COLD SPELL Jan 28th Onwards: Wintry Showers/Frosty, Some Snow Accumulations

munsterlegend

MissMoc wrote: »

I am a total novice here (just a snow lover) so excuse the possible stupidity of this question for those in the know. Is there any chance we will see anything here from Storm Juno hitting the US?
Blushing already as I know daft that question sounds...

see redsunset's post above. possible we might get the remnants as to what that might be i would suggest very difficult to predict at this stage.

MissMoc

I am a total novice here (just a snow lover) so excuse the possible stupidity of this question for those in the know. Is there any chance we will see anything here from Storm Juno hitting the US?
Blushing already as I know daft that question sounds...

Graces7

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: »

No point in getting into that detail now. Cold is coming, going to feel bitter in the wind. It will be Radar watch from Wednesday afternoon and keep an eye from reports to the northwest of you.

it is bitter cold out there now already.. been out with the dog and am wheezing from the cold..raw wind ,, but all the washing dry, what has stayed on the line..

AnotherYear

Met office snow warning for Nothern Ireland. "5-10cm even for low levels". I suspect they will upgrade to amber tomorrow.

Graces7

MissMoc wrote: »

I am a total novice here (just a snow lover) so excuse the possible stupidity of this question for those in the know. Is there any chance we will see anything here from Storm Juno hitting the US?
Blushing already as I know daft that question sounds...

No question is daft.. if you dont ask you don't learn.. I am sure the techies will have the info you seek. My family over the water are waiting on the storm and we do often get backlash or leftovers

ardmacha

AnotherYear wrote: »

Met office snow warning for Nothern Ireland. "5-10cm even for low levels". I suspect they will upgrade to amber tomorrow.

I suppose amber is more diplomatic than an Orange warning.

Graces7

munsterlegend wrote: »

what does get past is of very little use in terms of snowfall. anyway don't have to worry about that when showers coming from the north west.

Well, looking at these great high lumps of rock from my kitchen window.... a wonder anything gets past them They are truly impressive...

Graces7

Just read the met forecast and am shivering ahead. Ah well... we will survive and win through.

Redsunset

Level 1 status given, will eventually go 2 as it nears due to high risk of blizzard like conditions at times especially in North, North west hills and lower which should lead to some significant accumulations of powder.

leahyl

Redsunset - high risk of snow in South??

racso1975

leahyl wrote: »

Redsunset - high risk of snow in South??

Or the East specifically Carlow???? Cause I swear last time I have saw more dandruff fall then snow!!!!!!

I need snow :rolleyes:

maquiladora

12Z HIRLAM out to 6pm Wednesday has snow mostly limited to the northwest and north with only trace amounts elsewhere at that point anyway.

Graces7

Graces7 wrote: »

No question is daft.. if you dont ask you don't learn.. I am sure the techies will have the info you seek. My family over the water are waiting on the storm and we do often get backlash or leftovers

well said graces.. "remember there are no mistakes. only valueable lessons"

PukkaStukka

maquiladora wrote: »

12Z HIRLAM out to 6pm Wednesday has snow mostly limited to the northwest and north with only trace amounts elsewhere at that point anyway.

The obligatory downgrade has begun for the rest of us not in those regions..:cool:

munsterlegend

maquiladora wrote: »

12Z HIRLAM out to 6pm Wednesday has snow mostly limited to the northwest and north with only trace amounts elsewhere at that point anyway.

which site are you using for that Maq?

leahyl

Wonderful thanks :pac:

Rebelbrowser

The GFS looks fine still - but bit concerned they are taking this Cork Snow Shield a bit seriously! No basis for this from what I can see of precipitation / uppers / dew points / thickness etc but lets see.....

maquiladora

PukkaStukka wrote: »

The obligatory downgrade has begun for the rest of us not in those regions..:cool:

I don't think it's a downgrade. The north/northwest is always going to get the most out of this. The same way that the east does best from an easterly.

maquiladora

munsterlegend wrote: »

which site are you using for that Maq?

http://www.ilmateenistus.ee/ilm/prognoosid/mudelprognoosid/euroopa/?lang=en#layers/sadufaas

munsterlegend

maquiladora wrote: »

http://www.ilmateenistus.ee/ilm/prognoosid/mudelprognoosid/euroopa/?lang=en#layers/sadufaas

I use this one..http://www.dmi.dk/vejr/til-lands/vejrkort/

seems a bit of precipitation down the western half of the country.

AnotherYear

PukkaStukka wrote: »

The obligatory downgrade has begun for the rest of us not in those regions..:cool:

It's only out to 6pm on Wednesday. Still plenty of time after that for other parts of the country. The North and NW was always going to get it first.

Redsunset

I also expect a good rash of some hefty showers to make alot of progress inland in this set up due to a fairly strong wind, right through to Friday.

kenmc

Can't wait to put the winter tyres on my bike tomorrow evening, they're feeling really lonely sitting in the garage, unloved all winter.
The poor things pine for the good old years of 10 and 11

typhoony

the cold weather has only just started to dig in during Wednesday afternoon, no real downgrades as the real action only gets started Wednesday evening.

munsterlegend

Redsunset wrote: »

I also expect a good rash of some hefty showers to make alot of progress inland in this set up due to a fairly strong wind, right through to Friday.

its looks much more potent i.e. more shower activity than the last event. once conditions right for snow which they appear to be we should be laughing (and snowman building)!

also we are now getting into more reliable timeframe. hopefully ecm continues similar pattern.

yorlum11

munsterlegend wrote: »

its looks much more potent i.e. more shower activity than the last event. once conditions right for snow which they appear to be we should be laughing (and snowman building)!

also we are not getting into more reliable timeframe. hopefully ecm continues similar pattern.

