Gameweek Odds Thread - FPL 2015/2016

FHFC · 12-09-2015 12:20am

Anyone care to oblige?

Invincible · 12-09-2015 12:32am

FHFC wrote: »

Anyone care to oblige?

Here ya go

Ziegler1988 · 17-09-2015 1:07pm

Arsenal 3/1 to keep a clean sheet, Palace 7/2 but I think I'm going with Souare over Bellerin. We haven't kept a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge in 10 years and Spurs might have a Europa hangover

lougal88 · 17-09-2015 1:33pm

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Arsenal 3/1 to keep a clean sheet, Palace 7/2 but I think I'm going with Souare over Bellerin. We haven't kept a clean sheet at Stamford Bridge in 10 years and Spurs might have a Europa hangover

My GKs are Cech/McCarthy and am torn between them also. Thought it would be madness to go for McCarthy but having 2nd thoughts now. Hmmmm.....

Ziegler1988 · 17-09-2015 1:45pm

lougal88 wrote: »

My GKs are Cech/McCarthy and am torn between them also. Thought it would be madness to go for McCarthy but having 2nd thoughts now. Hmmmm.....

That's a 50/50. I haven't looked at the stats to back it up, but I believe Spurs take more long range shots than Chelsea which would be good for save points and in turn potential baps

Green&Red · 17-09-2015 4:57pm

I'm in a LMS, have a choice of
Chelsea
Newcastle
Stoke
Spurs
Bournemouth

Currently on Chelsea #injosewetrust

spock. · 17-09-2015 5:19pm

I would definitely go with Bournemouth if i were you.

lougal88 · 17-09-2015 5:20pm

spock. wrote: »

I would definitely go with Bournemouth if i were you.

+1

I'm hoping Wilson tears them to shreds!!

FHFC · 26-09-2015 12:30am

CLEAN SHEET ODDS WM HILL
Man Utd 7/10
Liverpool 21/20
Soton, Chelsea 11/8
Arsenal 17/10
West Ham, Man City 15/8
West Brom 21/10
Stoke 2/1
Everton, Watford 9/5
Palace 11/5
Bournemouth 12/5
Swansea 13/5
Spurs 15/4
Norwich 14/5
Newcastle, Leicester 9/2
Villa 5/1
Sunderland 17/2

Edit. Important error in original post. West brom 21/10 not 21/20.

PARlance · 26-09-2015 10:13am

Villa 5/1, yes please.

tomaussie · 26-09-2015 10:28am

PARlance wrote: »

Villa 5/1, yes please.

If the bookies have made a mistake this week it looks like Stoke to me. I see nothing but a comfortable home win and have captained Bojan because it it.

Ziegler1988 · 02-10-2015 5:19pm

There's a good weekly article on FFS now that sums up GW odds from bookies: http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/10/02/what-the-bookies-say-gameweek-8/

Paully D · 02-10-2015 6:11pm

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

There's a good weekly article on FFS now that sums up GW odds from bookies: http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/10/02/what-the-bookies-say-gameweek-8/

Massive problem with that is he/she doesn't use the best odds available which doesn't give a true perception.

For example, he/she has City as 17/20 to keep a clean sheet which makes you think it's pretty likely to happen - less so when you see you can get 1/1 with other bookmakers. De Bruyne is listed on that article as 4/5 to score at anytime but is actually available at 7/4, a whopping difference really.

spock. · 02-10-2015 6:38pm

Paully D wrote:

Massive problem with that is he/she doesn't use the best odds available which doesn't give a true perception.

For example, he/she has City as 17/20 to keep a clean sheet which makes you think it's pretty likely to happen - less so when you see you can get 1/1 with other bookmakers. De Bruyne is listed on that article as 4/5 to score at anytime but is actually available at 7/4, a whopping difference really.

Agreed. 4/5 on De Bruyne is absolutely taking the p*ss

spock. · 02-10-2015 6:48pm

https://www.betbright.com/football/outrights/fantasy-premier-league-2015-16/week-8

Haven't done a bet on this in a while.
Kolarov @ 250/1 stands out to me.

jimmii · 02-10-2015 6:56pm

spock. wrote: »

https://www.betbright.com/football/outrights/fantasy-premier-league-2015-16/week-8

Haven't done a bet on this in a while.
Kolarov @ 250/1 stands out to me.

