Price Changes FPL 14/15 **Mod warning 1st post**

Rikand

Lemlin wrote: »

It's looking then like Aguero will get the full 0.3 this week. I was hoping he'd go to 0.2 max.

are you getting tempted to wildcard early ?

F1ngers

F1ngers wrote: »

Hopefully people are transferring him in before activating their wildcard later in the week.

Realistically, how many people do that though? As a percentage, I'd say it's pretty negligible. I know its been done to death on here recently, but you'd be mad to do this in the hope of grabbing an extra 0.1 or 0.2.

I tried it earlier with my main wc and woke up on the Thursday in a sweat, thinking I'd missed the deadline. Never again.

Lemlin

Rikand wrote: »

are you getting tempted to wildcard early ?

Nope, not a hope.

FHFC

Lemlin wrote: »

It's looking then like Aguero will get the full 0.3 this week. I was hoping he'd go to 0.2 max.

It will be touch and go I'd say. He's only about 48% on FFFix, but him and Kane are the fastest progressing. If he makes the second rise by Wednesday night he'll probably get the third in the Friday rush, but he could tip on to Friday without rising again at this rate. A lot of his transfers will still be wildcards.

Scorpion Sting

I think it's very unlikely that Aguero will rise .3 considering a large percentage of active players have chosen to wildcard this week myself included so the max rise will be negated.

wonski

jebforever wrote: »

I think it's very unlikely that Aguero will rise .3 considering a large percentage of active players have chosen to wildcard this week myself included so the max rise will be negated.

We don't know the exact numbers, but 235k players have played their wildcard last week.
Those 235k players might bring Aguero this week.
88k have transferred him in by now.

0.3 could happen.

We know nothing about his price rise at this moment, FPL can do whatever they want.

Some wildcarders will wait until next week to bring Aguero in, you never know.

iroced

FHFC wrote: »

Thats one advantage of not having value tied up is Costa, I'll be able to switch him out in such as scenario, or indeed at any time, for a one or two week punt on a form striker.

My secret hope is Sturridge to run riot when back so that I can sell Costa for him. Meanwhile Costa getting a bad run like in November. Killing 2 4 (:D) birds with 1 stone. No money tied on him anymore, double profit on Sturridge (pts & cash wise), Costa dropping, being able to get him back easily for the season end rush.

Fantasies? Well it's called Fantasy Premier League anyway :pac:!

iroced

Bertrand, Sanchez & Austin UP !

Van Persie, C. Dawson, Papiss Cissé, Ayoze Pérez & Sorensen DOWN !


Austin, Cissé and Pérez were far enough to a change in the predictions (on both FPLS & FFF). It's particularly annoying during WC weeks since this could make you miss out on a couple useful £0.1m...

Anyway the unexpected Austin rise will please at least one boardsie (can't remember who was expecting him to rise before Aguero) .

basillarkin

Have Austin myself but cant get over the amount of people transferring him in especially with the run if fixtures.

I plan on getting in Augero for him, leaving me a front 3 of costa augero and Kane.

Rikand

basillarkin wrote: »

Have Austin myself but cant get over the amount of people transferring him in especially with the run if fixtures.

Form over Fixtures.

sword1

sword1 wrote: »

Aguero already rose this week but more importantly Austin has 25000 transfers out so a net increase in ownership of only 3000 odd, I. E aguero will rise first, Austin will probably not rise this week

Oops

AlanDeGenerous

sword1 wrote: »

Oops

Haha. Good thing I didn't listen! Aguero in with no other downgrades needed. Result.

WoollyRedHat

I have 5 expensive midfielders which means my cheap bench option is Perez, playing a 3-5-2 formation. That's the second time Perez has dropped on me. Enough already!

Lemlin

Is Foster near a rise lads? FFfix won't function right on my PC here in work.

Ziegler1988

Lemlin wrote: »

Is Foster near a rise lads? FFfix won't function right on my PC here in work.

41.5% on FPLStats, 37.7% on FFFix with +0.02% progress/hour

Lemlin

He shouldn't rise this week so. I'm thinking of him as my WC keeper but might take a punt on someone else for two weeks as I have Wisdom anyway and WBA have Everton away and then Spurs home.

