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Greece Debt Crisis - Après Oxi

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Comments

  • Registered Users Posts: 1,945 ✭✭✭Grandpa Hassan


    Thomas_. wrote: »
    I wonder why it is so often omitted that the Greek State never made much efforts to get hold of those of her citizens that are cunning and eager enough to avoid paying taxes and transfer their money abroad.

    I´ve not just once read about the attitude of the Greeks regarding paying taxes where it was stated that is "common sense" to either avoid paying taxes or if that´s not possible, to pay as less one can. So where shall the Money come from to consolidate the finances of that Country?

    Solidarity is a good thing and I´m all for it, but solidarity doesn´t mean to have others acting the nanny and paying for the faults of the State who is responsible for its own doing in the first place. Still, there is no sign from the Tsipras govt. to get a grip on that one, always putting the blame for all the wrongs on the EU. One should not forget that it turned out that the Greeks fooled the whole of the EU when applying to enter the Euro Zone. The lack of more scrutiny by the EU on the figures that were put forward to the EU and ECB by the Greek govt. to join the Euro is of course the failure of the EU and ECB together. But again, the Greek State has her share in the blame for it, given that in hindsight, they tricked the "Club".

    We´ll see how this Greek "Dramas" will continue and how much Money for them will be thrown out of the window for nothing because whatever the proposals are they are coming up with, as Long as they can´t bring about a Change on the tax pay mentality of their own People, there will be no cure to it. Just pay and pay and pay and I think that many people across the EU are already fed up with that "faul Play" by Tsipras and his Comerades.

    Greece isn´t the only country that had to cope with austerities, others had to do as well but they weren´t that incapable like this current and their precessors governments altogether.

    I was not omitting anything. The Greeks have a lot to answer for. I was observing that the troika portay themselves as blameless, despite the fact that they ignore realities and that their model when applied to different countries is expected to have the same result, so beholden are they to the one true way. Responding to posts about how different economies respond in different ways to the same medicine.

    Again, as is common, you skip over my point to dwell on the past, what led us to this point etc. If you want Greece to be punished for this, then fine. But just come out and say it. As should Merkel.

    There is no reason for the lack of pragmatism being shown by the EU and ECB other than a desire to punish because of the sins of the past


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    Crosswind wrote: »
    Ah yes, the good old tax evasion...
    https://ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps/_4004.html

    Shall we bring tax avoidance to the table as well and how much it affects the countries where the corp tax should go to in the first place?

    Are you presenting that paper as some sort of proof that there is not a problem of Tax evasion in Greece?

    Flies in the face of first hand accounts from people who very involved in tax collection in Greece

    2013-2014 Secretary General for Public Revenue and current MP
    “In Greece more than two-thirds of the population – private- and public-sector employees – pay tax in the normal way, because it is deducted at source,” Theoharis explains. “The problem is that it’s still too easy for contractors, people in the professions and some big companies not to declare all or part of their earnings.”
    He claims the state misses out on between €10bn and €20bn in revenue. Direct and indirect taxation should bring in an average of €50bn a year.
    (not a direct quote)

    How about the thoughts of Tryfon Alexiadis, currently the deputy head of the tax collectors' union.
    “Even with a low estimate of the amount lost – say €5bn a year – you can see that if we’d been able to collect €5bn more over the past 12 years, that would make €60bn. In other words there would be no debt problem,” says
    It’s the protection governing policymakers give their friends and the lack of political will to deal with the very big tax evaders.

    This is an excellent opinion piece imo, not all relevant to tax, but the final statement is at least worth a read
    If that’s not fixed, irrespective of whether the currency of Greece is the euro, the drachma or the rupiah, there can be no end to Greece’s plight. Is Tsipras likely to fix that? I’ll give you a hint: most Greek oligarchs voiced their support for Tsipras ahead of the general election in January. Before him, they of course supported his predecessor.


