Price Changes 2015/2016

jive

Scorpion Sting wrote: »

Going Up: Albrighton

Going Down: Baines


Baines 6.2m now, must have been a long, long time since he was that low.

Still too high given he's not on pens anymore.

zarquon

UP: No one

Down: Valdes, Ings

OneColdHand

zarquon wrote: »

UP: No one

He's on a charge! Got a bunch of rises towards the end if last season iirc!

8-10

Coates now 4.3

Colking

8-10 wrote: »

Coates now 4.3

Sorry Iroced, he's finally caved in to peer pressure and gone down like a wrestlemania pro

iroced

Colking wrote: »

Sorry Iroced, he's finally caved in to peer pressure and gone down like a wrestlemania pro

He'll rise again... but not yet, not yet .

FHFC

FHFC wrote: »

I have last years fiso stats somewhere. I'll do a wee analysis sometime. Probably be Monday.

Right. As promised. With Graphs!!

Key points:

• The International Break last year was in GW4 noted with the **, its GW5 this year so slightly different dynamic.
• The best week for wildcard value last year from Gw2 to Gw6 was GW3 with 4 x 0.2 (or greater) rises. The International week had less rises overall but had 3 double risers. The week after the break had more rises than GW4 but less double risers.
• The week after International break was not better than International week contrary to my recollection and others.
• In GW3 on the 28th August (Thurs) there were no rises for some reason which may skew that weeks rises somewhat.
• The bandwagons in GW4 were more to do with player form, as there were overall less rises that week than the week before or after. The GW4 bandwagons were Costa (coming of the back of two 12 pointers GW2 & 3 and suddenly essential, Sterling and Naismith (who rose 0.3).
• The GW3 bandwagons were Dier, Siggy, Naismith and Jovetic (who rose 0.3).
• The GW5 bandwagons were Costa and Di Maria

I'll do the comparative figures for this year when this GW closes, but I think this years international break wont be as good as last year.

FHFC

Comparing this year to date the rises were:

GW2 - 7 rises, no multiple risers.
GW3 - 26 rises, 3 x 0.2 rises (Gomis, Yaya, Mahrez)
GW4 - 17 rises, 1 x 0.2, 1 x 0.3 (Wilson and Mahrez)
GW5 to date - 13 rises, potential 0.2s = 3 (Gomis, Ayew, Wilson)

Can't see any more of the 13 who've risen so far this week making the 0.2.

Aleksandar Kolarov
Alex McCarthy
André Ayew
Bafétimbi Gomis
Callum Wilson
Cheikhou Kouyaté
David Silva
Gnegneri Yaya Touré
Jamie Vardy
Joel Ward
Marc Albrighton
Ross Barkley
Vincent Kompany

FHFC

Overall price Falls vs Rises

2014/15 to end GW5
Total Price Changes 482
Rises 68 (14%)
Falls 414 (86%)

2015/16 to today.
Total Price Changes 476
Rises 63 (13.2%)
Falls 413 (86.8%)

Given there will be a Friday rush this week the number of changes will be higher at the end of GW5 this year but the ratio of rises to falls is almost identical so far.

Rikand

FHFC wrote: »

Overall price Falls vs Rises

2014/15 to end GW5
Total Price Changes 482
Rises 68 (14%)
Falls 414 (86%)

2015/16 to today.
Total Price Changes 476
Rises 63 (13.2%)
Falls 413 (86.8%)

Given there will be a Friday rush this week the number of changes will be higher at the end of GW5 this year but the ratio of rises to falls is almost identical so far.

It's strange. It feels like there are a lot more fallers this year than in previous years and a lot less risers

FHFC

Rikand wrote: »

It's strange. It feels like there are a lot more fallers this year than in previous years and a lot less risers

The siesmic change happened last year. Before that there were.

I had tracked the ratio of rises vs falls for the first 6 or 7 weeks last year as it was very unusual which is why i have the records saved.

Its practically the same this year but as its still relatively new everyone seems to have forgotten last year.

Btw. I don't suppose anyone saved all the price changes from FISO last season? I stopped halfway through gw7.

shineon23

Full changes from last night:
Up:
Nobody

Down:
Young, Ashley
Britton, Leon
Varela, Guillermo
Aké, Nathan
Coates, Sebastián
Ayew, Jordan
Veretout, Jordan

zarquon

Risers: None

Fallers: R. Bennett, Lallana, J. King

zarquon

Risers: None

Fallers:

Milner, James
Puncheon, Jason
Okore, Jores
Deulofeu, Gerard
Pritchard, Alex
Ulloa, Leonardo
Ospina, David
Hesketh, Jake
Fuchs, Christian
Depay, Memphis
Martina, Cuco
Reine-Adelaide, Jeff

wonski

zarquon wrote: »

Risers: None

Fallers:

Milner, James
Puncheon, Jason
Okore, Jores
Deulofeu, Gerard
Pritchard, Alex
Ulloa, Leonardo
Ospina, David
Hesketh, Jake
Fuchs, Christian
Depay, Memphis
Martina, Cuco
Reine-Adelaide, Jeff

Boring week so far...

