


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    #492
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    4ZCzsiD.png
    QAr5g3e.png


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    #493
    lolie
    Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Just seen a link to this post was posted on the IrishWeatherNetwork forum.

    From Tony Gilbert on ukweatherworld
    Moderate Risk of Thunderstorms Ireland 12z-21z

    Ireland's turn!

    Upper ridging effects most of eastern UK through Tues though Ireland is influenced by low pressure out in the Atlantic. UKMO forecast charts show a pre fontal surface trough develop over eastern and central Ireland associated with a deep unstable fetch from the Azores during the afternoon where CAPE is predicted to reach 1100 j/kg. Cloud tops in NW expected to reach 30,000 ft and could well tap into a fairly moderate jet stream aloft. If this can occur then storms in that region may develop supercell characteristics for a time. We can then expect a risk of large hail and and isolated tornado event. The mid level strong PVA should assist this process.
    index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=31604


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    #494
    Video
    Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    lolie wrote: »
    Just seen a link to this post was posted on the IrishWeatherNetwork forum.

    From Tony Gilbert on ukweatherworld

    index.php?app=core&module=attach&section=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=31604

    No Estofex warning?


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    #495
    lolie
    Registered Users Posts: 2,370 ✭✭✭lolie


    Video wrote: »
    No Estofex warning?

    Seems not, no lightning forecast either from them.


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    #496
    Joe Doe
    Closed Accounts Posts: 559 ✭✭✭Joe Doe


    Bit cloudy up there NNW for the fishermen at 17:45, but no re-enactment of the scenes from 2012/Tornado.

    1745.png

    btw, Please don't ever watch the movie called 'Sharnado' which it's about a tornado made up of sharks (-0/10).


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    #497
    Super-Rush
    Registered Users Posts: 19,473 ✭✭✭✭Super-Rush


    Joe Doe wrote: »
    btw, Please don't ever watch the movie called 'Sharnado' which it's about a tornado made up of sharks (-0/10).

    Best worst movie ever. Can't wait for number 2.


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    #498
    tylercollins
    Registered Users Posts: 845 ✭✭✭tylercollins


    First strike of the evening over Donegal

    BtKgMpFCMAANztp.jpg:large


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    #499
    redsteveireland
    Registered Users Posts: 3,035 ✭✭✭redsteveireland


    Joe Doe wrote: »
    Bit cloudy up there NNW for the fishermen at 17:45, but no re-enactment of the scenes from 2012/Tornado.

    1745.png

    btw, Please don't ever watch the movie called 'Sharnado' which it's about a tornado made up of sharks (-0/10).

    Careful now, Sharknado has a closet following around here!


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    #500
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Well that didn't turn out too exciting, maybe next time a little more interesting.

    Estofex putting most of the country inside the 15% risk zone Wednesday.

    2014072406_201407222007_1_stormforecast.xml.png


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    #501
    Video
    Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    Definitely some development happening now


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    #502
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    Chance of a few proper storms in the west tomorrow?

    12Z showing LI of -7 and CAPE up to around 2,000.

    S0fN4xO.png


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    #503
    whitebriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    Looks like some overnight welsh imports for the east coast?


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    #504
    Oscar Bravo
    Registered Users Posts: 10,160 ✭✭✭✭Oscar Bravo


    Evelyn warning of thunderstorms "more than likely" breaking out tomorrow in Connaught/midlands with "lightning strikes and hail possible"


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    #505
    maquiladora
    Registered Users Posts: 11,134 ✭✭✭✭maquiladora


    UK Met Office have a warning out for heavy thunderstorms over southwest England tomorrow. As you can see from the model above, conditions over southwest England will be similar to over western/southwestern areas here too.


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    #506
    Video
    Registered Users Posts: 635 ✭✭✭Video


    showforecast.cgi?lightningmap=yes&fcstfile=2014072506_201407240110_1_stormforecast.xml


    A level 1 was issued for Ireland and Italy as well as from the Balkans to south-western Ukraine mainly for excessive precipitation.


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    #507
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,987 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    'Thundery' skies here in south Dublin this morning. A few showers off the E and SE coast...one spark. http://brunnur.vedur.is/athuganir/eldingar/i_dag_na.html?


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    #508
    whitebriar
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,745 ✭✭✭whitebriar


    whitebriar wrote: »
    Looks like some overnight welsh imports for the east coast?
    and they arrived!
    Woke up by thunder during the night ,no idea of the time,just rolled over and went back asleep :o
    There was very little rain.

    Not the thread for it,but it wouldn't be the first time welsh imports were ignored in the previous evenings rte forecast #notveryprofessional


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    #509
    DOCARCH
    Moderators, Home & Garden Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 17,987 Mod ✭✭✭✭DOCARCH


    Skies look quite menacing to my south. Those showers seem to have brought their own 'plume' of warm air as it has just reached 22.0c here now!


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    #510
    Jpmarn
    Registered Users Posts: 1,482 ✭✭✭Jpmarn


    It's already starting up in south west England.


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    #511
    pad199207
    Registered Users Posts: 7,196 ✭✭✭pad199207


    Heavy rain with huge drops here in Naas this morning

    Gone torrential now


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