  • Registered Users Posts: 73 ✭✭Crosswind


    I was not omitting anything. The Greeks have a lot to answer for. I was observing that the troika portay themselves as blameless, despite the fact that they ignore realities and that their model when applied to different countries is expected to have the same result, so beholden are they to the one true way.

    This exactly!


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    I was not omitting anything. The Greeks have a lot to answer for. I was observing that the troika portay themselves as blameless, despite the fact that they ignore realities and that their model when applied to different countries is expected to have the same result, so beholden are they to the one true way. Responding to posts about how different economies respond in different ways to the same medicine.

    Again, as is common, you skip over my point to dwell on the past, what led us to this point etc. If you want Greece to be punished for this, then fine. But just come out and say it. As should Merkel.

    There is no reason for the lack of pragmatism being shown by the EU and ECB other than a desire to punish because of the sins of the past

    The 'model' is literally as simple as "tighten the purse strings, improve efficiency, improve income".


  • Registered Users Posts: 73 ✭✭Crosswind


    Are you presenting that paper as some sort of proof that there is not a problem of Tax evasion in Greece?

    No, i'm presenting that paper because quite a few of the so called "good countries" that are considered to be an example are either at the same level or with higher tax evasion than Greece. Yet, you never hear anything about them.


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  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    Crosswind wrote: »
    No, i'm presenting that paper because quite a few of the so called "good countries" that are considered to be an example are either at the same level or with higher tax evasion than Greece. Yet, you never hear anything about them.

    How many of them are in talks with lenders of last resort in order to unlock funds?

    Greece is in a remarkably acute situation, all leaks must be tidied up. I don't think whataboutery is that important here.

    You could be quite certain that if the IMF were requested to assist any of the so called "good countries" that they would demand tax reforms there too.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    I was not omitting anything. The Greeks have a lot to answer for. I was observing that the troika portay themselves as blameless, despite the fact that they ignore realities and that their model when applied to different countries is expected to have the same result, so beholden are they to the one true way. Responding to posts about how different economies respond in different ways to the same medicine.

    Again, as is common, you skip over my point to dwell on the past, what led us to this point etc. If you want Greece to be punished for this, then fine. But just come out and say it. As should Merkel.

    There is no reason for the lack of pragmatism being shown by the EU and ECB other than a desire to punish because of the sins of the past

    What is the Greek government prepared to do to avoid the sins of the past in the first place?

    This isn´t all about "punish the Greeks for their past sins", this is more about to help them to be able to help themselves and not just clinging on the neverending(?) money transfer from the ECB.

    So far, as I´ve noticed, the Tsipras govt. is doing nothing different in compare to their predecessors. They put the burden on the shoulders of those who voted them in power. That´s the vulnerable, the weak and the pensioners.

    Yet aparat from some "announcement" by the now gone Finance Minister Varoufakis, to get hold of the tax evasion problem, nothing has been done to get a grip on that.

    Little wonder when you read on BBC articles about how the political system in Greece works. Most of the voters who elected a candidate expect from them personally to take care of their (the elector´s) personal wishes. For example to get this or that be done for him by the elected parliamentarian, in other words to either use his influence or even more interfere directly to get favours done. I mean, that´s not the exact principle of a parliamentarian democracy, that´s just open corruption. So when one has the wish to be exempted from paying taxes, he puts it to his elected member of Parliament and says to him that this is why he has given him his vote. So "off you go and do as you told, never mind being a representative in the Parliament in the first place, serve my vested interests". No wonder that corruption can thrive by such a common attitude.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,265 ✭✭✭youtube!


    What is it like for the Greek people on a day to day basis ? Are wages being paid? Is there food on the shelves? Are people going to work? etc etc..


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2015/jul/07/greek-debt-crisis-alex-tsipras-seeks-last-chance-deal-live


    Been reading the Guardian live page, a deal will be very difficult.

    "De Guindos: When asked about debt relief - this is not a urgent q right now. We first have to decide on if conditions can be implemented"

    That is from the Spanish who have been more tolerant of the Greeks.