Not surprised Fuchs went down, though. Most teams got rid of him recently:D

CSF

Didn't really expect Depay to go down last night. Makes the decision to keep him another week a lot easier though so no biggie.

FHFC

CSF wrote: »

Didn't really expect Depay to go down last night. Makes the decision to keep him another week a lot easier though so no biggie.

Pretty pleased with the week so far. My risky 2 early transfers move paid off. No injuries, and will net me 0.5 in tv, 0.3 in resale while setting my team up nicely.

Swiper the fox

FHFC wrote: »

Pretty pleased with the week so far. My risky 2 early transfers move paid off. No injuries, and will net me 0.5 in tv, 0.3 in resale while setting my team up nicely.

Fair play, it's really working out well for you so far. That seems like a fantastic result, what were the transfers again?
At least my team looks like remaining static for this gameweek and the way things have gone I consider that a result:o Now it's a matter of timing the wildcard right to get something back. Could do with a few massive performances some week to get it right.

FHFC

Swiper the fox wrote: »

Fair play, it's really working out well for you so far. That seems like a fantastic result, what were the transfers again?
At least my team looks like remaining static for this gameweek and the way things have gone I consider that a result:o Now it's a matter of timing the wildcard right to get something back. Could do with a few massive performances some week to get it right.

Diouf to Wilson
Depay to Ayew.

Diouf now an injury doubt. Depay dropped. The 2 incoming pretty certain to go up 0.2.

It was a roll of the dice and doesn't always work though.

Neamhshuntasach

Took my eye off the ball and Depay dropped. Crap. Was going to do him to Pedro.

CSF

Neamhshuntasach wrote: »

Took my eye off the ball and Depay dropped. Crap. Was going to do him to Pedro.

It definitely wasn't clear that Depay was going to drop the way the week had been going, he was on 99.7 late yesterday evening and most people that hit over the 100.0 mark took a day or 2 to drop.

LostArt

Neamhshuntasach wrote: »

Took my eye off the ball and Depay dropped. Crap. Was going to do him to Pedro.

Same. Think I'll probably just keep him for this week now and bank the transfer.

Pink Lemons

Another one for the keeping Memphis gang. Was planning on getting him out tonight or tomorrow morning for a -4 but just going to hold for another week now. Plus, I have a sneaky feeling if he's going to start banging in goals Liverpool at home would be a good place to start!

jimmii

Anyone know what number Sanchez was at yesterday? Do you think he'll go up tonight or can I get away with waiting a day!

CSF

jimmii wrote: »

Anyone know what number Sanchez was at yesterday? Do you think he'll go up tonight or can I get away with waiting a day!

He hasn't moved much. I have him but don't understand the rush towards him. I'm so frustrated with him after 2 blanks.

CSF

CSF wrote: »

He hasn't moved much. I have him but don't understand the rush towards him. I'm so frustrated with him after 2 blanks.

There was a favourable article on FFS about him which may be leading to part of this.

CSF

Dónal wrote: »

There was a favourable article on FFS about him which may be leading to part of this.

Possibly. I'm happy to have him this week but don't think I'd have moved to transfer him in if I did not after 2 consecutive blanks.

Ziegler1988

jimmii wrote: »

Anyone know what number Sanchez was at yesterday? Do you think he'll go up tonight or can I get away with waiting a day!

He's only at +0.09%/hour on FFFix. I think it's safe although if you have exact money I probably wouldn't risk it

jimmii

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

He's only at +0.09%/hour on FFFix. I think it's safe although if you have exact money I probably wouldn't risk it

Its right on the money unfortunately. I'll monitor it later and see how he's progressing.

FHFC

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

He's only at +0.09%/hour on FFFix. I think it's safe although if you have exact money I probably wouldn't risk it

I doubt he'll go up tonight but I expect he will tomorrow night.

Colking

CSF wrote: »

He hasn't moved much. I have him but don't understand the rush towards him. I'm so frustrated with him after 2 blanks.

Continue to keep the faith, he's done everything right but stick it away, I've upgraded Ozil to him and am hoping he'll break his duck in the next few games spectacularly.

jimmii

93.2 now looking pretty safe.

zarquon

Risers:
Targett, Matt
Wilson, callum

Fallers:
Sturridge, Daniel
Colback, Jack
Mutch, Jordon
Walters, Jonathan
Odemwingie, Peter
Cleverley, Tom
Rangel, Angel
Carroll, Tom
Fulton, Jay
Williamson, Michael
Jiménez López, Juan Miguel

keano_afc

Damn, should have brought Wilson in yesterday.

Shaque attack

Wilson is single handly rescuing my TV. Gotta my act together from next gw on.

