Price Changes 2015/2016

Rikand

ElTel wrote: »

I'm resisting. You?

Nope. Hoping to gain some money out of him at least

ElTel

Rikand wrote: »

Nope. Hoping to gain some money out of him at least

On WC?

shineon23

As a proud Martial owner for the last 2 weeks (on a draft game unfortunately) I'm firmly hopping on this bandwagon.
2 FTs and potential of a double rise maybe and Sunderland next up, in for a doubtful Diouf, makes sense to me anyway short term.

shineon23

Up:
Mahrez, Riyad
Ighalo, Odion
Martial, Anthony

Down:
Gibson, Darron
Albrighton, Marc
Fletcher, Darren
Graham, Danny
Oxlade-Chamberlain, Alex
Vorm, Michel
Davis, Kelvin
Shaw, Luke
Gestede, Rudy
Morgan, Wes
Diouf, Mame Biram
Ulloa, Leonardo
Rantie, Tokelo
Firmino, Roberto
Mato Sanmartín, Jose Luis
Coates, Sebastián
Samuelsen, Martin
Inler, Gökhan
Thauvin, Florian

Rikand

ElTel wrote: »

On WC?

Nope. But if he ends up being a super sub or something then in a couple of weeks I can move him on for a tidy .2 profit hopefully.

lougal88

For fup sake!! I checked last night and Shaw was at around -80%.
Didn't expect the drop at all. Might aswell hold now I've already used my FT on Martial. -0.1m and a -4 points would be a real kick in the stones.

PARlance

Martial nearly at 25% to his second rise.
Was at 15% about an hour ago, could sneak through again tonight.

SteelyDanJalapeno

Martial could be 8.5 by the weekend

CSF

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Martial could be 8.5 by the weekend

Nope 8.3 is the max, and he will be that.

Lucas Hood

CSF wrote: »

Nope 8.3 is the max, and he will be that.

He could be 8.5m by Sunday night/Monday morning.

SteelyDanJalapeno

CSF wrote: »

Nope 8.3 is the max, and he will be that.

Lucas Hood wrote: »

He could be 8.5m by Sunday night/Monday morning.

Yeah thats what I meant.......

CSF

TiltedBrain wrote: »

Yeah thats what I meant.......

Ok grand, but that is pretty unlikely IMO. Once the Sunderland match is over, Arsenal away will slow down his interest

Ziegler1988

Had all three risers, glad Ighalo went up before Wilson as predicted.
Fletcher is some legend. Holds out on his drop until right after I've activated WC and gets me 3 points the three times I need him off bench (even giving my heart a flutter when I saw his shot on MOTD)

km79

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Had all three risers, glad Ighalo went up before Wilson as predicted.
Fletcher is some legend. Holds out on his drop until right after I've activated WC and gets me 3 points the three times I need him off bench (even giving my heart a flutter when I saw his shot on MOTD)

When I switch to a cheapie it will be him
He was very good Saturday

Lemlin

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Had all three risers, glad Ighalo went up before Wilson as predicted.
Fletcher is some legend. Holds out on his drop until right after I've activated WC and gets me 3 points the three times I need him off bench (even giving my heart a flutter when I saw his shot on MOTD)

I don't mind him falling. I think he'll just be sitting in my team for the season anyway.

PARlance

Martial 45% now, should get another rise tonight without too many wasted transfers.

iroced

CSF wrote: »

Ok grand, but that is pretty unlikely IMO. Once the Sunderland match is over, Arsenal away will slow down his interest

He should be £8.4m by Sunday though if he continues rising at this rate.

Lemlin wrote: »

I don't mind him falling. I think he'll just be sitting in my team for the season anyway.

Same for me with Wanyama. I'm more annoyed at the £0.3m I lost on Coates & Huth.

The only thing though this year is the 2-5-3 chip which implies that at some point we may "have to" get rid of our cheap 5th mid.

Lemlin

iroced wrote: »

He should be £8.4m by Sunday though if he continues rising at this rate.

