Fancies For Today II

HarshOstrich

zimmermania wrote: »

Four value bets today (hopefully) DISPUTED in the big one,3 oc San 16/1 comes from behind and has a chance.
MARTELLO PARK 3 35 San 6/1,Mags Mullins seldom sends one across the water unless it has a real chance and though this is a hot bumper this horse is high class.
MY TARGET 3 15 Ling has a real turn of foot and just runs away from the rest,todays draw 11 is not ideal but I think he will switch to the inside out the back before coming with a late burst.
A mile would be better giving the horse more time to take up a good position before delivering his challenge but he should still take all the beating and 7/1 is way too big a price.
ARDAMIR was a big fancy of mine following a very unlucky run and disappointed next time when again getting into trouble in a small field.It is hard to see how this one is still a maiden and he can win today at around 9/2.
A lucky 15 ew topped up with a few solid single bets as well might provide some cash for Chel.

My target is that price because all his best for is at lingfield.
He's not the same horse at other all weather tracks and he runs today at wolves.
In his last 7 races he won 5 and they where all at lingfield, he was comfortably beaten on the other two starts which where at Chelmsford.
There's something about lingfield that allows the horse to quicken so well but he hasn't done it anywhere else

Timberrrrrrrr

zimmermania wrote: »

Four value bets today (hopefully) DISPUTED in the big one,3 oc San 16/1 comes from behind and has a chance.
MARTELLO PARK 3 35 San 6/1,Mags Mullins seldom sends one across the water unless it has a real chance and though this is a hot bumper this horse is high class.
MY TARGET 3 15 Ling has a real turn of foot and just runs away from the rest,todays draw 11 is not ideal but I think he will switch to the inside out the back before coming with a late burst.
A mile would be better giving the horse more time to take up a good position before delivering his challenge but he should still take all the beating and 7/1 is way too big a price.
ARDAMIR was a big fancy of mine following a very unlucky run and disappointed next time when again getting into trouble in a small field.It is hard to see how this one is still a maiden and he can win today at around 9/2.
A lucky 15 ew topped up with a few solid single bets as well might provide some cash for Chel.

MY TARGET runs at Wolverhampton not Lingfield:)

Sgt Pepper 64

my pick for the 3:15 Newcastle is Realize 8-1. trainer is in form, top speed, a good draw, CD winner and this is his best trip

Dollseyes

He's mine too. And I've him in a trixie with Holiday magic and Hairdryer, but I've also done Zimmers lucky 15..

Sgt Pepper 64

cant believe I missed salateen 25-1, had the form lol

Sgt Pepper 64

Outspoken 2:10 Naas, 7-2, great chance, get on early, has the form and is timeform and ATR pick CD winner

HarshOstrich

Nass 3.45
Oscar knight 3/1
Has beaten ball d'arc unite comfortably already this season and should do so again.
Gordon Elliott said in his blog it's between ball d'arc and gangster which is very strange considering oscar knight has beaten him easily and to not even mention oscar knight is weird.

robwen

Sgt Pepper 64 wrote: »

Outspoken 2:10 Naas, 7-2, great chance, get on early, has the form and is timeform and ATR pick CD winner

So close beaten in a photo finish

BorneTobyWilde

Three kingdoms 20-1 3.15

I like this ew.

BorneTobyWilde

Abolitionist 14-1 lb 16.50

I like this here. Consistent, 2nd behind Empire of Dirt last time out.

with 4 places it's a decent ew chance

14-1 ew

BorneTobyWilde

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

Abolitionist 14-1 lb 16.50

I like this here. Consistent, 2nd behind Empire of Dirt last time out.

with 4 places it's a decent ew chance

14-1 ew

Sgt Pepper 64

BorneTobyWilde wrote: »

take a bow sir, good tipping

Nonoperational

Some incredible picks recently. Well done.

Sgt Pepper 64

3:40 Plumpton Oscar Jane

Lady Haywire

I like Allchilled out @5pm Chepstow, 3 runs here and never finished out of the frame. 9/2 this morning, now into 10/3.

Seanachai

Does anybody know where I can get a list of horses by owner, I can find the list by trainer. I just want to know M O' leary's entries for Cheltenham.

zimmermania

HORSTED KEYNES 6 50 Chelm is a hold up horse whose riders find it hard to time his run right.

A mile is probably as far as he wants to go nowdays but he does seem to stay it ok.

With Spencer (who is a come-from behind jockey) on board I am hoping he can time his run and get him home in front.I am on ew at 11/2.

zimmermania

zimmermania wrote: »

HORSTED KEYNES 6 50 Chelm is a hold up horse whose riders find it hard to time his run right.