    "Latvia's fin min: we put our house in order quickly after ec crisis. Not against #Grexit to strengthen eurozone"

    This sums up the Eastern European attitude. We have taken the medicine and fixed our economies, why didn't Greece do the same? Slovakia, Lithuania etc. talking in similar terms.

    "FINLAND'S STUBB SAYS NOT WILLING TO EASE GREECE'S DEBT BURDEN"

    Similarly, the Finns, like Ireland have sorted out their finances following crises, are not in the mood to help Greece.

    This all depends on how much reform Greece can promise and deliver. Given the collapse in the State finances, the reform required is much bigger.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    I was not omitting anything. The Greeks have a lot to answer for. I was observing that the troika portay themselves as blameless, despite the fact that they ignore realities and that their model when applied to different countries is expected to have the same result, so beholden are they to the one true way. Responding to posts about how different economies respond in different ways to the same medicine.

    Again, as is common, you skip over my point to dwell on the past, what led us to this point etc. If you want Greece to be punished for this, then fine. But just come out and say it. As should Merkel.

    There is no reason for the lack of pragmatism being shown by the EU and ECB other than a desire to punish because of the sins of the past

    The reality that the Troika "ignored" was the lack of a functioning tax system.

    It doesn't matter what type of economy you want from a socialist left-wing to a minimal interventionist right-wing, so long as you have a functioning tax system that will collect the level of taxes required to finance your preference. That is why successive Greek governments of different hues have been unable to deal with the crisis.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    Godge wrote: »
    http://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2015/jul/07/greek-debt-crisis-alex-tsipras-seeks-last-chance-deal-live


    Been reading the Guardian live page, a deal will be very difficult.

    "De Guindos: When asked about debt relief - this is not a urgent q right now. We first have to decide on if conditions can be implemented"

    That is from the Spanish who have been more tolerant of the Greeks.

    "Latvia's fin min: we put our house in order quickly after ec crisis. Not against #Grexit to strengthen eurozone"

    This sums up the Eastern European attitude. We have taken the medicine and fixed our economies, why didn't Greece do the same? Slovakia, Lithuania etc. talking in similar terms.

    "FINLAND'S STUBB SAYS NOT WILLING TO EASE GREECE'S DEBT BURDEN"

    Similarly, the Finns, like Ireland have sorted out their finances following crises, are not in the mood to help Greece.

    This all depends on how much reform Greece can promise and deliver. Given the collapse in the State finances, the reform required is much bigger.

    Just to add a new incoming Statement on the BBC News Website:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/live/business-33383653

    Germany's Gabriel: Elites 'plundered Greece'
    Germany's outspoken vice chancellor, Sigmar Gabriel, has some ideas about who is to blame for Greece's current predicament. This is what he said during a visit to the city of Magdeburg in eastern Germany:
    "I am also often annoyed by what the current Greek government is doing. But part of the truth is: the misery is not their fault. Rather, it's the previous governments, the economic and political elite which plundered the country. It must be said that Europe stood by and watched for a pretty long time and said nothing and did nothing."

    Sigmar GabielVice chancellor, Germany

    and
    Finance ministers meetBBC business correspondent Joe Lynam tweets from Athens:

    Joe Lynam BBC Biz
    BBC_Joe_Lynam


    [/URL]
    Slovakian Fin Min Kazimir: "Debt relief is the most delicate issue for us. This is a red line for my country. It is impossible" #Greece


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    Godge wrote: »
    The reality that the Troika "ignored" was the lack of a functioning tax system.

    It doesn't matter what type of economy you want from a socialist left-wing to a minimal interventionist right-wing, so long as you have a functioning tax system that will collect the level of taxes required to finance your preference. That is why successive Greek governments of different hues have been unable to deal with the crisis.

    Hear, hear! That´s exactly the point I was trying to make. Spot on!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    Godge wrote: »
    The reality that the Troika "ignored" was the lack of a functioning tax system.