Same for me with Wanyama. I'm more annoyed at the £0.3m I lost on Coates & Huth.

The only thing though this year is the 2-5-3 chip which implies that at some point we may "have to" get rid of our cheap 5th mid.

I'll be waiting for the end of the season for that I think. The cheaper players tend to come to the fore in relegation battles, although they are doing pretty well at the minute.

Ziegler1988

CSF wrote: »

Ok grand, but that is pretty unlikely IMO. Once the Sunderland match is over, Arsenal away will slow down his interest

Not if he scores. People will ignore the next fixture just like they did with Gomez and others before

iroced

Lemlin wrote: »

I'll be waiting for the end of the season for that I think. The cheaper players tend to come to the fore in relegation battles, although they are doing pretty well at the minute.

Yeah my idea too. There's also the added team value argument (that could potentially help) FHFC pointed out weeks ago.

But, I was also thinking that when I play my WC, I could, if fixtures are favourable and players are on form, I could build a short-term front 8 for the following GW.

FHFC

I can't believe I'm actually sitting out this Martial feeding frenzy given my well established team value obsession. :eek:

I may as well take this opportunity to formally put on record proof that I don't let that obsession dictate all my early season moves!!

Pink Lemons

I'm no good at judging price rises, but I'd say Martial will cost about 17 million by the end of the week

Ziegler1988

FHFC wrote: »

I can't believe I'm actually sitting out this Martial feeding frenzy given my well established team value obsession. :eek:

I may as well take this opportunity to formally put on record proof that I don't let that obsession dictate all my early season moves!!

If he proves to be the real deal, it's not as if he's 11m and will require hits. 8.5m for a nailed ManU striker in form is still a great price

FHFC

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

If he proves to be the real deal, it's not as if he's 11m and will require hits. 8.5m for a nailed ManU striker in form is still a great price

I'm not even convinced he's garaunteed to start v sunderland. Also, almost always when somebody is expected to get a thumping it ends up as an anticlimax. E.g. United v newcastle.

O Shea looks likely to be back for Sunderland. United have scored goals against teams that went toe to toe with them but struggled against teams who have packed defence.

Deco99

FHFC wrote: »

I'm not even convinced he's garaunteed to start v sunderland. Also, almost always when somebody is expected to get a thumping it ends up as an anticlimax. E.g. United v newcastle.

O Shea looks likely to be back for Sunderland. United have scored goals against teams that went toe to toe with them but struggled against teams who have packed defence.

I actually agree, except sunderland are pretty poor and not all expected thumpings are anti climax, some are thumpings. Also away to Arsenal is perfect for his counter attacking strengths. I've transferred him in for Benteke, the 'pool just arent fluid at the minute, either not feeding Tekers or he doesnt fit. The rate people are bringing Martial in means even if he blanks, it wont be damaging, bit like Kolorov getting zero, everyone has him pretty much.

Lemlin

For people like myself with a wildcard, Martial has to be worth it given there's a killing to make on price rises. I could wildcard in two weeks and easily have an extra 0.3 to spend if he rises 0.3 both weeks - which he could do if he scores again this weekend.

Paully D

FHFC wrote: »

O Shea looks likely to be back for Sunderland. United have scored goals against teams that went toe to toe with them but struggled against teams who have packed defence.

United will win the game, but I'd be very surprised if it's a rout. 1 or 2-0 seems about right. As a non-Martial owner and no real interest for the next month considering their upcoming fixtures, I'm just hoping he doesn't have involvement in the 1 or 2 goals United seem likely to score.

FHFC

Lemlin wrote: »

For people like myself with a wildcard, Martial has to be worth it given there's a killing to make on price rises. I could wildcard in two weeks and easily have an extra 0.3 to spend if he rises 0.3 both weeks - which he could do if he scores again this weekend.

Absolutely. If i was intending on wildcarding in the next couple of weeks I'd be all over it.