A mile is probably as far as he wants to go nowdays but he does seem to stay it ok.

With Spencer (who is a come-from behind jockey) on board I am hoping he can time his run and get him home in front.I am on ew at 11/2.

My fate was sealed when the horse was taken to the outside early on,no cover for a hold up horse meant just one thing-my cash was gone.

Aurora1966

Dan Skelton runs CHTIBELLO in the champion tomorrow, I recieved a message for this a week ago so took 40's, a length off yanworth last time, a wind op since and tongue tie to aid breathing, this horse has not being operating fully, if vibes are right he will out run his odds of 25-1 now, have a few bob folks this is a nice horse.

Also RIVER WYLDE in supreme is also a decent bet in a wide open race which the Melon supporters may watch out for the likes of Altior picking off MIn last year.

Dollseyes

An uncle of mine is over in Cheltenham for the week and txt me to say put a lump of noble endeavour today at 14.50. Word around he's a cert for today.

Nonoperational

You could have Denman off bottom weight and he wouldn't be a cery for that race!!

zimmermania

4 days of top class racing and we shall have to be selective and lucky to come out ahead.
1 30 BALLYANDY ticks all the boxes and has been laid out for for today.
2 10 if ALTIOR falls or does not run to his best ROYAL CAVIAR ew is the value at 16/1
2 50 no bet
3 30 on the basis that McCain decided to skip the 1 30 (he was my banker for that race) with MOONRACER he must have a real chance in the champion hurdle,perhaps the fact that he is an 8 year old may have prompted the trainer to go for it this year and I am backing it ew.
4 10 no bet but I would have VROOM VROOM MAG if I was betting on it.
4 50 no bet
5 30 I should not bet on this race but I am having a little ew on KILLINEY COURT trained by DeBromhead at around 22/1 or more.
Do not forget to avail of all the deals available,i never bet with Boyles but they are money back as a free bet if 2nd or 3 rd to the fav and also money back fallers at the 1st or last

Sgt Pepper 64

tomorrow Cheltenham pick

Nietzsche 25-1 4:50 Useful on Flat (stays 13f) and good start over hurdles, scoring 3 times, latest back-to-back handicaps at Market Rasen/Catterick (19.3f). Rates the type to be suited by a well-run race and interesting

BorneTobyWilde

Archipeligo 7-1 7.50 Newcastle

I thought this didn't run an honest race on it's first run this year, in this weak group I think it will win.

7-1

Merlin44

Like Nietzsche myself will be following you on that one ðŸ‘

Sgt Pepper 64

also Cheltenham

Whisper 7/1, 14:10
Peregrine Run 9/1 14:50
irish roe last race
Messire Des Obeaux

be doing small lucky 15 and e/w singles

good luck all

zimmermania

WAXIES DARGLE could repay a bit of ew support in the 2 50 at Chel

James Delaney

zimmermania wrote: »

WAXIES DARGLE could repay a bit of ew support in the 2 50 at Chel

**************

Waxies Dargle has dreadful form.
What about Peregrine Run, Supasundae, or Hawk High, trained by the clever Tim Easterby ???

Sgt Pepper 64

James Delaney wrote: »

**************

Waxies Dargle has dreadful form.
What about Peregrine Run, Supasundae, or Hawk High, trained by the clever Tim Easterby ???

look at the first race yesterday, refused to race 2 or 3 times then beat the fave with a 17yr old on it...anything is possible and besides you don't have to bet on it, zimmer has been kind enough to post it up, he is not forcing you, lots of big price placers yesterday especially with the extra placers

whats your tips?

zimmermania

James Delaney wrote: »

**************

Waxies Dargle has dreadful form.
What about Peregrine Run, Supasundae, or Hawk High, trained by the clever Tim Easterby ???

Oh James-dreadful form!!,in this race last year the horse was 6th of 25 btn 2 1/2 lengths,in the big handicap at Newbury worth £88,000 before that he was 5th of 22 and there is the small matter of him winning a grade a,class 1 in Fairyhouse in December just gone coming from well back to take the €59,000 first prize.

His last two runs have not been great but like a lot of his owners horses I presume he was campaigned with Cheltenham in mind.I know nothing of the horses well being today but at 40/1 I would not be urging punters to have the house on but a little ew might give a return.

I have no objection to anyone commenting on a selection I might make but to suggest the horse has "dreadful form" on the basis of his two most recent runs when he was probably "looked after"with Cheltenham in mind is nonsensical or at least naieve.
Good luck with your own selections.