    It doesn't matter what type of economy you want from a socialist left-wing to a minimal interventionist right-wing, so long as you have a functioning tax system that will collect the level of taxes required to finance your preference. That is why successive Greek governments of different hues have been unable to deal with the crisis.

    The Troika has no remit to enforce law. And should never do!


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    The Troika has no remit to enforce law. And should never do!

    But they are right to point out where the (money) bucket stops.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    The Troika has no remit to enforce law. And should never do!

    I know that. Ignored was in inverted commas.

    It was the problem they had from the start and the one they could do nothing about. It relied on the Greeks to solve it.

    As tax rates went up, evasion went up faster, meaning austerity never worked.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    Godge wrote: »
    I know that. Ignored was in inverted commas.

    It was the problem they had from the start and the one they could do nothing about. It relied on the Greeks to solve it.

    As tax rates went up, evasion went up faster, meaning austerity never worked.

    It went down the same road with the money drawings from their accounts the week before and now those who have no bank cards, have to see how they come to their Money until the Banks reopen again.

    I take it that despite the over 60% in the last referendum, the people don´t put much trust into their government or even their State. That is to say as if "they know their lot perfectly well".


  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Greece has already undergone significant internal devaluation without having effected adequate structural reforms.
    Can you expand on this please?
    What are we counting as an internal devaluation? Just that GDP has decreased?
    No. The poster and I were referring to Greek exports; in that context, (and in any bailout context) the internal devaluation refers specifically to falling costs relative to competitor economies, with ULCs as a proxy, independently of the nominal exchange rate.
    There is no sense in your attempt to distinguish between internal and external devaluations by claiming that the latter kills Greece.
    It's probably as simple as me not understanding quite what you mean by internal devaluation, but could you expand on this too please?

    I don't see anything ambiguous about it. There's no credible basis for claiming that an external devaluation is an explicitly harmful monetary policy for the Greek economy, when at the same time defending the EU-EA/IMF policy of internal devaluation.

    At the end of the day, both seek to improve competitiveness by reducing costs relative to competitor economies. One does it by changing the exchange rate, the other does it through austerity, which can be slower and more cumbersome. Even Milton Friedman thought so for goodness sake.

    If you're starting to out-Friedman Friedman, it should set off some alarm bells.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 164 ✭✭Thomas_.


    From some other contributor on the BBC News Website:

    http://www.bbc.com/news/live/business-33383653

    Via Email

    Taxing times

    Posted at 13:48

    Live page reader Georg Walther says, "Not long ago a Greek journalist published a list of Greek tax evaders." He's talking about Costas Vaxevanis, who went on trial in 2012 for breach of privacy after publishing the names of 2,000 Greeks with Swiss bank accounts. "I'd say the Germans are correct demanding serious reform," says Mr Walther.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,964 ✭✭✭For Reals


    It's becoming far too common now, with this crisis or any other;
    The system in place is set and maintained by the EU/Financiers correct?
    When it all goes awry it can only be fixed by following the austerity measures brought in by EU/Financiers, correct?
    Yet it's the fault of these nations, be it Greece or whomever for playing the game for decades under the rules and governorship of these EU/Financiers? Is it the case of 'we got greedy' really? People buy that Fianna Fail chestnut?
    It's almost as if the EEC, (lets face it that's what it is) is a money lender and they set their own terms under the guise of community.
    Banks don't loan you money because they think you're swell. And there is a great deal in it for Europe if Greece receives further funding, the EU system remains stable and they can continue to bleed elsewhere. The only question now is how to bail out Greece but maintain face. The rest is just posturing. Greece is playing poker, we played snap.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,967 ✭✭✭Synode