I wouldn't mind playing one WBA player but not two in those.

manual_man

Looking at WBA defensive cover myself but realistically they'll do well to get a cs from their next 2 games (A vs Everton, H vs Spurs), after that they run very nice. Most are looking at Wisdom/Baird/Foster, but i might see if i can squeeze in McCauley, 4.8 i think but might be worth it for the attacking potential he brings from set pieces

jimmii

manual_man wrote: »

Looking at WBA defensive cover myself but realistically they'll do well to get a cs from their next 2 games (A vs Everton, H vs Spurs), after that they run very nice. Most are looking at Wisdom/Baird/Foster, but i might see if i can squeeze in McCauley, 4.8 i think but might be worth it for the attacking potential he brings from set pieces

Its handy them having two tricky fixtures as it gives us time to assess how well they shore things up at the back. Everyone seems to be doubling up straight away thinking Pulis is just going to get them keeping cleansheets week in week out.

manual_man

jimmii wrote: »

Its handy them having two tricky fixtures as it gives us time to assess how well they shore things up at the back. Everyone seems to be doubling up straight away thinking Pulis is just going to get them keeping cleansheets week in week out.

time will tell. Pulis' track record is good obviously - and WBA have some good defenders to start off with. don't think i'll be going down the double-up route all the same. next 2 games gives us time to assess anyway and see if the lineup stays the same

jimmii

manual_man wrote: »

time will tell. Pulis' track record is good obviously - and WBA have some good defenders to start off with. don't think i'll be going down the double-up route all the same. next 2 games gives us time to assess anyway and see if the lineup stays the same

Yeh I am going to go with Foster and then add Wisdom if need be. Going to double up in UFPL but mainly because Wisdom is a playing 4m defender unlikely to call him up too often unless they do improve Palace style!

manual_man

jimmii wrote: »

Yeh I am going to go with Foster and then add Wisdom if need be. Going to double up in UFPL but mainly because Wisdom is a playing 4m defender unlikely to call him up too often unless they do improve Palace style!

haha yeah i'll be doubling up in ultimate, but a lot more options there

jimmii

manual_man wrote: »

haha yeah i'll be doubling up in ultimate, but a lot more options there

Hard to find where to spend the money if you go with Austin, Ings & Kane up front! I'm going to end up with some big names sitting in the reserves and no doubt a couple of big scores in there too!

manual_man

jimmii wrote: »

Hard to find where to spend the money if you go with Austin, Ings & Kane up front! I'm going to end up with some big names sitting in the reserves and no doubt a couple of big scores in there too!

replied in the ufpl thread

iroced

jimmii wrote: »

Its handy them having two tricky fixtures as it gives us time to assess how well they shore things up at the back. Everyone seems to be doubling up straight away thinking Pulis is just going to get them keeping cleansheets week in week out.

True. But Foster & Wisdom were already good options (great value) before Pulis.

if you want to avoid doubling up I could see a Jan WC template def like

Foster Myhill
Terry Berty/Clyne Hutton PvA Wasi/Duff

jimmii

iroced wrote: »

True. But Foster & Wisdom were already good options (great value) before Pulis.

if you want to avoid doubling up I could see a Jan WC template def like

Foster Myhill
Terry Berty/Clyne Hutton PvA Wasi/Duff

This is basically what I have planned alright. Hard to see any convincing reason to do anything else really.

Shedite27

iroced wrote: »

Foster Myhill
Terry Berty/Clyne Hutton PvA Wasi/Duff

That's my current thinking (holding the wildcard for a few weeks yet. Was going to wildcard this week but to be honest, that template has a worse week this week than my current defence.

bezuaua

no one considering geoff cameron (4.2) ??

CSF

bezuaua wrote: »

no one considering geoff cameron (4.2) ??

Weirdly enough, I only started to consider him in the last hour. Not as good fixtures as some others and Stoke haven't been their previous defensive selves though.

Gits_bone

CSF wrote: »

Weirdly enough, I only started to consider him in the last hour. Not as good fixtures as some others and Stoke haven't been their previous defensive selves though.

Is he gonna play?

FHFC

bezuaua wrote: »

no one considering geoff cameron (4.2) ??

