The Snow Lovers Appreciation Society Winter 2014/15 #MOD NOTE #1

Jude13

It's giving me a headache at how excited I am. Im glad its not this weekend, have a 13 hour trip home.

But to have a cold build up to Christmas and then to wake up on Christmas day to a guaranteed* blanket of snow is a dream come true.




*May actually be 13 degrees and lashing.

icesnowfrost

GFS - P looks amazing

munsterlegend

icesnowfrost wrote: »

GFS - P looks amazing

the updated one or from earlier?

Tom Cruises Left Nut

New GFS P run wants to give some snow in the west and midlands xmas day

cherryghost

munsterlegend wrote: »

the updated one or from earlier?

The one rolling out now. Puts -6s uppers over Ireland on xmas day and gives snow to North and Western counties.

LordNorbury

Paddy Power giving odds of 7/2 for snow to be recorded at Dublin Airport on Christmas day, for the non betting folks on here, that would give you a 45 Euro return for a 10 Euro bet...

touts

A couple of weeks ago I said something along the lines of "I won't believe it until MT Says it".

This morning I opened my e-mail clicked on the Daily forecast boards mail and my range of emotions over the next 15 seconds was :eek::eek::):D

mickger844posts

Some nice output over the last number of runs but way too early to be getting excited. Promising signs i would say but we need these charts at 96h. Fingers crossed it will pan out the way we want.

cherryghost

mickger844posts wrote: »

Some nice output over the last number of runs but way too early to be getting excited. Promising signs i would say but we need these charts at 96h. Fingers crossed it will pan out the way we want.

96, if even We'll probably get to the point of lampost watching again :cool:

munsterlegend

touts wrote: »

A couple of weeks ago I said something along the lines of "I won't believe it until MT Says it".

This morning I opened my e-mail clicked on the Daily forecast boards mail and my range of emotions over the next 15 seconds was :eek::eek::):D

he is still advising caution for next week! but the bigger picture into 2015 looks promising. still though with ireland and snow its always knife edge stuff especially the further south you go.

force eleven

LordNorbury wrote: »

Paddy Power giving odds of 7/2 for snow to be recorded at Dublin Airport on Christmas day, for the non betting folks on here, that would give you a 45 Euro return for a 10 Euro bet...

Might get on it...if some of the charts verify it will be place 45 euro to get ten back...

Reckless Abandonment

Gfs 06z say no to anything bar the north and west for some snow next week.But I'll wait till the 12z before I get to concerned.

leahyl

munsterlegend wrote: »

Fitzgerald's park?

Yup - isn't it purty? :pac:;)

LucidLife

force eleven wrote: »

Might get on it...if some of the charts verify it will be place 45 euro to get ten back...

That's not how Paddy operates. He would love people to bet and win on this. It would hit every newspaper the world over. Get the money on!

Slashermcguirk

Come on snow!!! Would love to see a white Christmas. I had a bit of a giggle when I heard Evelyn say earlier, too early to predict Christmas itself. Definite change of tune. If the charts keep improving, Gerry 'mr sleet' might even be preparing the toboggan

leahyl

Or perhaps the return of "The Eagle"??

munsterlegend

leahyl wrote: »

Yup - isn't it purty? :pac:;)

it sure is! this could be the year - winter 2014/2015!

numilus cimbus

-6 uppers are not cold enough for low ground snow in precipitation in off the Atlantic except well inland or in the Lee of hills
You'd only have a wintry mix with those uppers, with most populous places getting cold sleety rain showers
Those uppers even from the East/NE would be watery

For snow at all levels at uppers of say -2 to -6c you need either a blast of surface cold air(sea level to 1000ft) feeding in and negative dew points or you need an already local cold pool in situ from a previous cold spell typically with snow cover already well established

We got those things at times in 2010,they are not there in the Xmas day charts shown above though might develop gradually over the following week if a sinking piece of polar vortex drags down -9 ,-10 or colder uppers preferably from Scandinavia without the Atlantic mixing
A sustained northern flow will always veer between northwest and Northeast, so over time the flow would contain all the ingredients we got in 2010 meaning a lot of sea effect snow showers in Ulster north connaught,west Munster, Leinster and east Munster depending on the variation of northern on the day,north,northwest or northeast

So in a nutshell don't be expecting much at first, lets see what develops
Caveat too,this is all in FI yet.

LFCFan

Sorry lads, just stuck a tenner on a white Christmas. My betting history pretty much means there's no chance of snow at Xmas this year which is the desired effect as mobility is required on Xmas Eve

Hero777

LFCFan wrote: »

Sorry lads, just stuck a tenner on a white Christmas. My betting history pretty much means there's no chance of snow at Xmas this year which is the desired effect as mobility is required on Xmas Eve

Gotta love Betfair Exchange. got 6-1 on it. Happy out

q85dw7osi4lebg

Off to buy new bulbs for the garden lamps.

Tactical

Ryder Dry Licorice wrote: »

Off to buy new bulbs for the garden lamps.

... off to buy garden lamps

maquiladora

I think after Christmas is the best chance of seeing something interesting. Strat warming in late Dec hopefully might bring about an interesting change early in the new year.

geosynchronous orbit

Our MT, who art in Canada,
hallowed be thy name,
thy forecast come, thy will be done
now as it is in Norway.
...
...

MR PIGGY

LFCFan wrote: »

Sorry lads, just stuck a tenner on a white Christmas. My betting history pretty much means there's no chance of snow at Xmas this year which is the desired effect as mobility is required on Xmas Eve

DAMN YOU

sunbabe08

LFCFan wrote: »

Sorry lads, just stuck a tenner on a white Christmas. My betting history pretty much means there's no chance of snow at Xmas this year which is the desired effect as mobility is required on Xmas Eve

darn it.


i've gotten to a stage every year that unless i see it falling i don't have high hopes. all my optimism has faded away

average_runner

LFCFan wrote: »

Sorry lads, just stuck a tenner on a white Christmas. My betting history pretty much means there's no chance of snow at Xmas this year which is the desired effect as mobility is required on Xmas Eve

You must bet alot on your team so:)

Lucreto

Just passed where they store the salt in my area and they have nothing yet this year. They usually have a mountain stored there this time of year.

You know the weather, it loves to attack just when the county councils are completely unprepared.

Larbre34

Lucreto wrote: »

Just passed where they store the salt in my area and they have nothing yet this year. They usually have a mountain stored there this time of year.

You know the weather, it loves to attack just when the county councils are completely unprepared.

How could you see inside?

Rikand

geosynchronous orbit wrote: »

Our MT, who art in Canada,
hallowed be thy name,
thy forecast come, thy will be done
now as it is in Norway.
...
...

...
Give us this Christmas, our yearly snowfall
And deliver us from rain
as we forgive those who wish for sun against us
and lead us not into aspiration
but deliver us a blizzard
till Jan.