    For Reals wrote: »
    It's becoming far too common now, with this crisis or any other;
    The system in place is set and maintained by the EU/Financiers correct?
    When it all goes awry it can only be fixed by following the austerity measures brought in by EU/Financiers, correct?
    Yet it's the fault of these nations, be it Greece or whomever for playing the game for decades under the rules and governorship of these EU/Financiers? Is it the case of 'we got greedy' really? People buy that Fianna Fail chestnut?
    It's almost as if the EEC, (lets face it that's what it is) is a money lender and they set their own terms under the guise of community.
    Banks don't loan you money because they think you're swell. And there is a great deal in it for Europe if Greece receives further funding, the EU system remains stable and they can continue to bleed elsewhere. The only question now is how to bail out Greece but maintain face. The rest is just posturing. Greece is playing poker, we played snap.

    No it's spending the money that was loaned to you in good faith without making any of the necessary adjustments to correct your budget deficits. We're now at the stage that nobody will loan money to Greece unless they make the changes i.e. they're being forced to. Which is completely understandable


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users Posts: 73 ✭✭Crosswind


    Godge wrote: »
    As tax rates went up, evasion went up faster, meaning austerity never worked.

    Source for this? Numbers from 1999-2010 show that evasion went down 30%. And since tax evasion was mainly done by the self employed and small businesses, now that most of these went bust, percentage should be even lower.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,967 ✭✭✭Synode


    That's what happened in Ireland in the 70s/80s. As they increased income tax rates to ridiculous levels, all the money started flowing offshore into Ansbacher accounts and the like


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    Crosswind wrote: »
    Source for this? Numbers from 1999-2010 show that evasion went down 30%. And since tax evasion was mainly done by the self employed and small businesses, now that most of these went bust, percentage should be even lower.

    Numbers of instances, but definitely not the value

    From the article posted earlier
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-04/one-heretic-and-not-so-simple-view-greek-referendum
    Greece’s cancer is the purely domestic cleptocracy which has been sucking the country dry for at least thirty-five years (that’s as far back as I can remember, older people may argue this may have been going on for much longer).

    You think I’m exaggerating? Let’s look at a couple of interesting statistics, then. According to the UN comtrade database, supplies of bunker fuel to ships in Greece went from $25m in 2008 to $1.72bn in 2014. Exports of fuel to Turkey went from $204m in 2007 to $3.2bn in 2014. Exports of fuel to FYR of Macedonia in the same timeframe went from $72m to $614m (for comparison purposes, Greece’s GDP in 2014 was $238bn). Either Greek refineries got very efficient during the crisis, or other refineries in the region got very inefficient. Or it could be that the cleptocrats, hit by the crisis in their other half-way legit businesses, had to supplement their income with other, far more lucrative ventures.

    Well, according to the New York TimesOrganized crime […]dominates the black market for oil in Greece; perhaps three billion euros (about $3.8 billion) a year of contraband fuel courses through the country. Shipping is Greece’s premier industry, and the price of shipping fuel is set by law at one-third the price of fuel for cars and homes. So traffickers turn shipping fuel into more expensive home and automobile fuel. It is estimated that 20 percent of the gasoline sold in Greece is from the black market. The trafficking not only results in higher prices but also deprives the government of desperately needed revenue”.

    According to the FT “George Papandreou, the former socialist premier who resigned in 2011, also claimed he was brought down by oligarchs after a finance ministry campaign to tackle widespread fuel smuggling revealed a Balkanwide scam that cost Greece €3bn a year in lost taxes”.

    Its’ not as if these smugglers are thousands. They’re a handful of people, whom practically every Greek knows by name. Unlike Escobar, they are not in hiding. They’re feted by the press as “successful businessmen” and are being sat next to prime ministers.

    There are similar tales to be told in natural gas, energy and practically every sector that has to do with the state.

    If that’s not fixed, irrespective of whether the currency of Greece is the euro, the drachma or the rupiah, there can be no end to Greece’s plight. Is Tsipras likely to fix that? I’ll give you a hint: most Greek oligarchs voiced their support for Tsipras ahead of the general election in January. Before him, they of course supported his predecessor.