As it is I'm exercising restraint for once.

hots

Deco99 wrote: »

I actually agree, except sunderland are pretty poor and not all expected thumpings are anti climax, some are thumpings. Also away to Arsenal is perfect for his counter attacking strengths. I've transferred him in for Benteke, the 'pool just arent fluid at the minute, either not feeding Tekers or he doesnt fit. The rate people are bringing Martial in means even if he blanks, it wont be damaging, bit like Kolorov getting zero, everyone has him pretty much.

Done the same here as the first of two transfers this week, price-wise Benteke could drop 2 and Martial up 3 (although I missed the first). Also with Sturridge back, Ings scoring and Benteke taking a knock they won't risk him. Don't think Martial can keep up this form but a couple of goals over the next few weeks would be lovely.

Colking

Wanyama is still dropping away, I'd have thought he was relatively safe on 4.4.

Just wondering if more people are playing a balanced 5 man midfield and this is contributing to the price drop, any thoughts ?

Ziegler1988

Colking wrote: »

Wanyama is still dropping away, I'd have thought he was relatively safe on 4.4.

Just wondering if more people are playing a balanced 5 man midfield and this is contributing to the price drop, any thoughts ?

Wanyama was dangerous due to his high initial ownership and then all the budget midfield options that started performing (Mahrez chief among them) will have led to the exodus.

Iused2likebusts

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

If he proves to be the real deal, it's not as if he's 11m and will require hits. 8.5m for a nailed ManU striker in form is still a great price

My thoughts exactly I'd have no hesitation getting a player like that in even if he goes as high as 9 million.

Ziegler1988

Deco99 wrote: »

The rate people are bringing Martial in means even if he blanks, it wont be damaging, bit like Kolorov getting zero, everyone has him pretty much.

That's useful for people with a good start, but I'm languishing above 1m OR so can't just be happy to take blanks on high ownership players

AdMMM

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

That's useful for people with a good start, but I'm languishing above 1m OR so can't just be happy to take blanks on high ownership players

You also can't afford to not be at the party when a high ownership player scores well. It's a horrible situation to be in.

(I'm in the same depressing club as you by the way).

Ziegler1988

AdMMM wrote: »

You also can't afford to not be at the party when a high ownership player scores well. It's a horrible situation to be in.

(I'm in the same depressing club as you by the way).

Yeah, it's a double edged sword. I'm still hopeful of turning it around for a top 10k finish. At the worst, I'm thankful to have money leagues of varying ability and size that will keep me focused even if I'm 1m in GW30

Ziegler1988

Wilson going up tonight and Aguero falling at 0.4%/hour. I've taken a chance and swapped out Kun who I bought at 13.1m for Wilson. If Aguero somehow falls by the end of the GW then grand, otherwise I save at least 0.1m on Wilson and increase my resale value on Aguero to 13.2m

SlickRic

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

If he proves to be the real deal, it's not as if he's 11m and will require hits. 8.5m for a nailed ManU striker in form is still a great price

exactly my thinking.

sword1

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Wilson going up tonight and Aguero falling at 0.4%/hour. I've taken a chance and swapped out Kun who I bought at 13.1m for Wilson. If Aguero somehow falls by the end of the GW then grand, otherwise I save at least 0.1m on Wilson and increase my resale value on Aguero to 13.2m

The price you get for aguero will be the same if he is 13.1 or 13.2, I doubt he will drop this week also

Colking

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Wilson going up tonight and Aguero falling at 0.4%/hour. I've taken a chance and swapped out Kun who I bought at 13.1m for Wilson. If Aguero somehow falls by the end of the GW then grand, otherwise I save at least 0.1m on Wilson and increase my resale value on Aguero to 13.2m

As a matter of interest, if you had purchased Aguerro at 13.0 would you have made the same move ?

km79

SlickRic wrote: »

exactly my thinking.

I've 2 transfers and not making a move until after league cup games
I'll pay the premium for the peace of mind

Deco99

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

That's useful for people with a good start, but I'm languishing above 1m OR so can't just be happy to take blanks on high ownership players

Still though Martial for Benteke is a low risk/high reward move, its not like missing the Kun Train when it takes off.