That does seem pretty good value alright. Its like they always stick a real tempter in at 250!

jimmii · 02-10-2015 6:58pm

And 1/2 Aguero is just beyond ridiculous.

CSF · 02-10-2015 7:00pm

jimmii wrote: »

And 1/2 Aguero is just beyond ridiculous.

I'd lay at that price to anyone who wants to bet. But I can see why they don't want to give a realistic price on a market like this.

jimmii · 02-10-2015 7:03pm

CSF wrote: »

I'd lay at that price to anyone who wants to bet. But I can see why they don't want to give a realistic price on a market like this.

Yeh but its miles from being realistic! 2/1 I wouldn't even be going too crazy about it. Does he really have a better than 33% chance of being the top scorer? I'm not even sure he does. 1/2 is one of the worse value prices I have ever seen. I guess with such a small market its entirely possible someone got on straight away with a relatively big bet and at 1/2 they are basically just shutting the book on him.

wonski · 03-10-2015 2:36am

jimmii wrote: »

That does seem pretty good value alright. Its like they always stick a real tempter in at 250!

That's how they make money:D

They have lots of players at 250/1, every single one being a contender.

SteelyDanJalapeno · 03-10-2015 10:10am

spock. wrote: »

https://www.betbright.com/football/outrights/fantasy-premier-league-2015-16/week-8

Haven't done a bet on this in a while.
Kolarov @ 250/1 stands out to me.

Has kolarover been removed?

spock. · 03-10-2015 10:12am

TiltedBrain wrote:

Has kolarover been removed?

No but he's been shortened to 99/1

Invincible · 31-10-2015 2:08am

This weeks odds.

spock. · 07-11-2015 10:57am

https://m.betbright.com/football//outrights/fantasy-premier-league-2015-16/week-12

If anyone's interested, some head to head markets have been opened up.

Lemlin · 24-11-2015 8:22am

Anyone have clean sheet odds for next weekend? I need to pick 3 from...

Nyom away to Villa
Souare home to Newcastle
Kolarov home to Saints
Bellerin away to Norwich
Bertrand away to City

At the minute I'm going Souare, Kol and Bellerin. Nyom does have a decent fixture though.

Ziegler1988 · 24-11-2015 1:18pm

Lemlin wrote: »

Anyone have clean sheet odds for next weekend? I need to pick 3 from...

Nyom away to Villa (2/1)
Souare home to Newcastle (7/5)
Kolarov home to Saints (11/8)
Bellerin away to Norwich (7/5)
Bertrand away to City (11/2)

At the minute I'm going Souare, Kol and Bellerin. Nyom does have a decent fixture though.

I put the odds next to the players. I have a similar problem, have to bench one of Moreno, Delaney, Kolarov, and Bellerin. Delaney would be the easy one since he's cheapest and doesn't have as much attacking threat, but Newcastle have been woeful last two matches. I'm currently benching Bellerin because Coquelin is out, but maybe Kolarov is the better one to bench

Green&Red · 24-11-2015 2:01pm

Where does Galloway away to Bouremouth come in?

Ziegler1988 · 24-11-2015 2:14pm

Green&Red wrote: »

Where does Galloway away to Bouremouth come in?

12/5. Keep an eye on Baines though, he's played some reserves football

FHFC · 17-12-2015 12:38am

Sourced and sorted these as part of my ponderings so may as well share.

They backed up my gut for my own defence to play my three cheaper defenders and bench my dear ones. Palace, Liverpool and WBA ahead of Spurs and Arsenal.

Clean sheet odds GW17
CHE 4/6
MUN 10/11
LIV 6/4
SWA 6/4
NEW 13/8
STO 7/4
WBA 15/8
EVE 21/10
SOT 11/5
CPL 9/4
BOU 23/10
TOT 23/10
ARS 13/5
WHM 11/4
MCI 3/1
WAT 3/1
AVL 10/3
LEI 4/1
NOR 11/2
SUN 13/2

FHFC · 19-12-2015 1:08pm

Many seem to be having the same conundrum over defenders. In case you missed the odds above during the week I'll bump.

They back the likes of WBA, Palace and Liverpool over Arsenal, Spurs and City.

Not by much in some cases but helped me follow my gut. City are nearly the same price as Villa!

Odds are Paddy Power.