Too many better options, especially when you look at rotation trios. Is he still playing in midfield since Whelan back?

CSF

Gits_bone wrote: »

Is he gonna play?

Hard to say for sure, but he has so far

iroced

Wisdom, Forster & Ings UP !

Obertan, Matic, Senderos, Chambers & Agnew DOWN !


Again, predictions were not that precise. FPLS seems to deal with it a bit better than FFF (where you can start to think about a price change from 70% onwards or downwards).


By the way, I'm always stunned to see players I was not even aware of their existence (Agnew) rising or dropping :eek:

Iused2likebusts

Good lad ings back to the price I bought you at.

Rikand

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Good lad ings back to the price I bought you at.

Was just thinking the same myself. Won't feel too bad about selling him now

Iused2likebusts

Rikand wrote: »

Was just thinking the same myself. Won't feel too bad about selling him now

Looking at his ownership stats on fiso. He went up to 5.8 with 64k owners on Dec 4th and was 5.6 yesterday with 100k owners. It just shows its harder to get price rises and easier to get price falls this year.

8-10

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Looking at his ownership stats on fiso. He went up to 5.8 with 64k owners on Dec 4th and was 5.6 yesterday with 100k owners. It just shows its harder to get price rises and easier to get price falls this year.

Wait until he gets his hat-trick this weekend, big hopes for captain Ings, he'll be 6m before long!

Iused2likebusts

8-10 wrote: »

Wait until he gets his hat-trick this weekend, big hopes for captain Ings, he'll be 6m before long!

I'm very tempted as I was last week just can't bring myself to do it.

8-10

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

I'm very tempted as I was last week just can't bring myself to do it.

Not many better options this week

Ziegler1988

Hmm, there's a big discrepancy on Moore between FPLStats (-95%) and FFFix (2%). It would be annoying to finally lose 0.1m on him right before I wildcard him out.

Shedite27

iroced wrote: »

Wilkinson, DOWN ![/B]

Not sure if this was flagged at the time, but Wilkinson (Stoke) dropped last week and is now a 3.8m defender if anyone's seriously caught for cash. Not a hope he'll play (actually on loan at the moment), but might be a valuable .1 for someone.

iroced

No one up.

Diafra Sakho DOWN !


--

Looks like Wasi & Hamer will never rise this week...

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Hmm, there's a big discrepancy on Moore between FPLStats (-95%) and FFFix (2%). It would be annoying to finally lose 0.1m on him right before I wildcard him out.

There are actually many discrepancies between the 2 sites. The problem is they both get some right and some wrong so it's hard to know which to believe. One I'm getting worried about is Hart dropping before Saturday...

Lemlin

What sort of progress is Kun making folks?

FHFC

Lemlin wrote: »

What sort of progress is Kun making folks?

Only round 65%.

Can't see him rising twice more now. He'll probably go up again Friday night.

Lemlin

FHFC wrote: »

Only round 65%.

Can't see him rising twice more now. He'll probably go up again Friday night.

I was hoping he wouldn't even get the extra 0.1. Hopefully part of those stats are wildcards.

I'll bring him in Saturday then.

Iused2likebusts

Lemlin wrote: »

I was hoping he wouldn't even get the extra 0.1. Hopefully part of those stats are wildcards.

I'll bring him in Saturday then.

Before or after 1130

FHFC

Lemlin wrote: »

I was hoping he wouldn't even get the extra 0.1. Hopefully part of those stats are wildcards.

I'll bring him in Saturday then.

I'd be surprised if he doesn't go up in the Friday rush, but it is possible he won't.

Lemlin

Iused2likebusts wrote: »

Before or after 1130

After 11.30. I haven't the cash to go for him straight. I'd need a -4 and I'm not taking the chance.

If he doesn't go up by .1 though, I can take a punt on Adrian for two weeks instead of Hart.

Bleating Lamb

Any significant price changes on the cards tonight?

OneColdHand

Bleating Lamb wrote: »

Any significant price changes on the cards tonight?

Doesn't look like it, but FFFix's accuracy is pretty low at the minute due to the WCs.

Ziegler1988

Wasilewski up
Pozo & Glen Johnson down