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Winter Weather 2015/16 : See Mod Note Post #1

JCX BXC · 2015-08-25 17:28:29

The summer is almost over (a week left) and with such a disappointing season I'm starting to think about winter. What weather effects should we expect from'El Niño'? Mod Note We agreed last year to confine sensationalist tabloid weather stories to the Weather in the Media thread so please post any tabloid headlines/links…

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#572 19-11-2015 8:10pm
Lumi

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Mod Note

Some posts on this weekends cold snap have been moved to the Autumn Weather Thread to keep all of the discussion together
And it is still Autumn...
Thanks guys

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#573 19-11-2015 11:42pm
Schadenfreudia

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Lumi wrote: »

Mod Note

Some posts on this weekends cold snap have been moved to the Autumn Weather Thread to keep all of the discussion together
And it is still Autumn...
Thanks guys

It's like trying to herd cats keeping us in the right threads in the weather forum!

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#574 21-11-2015 11:47pm
Tindie

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Is there another cold snap 1St week of December ?

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#575 22-11-2015 12:08am
Hooter23

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Tindie wrote: »

Is there another cold snap 1St week of December ?

Well the latest charts show cold west/north west winds from Friday next week through the weekend and then a reload of cold on the 1st of december..

Theres a good chance the cold will arrive for friday and the weekend but beyond that things are not as certain reliable forecasts only go as far as 7-10days max

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#576 22-11-2015 12:13am
droidman123

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Hooter23 wrote: »

Well the latest charts show cold west/north west winds from Friday next week through the weekend and then a reload of cold on the 1st of december..

Theres a good chance the cold will arrive for friday and the weekend but beyond that things are not as certain reliable forecasts only go as far as 7-10days max

Dont say that too loud on here

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#577 22-11-2015 1:17am
Gonzo

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next weekend is another north-westerly/northerly so if we are lucky we may be able to count on one finger the amount of snizzle flakes we will see in Leinster over next weekend:)

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#578 22-11-2015 1:44am
maquiladora

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Gonzo wrote: »

next weekend is another north-westerly/northerly so if we are lucky we may be able to count on one finger the amount of snizzle flakes we will see in Leinster over next weekend:)

It would be beefier than snizzle. The problem is that it would be proceeded by heavy rain and after less than a day or so the rain would return.

Anyway it's still off in FI and would be questionable for low level areas even if it did happen.

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#579 22-11-2015 11:07am
Clonmel1000

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JanuarySnowstor wrote: »

After seeing the ecm have you still got the same confidence?

ECM is a thing of beauty and if it proves to be right Ger has called it wrong!

All to play for

Bump.

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#580 22-11-2015 5:40pm
johndeere3350

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Didn't MT say in his last update that he would give another summary in a few days did he give that or am I just not able to find it?

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#581 22-11-2015 7:18pm
force eleven

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Gonzo wrote: »

after 5 failed winters in a row I feel were due another 'beast from the east' hopefully this winter.

Yes and the wait goes on. Azores High and Greenland Lows for the next two weeks at least it seems.Westerly winds all the way with minor variations to the north or south. Desperation not setting in yet though, still 8 days until winter officially starts. Patterns always change eventually.

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#582 22-11-2015 11:05pm
pistolpetes11

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La Fenetre wrote: »

Love too, I keep asking does anyone want to post about the winter weather for a change ?

MOD NOTE :

Please refrain from posting in this forum again. .

I just had to remove over 40 posts because of how the thread has been derailed.

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#583 22-11-2015 11:10pm
sryanbruen

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La Fenetre wrote: »

Good man, what do you think the chances of much snow are for this winter ?

In the next week or two, I am most accurate about. Further on, very uncertain. Anyways, snow is likely in the hills over Ireland during parts of next weekend - only hills. Lower levels - NO, very low chance like less than 10% chance. . The Winter overall, yes I detect some snowfall during the same cold spell in late January and February that M.T. Cranium is predicting.