  • Registered Users Posts: 73 ✭✭Crosswind


    Numbers of instances, but definitely not the value

    From the article posted earlier
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-07-04/one-heretic-and-not-so-simple-view-greek-referendum

    He specifically mentioned that evasion is going up. I'm looking for the source of that statement.
    Already know the rest, although NYT apparently don't. Owners of the refineries (Vardinogiannis family) are the owners of one of the major Greek TV channels (MEGA channel) who oppose syriza for years.


  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    Nonsense. Greece wouldn't have received previous bailout tranches if it hadn't been meeting the terms of its crisis programme. As recently as April 2014, the European Commission announced in its Fourth Review of the Greek programme that Greece was eligible for the disbursement...

    "On the basis of this analysis of compliance with the MoU, and conditional on continued implementation by the Greek authorities of the revised MoU, notably of the prior actions, the programme is now broadly on track and the Commission services recommend disbursement of the instalments"

    Greece has been getting bailout funds for five years because it has been compliant.

    During this time, its public debt as a percentage of GDP has risen.

    1zznh43.jpg

    The same goes for every bailout country in the Eurozone.

    Every bailout country in the eurozone.

    All of which followed troika orders.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,967 ✭✭✭Synode


    What's your point? Of course they took on more debt. They had to finance their budget overspends


  • Posts: 0 ✭✭✭✭ Yaretzi Angry Goose-step


    Their GDP has also fallen. So any ratio to GDP comparison needs to take that into account.

    Was Greece's 2008 nominal GDP figure an accurate reflection of the capacity of Greece? Was 2014s?


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  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Synode wrote: »
    What's your point? Of course they took on more debt. They had to finance their budget overspends
    My point is that austerity policies tend to increase the real burden of debt, not reduce it. The troika used to believe that austerity policies decrease the debt burden, although they now seem more divided on that.

    So who should pay for their mistake? The party that followed the programmes, or the party that instituted the programmes?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,967 ✭✭✭Synode


    Well I don't think taking on more debt is the problem here. It's the Greeks unwillingness to reform their institutions. And their electorate's belief in magic money trees


  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Synode wrote: »
    Well I don't think taking on more debt is the problem here. It's the Greeks unwillingness to reform their institutions.
    Oh yes. It's one of the problems, absolutely.

    But you're not going to evade this problem by pointing to the others.

    I am talking about the major blunder in Greece of simultaneously cutting incomes, raising taxes, then increasing the debt in real terms, and claiming to be hoping to stoke demand.

    What kind of crackpot economic policy is that?

    [edit: oh before the inevtiable, "greece was always a crackpot, na na na na na", maybe someone might defend the policy I'm actually referencing]


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 7,967 ✭✭✭Synode


    I am talking about the major blunder in Greece of simultaneously cutting incomes, raising taxes, then increasing the debt in real terms, and claiming to be hoping to stoke demand.

    Isn't the above exactly what was done in Ireland though. And it worked here, primarily because we're an open economy with a very good tax collection record.

    I do agree debt is important, but it's not the most important.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 581 ✭✭✭Mad Benny


    gandalf wrote: »
    Couple that with the fact Enda will rock up and start whinging for a better deal for Ireland as well along with the Portuguese and the Italians.

    Whinging???

    We seem to have forgotten that debt write down is a cental characteristic of dealing with unsustainable debt.


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  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    Oh but isn't it?

    What specific rules did the creative accounting of the government of Greece (and Italy, for that matter) breach?

    I wasn't aware that off-balance-sheet, off-market cross currency swaps were illegal or, at that time, against Eurostat rules, so now I'm really interested in what you have to tell us.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,120 ✭✭✭NorthStars


    Michael Noonan today claimed that Greece should follow Irelands example, including getting interest rate reductions on the loans.
    Does Michael forget that the only reason Ireland got an interest rate reduction was because Greece had been given it in the first place?
    The way Kenny & Noonan are 'playing politics' with the Greek situation is quite galling.
    They must be terrified.