SteelyDanJalapeno

Will Tee Bo survive tonight lads?

wonski

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Will Tee Bo survive tonight lads?

I hope he does, already lost 0.1 on him.

Fail of the season so far.

Neamhshuntasach

Is Pedro definitely protected or is it just the general assumption since he hasn't rose yet?

FHFC

Still no price changes. I hope these website issues don't lead to another fpl price rises cock up. Wildcarders will be pretty pissed off.

zarquon

No price rises or falls is a strange one. They must have held them due to the website crash.

Colking

zarquon wrote: »

No price rises or falls is a strange one. They must have held them due to the website crash.

F*&% typical. On a wildcard and was counting on Ayew and Gomis going up last night to transfer one of them out this morning to finalise my team.

The fact that they've price protected Pedro too is sickening

FHFC

Main fantasy site unavailable for an hour last night. No price changes so far. See 'News' page on my site for implications. #FPL

@fpl_statistics

Colking

Gentlemen, what would you do in my situation :


Begovic McCarthy
Targett Evans Francis Kolarov Gomez
Ayew Yaya Touré Mahrez Pedro Sánchez
Gomis Wilson Agüero

I was going to downgrade either Gomis or Ayew this morning to bank the .1 and replace Target with Cresswell
Looks like there will be no price rises now though.

I can operate with that team and slowly burn my FTover the next week or two to achieve what I wanted this morning. I have most of the players in who are likely to continue to rise.

Or should I bite the bullet on the potential rises, sort out my team and stay in a position to bank the FT next week ?

It's a tough call, your advice is welcome.

Swiper the fox

Colking wrote: »

Gentlemen, what would you do in my situation :


Begovic McCarthy
Targett Evans Francis Kolarov Gomez
Ayew Yaya Touré Mahrez Pedro Sánchez
Gomis Wilson Agüero

I was going to downgrade either Gomis or Ayew this morning to bank the .1
Looks like there will be no price rises now though.

I can operate with that team and slowly burn my FTover the next week or two to achieve what I wanted this morning. I have most of the players in who are likely to continue to rise.

Or should I bite the bullet on the potential rises, sort out my team and stay in a position to bank the FT next week ?

It's a tough call, your advice is welcome.

It sounds like you had a solid plan in place, I wouldn't alter that for the sake of the .1 you missed out on. Those .1s can be annoying from time to time but you can't let them be at the very front of your mind in making plans.
For what it's worth I think Ayew will be a more valuable asset this year than Gomis, on the other hand there's a lot more alternative mid price mids than forwards.
Good luck!

Colking

Swiper the fox wrote: »

It sounds like you had a solid plan in place, I wouldn't alter that for the sake of the .1 you missed out on. Those .1s can be annoying from time to time but you can't let them be at the very front of your mind in making plans.
For what it's worth I think Ayew will be a more valuable asset this year than Gomis, on the other hand there's a lot more alternative mid price mids than forwards.
Good luck!

Thanks, I'm leaning that way but its very annoying alright. If I keep Ayew it means going to 3-5-2 and downgrading Gomis as I think Wilson has the form and fixtures over him. Gomis will probably score a hat trick though and go up .3 this week

FHFC

From FPLS news page....

"The main fantasy site was unavailable, for approximately an hour, from just before midnight last night.

The main consequence is that no price changes took place overnight.

I’m not running the morning cleanup processes in case they implement the price changes before the new game week starts. The consequences of this are that the price prediction screens will look very messy today. If the main site does not run the price changes this morning then a further problem will occur when the base line adjustments are run at the start of the new game week. I will issue an update on this later today."

Colking

FHFC wrote: »

From FPLS news page....

"The main fantasy site was unavailable, for approximately an hour, from just before midnight last night.

The main consequence is that no price changes took place overnight.

I’m not running the morning cleanup processes in case they implement the price changes before the new game week starts. The consequences of this are that the price prediction screens will look very messy today. If the main site does not run the price changes this morning then a further problem will occur when the base line adjustments are run at the start of the new game week. I will issue an update on this later today."

so is it a case of Braveheart and Hold......................... do you think ?

FHFC

Colking wrote: »

so is it a case of Braveheart and Hold......................... do you think ?

I'd probably give it a while anyway.

They may discover the problem this morning and run the price rises.

Last year when it happened Chadli did rise (no other changes) and the time on the Fiso records was 12 the following day or thereabouts.

Morzadec

On a WC and was waiting on finalising to see if i could get a further rise on Gomis who i plan to ditch.

Seems like people are saying it could be worth holding out another hour or so for an update?

CSF

Morzadec wrote: »

On a WC and was waiting on finalising to see if i could get a further rise on Gomis who i plan to ditch.

Seems like people are saying it could be worth holding out another hour or so for an update?

Don't see it happening myself. Looks like you've missed out on a .1 to play with because of a website error which is really ****ty.