Lemlin · 27-12-2015 1:21pm

Anyone have clean sheet odds? I need to pick 3 of Alder, Bellerin, Dawson, Souare and Nyom.

spock. · 27-12-2015 1:53pm

Lemlin wrote:

Anyone have clean sheet odds? I need to pick 3 of Alder, Bellerin, Dawson, Souare and Nyom.

Arsenal 2.1
Palace 2.4
West Brom 2.45
Spurs 2.6
Watford 4.0

(william hill)

Lemlin · 01-01-2016 4:33pm

Have Alder or Simpson better clean sheet odds this weekend?

Scorpion Sting · 01-01-2016 4:50pm

Lemlin wrote: »

Have Alder or Simpson better clean sheet odds this weekend?

Simpson (17/10 vs 13/5) William Hill

Lemlin · 01-01-2016 7:45pm

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

Simpson (17/10 vs 13/5) William Hill

That's what I expected thanks.

Wombatman · 12-01-2016 7:08pm

GW21 Odds

http://www.fantasybet.com/blog/bookies-advantage-gameweek-21

Ziegler1988 · 15-01-2016 10:20am

My decision of the week is Moreno v Evans to start. Bookies heavily favour Moreno (13/8 to 7/2) but I have Evans starting right now since Soton haven't been prolific recently and derby matches are so unpredictable

FHFC · 15-01-2016 11:01am

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

My decision of the week is Moreno v Evans to start. Bookies heavily favour Moreno (13/8 to 7/2) but I have Evans starting right now since Soton haven't been prolific recently and derby matches are so unpredictable

Surprised at those odds. I have Evans starting too, hadn't really considered Moreno ahead of him...

Wombatman · 15-01-2016 7:37pm

GW22 Odds

https://www.fantasybet.com/blog/bookies-advantage-gameweek-22/

wonski · 15-01-2016 7:51pm

Wombatman wrote: »

GW22 Odds

https://www.fantasybet.com/blog/bookies-advantage-gameweek-22/

Blog bookmarked, thanks.

Chesty08 · 15-01-2016 11:23pm

wonski wrote: »

Blog bookmarked, thanks.

Payet captain??? Big call

wonski · 16-01-2016 12:02am

Chesty08 wrote: »

Payet captain??? Big call

No.

Why?

I have only looked at cs odds

Chesty08 · 16-01-2016 12:11am

wonski wrote: »

No.

Why?

I have only looked at cs odds

With Aguero & Kane both more likely to score & at home

wonski · 16-01-2016 12:52am

Chesty08 wrote: »

With Aguero & Kane both more likely to score & at home

I still don't get it ....

FHFC · 16-01-2016 12:54am

wonski wrote: »

I still don't get it ....

Read the blog then!

wonski · 16-01-2016 12:59am

FHFC wrote: »

Read the blog then!

I only focused on clean sheet odds

I said thanks and bookmarked the page.

Was told captaining Payet was a big call.

You see why I am confused, don't you?

Am I missing something obvious here???

FHFC · 16-01-2016 1:15am

wonski wrote: »

I only focused on clean sheet odds

I said thanks and bookmarked the page.

Was told captaining Payet was a big call.

You see why I am confused, don't you?

Am I missing something obvious here???

I do my short attention spanned friend, I do....

Lemlin · 21-01-2016 7:58am

Anyone have clean sheet odds for the weekend? I need to pick three from Dawson, Daniels, Nyom, Alder and Simpson.

At the moment Alder and Simpson are on my bench.

Also, any goal scoring odds? Would be interested to see what the odds are on Kane, Lukaku and Aguero to score.

Iused2likebusts · 21-01-2016 8:31am

Lemlin wrote: »

Anyone have clean sheet odds for the weekend? I need to pick three from Dawson, Daniels, Nyom, Alder and Simpson.

At the moment Alder and Simpson are on my bench.

Also, any goal scoring odds? Would be interested to see what the odds are on Kane, Lukaku and Aguero to score.

With the clean sheet odds you would also need to factor in the chance of Bournemouth getting a pen. I read a stat on ffs that the ref for sun bou has given the most pens of any ref in the league and that Sunderland have conceded the most pens in the league. I think it's convinced me to play Daniels over wolly.

spock. · 21-01-2016 7:10pm

Lemlin wrote:

Also, any goal scoring odds? Would be interested to see what the odds are on Kane, Lukaku and Aguero to score.

Aguero evens
Lukaku 11/10
Kane 6/4

@oddschecker

Gameweek Odds Thread - FPL 2015/2016

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