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#584 24-11-2015 2:47pm
weatherfiend

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I know nothing wintry is expected but has anybody else noticed the light we've had today and yesterday - that snowy kind of light? My daughter thought so too. It's presumably just the cloud cover but we usually only get it with snow clouds. It's cold too, colder than the temp would suggest

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#585 25-11-2015 3:10pm
Gonzo

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the first 2 weeks of December is looking very unsettled, mostly mild and a wild atlantic.

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#586 25-11-2015 3:51pm
sryanbruen

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Gonzo wrote: »

the first 2 weeks of December is looking very unsettled, mostly mild and a wild atlantic.

Very close to what was happening in 2009 and it's the same calendar as that year - just thought I'd say that as a fact.

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#587 25-11-2015 7:28pm
esposito

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Gonzo wrote: »

the first 2 weeks of December is looking very unsettled, mostly mild and a wild atlantic.

And after that, a dramatic turn of events... Frequent snow showers being brought in on a biting north easterly wind, leading to significant accumulations of snow, especially in the eastern half of the country. Max daytime temps ranging from -3 to + 2 celsius :pac:

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#588 25-11-2015 8:42pm
Elmer Blooker

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I am beginning to get anxious now, I have been looking at charts from very strong El Nino years (82-3, 97-8) and the current charts and I don't like what I'm seeing.
* not what most here want to hear so the usual T & Cs apply - I hope I'm 100% wrong!

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#589 25-11-2015 10:38pm
Musicman2000

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Some bed time reading . Netweather have released their winter outlook.
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-forecast-2015;sess=

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#590 25-11-2015 10:43pm
MidMan25

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Musicman2000 wrote: »

Some bed time reading . Netweather have released their winter outlook.
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-forecast-2015;sess=

Looks like 3 months of misery

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#591 25-11-2015 10:44pm
Musicman2000

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MidMan25 wrote: »

Looks like 3 months of misery

immmmmm not really January looks good. If it happens

Thats if you like cold and snow :-)

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#592 25-11-2015 10:55pm
sryanbruen

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Musicman2000 wrote: »

Some bed time reading . Netweather have released their winter outlook.
http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=winter-forecast-2015;sess=

So it is looking a lot like the Winter of 2011 / 12 (without the January)?

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#593 26-11-2015 11:07am
WheatenBriar

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MidMan25 wrote: »

Looks like 3 months of misery

In summary,patience grasshoppa's?

https://twitter.com/DorsetSnow/status/669817784419926016

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#594 26-11-2015 3:16pm
Baggy Trousers

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Anyone hill walking lately? Much snow above 600m?

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#595 26-11-2015 3:35pm
Schadenfreudia

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Baggy Trousers wrote: »

Anyone hill walking lately? Much snow above 600m?

None I'd say - temp (now 13C) hasn't dropped below 10C in about 48 hours.

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#596 26-11-2015 7:16pm
Weatherproof79

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Elmer Blooker wrote: »

I am beginning to get anxious now, I have been looking at charts from very strong El Nino years (82-3, 97-8) and the current charts and I don't like what I'm seeing.
* not what most here want to hear so the usual T & Cs apply - I hope I'm 100% wrong!

2009-10 was an El Nino year albeit not as strong. Winter hasn't even started yet and it will be a very long one indeed with that attitude.

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#597 26-11-2015 7:18pm
Weatherproof79

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Winter is over posts seem to happen earlier each year. It'll be Halloween next year

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#598 26-11-2015 7:20pm
Weatherproof79

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MidMan25 wrote: »

Looks like 3 months of misery

Well last year they fc a cold hearted winter and that never materialised. It isn't gospel it's just what they think will happen

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#599 26-11-2015 7:58pm
Clonmel1000

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Temperatures as high as 14 degrees forecast for 01 December.

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#600 26-11-2015 8:45pm
FWVT

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Weatherproof79 wrote: »

Well last year they fc a cold hearted winter and that never materialised. It isn't gospel it's just what they think will happen

Who are "they"?

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#601 26-11-2015 8:50pm
Weatherproof79

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FWVT wrote: »

Who are "they"?

Read over previous page

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