    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/noonan-says-ireland-favours-debt-restructuring-for-greece-1.2276279


  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    NorthStars wrote: »
    Michael Noonan today claimed that Greece should follow Irelands example, including getting interest rate reductions on the loans.
    Does Michael forget that the only reason Ireland got an interest rate reduction was because Greece had been given it in the first place?
    The way Kenny & Noonan are 'playing politics' with the Greek situation is quite galling.
    They must be terrified.

    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/noonan-says-ireland-favours-debt-restructuring-for-greece-1.2276279

    They've been very quiet on the matter compared to many other Eurozone leaders - hell, even non EZ countries like the UK are sticking the boot in from time to time.

    Of course, I doubt that'll stop people pretending that Kenny and Noonan are literally the only 2 people in Europe who have anything to say on the matter. It hasn't so far.


  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Synode wrote: »
    Isn't the above exactly what was done in Ireland though. And it worked here, primarily because we're an open economy...
    Yes the Irish economy is not directly comparable with Greece. It did work in Ireland because Ireland had a greater productive capacity and potential growth, being a small, open economy with low corporation tax. Having said that, the Irish problems aren't over, only the problems that investors most care about are close to resolution.

    Ireland's basic budgetary problem iseasier to solve, though. After bank recapitalisations, the deficit was mostly high current spending and megolomaniac capital projects. Ireland's economy was an overgrown rose bush. Greece's, a landfill.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    My point is that austerity policies tend to increase the real burden of debt, not reduce it. The troika used to believe that austerity policies decrease the debt burden, although they now seem more divided on that.

    So who should pay for their mistake? The party that followed the programmes, or the party that instituted the programmes?


    Depends on the austerity policies.

    If you switch taxation from earned income and earned profit to property and other broad-based charges such as USC and water charges, then you can increase the overall taxation burden while simultaneously stimulating the productive parts of the economy. (A particularly clever revenue-raising measure in the Irish context was the levy on private sector pension funds which are mostly invested abroad).

    Similarly, switching the focus of social protection to job activation can also help (the abolition of lone parents allowance for under-7s and replacement with JSA is an example of this, as is JobBridge etc.).

    What I am saying is that the correct austerity measures will work subject to the basic principle that you have a functioning tax collection system, something Greece clearly lacked.


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    NorthStars wrote: »
    Michael Noonan today claimed that Greece should follow Irelands example, including getting interest rate reductions on the loans.
    Does Michael forget that the only reason Ireland got an interest rate reduction was because Greece had been given it in the first place?
    The way Kenny & Noonan are 'playing politics' with the Greek situation is quite galling.
    They must be terrified.

    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/noonan-says-ireland-favours-debt-restructuring-for-greece-1.2276279

    And he was absolutely right both to say it and in what he said. Compared to other Finance Ministers and EU leaders, ours have been particularly respectful to Greece - read what the Finns, Slovakians and Latvians have been saying.

    What is really galling is the way that idiots like Murphy and Doherty have trotted out to Athens despite having no official executive position here and mindless supported the lemming-like behaviour of the Greeks.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    NorthStars wrote: »
    Michael Noonan today claimed that Greece should follow Irelands example, including getting interest rate reductions on the loans.
    Does Michael forget that the only reason Ireland got an interest rate reduction was because Greece had been given it in the first place?
    The way Kenny & Noonan are 'playing politics' with the Greek situation is quite galling.
    They must be terrified.

    http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/noonan-says-ireland-favours-debt-restructuring-for-greece-1.2276279


    "“We need a deal here” declares Irish leader Enda Kenny as he arrives at tonight’s summit.

    The time is now to bring some hope, certainty and stability to the people of Greece in the medium term, for they are now suffering.

    I look forward “very much” to hear what prime minister Tsipras has to say, Kenny adds, before heading inside."


