March 2015 Boards forecast contest

M.T. Cranium

1. Predict the IMT, an average of five selected stations, which has averaged 6.9 C for the 30-yr period 1981 to 2010.

2. Predict the highest daily maximum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

3. Predict the lowest daily minimum at any reporting (met.ie) station.

4. Predict the monthly precip as a percentage of normal (for 11 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

5. Predict the monthly sunshine as a percentage of normal (for 6 reporting stations in met.ie Monthly Summary)

6. Bonus -- Predict the maximum temperature at any station reporting on the met.ie website for the 17th, and its location.

TEMPLATE to use for your entry

IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN _ max-17, loc

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Deadlines for entry ... you have until the end of the day on Sunday 1st of March, to enter without penalty. The actual deadline is set at 0300h on Monday 2nd. After that, it's five point penalties for each half-day late, 0300 to 1500 and 1500 to 0300h used to determine half days.

As I think our forms-guy has gone sailing around the world possibly, we will need to enter the old school way, thanks for using the above template or something similar, the closer you get to that, the less editing old MTC has to do with the table of entries. Here's a better idea yet, copy my forecast and change the numbers substantially to give yourself a fighting chance:

M.T. Cranium _________ 5.5 _ 17.5 _ -5.7 _ 105 _ 108 _ 13.3 Shannon

Good luck !!

200motels

200motels___________5.9 _ 18 _ -6.1 _ 112 _ 104 _ 16.2 Shannon

Rikand

Rikand ......... 6.5 _ 19.0 _ -3.5 _ 90 _ 120 _ 15.0 Valentia

dasa29

Dasa29 _________ 6.2 _ 15 _ -2.5 _ 100 _ 110 _ 14.5 Cork Airport

Bsal

6.6 _ 16.1 _ -3.0 _ 101 _ 125 _ 12.5, Phoenix Park

pauldry

6.1_ 17 _ -4. _ 105 _ 108_ 10.5, valen

John mac

John mac_________ 6.4 _ 18.2 _ -3.7 _ 102 _ 98 _ 12.6 Sherkin

mrskinner

mrskinner____6.3___16.3___-5.3___93___113___13.3 Valentia

jd

jd____6.2___16. 9___-5.9___91___108___15.1 Valentia

Jpmarn

Jpmarn _________7.3_ 16.5_ -4.8_ 95_ 110_ 13.2 Shannon

DOCARCH

DOCARCH _________ 7.2 _ 18.2 _ -3.2 _ 90 _ 110 _ 14.2 Casement

kindredspirit

Kindredspirit _________ 7.0 _ 18.0 _ -3.5 _ 100 _ 110 _ 12.0 Valentia.

mickger844posts

mickger844posts _________ 5.2 _ 17.5 _ -3.7 _ 90 _ 118 _ 14.3 Valentia

Joe Public

Joe Public _________ 5.9 _ 16.9 _ -5.9 _ 80 _ 140 _ 9.9 Valentia

sunflower3

sunflower3 _________ 5.4 _ 16.5 _ -2.9 _ 95 _ 111 _ 14.9 Oak Park

sunflower3

sunflower3 _________ 6.4 _ 16.5 _ -2.9 _ 95 _ 111 _ 14.9 Oak Park

lostinashford

Lostinashford _________ 7.5 _ 17.5 _ -4.1 _ 103 _ 114 _ 15.6 Oak Park

waterways

waterways _________ 6.7 _ 20.8 _ -4.5 _ 94 _ 118 _ 14.0 Casement

omicron

omicron _________ 7.3 _ 18.0 _ -3.0 _ 95 _ 105 _ 14.5 Valentia

Lumi

6.4 _ 18.2 _ -3.9 _ 100 _ 105 _ 13.7, VAL

Tae laidir

Tae laidir__________7.3_16.8_-2.7_128_90_12.0 Valentia

delw

delw...........6.3.......16.5......-3.4.....95.....14.9....valenita

dacogawa

Dacogawa _________ 6.5 _ 17.7 _ -4.0 _ 115 _ 90 _ 12.9 Valentia

Schadenfreudia

March came around quicker than I expected....

MT _ 6.5
MAX _ 17.5
MIN _ - 3.5
PRC _ 110%
SUN _ 105%
max-17; 10.1C
loc Shannon

rameire

Rameire _________ 6.3 _ 19.2 _ -3.2 _ 101 _ 110 _ 12.1 Casement

Tae laidir

delw wrote: »

delw...........6.3.......16.5......-3.4.....95.....14.9....valenita

I think you have omitted an entry!