Colking

Deco99 wrote: »

Still though Martial for Benteke is a low risk/high reward move, its not like missing the Kun Train when it takes off.

Between Kun and Sanchez, they'd try the patience of a Saint. Every week I'm waiting for them to take off and every week players like Payet and Ayew are bringing home the points.

PARlance

Ziegler1988 wrote: »

Wilson going up tonight and Aguero falling at 0.4%/hour. I've taken a chance and swapped out Kun who I bought at 13.1m for Wilson. If Aguero somehow falls by the end of the GW then grand, otherwise I save at least 0.1m on Wilson and increase my resale value on Aguero to 13.2m

Struggling to see the logic there.
Assuming you are on WC?

1. Profit 0.1: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero falls 0.1
2. Break-even: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero remains same
3. Lose 0.1: Wilson rises 0.1 or less and Aguero remains same

I think the odds are stacked against you for making a profit. Breaking even would be a decent result imo, I would think the most likely outcome is that you'll lose 0.1

Ziegler1988

sword1 wrote: »

The price you get for aguero will be the same if he is 13.1 or 13.2, I doubt he will drop this week also

I lose 0.1m if he doesn't drop and I rebuy at 13.2m, but have then increased my resale on him to 13.2m if I need to ship later (assuming no further drops).

PARlance wrote: »

Struggling to see the logic there.
Assuming you are on WC?

1. Profit 0.1: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero falls 0.1
2. Break-even: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero remains same
3. Lose 0.1: Wilson rises 0.1 or less and Aguero remains same

I think the odds are stacked against you for making a profit. Breaking even would be a decent result imo, I would think the most likely outcome is that you'll lose 0.1

I'm >90% keeping Wilson on WC, so for 3) it would be break even if Wilson rises 0.1m and Aguero stays same. The having 13.2m resale on Aguero than 13.1m could back fire if he falls Sat night or later

PARlance wrote: »

Struggling to see the logic there.
Assuming you are on WC?

1. Profit 0.1: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero falls 0.1
2. Break-even: Wilson rises 0.2 and Aguero remains same
3. Lose 0.1: Wilson rises 0.1 or less and Aguero remains same

I think the odds are stacked against you for making a profit. Breaking even would be a decent result imo, I would think the most likely outcome is that you'll lose 0.1

Probably would have since it's the same logic. Sell for 13.1m and then either have same team value if he drops or buy at 0.1m loss and higher resale

iroced

FHFC wrote: »

I can't believe I'm actually sitting out this Martial feeding frenzy given my well established team value obsession. :eek:

I may as well take this opportunity to formally put on record proof that I don't let that obsession dictate all my early season moves!!

I can't believe it either .

Colking wrote: »

Wanyama is still dropping away, I'd have thought he was relatively safe on 4.4.

Just wondering if more people are playing a balanced 5 man midfield and this is contributing to the price drop, any thoughts ?

This is very annoying. I guess it's mainly due to people favouring the 3-5-2 formation. Wanyama can't be a transfer priority right now. And for the ones willing to save the value, I'd assume they'd ditch him while on WC, so that would not count.

The BBC live text seemed to suggest Wanyama had 2-3 goal attempts towards the end of the game at the week-end. If only he had converted one, he'll probably be rising fast!

Ziegler1988

iroced wrote: »

The BBC live text seemed to suggest Wanyama had 2-3 goal attempts towards the end of the game at the week-end. If only he had converted one, he'll probably be rising fast!

He had a nice shot going upper corner that DDG did well to save

PARlance

Martial up to 75% now, probably going to be tight in terms of getting 2 in a row.

Rikand

PARlance wrote: »

Martial up to 75% now, probably going to be tight in terms of getting 2 in a row.

People who missed the boat last night won't want to miss it again

km79

Rikand wrote: »

People who missed the boat last night won't want to miss it again

or maybe they are waiting for league cup games
please wait!

Swiper the fox

For wildcarders like me a little injury to keep him out of the Sunderland game would be so sweet.