    Which part of Kenny's statement above do you have a problem with?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,120 ✭✭✭NorthStars


    They've been very quiet on the matter compared to many other Eurozone leaders - hell, even non EZ countries like the UK are sticking the boot in from time to time.

    Of course, I doubt that'll stop people pretending that Kenny and Noonan are literally the only 2 people in Europe who have anything to say on the matter. It hasn't so far.

    They represent our country.
    That's why it's of interest to Irish people.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1,120 ✭✭✭NorthStars


    Godge wrote: »
    "“We need a deal here” declares Irish leader Enda Kenny as he arrives at tonight’s summit.

    The time is now to bring some hope, certainty and stability to the people of Greece in the medium term, for they are now suffering.

    I look forward “very much” to hear what prime minister Tsipras has to say, Kenny adds, before heading inside."


    Which part of Kenny's statement above do you have a problem with?

    All of it.
    He told bare faced lies last week to the world press about how Ireland didn't raise taxes etc.
    I don't believe anything that comes from his mouth.
    What happens to Greece is very relevant to Ireland as Kenny will be looking for any concessions Greece receive, and they will receive concessions, to claim as concessions he won.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    NorthStars wrote: »
    All of it.
    He told bare faced lies last week to the world press about how Ireland didn't raise taxes etc.
    I don't believe anything that comes from his mouth.
    What happens to Greece is very relevant to Ireland as Kenny will be looking for any concessions Greece receive, and they will receive concessions, to claim as concessions he won.

    Again compared to what Kenny said, here is the Belgian Prime Minister:

    "The Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel says that if "there is nothing on the table and there continues to be nothing on the table" and if Greek Prime Minister Tsipras is not able to honour the demand of the Greek people to stay in the euro zone, then Mr Tsipras "bears a heavy responsibility towards his own people".

    "We can't do it with a gun to our head or a knife at our throats. A prime minister has to face up to his responsibilities," Mr Michel said."


    It is absolutely clear now that the Irish leaders have been much more restrained than anyone else in public with regard to Greece. Patience is running out across the EU.


  • Posts: 13,712 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    You said:
    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.
    and
    Permabear wrote: »
    This post had been deleted.

    Now, either Greece abided by Eurostat and Maastricht rules to gain entry, or it did not.

    What rules if any were breached?

    Name them.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,580 ✭✭✭swampgas


    Godge wrote: »
    Again compared to what Kenny said, here is the Belgian Prime Minister:

    "The Belgian Prime Minister Charles Michel says that if "there is nothing on the table and there continues to be nothing on the table" and if Greek Prime Minister Tsipras is not able to honour the demand of the Greek people to stay in the euro zone, then Mr Tsipras "bears a heavy responsibility towards his own people".

    "We can't do it with a gun to our head or a knife at our throats. A prime minister has to face up to his responsibilities," Mr Michel said."


    It is absolutely clear now that the Irish leaders have been much more restrained than anyone else in public with regard to Greece. Patience is running out across the EU.

    It's almost as though Tsipras wants to create a permanent rupture as fast as possible with the EU, so that even if he's thrown out of office and replaced with a more cooperative Greek government there will be no way to change course.

    After recent events I find it hard to believe that he's not doing this deliberately.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 39,022 ✭✭✭✭Permabear


    This post has been deleted.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 43,311 ✭✭✭✭K-9


    Synode wrote: »
    Isn't the above exactly what was done in Ireland though. And it worked here, primarily because we're an open economy with a very good tax collection record.

    I do agree debt is important, but it's not the most important.

    The multiplier effect here isn't as significant as Greece so the cuts in Govt. spending would affect them more.

    There isn't a one size fits all solution, so pointing at Greece as is coommon in Ireland, and saying austerity doesn't work doesn't really help Greece. Because Ireland is an example of austerity actually working, but Greece has a different type of economy all together.

    Mad Men's Don Draper : What you call love was invented by guys like me, to sell nylons.



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