Harps

Sorry, been very busy of late

Harps _________ 7.6 _ 17.5 _ -3.9 _ 95 _ 115 _ 12.8 Oak Park

Rikand

Harps wrote: »

Sorry, been very busy of late

Harps _________ 7.6 _ 17.5 _ -3.9 _ 95 _ 115 _ 12.8 Oak Park

Giving the rest of us a chance

M.T. Cranium

Thanks for the entries, I will work up a table later. If delw doesn't post an update, will assume 95 for both precip and sunshine.

Scoring is finished for February. Mickger844posts had the top score at 90. Well done Mick. I have also finished provisional scoring of the winter seasonal contest.

M.T. Cranium

Forecasts for March 2015


FORECASTER ___________ IMT _ MAX _ MIN _ PRC _ SUN _ Max 17th

Harps ____ (-20) _______ 7.6 _ 17.5 _ -3.9 _ 095 _ 115 _ 12.8 Oak Park
Lostinashford __________ 7.5 _ 17.5 _ -4.1 _ 103 _ 114 _ 15.6 Oak Park
omicron ______________ 7.3 _ 18.0 _ -3.0 _ 095 _ 105 _ 14.5 Valentia
Tae laidir______________ 7.3 _ 16.8 _ -2.7 _ 128 _ 090 _ 12.0 Valentia
Jpmarn _______________ 7.3 _ 16.5 _ -4.8 _ 095 _ 110 _ 13.2 Shannon
DOCARCH _____________7.2 _ 18.2 _ -3.2 _ 090 _ 110 _ 14.2 Casement
Kindredspirit ___________7.0 _ 18.0 _ -3.5 _ 100 _ 110 _ 12.0 Valentia
waterways ____________ 6.7 _ 20.8 _ -4.5 _ 094 _ 118 _ 14.0 Casement
Bsal __________________6.6 _ 16.1 _ -3.0 _ 101 _ 125 _ 12.5, Phoenix Park
Rikand _______________ 6.5 _ 19.0 _ -3.5 _ 090 _ 120 _ 15.0 Valentia
Dacogawa _____________6.5 _ 17.7 _ -4.0 _ 115 _ 090 _ 12.9 Valentia
Schadenfreudia _ (-5) ___ 6.5 _ 17.5 _ -3.5 _ 110 _ 105 _ 10.1 Shannon
John mac _____________ 6.4 _ 18.2 _ -3.7 _ 102 _ 098 _ 12.6 Sherkin

Con Sensus ___________ 6.4 _ 17.5 _ -3.7 _ 095 _ 110 _ 13.3 Valentia

Lumi _________________6.4 _ 18.2 _ -3.9 _ 100 _ 105 _ 13.7 Valentia
sunflower3 ____________ 6.4 _ 16.5 _ -2.9 _ 095 _ 111 _ 14.9 Oak Park
Rameire _____ (-5) _____ 6.3 _ 19.2 _ -3.2 _ 101 _ 110 _ 12.1 Casement
delw _________________ 6.3 _ 16.5 _ -3.4 _ 095 _ 095 _ 14.9 Valentia
mrskinner_____________ 6.3 _ 16.3 _ -5.3 _ 093 _ 113 _ 13.3 Valentia
jd ___________________ 6.2 _ 16.9 _ -5.9 _ 091 _ 108 _ 15.1 Valentia
Dasa29 _______________6.2 _ 15.0 _ -2.5 _ 100 _ 110 _ 14.5 Cork Airport
pauldry _______________6.1 _ 17.0 _ -4.0 _ 105 _ 108 _ 10.5 Valentia
Joe Public _____________ 5.9 _ 16.9 _ -5.9 _ 080 _ 140 __ 9.9 Valentia
200motels_____________ 5.9 _ 18.0 _ -6.1 _ 112 _ 104 _ 16.2 Shannon
M.T. Cranium __________ 5.5 _ 17.5 _ -5.7 _ 105 _ 108 _ 13.3 Shannon
mickger844posts ________5.2 _ 17.5 _ -3.7 _ 090 _ 118 _ 14.3 Valentia
______________________________________________________

The general consensus seems to be pointing towards a near normal month in temperatures overall, with perhaps a bit more sunshine than average. For the 17th, about half (12/25) favour Valentia to be the warmest location, 4 picked Shannon, 3 chose Oak Park, 3 also for Casement, and 1 each for Sherkin, Phoenix Park and Cork.

Expect one bonus point for selecting the correct location and one super-bonus for combining that with a top three temperature (scoring this month will go in groups of three from 10 down to 4 then two at 3 and one each at 2 and 1. That's if we stay at the current 25 entries, otherwise I may score more at 3 then at 2 points etc.

Good luck, charts are looking mild for a while after this very cold start.

Tae laidir

Cork/Knock Airports -1.8 yesterday may hold as minimum for some time!