I would agree, the angle, origin and speed of attack seems better suited. Beefier more prolonged showers is what I would think. Fingers crossed for the ECM.

lucernarian

This is shaping up to be another big event for the Atlantic seaboard and Connaught and west Ulster in general. But casting my mind back to February 2006 and the northerlies that brought -10 850hPa air over Ireland, non western coastal counties and some midland ones too, saw frequent 10 or 20 minute snow showers that melted away very quickly. Some severe wind chill though! Either way I won't expect accumulations for Dublin or surrounding counties, outside of the usual mountainous areas. Hopefully we shall see lots of photos on the photo forum from our western correspondents

WheatenBriar

FI but Tuesday next (a week tomorrow)in the northerly flow, there are more hints of disturbance heading south in the Irish sea,can ye keep looking for events like that in the flow because it will enhance snow falling by then from Louth to Rosslare if modeled correctly

JanuarySnowstor

Upgrades continue this evening regarding the length of cold spell
Looks like at least a week now of fun and games.

I would expect several inches of lying snow by Thursday morning.
The best part is it could still be on the ground a week later
Enjoy folks

JCX BXC

When you get a weather warning two days in advance you just know your in for a bit of sneachta:P

munsterlegend

JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

Upgrades continue this evening regarding the length of cold spell
Looks like at least a week now of fun and games.

I would expect several inches of lying snow by Thursday morning.
The best part is it could still be on the ground a week later
Enjoy folks

I'd be getting a good rest Tuesday night. Wednesday night could be a long one!

Pangea

Carnacalla wrote: »

When you get a weather warning two days in advance you just know your in for a bit of sneachta:P

or an epic let down

dacogawa

Carnacalla wrote: »

When you get a weather warning two days in advance you just know your in for a bit of sneachta:P

Yes, I can't remember ME putting anything marginal up this early :O

WheatenBriar

Gerry Murphy on RtE just now,the graphics suggest continous snow showers wenesday night into Thursday across the north and west,it's all shaded
Epic stuff over there

munsterlegend

Pangea wrote: »

or an epic let down

positive thoughts Pangea! yes it could go wrong but all the signals look positive. not looking for snowmageddon just a fews cm's during daylight house and maybe lasting a couple of days.

delw

Gonzo wrote: »

It just so happens im going to Galway on Sunday so if it snows here im going to miss it!

Will you bring the Eastern snow shield with you,patiences starting to wear thin around here for snow

space2ground1

Is it worth spending time following this for the next couple of days for the South Easterners here? I know that we do better from easterlies and it's often a nowcast here at times like this. Are there signs that this could push through the Derry/Dungarvan line that generally disappoints me?

I don't think I can put another few days of model watching in and be disappointed again! Id prefer to be realistic, just not sure what realistic is here for Waterford/Wexford.

Johnnysneachta

WheatenBriar wrote: »

Gerry Murphy on RtE just now,the graphics suggest continous snow showers wenesday night into Thursday across the north and west,it's all shaded
Epic stuff over there

Gerry must be gone mad!! Doesn't like forecasting snow

WheatenBriar

space2ground1 wrote: »

Is it worth spending time following this for the next couple of days for the South Easterners here? I know that we do better from easterlies and it's often a nowcast here at times like this. Are there signs that this could push through the Derry/Dungarvan line that generally disappoints me?

I don't think I can put another few days of model watching in and be disappointed again! Id prefer to be realistic, just not sure what realistic is here for Waterford/Wexford.

Ah keep a watch on the radar during this and see but realistically the SE is not in the hot seat this time
Keep an eye on the FI thread though as that may change

I'm bowing out now due to time commitments, but I'll be back next week to see how ye are all getting on I'll report snow down S Wicklow way if I see any
Enjoy

Redsunset

Roll on Wednesday. Look at that finger of 510 true Arctic air protruding into the Atlantic. Great feed.

Kermit.de.frog

Coming in to high resolution range now - 48 hrs, 12 pm Wednesday



Dew points



Temperature

spygirl

So how long before it's known about snow for Dublin Kildare areas??? Or am I just going to be on frost and ice watch. Bit of night time driving to do Thursday and Friday so how concerned should I be?

Villain

Come on who gave Gerry a ramp???

Nabber

What a difference a day makes. 24 little hours






Could get a tad windy in places too.

leahyl

This looks to be just the north and West getting the majority of it - am I right? If so then.....MEH!

BLIZZARD7

Euro 4 model also shows lower 850hpa temps on wednesday with -8's fairly widespread and -9C just touching the far north west. big upgrades on the models today for later on in the weekend and early next week with even colder air pushing in... Hopefully this is the start of a prolonged cold spell.

munsterlegend

leahyl wrote: »

This looks to be just the north and West getting the majority of it - am I right? If so then.....MEH!

But cork is in the west of the country?! We should see snow showers with plenty of showers forecast.

JCX BXC

leahyl wrote: »

This looks to be just the north and West getting the majority of it - am I right?

Hopefully you are

uck51js9zml2yt

I wonder is it worth looking in BA for hotel deals in the west:rolleyes:

Mayo_Boy

Will Mayo and Sligo get a fair dusting of snow?